Posted by Neil Paine on September 4, 2009
From Hardball Times, it's the always-informative Colin Wyers with a couple of articles presenting a method of putting error bars on a player's "runs created"-type metric. One major complaint about sabermetrics has been the almost false sense of accuracy it projects in estimators of player value -- some people calculate Runs Created out to a tenth of a run, for instance, as though there's some sort of scientific significance there -- so it's always interesting to look at just how much noise there really is in these player value metrics.
Posted in Bloops | Comments Off on Bloops: The Uncertainty of Run Estimators
Posted by Andy on September 4, 2009
Wow, am I the last person to realize that the Giants have already thrown 18 (EIGHTEEN!!!) shutouts this year?
Tm Year Games Link to Individual Games
+---+----+-----+-------------------------+
SFG 2009 18 Ind. Games
ARI 2009 12 Ind. Games
CIN 2009 11 Ind. Games
TEX 2009 10 Ind. Games
NYM 2009 10 Ind. Games
STL 2009 9 Ind. Games
LAA 2009 9 Ind. Games
DET 2009 9 Ind. Games
SEA 2009 8 Ind. Games
LAD 2009 8 Ind. Games
HOU 2009 8 Ind. Games
CHW 2009 8 Ind. Games
BOS 2009 8 Ind. Games
Just to give you an idea of how impressive this is, here are the single-season team leaders in shutouts over the last 10 full seasons (1999-2008) plus 2009 so far:
Tm Year Games Link to Individual Games
+---+----+-----+-------------------------+
SDP 2007 20 Ind. Games
OAK 2002 19 Ind. Games
SFG 2009 18 Ind. Games
LAD 2003 17 Ind. Games
BOS 2002 17 Ind. Games
DET 2006 16 Ind. Games
BOS 2008 16 Ind. Games
SFG 2000 15 Ind. Games
SEA 2003 15 Ind. Games
LAD 2002 15 Ind. Games
FLA 2005 15 Ind. Games
ATL 2002 15 Ind. Games
This year's Giants already have the 3rd-most shutouts on this list and have a decent shot to break the record just by keeping pace.
Posted in Game Finders | 4 Comments »
Posted by Steve Lombardi on September 4, 2009
Posted in Game Finders | 3 Comments »
Posted by Andy on September 4, 2009
It's very rare that a player achieves a 200 OPS+ in a season, at least among full-time players.
Here are the most plate appearances in a season when a player achieved at least a 200 OPS+:
Cnt Player **PA** OPS+ Year Age Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB IBB SO HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Positions
+----+-----------------+-------+----+----+---+---+--+---+---+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+-----+-----+-----+-----+---------+
1 Lou Gehrig 717 221 1927 24 NYY AL 155 584 149 218 52 18 47 175 109 0 84 3 21 0 0 10 8 .373 .474 .765 1.239 *3
2 Sammy Sosa 711 203 2001 32 CHC NL 160 577 146 189 34 5 64 160 116 37 153 6 0 12 6 0 2 .328 .437 .737 1.174 *9
3 Rogers Hornsby 704 207 1922 26 STL NL 154 623 141 250 46 14 42 152 65 0 50 1 15 0 0 17 12 .401 .459 .722 1.181 *4
4 Lou Gehrig 703 203 1930 27 NYY AL 154 581 143 220 42 17 41 174 101 0 63 3 18 0 0 12 14 .379 .473 .721 1.194 *3/7
