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Career ERA+ 100 Or Better After 7+ ER In Debut

Posted by Steve Lombardi on May 20, 2011

Since 1919, there have been 96 pitchers to allow 7 earned runs or more in their first major league game.  Of those 96, how many went on to have a big league career with a lifetime ERA+ of 100 or better?

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Game Finders, Season Finders | 5 Comments »

Randy Poffo

Posted by Andy on May 20, 2011

Former Cardinals minor-league Randy Poffo has died, according to TMZ.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB
1971 18 Cardinals GULF Rk STL 35 63 18 3 2 2 .286 .492 31
1972 19 Cardinals GULF Rk STL 52 168 46 3 4 3 .274 .393 66
1973 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-Rk STL 71 177 50 14 4 2 .282 .441 78
1973 20 Red Birds GULF Rk STL 25 61 21 6 2 0 .344 .508 31
1973 20 Orangeburg WCRS A 46 116 29 8 2 2 .250 .405 47
1974 21 Tampa FLOR A CIN 131 521 461 36 107 19 6 9 66 46 85 .232 .304 .358 .662 165 14 5 2 7 4
4 Seasons 289 929 869 36 221 39 16 16 66 46 85 .254 .293 .391 .685 340 14 5 2 7 4
Rk (3 seasons) Rk 112 292 292 85 12 8 5 .291 .291 .438 .729 128
A (2 seasons) A 177 637 577 36 136 27 8 11 66 46 85 .236 .294 .367 .662 212 14 5 2 7 4
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/20/2011.

 

He was better known by his professional name, Macho Man Randy Savage.

Posted in Uncategorized | 55 Comments »

Keeping Score: Posada Put Off Decline for Years – NYTimes.com

Posted by Neil Paine on May 20, 2011

Keeping Score: Posada Put Off Decline for Years – NYTimes.com

In this week's NY Times piece, I look at how impressive it is that Jorge Posada managed to last this long before finally showing his age.

Posted in Bloops, NYTimes | 20 Comments »

WHAT IF: Giambi had hit 4 homers last night

Posted by Andy on May 20, 2011

This is an interesting thought...

Jason Giambi homered in his first 3 at bats last night and then struck out in each of his final two. He had a shot at 4 homers but didn't do it.

But what if he had?

I wonder what sort of long-term impact that would have had on his reputation. I don't mean with our community necessarily, given that we know that there are some guys who hit 4 homers in a game who weren't particularly great HR hitters otherwise (see Mark Whiten and Mike Cameron, for example.) I don't think Giambi hitting 4 HR would have changed our opinions much.

But Giambi was once one of the top HR hitters in the game. His performance tailed off significantly right around the time he admitted use of banned substances. While that may have been coincidence, it seems to many more likely that his use of steroids improved his performance significantly, and when he stopped, his performance dropped too.

But many would also assume that Giambi is now clean, and if he had made the front page by hitting 4 HR in a game, it might have changed a lot of people's opinions about his capabilities and what his number even from past seasons truly meant.

Thoughts?

Posted in Uncategorized | 28 Comments »

Hitting turnarounds in 2011

Posted by Andy on May 20, 2011

There were 29 players in 2010 to have at least 300 PA's and an OPS+ no better than 80.

Of those guys, here are the ones with the best OPS+ so far this season:

Rk Player OPS+ Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Nyjer Morgan 178 2011 30 MIL NL 15 35 29 3 11 2 2 0 3 2 8 .379 .419 .586 1.006 *9/8
2 Alex Avila 142 2011 24 DET AL 36 138 120 15 34 9 1 6 24 12 34 .283 .346 .525 .871 *2
3 Casey Kotchman 130 2011 28 TBR AL 34 107 97 9 32 4 0 1 7 9 10 .330 .393 .402 .795 *3
4 Michael Brantley 126 2011 24 CLE AL 39 168 147 21 42 7 0 4 19 17 20 .286 .359 .415 .774 *87/D
5 Erick Aybar 121 2011 27 LAA AL 31 139 129 11 40 8 1 2 14 7 20 .310 .343 .434 .777 *6
6 Cameron Maybin 119 2011 24 SDP NL 43 174 154 23 41 6 2 5 15 17 39 .266 .337 .429 .766 *8
7 Ronny Paulino 113 2011 30 NYM NL 12 37 32 1 10 1 0 0 2 5 6 .313 .405 .344 .749 *2
8 Adam Kennedy 103 2011 35 SEA AL 32 104 97 10 25 4 0 4 10 4 13 .258 .282 .423 .704 *4/3D
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/20/2011.

