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Playing Dress Up In The Tools Of Ignorance

Posted by Steve Lombardi on December 18, 2009

How many catchers, since 1901, have posted seasons in the big leagues where they've had 200+ PA at age 20 or younger? Actually, it's not been that many...via Baseball-Reference.com's Play Index Batting Season Finder...here's the list:

Rk Player OPS+ PA 6 Year Age Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Butch Wynegar 109 622 1976 20 MIN AL 149 534 58 139 21 2 10 69 79 7 63 2 4 3 14 0 0 .260 .356 .363 .719 *2D
2 Johnny Bench 117 607 1968 20 CIN NL 154 564 67 155 40 2 15 82 31 8 96 2 2 8 14 1 5 .275 .311 .433 .743 *2
3 Ivan Rodriguez 87 454 1992 20 TEX AL 123 420 39 109 16 1 8 37 24 2 73 1 7 2 15 0 0 .260 .300 .360 .659 *2
4 Ray Schalk 80 445 1913 20 CHW AL 129 401 38 98 15 5 1 38 27 0 36 3 14 0 0 14 0 .244 .297 .314 .611 *2
5 Joe Torre 104 441 1961 20 MLN NL 113 406 40 113 21 4 10 42 28 4 60 4 2 1 10 3 5 .278 .330 .424 .754 *2
6 Bob Didier 77 397 1969 20 ATL NL 114 352 30 90 16 1 0 32 34 5 39 0 11 0 5 1 3 .256 .321 .307 .628 *2
7 Frank Snyder 70 355 1914 20 STL NL 100 326 19 75 15 4 1 25 13 0 28 1 15 0 0 1 0 .230 .262 .310 .572 *2
8 Mickey O'Neil 95 343 1920 20 BSN NL 112 304 19 86 5 4 0 28 21 0 20 5 13 0 0 4 4 .283 .339 .326 .665 *2/4
9 Ted Simmons 74 324 1970 20 STL NL 82 284 29 69 8 2 3 24 37 5 37 2 0 1 5 2 2 .243 .333 .317 .650 *2
10 Ivan Rodriguez 75 288 1991 19 TEX AL 88 280 24 74 16 0 3 27 5 0 42 0 2 1 10 0 1 .264 .276 .354 .630 *2
11 Del Crandall 52 274 1950 20 BSN NL 79 255 21 56 11 0 4 37 13 0 24 0 6 0 6 0 0 .220 .257 .310 .567 *2/3
12 Frankie Hayes 63 271 1934 19 PHA AL 92 248 24 56 10 0 6 30 20 0 44 1 2 0 0 2 1 .226 .286 .339 .625 *2
13 Del Crandall 80 239 1949 19 BSN NL 67 228 21 60 10 1 4 34 9 0 18 0 2 0 8 2 0 .263 .291 .368 .660 *2
14 Joe Garagiola 73 235 1946 20 STL NL 74 211 21 50 4 1 3 22 23 0 25 0 1 0 4 0 0 .237 .312 .308 .620 *2
15 Rene Lachemann 86 235 1965 20 KCA AL 92 216 20 49 7 1 9 29 12 3 57 0 4 3 4 0 0 .227 .264 .394 .658 *2
16 Steve O'Neill 47 233 1912 20 CLE AL 69 215 17 49 4 0 0 14 12 0 0 1 5 0 0 2 0 .228 .272 .247 .518 *2
17 Buck Martinez 63 214 1969 20 KCR AL 72 205 14 47 6 1 4 23 8 2 25 0 1 0 4 0 0 .229 .258 .327 .585 *2/9
18 Ed Sweeney 93 200 1909 20 NYY AL 67 176 19 47 3 0 0 21 16 0 0 0 8 0 0 3 0 .267 .328 .284 .612 *2/3
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/18/2009.

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It's an interesting list. The first thing that jumps out to me is how many of these "men" stayed in the game after their playing career albeit as a manager or coach in the big or minor leagues - or had some sort of career in the media covering baseball. The second thing that jumps out at me is that only two of these guys have done "this" since 1976 and we've seen no one do it since 1992. Pretty rare stuff these days...

Posted in Season Finders | 2 Comments »

Trivia Time – Roving Hall of Famers

Posted by Raphy on December 17, 2009

EDIT: The original question posted here was phrased using a search since 1901. I have revised it to include all players since 1871.

A quick search of the Season Batting Finder reveals that there are 229 members of the Hall-of-Fame who batted in the major leagues. Of those 229,  215 played at least 50% of their career games at a single position (OF positions are counted separately when available), 14 did not. 2 of the 14, Whitey Herzog and Dick Williams, were elected as managers.

Can you name the 12 8 12 HOF players who didn't play at least 50% of their games at any one position (4 2 4were 19th century players) ?