5 Jimmie Foxx 701 205 1932 24 PHA AL 154 585 151 213 33 9 58 169 116 0 96 0 0 0 0 3 7 .364 .469 .749 1.218 *35
6 Babe Ruth 699 239 1923 28 NYY AL 152 522 151 205 45 13 41 131 170 0 93 4 3 0 0 17 21 .393 .545 .764 1.309 97/83
7 Stan Musial 694 200 1948 27 STL NL 155 611 135 230 46 18 39 131 79 0 34 3 1 0 18 7 0 .376 .450 .702 1.152 987/3
8 Ted Williams 693 205 1947 28 BOS AL 156 528 125 181 40 9 32 114 162 0 47 2 1 0 10 0 1 .343 .499 .634 1.133 *7
9 Babe Ruth 693 239 1921 26 NYY AL 152 540 177 204 44 16 59 171 145 0 81 4 4 0 0 17 13 .378 .512 .846 1.358 *78/13
10 Babe Ruth 691 226 1927 32 NYY AL 151 540 158 192 29 8 60 164 137 0 89 0 14 0 0 7 6 .356 .486 .772 1.258 *97
11 Lou Gehrig 690 208 1934 31 NYY AL 154 579 128 210 40 6 49 165 109 0 31 2 0 0 0 9 5 .363 .465 .706 1.171 *3/6
12 Babe Ruth 684 208 1928 33 NYY AL 154 536 163 173 29 8 54 142 137 0 87 3 8 0 0 4 5 .323 .463 .709 1.172 *97
13 Mark McGwire 681 216 1998 34 STL NL 155 509 130 152 21 0 70 147 162 28 155 6 0 4 8 1 0 .299 .470 .752 1.222 *3
14 Babe Ruth 681 220 1924 29 NYY AL 153 529 143 200 39 7 46 121 142 0 81 4 6 0 0 9 13 .378 .513 .739 1.252 *97/8
15 Babe Ruth 676 211 1930 35 NYY AL 145 518 150 186 28 9 49 153 136 0 61 1 21 0 0 10 10 .359 .493 .732 1.225 *97/1
16 Barry Bonds 674 204 1993 28 SFG NL 159 539 129 181 38 4 46 123 126 43 79 2 0 7 11 29 12 .336 .458 .677 1.135 *7
17 Norm Cash 672 201 1961 26 DET AL 159 535 119 193 22 8 41 132 124 19 85 9 2 2 16 11 5 .361 .487 .662 1.149 *3
18 Ted Williams 672 215 1946 27 BOS AL 150 514 142 176 37 8 38 123 156 0 44 2 0 0 12 0 0 .342 .497 .667 1.164 *7
19 Ted Williams 671 217 1942 23 BOS AL 150 522 141 186 34 5 36 137 145 0 51 4 0 0 12 3 2 .356 .499 .648 1.147 *7
20 Jimmie Foxx 670 200 1933 25 PHA AL 149 573 125 204 37 9 48 163 96 0 93 1 0 0 0 2 2 .356 .449 .703 1.152 *3/6
Well this certainly separates the men from the boys, doesn't it? The only recent seasons here are Sosa in 2001, McGwire in 1998, and Bonds in (surprise!) 1993. The reason for this is straightforward--there is so much more offense these days that it's very difficult for a guy--even a guy with 50 homers--to achieve a 200 OPS+. Babe Ruth was an exceptional power hitter, even looking at his HR totals in a vacuum. However, especially when comparing his HR numbers to those of his contemporaries, it becomes clear why he dominates this list.
The full list is here and you can see that there have been 48 seasons where a guy with a 200 OPS+ had at least 500 plate appearances.
Keep in mind that this is somewhat arbitrary. There are guys to have achieved OPS+ numbers of 195 to 199 that are pretty much just as impressive. (See Jason Giambi in 2001 and Frank Robinson in 1966, as well as Jim Thome in 2002.)
In Babe Ruth's 15 seasons with at least 100 games played, he had an OPS+ of at least 200 in 11 times. And his career figure is, ahem, 207. Say what you want about Hank Aaron or Albert Pujols: Babe Ruth is the greatest baseball player of all time.