We can ignore Morgan due to lack of PAs so far this year. But check out Avila---his SLG this year is .525, compared to .340 last season. Brantley is one reason for Cleveland's turnaround. And Maybin got bounced to his third team but might stick this time.

Maybe more interesting is the reverse. There were 66 players last year to have at least 300 PAs and an OPS+ of 120 or better. Here are the ones not doing as well in 2011:

Rk Player OPS+ PA Age Tm G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Magglio Ordonez 30 106 37 DET 26 99 4 17 3 0 1 5 7 11 .172 .226 .232 .459 *D9
2 Carl Crawford 47 174 29 BOS 41 165 14 35 7 1 1 11 7 32 .212 .249 .285 .533 *7
3 Vernon Wells 49 152 32 LAA 35 142 18 26 3 1 4 13 7 30 .183 .224 .303 .527 *7/89
4 Kelly Johnson 50 178 29 ARI 41 160 17 29 7 0 4 8 12 53 .181 .251 .300 .551 *4
5 Hanley Ramirez 66 175 27 FLA 40 157 22 34 6 0 3 15 18 29 .217 .297 .312 .609 *6
6 Chris Johnson 70 144 26 HOU 36 136 11 28 7 1 4 17 5 37 .206 .250 .360 .610 *5
7 Dan Uggla 75 194 31 ATL 46 176 20 34 7 1 7 15 17 37 .193 .268 .364 .632 *4
8 Aubrey Huff 76 171 34 SFG 42 154 13 34 10 0 4 20 14 34 .221 .281 .364 .644 *39/7
9 Torii Hunter 80 194 35 LAA 45 170 16 37 4 1 4 19 21 38 .218 .304 .324 .628 *9/D8
10 Nick Swisher 83 169 30 NYY 40 139 20 31 7 0 2 19 25 34 .223 .337 .317 .654 *9/3
11 Dustin Pedroia 86 195 27 BOS 42 163 21 39 5 0 2 10 29 31 .239 .356 .307 .662 *4
12 Hideki Matsui 87 151 37 OAK 37 140 12 33 10 0 3 16 11 24 .236 .291 .371 .663 *D
13 David DeJesus 88 162 31 OAK 38 142 14 33 4 3 2 14 15 18 .232 .317 .345 .662 *9/8
14 Geovany Soto 89 121 28 CHC 31 106 13 24 8 0 3 12 15 20 .226 .322 .387 .709 *2
15 Carlos Gonzalez 89 173 25 COL 41 151 26 37 7 1 5 25 18 29 .245 .324 .404 .728 *7
16 Justin Morneau 90 152 30 MIN 36 139 10 34 11 0 2 13 11 24 .245 .309 .367 .676 *3/D
17 Adam Dunn 91 159 31 CHW 38 133 13 27 10 0 4 19 23 51 .203 .321 .368 .689 *D/3
18 Jack Cust 95 162 32 SEA 38 133 9 30 9 0 0 14 28 47 .226 .364 .293 .657 *D
19 Josh Willingham 97 157 32 OAK 39 139 18 32 5 0 6 25 12 47 .230 .306 .396 .701 *7/D
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/20/2011.

I used 100 PAs as a cutoff in 2011, otherwise we'd see names like Manny Ramirez, Rafael Furcal, Joe Mauer, etc--guys who haven't played all that much.

Posted in Uncategorized | 8 Comments »

Jason Giambi is one of the oldest players to hit 3 homers in a game

Posted by Andy on May 19, 2011

Damn straight, I wrote about how long it took for a 3-HR game in the majors this year, and now they are coming in rapid-fire fashion.