Posted in Season Finders | 19 Comments »

B-R Cross Links to SR Sites

Posted by Sean Forman on December 16, 2009

Danny Ainge Statistics and History - Baseball-Reference.com

As you hopefully are aware, Baseball-Reference.com is part of a family of Sports Reference sites. All of them very good, very complete and well worth checking out. We have now created a rosetta stone matching players and coaches across all of the sites, so Danny Ainge's page, linked above, now has a link to his Basketball-Reference page, and Ricky Williams' minor league page now links to his Pro-Football-Reference page.

Posted in Announcements, Power Users, Site Features | 9 Comments »

Most hits per game played

Posted by Andy on December 16, 2009

A reader named JR asked for a post about Ichiro and all his hits. JR was focused on Ichiro's amazing seasonal hit totals. I looked into his hitting and found some other interesting stuff.

In baseball history, there are only 22 players with at least 1.3 hits per game played (minimum 3000 plate appearances.)

Rk Player H G PA To From Age AB R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Pos Tm
1 Ichiro Suzuki 2030 1426 6607 2001 2009 27-35 6099 973 228 68 84 515 412 597 .333 .378 .434 .811 *98/D SEA
2 Al Simmons 2927 2215 9515 1924 1944 22-42 8759 1507 539 149 307 1827 615 737 .334 .380 .535 .915 *78/39 PHA-CHW-DET-WSH-TOT-BOS
3 George Sisler 2812 2055 9013 1915 1930 22-37 8267 1284 425 164 102 1175 472 327 .340 .379 .468 .847 *3/197845 SLB-TOT-BSN
4 Joe Jackson 1772 1332 5690 1908 1920 18-30 4981 873 307 168 54 785 519 158 .356 .423 .517 .940 798/3 PHA-CLE-TOT-CHW
5 Ty Cobb 4189 3035 13072 1905 1928 18-41 11434 2246 724 295 117 1937 1249 357 .366 .433 .512 .945 *89/73145 DET-PHA
6 Nap Lajoie 3242 2480 10460 1896 1916 21-41 9589 1504 657 163 83 1599 516 85 .338 .380 .467 .847 *43/65987 PHI-PHA-TOT-CLE
7 Bill Lange 1055 811 3609 1893 1899 22-28 3195 689 133 80 39 578 350 86 .330 .401 .459 .859 *8/4376529 CHC
8 Willie Keeler 2932 2123 9594 1892 1910 20-38 8591 1719 241 145 33 810 524 36 .341 .388 .415 .802 *9/54786 NYG-TOT-BLN-BRO-NYY
9 Jake Stenzel 1024 766 3412 1890 1899 23-32 3024 662 190 71 32 533 299 71 .339 .408 .480 .889 *8/927634 CHC-PIT-BLN-TOT
10 Jesse Burkett 2850 2066 9605 1890 1905 21-36 8421 1720 320 182 75 952 1029 230 .338 .415 .446 .862 *79/18645 NYG-CLV-STL-SLB-BOS
11 Billy Hamilton 2158 1591 7584 1888 1901 22-35 6268 1690 242 94 40 736 1187 218 .344 .455 .432 .887 *879 KCC-PHI-BSN
12 Hugh Duffy 2282 1737 7827 1888 1906 21-39 7042 1552 325 119 106 1302 662 211 .324 .384 .449 .834 879/64532 CHC-CHI-BOS-BSN-MLA-PHI
13 Ed Delahanty 2596 1835 8389 1888 1903 20-35 7505 1599 522 185 101 1464 741 244 .346 .411 .505 .917 *7384/695 PHI-CLE-WSH
14 Sam Thompson 1979 1407 6502 1885 1906 25-46 5984 1256 340 160 127 1299 450 226 .331 .384 .505 .888 *9/7835 DTN-PHI-DET
15 Dave Orr 1125 791 3411 1883 1890 23-30 3289 536 198 108 37 627 98 49 .342 .366 .502 .867 *3/9817 TOT-NYP-BRO-COL-BWW
16 Tip O'Neill 1386 1054 4720 1883 1892 25-34 4255 880 222 92 52 757 421 146 .326 .392 .458 .850 *7/1983 NYG-STL-CHI-CIN
17 Pete Browning 1646 1183 5315 1882 1894 21-33 4820 954 295 85 46 659 466 167 .341 .403 .467 .869 87/546931 LOU-CLE-TOT
18 Dan Brouthers 2296 1673 7658 1879 1904 21-46 6711 1523 460 205 106 1296 840 238 .342 .423 .519 .942 *3/7195 TRO-BUF-DTN-BSN-BOS-BRO-BLN-TOT-PHI-NYG
19 Jim O'Rourke 2643 1999 9051 1872 1904 21-53 8505 1729 465 151 62 1203 510 360 .311 .352 .423 .775 782935/614 MAN-BOS-BSN-PRO-BUF-NYG-NYI-WHS
20 Joe Start 1418 1071 4911 1871 1886 28-43 4747 854 147 67 15 544 164 109 .299 .322 .367 .690 *3/978 NYU-HAR-CHC-PRO-WHS
21 Deacon White 2066 1560 6972 1871 1890 23-42 6624 1140 268 96 23 977 307 221 .312 .346 .392 .738 *5293/47861 CLE-BOS-CHC-BSN-CIN-BUF-DTN-PIT
22 Cap Anson 3418 2523 11319 1871 1897 19-45 10277 1996 581 142 97 2076 983 302 .333 .393 .445 .838 *352/794681 ROK-ATH-CHC
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/16/2009.

