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Mailbag: Has one team ever played a double-header against two different teams?

Posted by Andy on April 28, 2011

Reader Neal W. writes in to ask:

"Has there ever been a doubleheader where the home team played two different teams?"

I don't know the answer--I'm hoping another reader will.

But it does remind me of looking at team schedules as a kid and often being fooled that there was a double-header against two different teams. Back in the days when there still were scheduled double-headers, it wasn't unusual to look at a Sunday on the calendar and see two games scheduled. Occasionally I saw two games where the opponents were different and got surprised. Eventually I realized that the calendars were actually showing two different Sundays for a month that ended on a Sunday or a Monday. They did this to save space rather than print an entire extra week at the bottom that would be mostly empty.

But back to the question at hand--does anybody know?

Posted in Uncategorized | 33 Comments »

Keeping Score: The Most Important Leadoff Skill? Not So Fast – NYTimes.com

Posted by Neil Paine on April 28, 2011

Keeping Score: The Most Important Skill for a Leadoff Hitter - NYTimes.com

Some basic sabermetric thoughts on leadoff hitters, with a little help from The Book.

Posted in Bloops, NYTimes | 50 Comments »

Ben Zobrist just set the Rays’ single-game RBI mark

Posted by Andy on April 28, 2011

Ben Zobrist has 8 RBI in today's Rays game.

Previous single-game leaders for the Rays:

Rk Player Date Tm Opp Rslt PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO WPA RE24 aLI BOP Pos. Summary
1 Carlos Pena 2007-09-05 TBD BAL W 17-2 6 3 4 2 0 0 2 7 2 0 0.052 5.329 .440 3 1B
2 B.J. Upton 2009-10-02 TBR NYY W 13-4 5 5 3 5 1 1 1 6 0 0 0.214 5.912 .538 7 CF
3 Carlos Pena 2009-04-13 TBR NYY W 15-5 6 6 2 3 2 0 1 6 0 1 0.143 2.934 .317 4 1B
4 Evan Longoria 2008-05-24 TBR BAL W 11-4 5 4 2 2 0 0 2 6 0 1 0.163 0.780 .316 5 3B
5 Carlos Pena 2008-04-11 TBR BAL W 10-5 5 3 2 2 0 0 2 6 2 0 0.642 4.944 1.976 3 1B
6 Paul Sorrento 1998-05-03 TBD CLE L 8-10 5 5 1 4 0 0 1 6 0 0 0.388 5.877 1.186 5 DH
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/28/2011.

Posted in Uncategorized | 18 Comments »

Bartolo Colon’s great start

Posted by Andy on April 28, 2011

Bartolo Colon has put together a great season so far for the Yankees. First he filled in on long relief of Phil Hughes, who got hammered thanks to his dead arm, and now he's got Hughes' spot in the rotation.

Yesterday, Colon became the first pitcher in 2011 who's at least 37 years old to pitch 8 innings while allowing no more than 1 run:

Rk Player Age Date Tm Opp Rslt App,Dec IP H R ER BB SO HR Pit Str GSc
1 Bartolo Colon 37.338 2011-04-27 NYY CHW W 3-1 GS-8 ,W 8.0 7 1 1 1 6 0 99 65 69
2 Derek Lowe 37.104 2010-09-13 ATL WSN W 4-0 GS-8 ,W 8.0 6 0 0 0 12 0 105 66 82
3 Andy Pettitte 38.023 2010-07-08 NYY SEA W 3-1 GS-8 ,W 8.0 5 1 1 4 9 0 107 67 73
4 Jamie Moyer 47.216 2010-06-22 PHI CLE W 2-1 GS-8 ,W 8.0 2 1 1 1 5 1 107 66 78
5 Derek Lowe 37.001 2010-06-02 ATL PHI W 2-1 GS-8 ,W 8.0 6 1 1 1 7 0 119 73 72
6 Tim Wakefield 43.294 2010-05-23 BOS PHI W 8-3 GS-8 ,W 8.0 5 0 0 2 1 0 102 68 71
7 Jamie Moyer 47.170 2010-05-07 PHI ATL W 7-0 SHO9 ,W 9.0 2 0 0 0 5 0 105 71 88
8 Andy Pettitte 37.313 2010-04-24 NYY LAA W 7-1 GS-8 ,W 8.0 6 1 1 0 8 0 114 75 74
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/28/2011.