Posted in Season Finders | 10 Comments »
Posted by Raphy on September 4, 2009
Yesterday afternoon my interest was piqued by a blog post about pitching streaks without allowing two homers in the same game. And so, I prepared this beautiful post about how Chad Bradford and Jason Frasor were among the career leaders in games pitched without allowing 2 home runs in the same game. Talk about a jinx. Last night Frasor gave up 2 home runs in the one game. It marked the first time that he had done so in his 331 game career. Unlike Frasor, some pitchers have been able to go their entire careers without giving up 2 bombs. Here are the pitchers who have pitched the most games since 1954 without ever allowing 2 home runs in the same game:
StreakStart Streak End Games W L GS CG SHO GF SV IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA HBP WP BK Teams
+-----------------+-----------+-----------+-----+------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Paul Assenmacher 1986-04-12 1999-10-03 884 61 44 1 0 0 275 56 855.2 817 371 335 315 807 73 3.52 22 31 5 ATL-CHC-NYY-CHW-CLE
Bob Locker 1965-04-14 1975-06-20 576 57 39 0 0 0 288 95 879 777 329 269 258 577 40 2.75 36 37 5 CHW-SEP-MIL-OAK-CHC
Chad Bradford 1998-08-01 2009-09-02 557 36 28 0 0 0 114 11 512.2 520 211 184 135 313 27 3.23 29 4 3 CHW-OAK-BOS-NYM-BAL-TBR
Jim Mecir 1995-09-04 2005-09-28 474 29 35 0 0 0 126 12 527 482 240 221 225 450 41 3.77 23 19 1 SEA-NYY-TBD-OAK-FLA
Ramon Hernandez 1967-04-11 1977-07-27 337 23 15 0 0 0 184 46 430.1 399 158 145 135 255 23 3.03 14 7 5 ATL-CHC-PIT-BOS
Doug Sisk 1982-09-06 1991-05-23 332 22 20 0 0 0 161 33 523.1 527 238 190 267 195 15 3.27 20 15 3 NYM-BAL-ATL
The stats are through 9/2. Bradford added to his streak last night.
To find this information I used the pitching streak finder to find the players with the most games to start
a career with at most 1 hr. Then I checked the HR logs for all the top players and only kept the
ones who never gave up more than 1 homer in a game.
Posted in Uncategorized | 5 Comments »
Posted by Steve Lombardi on September 3, 2009
Today, Peter Abraham asked "I’d be curious to know the last team that had eight players hit at least 20 home runs and drive in at least 70 runs."
Well, thanks to Baseball-Reference.com's Play Index Batting Season Finder, the answer is simple to find: It's never been done before. (But, for the record, the 1996 O's had seven players with 20+ HR and 70+ RBI.)
So, if Derek Jeter and Jorge Posada can reach 20 HR and 70 RBI this season, that would give the 2009 Yankees eight players with these marks - and the team record for most players in one season with 20+ HR/70+ RBI.
Posted in Season Finders | 6 Comments »
Posted by Sean Forman on September 3, 2009
Ever wanted to make a statistical point on a blog, to a friend via e-mail, on twitter or in an internet forum? The data you need appears on this site, but we've got twenty columns of additional data and then you would have to cut and paste, delete what you don't need and then maybe add some html or bbcode to get it to look just right? So only the really crazy statheads even bother. We've now made that process much, much (maybe one more much) easier.
Stats tables on Baseball-Reference.com now have the option to modify and easily share nearly all of the data found on the site. Clicking on the SHARE tooltip found above most stat tables (see image), now calls up a dialog box that allows you to delete columns and/or rows and then get the stat table to cut and paste in any of eight useful formats.

Read the rest of this entry »
Posted in Announcements, Power Users, Site Features, Tutorials, Uncategorized | 4 Comments »
Posted by Neil Paine on September 3, 2009
Want to feel old? Try reading the annual Beloit College Mindset List for incoming freshmen. Heck, I'm 23 and this year's version makes me feel old... Another question: Want to feel like an old baseball fan? Read Chris Jaffe's baseball version of the Beloit List over at the Hardball Times. It's what baseball feels like to the young whippersnappers out there (and my apologies if you are one of the aforementioned whippersnappers).