Jason Giambi already has 3 homers against the Phillies tonight. He'll have a shot at 4.

Going back to 1919, the oldest players to hit 3 homers in a game are:

Rk Player Age Date Tm Opp Rslt PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO WPA RE24 aLI BOP Pos. Summary
1 Stan Musial 41.229 1962-07-08 STL NYM W 15-1 5 4 3 3 0 0 3 4 1 1 0.122 4.045 .270 4 LF
2 Reggie Jackson 40.123 1986-09-18 CAL KCR W 18-3 6 4 4 3 0 0 3 7 2 0 0.175 5.664 .348 4 DH
3 Babe Ruth 40.108 1935-05-25 BSN PIT L 7-11 4 4 3 4 0 0 3 6 0 0 0.000 0.000 3 RF
4 Dave Winfield 39.192 1991-04-13 CAL MIN W 15-9 6 6 4 5 1 0 3 6 0 0 0.340 5.613 .538 4 RF
5 Frank Thomas 39.113 2007-09-17 TOR BOS W 6-1 4 4 3 3 0 0 3 5 0 0 0.228 3.841 .660 4 DH
6 Bob Thurman 39.096 1956-08-18 CIN MLN W 13-4 5 5 4 4 1 0 3 4 0 0 0.219 4.050 .438 3 LF
7 Steve Finley 39.047 2004-04-28 ARI CHC L 3-4 4 4 3 3 0 0 3 3 0 0 0.539 2.886 .930 5 CF
8 Ted Williams 38.287 1957-06-13 BOS CLE W 9-3 5 5 3 3 0 0 3 5 0 1 0.347 4.273 .538 3 LF
9 Ted Williams 38.251 1957-05-08 BOS CHW W 4-1 5 4 3 3 0 0 3 4 1 0 0.280 3.511 .446 3 LF
10 Ty Cobb 38.138 1925-05-05 DET SLB W 14-8 6 6 4 6 1 0 3 5 0 0 0.000 0.000 3 CF
11 Lee Lacy 38.059 1986-06-08 BAL NYY W 18-9 6 6 4 4 0 0 3 6 0 0 0.216 3.785 .333 2 RF
12 Barry Bonds 38.034 2002-08-27 SFG COL W 7-4 5 4 4 4 1 0 3 3 1 0 0.481 4.116 .856 3 LF
13 Mike Schmidt 37.260 1987-06-14 PHI MON W 11-6 4 4 3 3 0 0 3 6 0 0 0.279 5.288 .733 4 3B
14 Johnny Mize 37.251 1950-09-15 NYY DET L 7-9 4 4 3 3 0 0 3 6 0 1 0.000 0.000 5 1B
15 Larry Walker 37.207 2004-06-25 COL CLE W 10-8 6 4 4 4 1 0 3 5 2 0 0.808 5.572 1.787 5 RF
16 Barry Bonds 37.047 2001-09-09 SFG COL W 9-4 6 5 3 3 0 0 3 5 1 1 0.227 4.124 1.133 3 LF
17 Pete Rose 37.015 1978-04-29 CIN NYM W 14-7 6 6 4 5 0 0 3 4 0 1 0.281 4.320 .578 1 3B
18 Moises Alou 37.001 2003-07-04 CHC STL L 8-11 5 5 3 3 0 0 3 5 0 1 0.060 4.177 .456 4 LF
19 Barry Bonds 36.299 2001-05-19 SFG ATL W 6-3 5 5 3 4 1 0 3 3 0 1 0.481 3.638 1.110 3 LF
20 Jack Fournier 36.288 1926-07-13 BRO STL L 10-12 5 5 3 3 0 0 3 5 0 0 0.000 0.000 3 1B
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/19/2011.

Today Giambi is 40 years, 131 days old, making him the second-oldest to accomplish the feat (at least since 1919).