Interestingly, when Colon was in camp with the Yankees, the reports all along were that his stuff looked great but his conditioning was poor. It makes me wonder how many more effective outings Colon has in him. I wouldn't be surprised if he breaks down before the All-Star game.

Posted in Uncategorized | 22 Comments »

Were the triple crown winners the best players?

Posted by Andy on April 28, 2011

Reader Steve T wrote in to ask:

"I see that many members often talk about the unimportance of the triple crown stats.  I was wondering if there was ever an instance of someone winning the triple crown and yet a reasonable argument could be made that he was not the best player in the league that given year"

Well let's take a look.
In 1967 Carl Yastrzemski won the triple crown in the AL. Yaz also led the AL in WAR by a huge margin. He registered a WAR of 12.2 while the next best player was Al Kaline with 7.3.

Here are other triple crown winners and their rank in WAR:

1966 AL, Frank Robinson, 1st in WAR (8.3) over Earl Wilson (6.8)

1956 AL, Mickey Mantle, 1st in WAR (12.9) over Early Wynn (8.5)

1947 AL Ted Williams, 1st in WAR (10.3) over Lou Boudreau (7.3)

1942 AL Ted Williams, 1st in WAR (11.0) over Joe Gordon (8.4)

1937 NL Joe Medwick, 1st in WAR (8.9) over Johnny Mize (6.9)

1934 AL Lou Gehrig, 1st in WAR (10.7) over Charlie Gehringer (9.5)

1933 AL Jimmie Foxx, 1st in WAR (9.0) over Lou Gehrig (7.9)

1933 NL Chuck Klein, 4th in WAR (6.9) behind Carl Hubbell (8.2) and second among all position players to Wally Berger (7.0)

1925 Rogers Hornsby, 1st in WAR (10.0) over Kiki Cuyler (6.9)

1922 Rogers Hornsby, 1st in WAR (10.7) over Wilbur Cooper (7.1)

1909 AL Ty Cobb, 1st in WAR (10.6) over Eddie Collins (9.8)

1901 AL Nap Lajoie, 2nd in WAR (9.4) behind Cy Young (11.2) but first among all position players

There were a couple more triple crown winners before 1901 but I'll stop there.

In all but a couple of cases, the winner put up the best WAR in his league and was probably the best player. Can we make good arguments against any of these guys? I guess I'd start with Chuck Klein.

Posted in Uncategorized | 51 Comments »

Trivia time

Posted by Andy on April 28, 2011

Here's a great trivia question from reader eorns.

Q: What do the following pitchers have in common?
Graeme Lloyd, Ramiro Mendoza, Bret Prinz, Felix Rodriguez, Mike Myers, David Robertson, and Phil Coke

If you said that they all played for the Yankees, think harder before clicking through.

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Uncategorized | 34 Comments »

Post ’49 Batting Leaders Highest Game WPA Where PA = 0

Posted by Steve Lombardi on April 27, 2011

Since 1950, what non-pitcher has the highest WPA in a game where they never officially came to bat?

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Game Finders | 31 Comments »

What does XBT% really tell us?

Posted by Andy on April 27, 2011

I was just perusing the 2011 MLB baserunning splits and did a sort by XBT%, which is the percentage of time that a baserunner advances more than 1 base on a single or more than 2 bases on a double.

The league average so far this year is 41% but check out the teams with the lowest percentage so far:

Tm R/G XBT% 1stS 1stS2 1stS3 1stD 1stD3 1stDH 2ndS 2ndS3 2ndSH
NYY 5.74 24% 23 17 6 15 14 1 7 3 4
DET 4.55 29% 38 34 4 20 13 6 26 11 14
TOR 4.32 31% 33 25 7 14 9 5 21 11 9
MIN 3.38 33% 42 30 12 14 7 7 29 17 9
CHC 4.18 33% 48 37 10 15 6 8 18 9 9
OAK 3.48 34% 36 29 6 10 7 3 27 9 16
FLA 4.33 34% 45 29 16 12 10 2 33 19 13
SDP 2.96 36% 35 23 12 9 7 2 18 8 8
PHI 4.32 37% 45 37 8 11 6 5 33 11 20
HOU 4.41 37% 48 39 9 13 8 4 37 13 23
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 4/26/2011.