As you can see, most of these guys played pre-1900 and Ichiro is the only one active since the second half of the 20th century.

Here is the same group as above, but now ranked by highest hits/game ratio, showing just the top 7:

Rk Player H G PA To From Age H/G
1 Ty Cobb 4189 3035 13072 1905 1928 18-41 1.380
2 Willie Keeler 2932 2123 9594 1892 1910 20-38 1.381
3 Ed Delahanty 2596 1835 8389 1888 1903 20-35 1.415
4 Ichiro Suzuki 2030 1426 6607 2001 2009 27-35 1.424
5 Sam Thompson 1979 1407 6502 1885 1906 25-46 1.407
6 Pete Browning 1646 1183 5315 1882 1894 21-33 1.391
7 Dave Orr 1125 791 3411 1883 1890 23-30 1.422
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/16/2009.

That's right--Ichiro has more hits per game than any other player in baseball history (again, minimum 3000 PAs.)

That being said, Ichiro has 4 things working to his advantage in this stat:

  • Most players hit their peak at age 27. Ichiro played in Japan through Age 26 and hit the majors right at his peak. The stats above do not count, of course, his stats from Japan. I just did some quick math and if my figures are correct, Ichiro had 1,434 hits in 1,057 career games in Japan--good for a ratio of 1.357 which is still hugely impressive.
  • Most players experience a decline in performance at the end of their careers. As Ichiro is still active, he has a likely decline not yet factored into his final career values.
  • Ichiro has hit exclusively leadoff, which gets him more plate appearances per game.
  • Ichiro has played in an era of high run-scoring, which gets him more plate appearances per game.

These last two points can be backed up in a couple of ways. If you look at the original table at the top, Ichiro's career batting average of .333 is among the lower figures in the group of 22 players. That's to be expected--he's getting lots and lots of hits, but he's also doing it in more plate appearances per game that most other players get.

The other way to back it up is simply to look at PA/G leaders. Here are the 25 guys in history to have at least 4.55 PA per game played (minimum 3000 PAs):

Rk Player PA G To From Age AB
1 Grady Sizemore 3612 788 2004 2009 21-26 3131
2 Jose Reyes 3651 791 2003 2009 20-26 3353
3 Jimmy Rollins 6512 1406 2000 2009 21-30 5941
4 Ichiro Suzuki 6607 1426 2001 2009 27-35 6099
5 Derek Jeter 9809 2138 1995 2009 21-35 8659
6 Dom DiMaggio 6478 1399 1940 1953 23-36 5640
7 Red Rolfe 5405 1175 1931 1942 22-33 4827
8 Arlie Latham 7502 1627 1880 1909 20-49 6822
9 Sam Thompson 6502 1407 1885 1906 25-46 5984
10 Jesse Burkett 9605 2066 1890 1905 21-36 8421
11 Dan Brouthers 7658 1673 1879 1904 21-46 6711
12 Ed Delahanty 8389 1835 1888 1903 20-35 7505
13 Dummy Hoy 8369 1796 1888 1902 26-40 7112
14 Cupid Childs 6758 1456 1888 1901 20-33 5618
15 Billy Hamilton 7584 1591 1888 1901 22-35 6268
16 Mike Tiernan 6716 1476 1887 1899 20-32 5906
17 Ed McKean 7610 1654 1887 1899 23-35 6890
18 Bill Joyce 4149 904 1890 1898 24-32 3304
19 Tom Brown 8182 1786 1882 1898 21-37 7363
20 Eddie Burke 3918 853 1890 1897 23-30 3508
21 Harry Stovey 6832 1486 1880 1893 23-36 6138
22 Hub Collins 3130 680 1886 1892 22-28 2779
23 George Gore 6104 1310 1879 1892 22-35 5357
24 Abner Dalrymple 4384 951 1878 1891 20-33 4172
25 Joe Start 4911 1071 1871 1886 28-43 4747
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/16/2009.

Other than DiMaggio and Rolfe, we have players from the two high-offense eras: before the turn of the 20th century and present day. We see lots of leadoff hitters here and also generally players from good teams. (Good teams = more runs scored = more plate appearances per game.) If you're curious, Ichiro has the 6th-most PAs per game, coming in at 4.633. He's led by Hamilton (4.767), Hoy (4.660), Gore (4.660), Burkett (4.649), and Childs (4.641).