Posted in Uncategorized | 16 Comments »

Hector Noesi and making your MLB debut with 4+ innings of relief

Posted by Andy on May 19, 2011

Last night, Hector Noesi made his major league debut, pitching the last 4 innings of the Yankees' win over the Orioles. (Those were innings 12 through 15 after Mariano Rivera blew another save in the 9th inning.)

I thought it would be exceptionally rare for a pitcher to make his debut with at least 4 innings in relief, but it's not all that uncommon:

Rk Gcar Player Date Tm Opp Rslt App,Dec IP H R ER BB SO HR Pit Str
1 1 Hector Noesi 2011-05-18 NYY BAL W 4-1 12-15f,W 4.0 4 0 0 4 4 0 66 36
2 1 Amauri Sanit 2011-05-12 NYY KCR L 5-11 4-8 4.2 4 3 3 2 2 0 81 51
3 1 Dusty Hughes 2009-09-06 KCR LAA L 2-7 4-8 4.1 1 0 0 2 5 0 62 35
4 1 Wilton Lopez 2009-08-28 HOU ARI L 7-14 3-6 4.0 8 6 6 2 3 3 92 60
5 1 Esmailin Caridad 2009-08-10 CHC COL L 5-11 2-7 5.1 7 3 2 1 4 0 79 49
6 1 David Price 2008-09-14 TBR NYY L 4-8 3-8 5.1 3 2 2 0 4 1 87 55
7 1 Chris Smith 2008-06-21 BOS STL L 3-9 2-5 4.0 3 1 1 0 3 1 45 31
8 1 Max Scherzer 2008-04-29 ARI HOU L 4-6 3-7 4.1 0 0 0 0 7 0 47 35
9 1 Billy Buckner 2007-08-25 KCR CLE L 4-9 3-7 5.0 7 1 1 2 1 0 64 39
10 1 Lee Gronkiewicz 2007-06-19 TOR LAD L 1-10 5-8 4.0 2 1 1 2 2 1 48 27
11 1 Chris Sampson 2006-06-02 HOU CIN L 3-14 2-7 5.1 6 3 3 1 4 1 81 55
12 1 Chris Oxspring 2005-09-02 SDP MIL L 2-12 2-7 5.1 6 6 5 3 7 2 95 57
13 1 Jeff Harris 2005-08-02 SEA DET W 4-1 2-6 5.0 3 0 0 0 1 0 65 41
14 1 Matt Thornton 2004-06-27 SEA SDP L 1-5 6-9f 4.0 3 0 0 1 1 0 47 30
15 1 Clint Nageotte 2004-06-01 SEA TOR L 5-6 3-6 ,L 4.0 4 4 4 4 1 1 81 42
16 1 Julio Manon 2003-06-05 MON ANA W 8-7 10-13 4.0 3 0 0 2 3 0 60 35
17 1 Jason Davis 2002-09-09 CLE TOR L 9-11 3-6 4.0 3 1 1 0 4 1 48 33
18 1 Michael Bacsik 2001-08-05 CLE SEA W 15-14 3-8 6.0 9 7 6 1 2 0 96 58
19 1 Ryan Drese 2001-07-29 CLE DET L 3-8 4-8f 4.1 5 2 2 1 1 0 80 51
20 1 Brandon Knight 2001-06-05 NYY BAL L 3-10 6-9f 4.0 8 4 4 1 4 2 79 50
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/19/2011.

He's not even the first guy to do it this year.

Some other notables in recent years were Sidney Ponson in 1998, Kelvim Escobar and Keith Foulke in 1997, Russ Springer in 1992, Kevin Tapani in 1989, and Doug Drabek, Eric King, and Eric Plunk in 1986.

Posted in Uncategorized | 35 Comments »

Pitching turnarounds in 2011

Posted by Andy on May 19, 2011

Here's a neat little thing I've just played around with.

First I made a list of the 21 pitchers who pitched at least 150 innings in 2010 and had an ERA+ of 90 or worse.