The Yankees have by far the lowest percentage. It's an unusually low number as in most seasons the best and worst teams don't usually vary from the average by more than 6 or 7 percentage points.

Initially, you might think that the Yankees' low percentage indicates that they're having trouble scoring runs, but they're not. (Check out the first column above.)

In truth, what's happening is that the Yankees are homering a lot when the guys are on base, and as a result they don't actually have all that many baserunning situations. Note how many fewer situations they have in the columns to the right above, and it turns out that with such a small sample size, they just happen to have had some bad luck so far.

How much does it normally correlate with run scoring in normal cases? Not a ton. I took a look at the 2010 numbers, and there's quite a weak correlation between XBT% and R/G. For those who care, I found just a 0.10 R-squared on a linear correlation.

Posted in Uncategorized | 18 Comments »

Jered Weaver’s win streak to start the season

Posted by Andy on April 26, 2011

Last night Jered Weaver won his 6th game in his 6th start of the season. I can't link to it because as I'm writing this our database hasn't gotten its daily update yet.

Here are the players with the longest win streaks to start a season going back to 2001:

Rk Strk Start End Games W L GS CG SHO GF SV IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA HBP WP BK Tm
1 Brandon Webb 2008-03-31 2008-05-15 9 9 0 9 1 0 0 0 63.1 46 21 18 17 49 2 2.56 1 2 0 ARI
2 Jon Garland 2005-04-09 2005-05-17 8 8 0 8 2 2 0 0 59.2 47 16 16 10 27 3 2.41 1 0 0 CHW
3 Josh Beckett 2007-04-04 2007-05-08 7 7 0 7 0 0 0 0 46.2 38 14 13 10 40 2 2.51 1 0 0 BOS
4 Jered Weaver 2006-05-27 2006-07-23 7 7 0 7 0 0 0 0 47.0 26 7 6 11 40 2 1.15 2 0 0 LAA
5 Dontrelle Willis 2005-04-08 2005-05-11 7 7 0 7 3 2 0 0 50.0 34 7 6 10 40 2 1.08 0 0 0 FLA
6 Roger Clemens 2004-04-07 2004-05-11 7 7 0 7 0 0 0 0 45.1 29 11 10 18 52 4 1.99 1 1 0 HOU
7 Mike Mussina 2003-04-02 2003-05-07 7 7 0 7 0 0 0 0 53.0 37 11 10 8 63 2 1.70 0 3 0 NYY
8 Ubaldo Jimenez 2010-04-05 2010-05-03 6 6 0 6 1 1 0 0 41.1 26 4 4 16 44 0 0.87 1 2 1 COL
9 Zack Greinke 2009-04-08 2009-05-04 6 6 0 6 3 2 0 0 45.0 30 3 2 8 54 0 0.40 1 1 0 KCR
10 Cliff Lee 2008-04-06 2008-05-07 6 6 0 6 1 1 0 0 44.2 25 5 4 2 39 1 0.81 0 1 0 CLE
11 Kazuhisa Ishii 2002-04-06 2002-05-04 6 6 0 6 0 0 0 0 36.2 26 12 12 21 41 2 2.95 2 1 0 LAD
12 Randy Johnson 2002-04-01 2002-04-26 6 6 0 6 2 1 0 0 46.0 28 8 7 11 61 2 1.37 1 0 0 ARI
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/26/2011.

Note that this list is not the same as consecutive games without a loss (in other words allowing for no-decisions.) Among starting pitchers, here are the longest streaks to start a season since 20o1 without registering a loss:

Rk Strk Start End Games W L GS CG SHO GF SV IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA HBP WP BK Tm
1 Jose Contreras 2006-04-05 2006-07-09 16 9 0 16 0 0 0 0 109.1 97 42 41 32 77 10 3.38 3 10 0 CHW
2 Aaron Sele 2004-05-01 2004-08-05 15 7 0 15 0 0 0 0 83.2 85 45 42 30 33 11 4.52 4 3 2 ANA
3 Kris Medlen 2010-05-08 2010-08-04 14 5 0 14 0 0 0 0 84.0 86 38 36 16 62 12 3.86 3 1 1 ATL
4 Noah Lowry 2004-06-12 2004-09-29 14 6 0 14 2 1 0 0 88.0 80 36 34 25 71 9 3.48 0 2 0 SFG
5 Aaron Sele 2001-04-04 2001-06-17 14 8 0 14 0 0 0 0 85.2 94 35 34 18 33 12 3.57 4 1 0 SEA
6 Jeremy Bonderman 2007-04-02 2007-06-20 13 8 0 13 0 0 0 0 83.0 82 41 37 16 73 9 4.01 2 7 1 DET
7 James Shields 2007-04-06 2007-06-09 13 6 0 13 1 0 0 0 97.2 76 34 33 18 83 12 3.04 6 3 0 TBD
8 Brandon Webb 2006-04-03 2006-06-05 13 8 0 13 2 2 0 0 96.2 91 24 23 13 65 6 2.14 3 1 1 ARI
9 Orlando Hernandez 2004-07-11 2004-09-17 13 8 0 13 0 0 0 0 75.1 60 21 21 30 76 7 2.51 3 3 0 NYY
10 Paul Wilson 2004-04-07 2004-06-16 13 7 0 13 0 0 0 0 82.1 84 32 29 24 48 8 3.17 6 3 0 CIN
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/26/2011.

The longest streaks in the last 10+ seasons to start a season without a loss all come, of course, from relievers:

Rk Strk Start End Games W L GS CG SHO GF SV IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA HBP WP BK Tm
1 Trever Miller 2007-04-06 2007-09-18 76 0 0 0 0 0 12 1 46.1 45 26 25 23 46 6 4.86 4 1 0 HOU
2 John Grabow 2009-04-06 2009-10-02 75 3 0 0 0 0 12 0 72.1 62 28 27 40 57 5 3.36 3 1 0 PIT-CHC
3 Dennys Reyes 2008-04-01 2008-09-27 75 3 0 0 0 0 16 0 46.1 40 12 12 15 39 4 2.33 2 5 0 MIN
4 Will Ohman 2008-03-30 2008-09-02 73 4 0 0 0 0 16 1 53.1 46 23 20 22 51 3 3.38 1 2 0 ATL
5 George Sherrill 2007-04-04 2007-09-27 73 2 0 0 0 0 16 3 45.2 28 12 12 17 56 4 2.36 1 1 1 SEA
6 J.C. Romero 2003-03-31 2003-09-27 73 2 0 0 0 0 17 0 63.0 66 37 35 42 50 7 5.00 6 9 2 MIN
7 Brad Lidge 2008-04-06 2008-09-27 72 2 0 0 0 0 61 41 69.1 50 17 15 35 92 2 1.95 1 5 0 PHI
8 Mike Myers 2007-04-05 2007-09-30 72 4 0 0 0 0 14 0 54.1 59 33 29 23 27 6 4.80 3 0 1 NYY-CHW
9 Arthur Rhodes 2001-04-02 2001-10-07 72 8 0 0 0 0 16 3 68.0 46 14 13 12 83 5 1.72 1 3 0 SEA
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/26/2011.

Since just about every season at least one starting pitcher starts with a win streak of 5 or 6 games, I've written about this topic before. See here for lists that go back a little further.

Posted in Uncategorized | 48 Comments »

Stathead Blog

Posted by Sean Forman on April 25, 2011

Sports Reference's New Blog: Stathead

I have to admit that I find it very hard to follow all of the great research that people people are producing every day on the web. Just for baseball, culling through the good stuff on Baseball Prospectus, Hardball Times and FanGraphs is hard enough, but when you add in team blogs, other stathead blogs and everything else, it becomes impossible. This doesn't even include trying to locate recent research in hockey, basketball, football and soccer.

So we've decided to do something about it. Every weekday, the Stathead blog will summarize the best research-related studies, news, conferences, and resources for baseball, basketball, football, hockey and soccer.

The blog will primarily be edited by Neil Paine and will typically feature 20-30 links to analytic content around the internet. We've been working out the format over the last two weeks, and we think you'll soon appreciate our concise summaries for all of the articles we write about.

Feedback as always is welcome.

Posted in Administration, Announcements, Blogroll, Power Users, Sabermetrics | 10 Comments »