Bottom line? Ichiro has had the opportunities and has other factors that assist his rankings, but he is still an incredible player and probably the best hitter of the Steroids Era. He may well rank among the best hitters of all time.

Reader JR, who got me thinking about all of this, asked me my opinion on Ichrio's HOF worthiness. If he retired today and we ignore his performance in Japan, the only possible sticking point is his longevity. He has played 9 seasons in MLB and his worst seasons were merely excellent. Interesting is that his HOF Monitor (how likely to get in) is 200, with a likely HOFer around 100, but his HOF Standards (how deserving to get in) is only 34, with average HOFers around 50. If I had a vote, I'd put him in. I wouldn't count his stats from Japan, but I'd give him a pass on the longevity issue since he started in the Major Leagues so late.

Please vote below in the polls.



Posted in Season Finders | 10 Comments »

Shall Not Pass Or Make Much Contact

Posted by Steve Lombardi on December 15, 2009

A strange list via Baseball-Reference.com's Play Index Batting Season Finder - players with 502+ PA in a season where their whiffs were greater than 7 times their walks:

Rk     SO BB PA Year Age Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI IBB HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Charley Smith   123 17 531 1965 27 NYM NL 135 499 49 122 20 3 16 62 3 4 7 4 13 2 1 .244 .273 .393 .666 *5/64
2 Ivan Rodriguez   93 11 525 2005 33 DET AL 129 504 71 139 33 5 14 50 2 2 1 7 19 7 3 .276 .290 .444 .735 *2/D
3 Ivan Rodriguez   96 9 515 2007 35 DET AL 129 502 50 141 31 3 11 63 1 1 1 2 16 2 2 .281 .294 .420 .714 *2/D
4 Tony Pena   78 10 536 2007 26 KCR AL 152 509 58 136 25 7 2 47 0 4 8 5 13 5 6 .267 .284 .356 .640 *6/4
5 Corey Patterson   142 19 628 2002 22 CHC NL 153 592 71 150 30 5 14 54 1 8 4 5 8 18 3 .253 .284 .392 .676 *8
6 John Leary   71 10 552 1914 23 SLB AL 144 533 35 141 28 7 0 45 0 3 6 0 0 9 15 .265 .282 .343 .625 *32
7 Alex Gonzalez   113 15 591 1999 22 FLA NL 136 560 81 155 28 8 14 59 0 12 1 3 13 3 5 .277 .308 .430 .739 *6
8 Juan Encarnacion   113 14 538 1999 23 DET AL 132 509 62 130 30 6 19 74 1 9 4 2 12 33 12 .255 .287 .450 .736 *78/9
9 Shawon Dunston   75 10 503 1995 32 CHC NL 127 477 58 141 30 6 14 69 3 6 7 3 8 10 5 .296 .317 .472 .788 *6
10 Shawon Dunston   75 8 511 1997 34 TOT NL 132 490 71 147 22 5 14 57 0 3 5 5 9 32 8 .300 .312 .451 .763 *6/7
11 Mariano Duncan   88 12 518 1993 30 PHI NL 124 496 68 140 26 4 11 73 0 4 4 2 13 6 5 .282 .304 .417 .721 *46
12 Todd Cruz   95 12 519 1982 26 SEA AL 136 492 44 113 20 2 16 57 1 0 11 4 18 2 10 .230 .246 .376 .622 *6
13 Billy Cowan   128 18 520 1964 25 CHC NL 139 497 52 120 16 4 19 50 5 1 2 2 6 12 3 .241 .268 .404 .673 *8
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/15/2009.
 

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It's only been done 13 times in baseball history and 7 of those times its been done by someone playing for the Tigers or the Cubs. And, how 'bout John Leary? He was the first to do it, ever, and then had to wait 50 years for someone else to join the club.

Posted in Season Finders | 7 Comments »

Mike Cameron – an odd bird

Posted by Andy on December 15, 2009

7490823090039_Brewers_v_NationalsThe latest rumors have the Red Sox signing Mike Cameron to play left field in a platoon with Jeremy Hermida.

Cameron has had a long strange career.

For starters, he's a pretty unlikely member of the 4-homers-in-a-game club.

Here's a reminder of the post-1954 members of that group:

Rk Player Date Tm Opp Rslt AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BOP Pos. Summary
1 Carlos Delgado 2003-09-25 TOR TBD W 10-8 4 4 4 0 0 4 6 0 0 4 1B
2 Shawn Green 2002-05-23 LAD MIL W 16-3 6 6 6 1 0 4 7 0 0 3 RF
3 Mike Cameron 2002-05-02 SEA CHW W 15-4 5 4 4 0 0 4 4 0 0 3 CF
4 Mark Whiten 1993-09-07 (2) STL CIN W 15-2 5 4 4 0 0 4 12 0 0 6 CF
5 Bob Horner 1986-07-06 ATL MON L 8-11 5 4 4 0 0 4 6 0 0 4 1B
6 Mike Schmidt 1976-04-17 PHI CHC W 18-16 6 4 5 0 0 4 8 0 0 6 3B
7 Willie Mays 1961-04-30 SFG MLN W 14-4 5 4 4 0 0 4 8 0 0 3 CF
8 Rocky Colavito 1959-06-10 CLE BAL W 11-8 4 5 4 0 0 4 6 1 0 4 RF
9 Joe Adcock 1954-07-31 MLN BRO W 15-7 5 5 5 1 0 4 7 0 0 5 1B
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/15/2009.