Posted in Bloops | 1 Comment »
Posted by Andy on September 3, 2009
Check out Evan Longoria's splits by opponent this year:
| Split |
G |
PA |
AB |
R |
H |
HR |
RBI |
BB |
SO |
BA |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
TB |
| Inter-League |
17 |
74 |
66 |
6 |
21 |
2 |
10 |
6 |
15 |
.318 |
.392 |
.515 |
.907 |
34 |
| Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim |
6 |
26 |
20 |
5 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
3 |
.250 |
.423 |
.450 |
.873 |
9 |
| Baltimore Orioles |
10 |
45 |
43 |
7 |
14 |
4 |
10 |
2 |
11 |
.326 |
.356 |
.744 |
1.100 |
32 |
| Boston Red Sox |
14 |
67 |
58 |
17 |
21 |
8 |
26 |
6 |
15 |
.362 |
.418 |
.862 |
1.280 |
50 |
| Chicago White Sox |
7 |
29 |
24 |
3 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
6 |
.167 |
.276 |
.333 |
.609 |
8 |
| Cleveland Indians |
8 |
31 |
24 |
5 |
6 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
.250 |
.419 |
.375 |
.794 |
9 |
| Colorado Rockies |
3 |
14 |
12 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
.333 |
.429 |
.833 |
1.262 |
10 |
| Detroit Tigers |
4 |
17 |
17 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
.294 |
.294 |
.529 |
.824 |
9 |
| Florida Marlins |
6 |
28 |
25 |
2 |
8 |
0 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
.320 |
.393 |
.440 |
.833 |
11 |
| Kansas City Royals |
8 |
36 |
30 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
.167 |
.306 |
.267 |
.572 |
8 |
| Minnesota Twins |
6 |
25 |
23 |
5 |
8 |
1 |
8 |
2 |
4 |
.348 |
.400 |
.565 |
.965 |
13 |
| New York Mets |
3 |
13 |
11 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
.364 |
.462 |
.545 |
1.007 |
6 |
| New York Yankees |
10 |
36 |
32 |
7 |
8 |
4 |
9 |
3 |
13 |
.250 |
.333 |
.656 |
.990 |
21 |
| Oakland Athletics |
10 |
44 |
40 |
5 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
.225 |
.295 |
.375 |
.670 |
15 |
| Philadelphia Phillies |
2 |
7 |
7 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
.286 |
.286 |
.429 |
.714 |
3 |
| Seattle Mariners |
6 |
29 |
23 |
5 |
8 |
1 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
.348 |
.448 |
.609 |
1.057 |
14 |
| Texas Rangers |
6 |
25 |
22 |
2 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
.136 |
.200 |
.227 |
.427 |
5 |
| Toronto Blue Jays |
15 |
66 |
57 |
7 |
14 |
0 |
7 |
7 |
13 |
.246 |
.318 |
.316 |
.634 |
18 |
| Washington Nationals |
3 |
12 |
11 |
1 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
4 |
.273 |
.333 |
.364 |
.697 |
4 |
Granted he has played far more games against Boston than most other teams, but his numbers are staggering, with 8 HR and 26 RBI in just 58 at-bats. He has a 1.280 OPS against. Compare those numbers with his performance against the other team he's faced a lot this year, Toronto. No homers and 7 RBI in 57 at-bats with a .634 OPS.
Anyway, currently this site (nor any other) doesn't have the capability to search in such a fashion, but can you think of other instances of a player having at least 8 HR or 26 RBI against a single opponent in any one season?
Posted in Splits | 10 Comments »
Posted by Neil Paine on September 2, 2009
Frequently when you have to put a feature "out of sight" in order to save room on a page, it also becomes "out of mind" for users who no longer have an easy way to navigate to it. unfortunately, that's been the case with the Bio section of the site, which is tucked away under the "more [+]" drop-down menu and consequently gets overlooked all too often. Since we get a handful of requests per week about player birthplaces and places of death, I thought I'd shine the spotlight on the Bio page to help our users know about the tools it offers.
First, we break down every player by their place of birth. Using the links at the top of the page, you can sort the batting, pitching, and managing totals for every U.S. state (did you know that Pennsylvania boasts the most Hall of Fame pitchers in MLB history?), and for every country as well (for instance, Ireland has provided the most career games without producing an All-Star). You can also see more detailed breakdowns for each state, including a sortable list of every player born there and his career MLB stats (aside from Chad Santos -- career PA: 8 -- Benny Agbayani is Hawaii's all-time leader in career OPS with .807), and each foreign country/territory as well (Ed Porray's birthplace was apparently "A Ship on Atlantic Ocean," making him unique among major-leaguers). We also provide the same tools/breakdowns for each player's place of death, although this section is understandably less complete and/or accurate than the birthplace database. Meaning that if you ever wanted to know that Jackie Jensen hit more career HR than any other player who died in Virginia, this is the place to look.
So feel free to look around and experiment with the various states and territories, and I'm sure you'll dig up a piece of trivia in the process that will stump even the most hard-core of baseball historians.
Posted in Site Features | 5 Comments »