And here, among those guys, are the ones who are qualified for the ERA title in 2011 with an ERA+ of at least 100:

Rk Player ERA+ Year Age Tm Lg G GS CG SHO GF W L W-L% SV IP H R ER BB SO ERA HR BF AB 2B 3B IBB HBP SH SF GDP SB CS PO BK WP BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ Pit Str
1 James Shields 162 2011 29 TBR AL 9 9 2 1 0 4 2 .667 0 67.2 53 18 17 14 60 2.26 7 263 243 13 0 1 2 3 1 3 0 2 5 0 1 .218 .265 .358 .623 77 931 616
2 Justin Masterson 143 2011 26 CLE AL 9 9 1 0 0 5 2 .714 0 60.2 55 18 17 19 48 2.52 1 247 221 11 1 1 4 2 1 4 3 3 0 0 1 .249 .318 .321 .640 87 944 603
3 Paul Maholm 105 2011 29 PIT NL 9 9 0 0 0 1 6 .143 0 56.1 49 25 23 23 39 3.67 3 235 206 11 0 2 1 2 3 4 3 1 1 0 2 .238 .313 .335 .648 85 841 531
4 Nick Blackburn 105 2011 29 MIN AL 8 8 0 0 0 2 4 .333 0 48.2 53 25 20 18 28 3.70 7 211 190 6 3 1 1 1 1 5 4 3 1 0 3 .279 .343 .453 .795 122 786 497
5 A.J. Burnett 100 2011 34 NYY AL 9 9 0 0 0 4 3 .571 0 56.1 47 29 25 19 42 3.99 9 235 206 14 1 0 3 2 5 3 4 3 1 0 8 .228 .296 .437 .733 100 909 570
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/19/2011.

These are guys experiencing some degree of a turnaround so far in 2011.

Of course, this list doesn't catch Bartolo Colon or Kyle Lohse, neither of which who had enough innings in 2010 to qualify for my original list.

Posted in Uncategorized | 19 Comments »

Fewest career regular-season homers for a player with at least 3 post-season homers

Posted by Andy on May 19, 2011

Among players with at least 3 career post-season homers, here are the players with the fewest regular-season homers:

Rk Player HR From To Age G PA AB R H 2B 3B RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Pos Tm
1 Larry Gardner 27 1908 1924 22-38 1923 7685 6688 867 1931 301 129 934 654 289 .289 .355 .384 .739 *54/6 BOS-PHA-CLE
2 Carlos Ruiz 32 2006 2011 27-32 513 1776 1528 178 394 101 5 200 201 199 .258 .351 .393 .744 *2/5 PHI
3 Eddie Perez 40 1995 2005 27-37 564 1651 1525 137 386 85 2 172 84 234 .253 .297 .390 .687 *2/3D ATL-CLE-MIL
4 Joe Harris 47 1914 1928 23-37 972 3574 3035 461 963 201 64 517 413 188 .317 .404 .472 .877 *37/9685 NYY-CLE-BOS-WSH-PIT-TOT
5 Aaron Ward 50 1917 1928 20-31 1061 4127 3611 457 966 158 54 446 339 457 .268 .335 .383 .717 *45/6389 NYY-CHW-CLE
6 Pat Sheridan 51 1981 1991 23-33 876 2700 2419 319 611 91 21 257 236 501 .253 .319 .371 .690 *987/D KCR-DET-TOT-NYY
7 Cesar Geronimo 51 1969 1983 21-35 1522 4229 3780 460 977 161 50 392 354 746 .258 .325 .368 .693 *89/7D3 HOU-CIN-KCR
8 Willie Randolph 54 1975 1992 20-37 2202 9462 8018 1239 2210 316 65 687 1243 675 .276 .373 .351 .724 *4/D5 PIT-NYY-LAD-TOT-MIL-NYM
9 James Loney 56 2006 2011 22-27 667 2602 2361 274 670 128 19 365 211 325 .284 .342 .425 .768 *3/9 LAD
10 Dustin Pedroia 56 2006 2011 22-27 596 2657 2345 398 705 174 5 263 244 214 .301 .369 .451 .820 *4/6D BOS
11 Shane Spencer 59 1998 2004 26-32 538 1867 1671 208 438 84 8 242 152 357 .262 .326 .428 .754 *79/D38 NYY-TOT-NYM
12 Rick Cerone 59 1975 1992 21-38 1329 4504 4069 393 998 190 15 436 320 450 .245 .301 .343 .644 *2/D13495 CLE-TOR-NYY-ATL-MIL-BOS-NYM-MON
13 Jason Lane 61 2002 2007 25-30 497 1363 1208 165 291 64 7 189 123 258 .241 .314 .457 .771 *9/873 HOU-TOT
14 Wayne Garrett 61 1969 1978 21-30 1092 3913 3285 438 786 107 22 340 561 529 .239 .350 .341 .691 *54/6 NYM-TOT-MON
15 Bake McBride 63 1973 1983 24-34 1071 4202 3853 548 1153 167 55 430 248 457 .299 .345 .420 .765 *98/D7 STL-TOT-PHI-CLE
16 Billy Martin 64 1950 1961 22-33 1022 3717 3419 425 877 137 28 333 188 355 .257 .300 .369 .669 *46/58 NYY-DET-CLE-CIN-TOT
17 Shane Victorino 68 2003 2011 22-30 828 3214 2893 474 807 145 47 312 238 375 .279 .342 .432 .775 *89/7 SDP-PHI
18 Mike Shannon 68 1962 1970 22-30 882 3056 2780 313 710 116 23 367 224 525 .255 .311 .387 .698 *59/782 STL
19 Mike Lamb 69 2000 2010 24-34 975 2988 2706 382 746 132 19 349 226 409 .276 .332 .415 .747 53/D7492 TEX-HOU-TOT-FLA
20 Mark Bellhorn 69 1997 2007 22-32 731 2491 2107 324 484 113 13 246 346 723 .230 .341 .394 .735 45/36D987 OAK-CHC-BOS-TOT-SDP-CIN
21 Terrence Long 69 1999 2006 23-30 890 3325 3068 428 824 166 21 376 227 460 .269 .318 .404 .722 879/D NYM-OAK-SDP-KCR-NYY
22 Frank Demaree 72 1932 1944 22-34 1155 4616 4144 578 1241 190 36 591 359 269 .299 .357 .415 .772 987 CHC-NYG-TOT-BSN-STL-SLB
23 B.J. Upton 73 2004 2011 19-26 706 2953 2581 399 670 156 13 314 330 728 .260 .344 .415 .759 *8/54D67 TBD-TBR
24 Willie McGee 79 1982 1999 23-40 2201 8188 7649 1010 2254 350 94 856 448 1238 .295 .333 .396 .729 *897/3D6 STL-TOT-SFG-BOS
25 Bert Campaneris 79 1964 1983 22-41 2328 9625 8684 1181 2249 313 86 646 618 1142 .259 .311 .342 .653 *6/574D83921 KCA-OAK-TEX-TOT-CAL-NYY
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/18/2011.

Quite a list, huh? A lot of these guys hit memorable playoff homers but many of them had fairly disappointing careers otherwise.

Posted in Uncategorized | 22 Comments »

Free Substitution

Posted by Steve Lombardi on May 18, 2011

This morning, I heard Nat's manager Jim Riggleman being interviewed on WFAN (Radio in NYC).   He brought up an interesting point regarding managing baseball compared to other sports. And, it was that there's no free substitution in baseball like there is in football, basketball, hockey, soccer, etc. Related, in baseball, when you take a player out of the game, it's a final decision. Whereas, in a sport like hoops, you can take a shooter out of the game early if he's cold - and then put him back in the game later (where he might score 35 points). Same thing with a QB or RB in football, etc.

At first blush, when I thought about this, and wondered what would happen in baseball if they allowed free substitution, I envisioned a game where you had specialists like pinch runners, defensive wizards, and left-handed pitchers flying in and out of the game every inning.  And, that seems like it would be chaotic.  For sure, it would lead to longer games and scorecard nightmares.

In any event, I thought it might be a fun topic for the baseball fanatics here to discuss.  What do you think?  Should baseball allow free substitution like the other sports?  Why?

Posted in Bloops | 79 Comments »