I suspect that Cameron's name will be the oddest one in this group for many years to come, although Whiten and Horner also had comparatively short major-league careers.

Here's another thing about Cameron. While he's not a terribly good hitter, his OPS values always end up above average. He has a string of 11 straight years with an OPS+ of at least 104 and his career value is 107. He's no superstar with the bat but he's solid and, perhaps more importantly, consistent.

Since 1901 here are the players with the most seasons having an OPS+ of at least 104 but a batting average no higher than .273.

Rk Yrs To From Age
1 Darrell Evans 15 1971 1988 24-41
2 Graig Nettles 13 1968 1985 23-40
3 Mike Cameron 12 1997 2009 24-36
4 Rick Monday 11 1967 1983 21-37
5 Joe Morgan 11 1963 1983 19-39
6 Norm Cash 11 1959 1974 24-39
7 Jose Canseco 10 1986 2001 21-36
8 Gene Tenace 10 1973 1982 26-35
9 Don Baylor 10 1972 1986 23-37
10 Jimmy Wynn 10 1963 1976 21-34
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/15/2009.

Interesting group, eh? Joe Morgan is the odd man out here because, as the only middle-infielder on the list, he was actually an above-average offensive player (for his position) and managed to make the group. The rest of these players were all good, most had a couple of excellent seasons, but none was a superstar.

Cameron and the rest of these guys all fit a similar mode: decent power and decent walk rate. Bumps to OBP from walks or to SLG from occasional homers--that's how these guys kept their OPS+ values on the good side of 100 despite having lower batting averages. (I know the search limited to .273, which is not a bad batting average, but keep in mind that Cameron's career BA is .250. Most of the guys on the list above were below .260 in their careers.)

Here's another club for which Cameron carries a membership card: striking out in at least 24% of one's plate appearances (minimum 3000 PAs):

Rk Player PA SO To From Age G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB BA OBP SLG OPS Pos Tm
1 Jim Thome 9463 2313 1991 2009 20-38 2284 7706 1486 2138 412 24 564 1565 1619 .277 .404 .557 .961 3D5 CLE-PHI-CHW-TOT
2 Mike Cameron 7435 1798 1995 2009 22-36 1829 6440 1013 1610 362 59 265 926 825 .250 .340 .448 .788 *89/7D CHW-CIN-SEA-NYM-SDP-MIL
3 Dave Kingman 7429 1816 1971 1986 22-37 1941 6677 901 1575 240 25 442 1210 608 .236 .302 .478 .780 37D59/1 SFG-NYM-TOT-CHC-OAK
4 Dean Palmer 5513 1332 1989 2003 20-34 1357 4902 734 1229 231 15 275 849 502 .251 .324 .472 .796 *5D/736 TEX-TOT-KCR-DET
5 Gorman Thomas 5486 1339 1973 1986 22-35 1436 4677 681 1051 212 13 268 782 697 .225 .324 .448 .772 *8D9/735 MIL-TOT-SEA
6 Adam Dunn 5417 1433 2001 2009 21-29 1290 4417 780 1101 230 8 316 777 913 .249 .383 .520 .903 *739/D CIN-TOT-WSN
7 Jose Hernandez 5089 1391 1991 2006 21-36 1587 4618 623 1166 193 33 168 603 384 .252 .312 .418 .729 *654/3789 TEX-CLE-CHC-TOT-MIL-LAD
8 Pete Incaviglia 4677 1277 1986 1998 22-34 1284 4233 546 1043 194 21 206 655 360 .246 .310 .448 .758 *79D/83 TEX-DET-HOU-PHI-TOT
9 Rob Deer 4512 1409 1984 1996 23-35 1155 3881 578 853 148 13 230 600 575 .220 .324 .442 .766 *97/3D8 SFG-MIL-DET-TOT-SDP
10 Preston Wilson 4436 1085 1998 2007 23-32 1108 4003 573 1055 221 16 189 668 350 .264 .329 .468 .797 *87/9 TOT-FLA-COL-STL
11 Cory Snyder 3933 992 1986 1994 23-31 1068 3656 439 902 178 13 149 488 226 .247 .291 .425 .716 *9/763584D CLE-TOT-SFG-LAD
12 Brad Wilkerson 3753 947 2001 2008 24-31 972 3187 500 788 193 28 122 399 492 .247 .350 .440 .790 7389/D MON-WSN-TEX-TOT
13 Carlos Pena 3713 973 2001 2009 23-31 929 3136 495 776 153 20 202 566 495 .247 .355 .502 .858 *3/D7 TEX-TOT-DET-BOS-TBD-TBR
14 Steve Balboni 3440 856 1981 1993 24-36 960 3120 351 714 127 11 181 495 273 .229 .293 .451 .743 *3D NYY-KCR-TOT-TEX
15 Henry Rodriguez 3343 803 1992 2002 24-34 950 3031 389 784 176 9 160 523 276 .259 .321 .481 .802 *7/39D LAD-TOT-MON-CHC-NYY
16 Ryan Howard 3145 878 2004 2009 24-29 732 2687 465 750 136 11 222 640 406 .279 .376 .586 .961 *3/D PHI
17 Don Lock 3116 776 1962 1969 25-32 921 2695 359 642 92 12 122 373 373 .238 .331 .417 .748 *87/93 WSA-PHI-TOT
18 Bill Hall 3079 797 2002 2009 22-29 865 2796 380 701 185 18 104 379 236 .251 .309 .441 .750 5684/79 MIL-TOT
19 Jason LaRue 3040 753 1999 2009 25-35 893 2663 304 617 147 7 94 343 232 .232 .316 .398 .714 *2/3579D CIN-KCR-STL
20 Ron Kittle 3013 744 1982 1991 24-33 843 2708 356 648 100 3 176 460 236 .239 .306 .473 .779 7D/398 CHW-TOT-NYY-CLE
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/15/2009.

This is kind of surprising, isn't it? It makes Cameron seem like a pretty good slugger and run-producer, at least if you cherry pick Jim Thome and Ryan Howard off here. On the other hand, grouping him with Jose Hernandez and Pete Incaviglia paints a different picture, as far as perception goes.

You can put me down in the Mike Cameron fan club. He's not a perfect player, but he provides significant offense and is very consistent. At the right price, I'd take the guy on my team.

Posted in Game Finders, Season Finders | 5 Comments »

Hall of Fame Voting Updated

Posted by Sean Forman on December 15, 2009

1967 Hall of Fame Voting - Baseball-Reference.com

Several readers pointed out (thank you!) that we had some issues with the older HOF voting results. The HOF had some quirks (like runoff elections in 49, 64, 67, a nominating round in 1946, and a ill-defined Veterans Ballot in 1936) that I wasn't quite prepared for (we assumed players could only be on one ballot a year) and it screwed up a number of the results, which we have fixed. Things now jibe with other sources and are presented correctly. Sorry for the mixups.

Posted in Announcements, Site Features | 2 Comments »

Most Hits First 162 Career Games 1954-2009

Posted by Raphy on December 15, 2009

On Sunday, we looked at the players since 1954 with the most home runs in their first 162 games. Today, let's look at the hits leaders.

Rk Player #Matching H 2B 3B HR
1 Ichiro Suzuki 139 Ind. Games 248 34 8 8
2 Kirby Puckett 125 Ind. Games 215 16 8 1
3 Nomar Garciaparra 120 Ind. Games 213 38 13 32
4 Wally Moon 120 Ind. Games 213 31 9 15
5 Vada Pinson 123 Ind. Games 211 51 9 18
6 Orlando Cepeda 122 Ind. Games 208 44 5 30
7 Hunter Pence 125 Ind. Games 208 43 10 24
8 Garry Templeton 119 Ind. Games 207 23 13 6
9 Kevin Seitzer 122 Ind. Games 205 33 7 15
10 Ryan Braun 116 Ind. Games 204 40 8 47
11 Juan Pierre 124 Ind. Games 204 19 7 1
12 Pablo Sandoval 122 Ind. Games 203 47 4 24
13 Carlos Beltran 126 Ind. Games 203 31 10 22
14 Tony Oliva 117 Ind. Games 202 39 7 30
15 Dave Stapleton 121 Ind. Games 200 41 5 12
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/14/2009.

Ryan Braun makes both  lists. Here are Braun's totals for his first 162 games:

Games PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GDP
162 Ind. Games 707 656 204 40 8 47 134 38 156 .311 .352 .611 .963 0 6 3 7 16
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/14/2009.

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Posted in Game Finders | 6 Comments »

John Lackey in Fenway Park

Posted by Andy on December 14, 2009

45409100910_Red_Sox_at_AngelsReports suggest that John Lackey is about to sign a contract with the Boston Red Sox.

Much has been made in recent years of Lackey pitching in Fenway Park, where he has by far the worst numbers of his career. Check out his splits by ballpark. These are offensive stats against Lackey:

I Split G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR BB SO SO/BB BA OBP SLG OPS TB BAbip tOPS+
Angel Stadium of Anaheim 112 3101 2819 325 729 140 10 72 223 592 2.65 .259 .319 .392 .711 1105 .303 98
Rangers Ballpark in Arlington 16 394 353 61 105 21 0 13 33 82 2.48 .297 .365 .467 .832 165 .355 131
Turner Field 1 25 23 2 7 1 0 1 1 6 6.00 .304 .360 .478 .838 11 .375 132
Oriole Park at Camden Yards 7 199 187 20 50 10 1 4 10 39 3.90 .267 .307 .396 .702 74 .317 95
Fenway Park 9 240 220 41 69 19 2 8 17 37 2.18 .314 .371 .527 .898 116 .349 148
Comiskey Park II 8 221 202 30 57 8 2 11 14 29 2.07 .282 .330 .505 .835 102 .279 129
Great American Ballpark 1 24 21 3 3 0 0 1 1 4 4.00 .143 .250 .286 .536 6 .125 50
Jacobs Field 6 163 136 17 29 8 0 2 19 27 1.42 .213 .323 .316 .639 43 .248 80
Comerica Park 4 108 93 10 21 7 0 2 14 18 1.29 .226 .333 .366 .699 34 .260 96
Kauffman Stadium 3 87 83 6 25 4 1 1 2 15 7.50 .301 .318 .410 .727 34 .358 102
Dodger Stadium 5 109 97 8 21 4 0 1 6 28 4.67 .216 .290 .289 .578 28 .294 63
Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome 6 164 151 23 40 5 2 5 8 33 4.13 .265 .313 .424 .737 64 .307 104
Yankee Stadium 8 231 207 23 60 16 0 6 16 40 2.50 .290 .354 .454 .808 94 .333 124
Shea Stadium 1 27 20 3 6 2 0 0 6 6 1.00 .300 .444 .400 .844 8 .400 139
Network Associates Coliseum 15 400 364 32 81 20 0 5 28 71 2.54 .223 .284 .319 .603 116 .262 68
Chase Field 1 28 25 1 5 0 0 0 3 9 3.00 .200 .286 .200 .486 5 .313 39
PNC Park 1 25 24 5 8 0 0 1 0 4 .333 .333 .458 .792 11 .368 118
Safeco Field 14 378 348 39 97 11 1 7 18 71 3.94 .279 .316 .376 .692 131 .327 93
AT&T Park 2 60 57 6 15 5 0 1 2 12 6.00 .263 .300 .404 .704 23 .318 95
Estadio Hiram Bithorn 1 26 25 4 7 0 0 1 1 5 5.00 .280 .308 .400 .708 10 .316 96
Tropicana Field 4 114 106 22 32 4 1 4 7 24 3.43 .302 .342 .472 .814 50 .354 125
SkyDome 8 213 196 19 46 9 1 4 10 43 4.30 .235 .280 .352 .632 69 .278 75
Nationals Park 1 31 29 2 6 0 1 1 2 6 3.00 .207 .258 .379 .637 11 .227 75
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/14/2009.

Of particular interest is the final column, tOPS+, which basically shows the share of the total offense against Lackey. It shows that, for example, he has pitched very well in Dodger Stadium, Network Associates Coliseum, and SkyDome (isn't that called the Rogers Centre now?) His worst mark is at Fenway Park.

Now, of course, there is one big factor here that we cannot forget. For much of Lackey's career, the Red Sox have been a very good team. More pitchers than not from the last several years have worse numbers against the Red Sox than against most other teams.

The Angels and Red Sox have played each other a few times in the playoffs recently and there was much speculation that the Angels tried to set up their rotation to avoid having to pitch Lackey in Fenway for fear that he would do poorly. How much does that have to do with the ballpark vs. the Red Sox offense? Will it be different for Lackey when he himself wears red socks?

Posted in Splits | 3 Comments »

Kevin Millwood to the Orioles

Posted by Andy on December 14, 2009

I see that the Orioles picked up Kevin Millwood in a trade for Chris Ray. In itself, that's quite an interesting deal. Ray is coming off a bad year, one season after missing an entire year due to injury. In theory, if he can learn to pitch after Tommy John surgery, he could be valuable. Millwood is an expensive veteran coming off one of his best years in 2009 but some so-so years before that.

Let's take a look at pitchers who did what Millwood did in his Age 34 season. These are the last 20 players to qualify for the ERA title with an ERA+ of 127 or better in their Age 34 year:

Rk Player Year ERA+ Tm G GS CG SHO W L W-L% IP H R ER BB SO ERA OPS+
1 Chris Carpenter 2009 183 STL 28 28 3 1 17 4 .810 192.2 156 49 48 38 144 2.24 58
2 Kevin Millwood 2009 127 TEX 31 31 3 0 13 10 .565 198.2 195 88 81 71 123 3.67 93
3 Hideo Nomo 2003 130 LAD 33 33 2 2 16 13 .552 218.1 175 82 75 98 177 3.09 82
4 Mike Mussina 2003 129 NYY 31 31 2 1 17 8 .680 214.2 192 86 81 40 195 3.40 71
5 Curt Schilling 2001 157 ARI 35 35 6 1 22 6 .786 256.2 237 86 85 39 293 2.98 71
6 Al Leiter 2000 139 NYM 31 31 2 1 16 8 .667 208.0 176 84 74 76 200 3.20 74
7 Tom Glavine 2000 135 ATL 35 35 4 2 21 9 .700 241.0 222 101 91 65 152 3.40 72
8 Greg Maddux 2000 153 ATL 35 35 6 3 19 9 .679 249.1 225 91 83 42 190 3.00 58
9 Kevin Brown 1999 143 LAD 35 35 5 1 18 9 .667 252.1 210 99 84 59 221 3.00 61
10 Randy Johnson 1998 135 TOT 34 34 10 6 19 11 .633 244.1 203 102 89 86 329 3.28 71
11 Roger Clemens 1997 221 TOR 34 34 9 3 21 7 .750 264.0 204 65 60 68 292 2.05 48
12 David Cone 1997 159 NYY 29 29 1 0 12 6 .667 195.0 155 67 61 86 222 2.82 67
13 Tim Belcher 1996 127 KCR 35 35 4 1 15 11 .577 238.2 262 117 104 68 113 3.92 93
14 Danny Darwin 1990 168 HOU 48 17 3 0 11 4 .733 162.2 136 42 40 31 109 2.21 71
15 Ed Whitson 1989 133 SDP 33 33 5 1 16 11 .593 227.0 198 77 67 48 117 2.66 86
16 John Tudor 1988 149 TOT 30 30 5 1 10 8 .556 197.2 189 60 51 41 87 2.32 93
17 Bert Blyleven 1985 134 TOT 37 37 24 5 17 16 .515 293.2 264 121 103 75 206 3.16 74
18 Nolan Ryan 1981 194 HOU 21 21 5 3 11 5 .688 149.0 99 34 28 68 140 1.69 49
19 Jim Rooker 1977 128 PIT 30 30 7 2 14 9 .609 204.1 196 87 70 64 89 3.08 92
20 Tommy John 1977 138 LAD 31 31 11 3 20 7 .741 220.1 225 82 68 50 123 2.78 84
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/14/2009.

So two guys did it this past season. Millwood had one of the worst W-L% of this group, although that's somewhat self-selecting since the minimum ERA+ was set to Millwood's value of 127. Most pitchers had a far better ERA+ than Millwood's, so it's likely that their W-L% would also be higher. (Who has the worst W-L% on here? Why it's that man, Bert Blyleven.)

One wonders where Millwood goes from here. This list is a mixed bag. The last guy to do it before 2009, Hideo Nomo, never had another good season in the majors. Mike Mussina had 5 more quality years including 2 really good ones.

But the guy who sticks out on this list as a good comp, perhaps, is Tim Belcher. In his Age 34 season, Belcher was on the Royals who were (like now) not very good. The Rangers are a better team now than the Royals were then, but not by all that much. In earlier seasons, like Millwood, Belcher played for some better teams. Don't get me wrong--Millwood is clearly a better pitcher than Belcher but I think their histories before their Age 34 seasons are more similar than, say, Millwood and Maddux.

Danny Darwin had his best year in his Age 34 season, posting a career-high (and league-best) ERA+ of 168. The next season his ERA+ halved to 83, although that included a move to Fenway Park and an injury-limited season of just 68 IP. Darwin posted another excellent season in his Age 37 year and was well below-average for most of the 5 years remaining in his career afterwards.

Nolan Ryan, too, had his best season at Age 34, at least in terms of ERA+. His 194 value that year led baseball and was more than 50 points better than any other year of his career. It also came in the whacky 1981 season and Ryan pitched only 149 innings, a paltry total for him. As is always the case with Ryan, he's an abberation from an age standpoint, having pitched a whopping 12 more seasons after this one. Most of them were quite good, with a couple of really good ones thrown in there. (A nice Ryan tidbit...after his Age 34 season, he would lead the league in K/9 five more times, coming in 5 consecutive seasons from Age 40 to Age 44. Simply amazing.)

Jim Rooker's season is quite odd. He had his career-best ERA+ value but also had a very low K/9 rate of 3.9 ( as compared to his career value of 4.9, itself pretty low) and the worst HR/9 rate of his career.

Anyway, what does all of this mean for Kevin Millwood? It's tough to say because the guy has always been an enigma. He's always seemed on the cusp of becoming a great pitcher and he's had some excellent seasons, most notably 1999 with the Braves when he went 18-7 with a 167 ERA+ over 228 innings. To date, though, he's had only 4 seasons with an ERA+ as high as 127, he's had 6 full seasons with an ERA+ within 8 points of 100, and his 2007 and 2008 were both below average. To his credit, he's been pretty durable, making the 7th-most starts of the decade 2000-2009.

If I had to guess, I'd say that the Orioles will get 200 innings and an average ERA next year out of Millwood. For that team right now, that might not be such a bad thing.

Posted in Season Finders | 8 Comments »