Comments on: Do Teams Play for the Tie at Home? This and that about baseball stats. Tue, 16 Jul 2013 17:01:55 +0000 hourly 1 By: Raphy Mon, 29 Nov 2010 23:10:48 +0000 @18 cont.
Re: Pennington:
His double occurred on April 8th. It is the second one listed here:

Its not in their highlights, but if you have access to (I don't) you can watch it in the 8th inning of that game.

By: Raphy Mon, 29 Nov 2010 22:58:36 +0000 @18 John -

Here's what I did.
For each season I checked the hit trajectory split on the league batting splits page.

If there was a 2B listed under "bunts", I clicked on bunts and found out which team had the bunt double.

I then used the Batting event finder and searched for all doubles for that team that season.

I was then able to use the web browser find feature to search for the word bunt within the web page.

I don't remember if some teams had multiple pages of doubles or not.

By: John Autin Fri, 26 Nov 2010 23:16:57 +0000 @15, Raphy -- Thanks for the directions. Your blog post noted that you used the Team Batting Event Finder to compile your list of bunt doubles. Could you explain exactly how that helped you? The only bunt-related events I see there are "Sacrifice Bunts" and "Sacrifice Bunts Att.," neither of which is broad enough to encompass all bunts.

Also, do you have any line on Pennington's (alleged) bunt double?

By: Raphy Thu, 25 Nov 2010 15:37:02 +0000 "Have any of you guys heard people say that home teams play for the tie in other sports? If so, is there a way for it to make sense?"

I don't know if it is true or not, but I did see it in regards to basketball with the explanation being that home teams have a large advantage in OT.

I did a quick check with the NBA PI and it seems that home teams win OT games about 52% of the time. (This may be incorrect as it was the first time I used this tool.) It would seem very rare that such a small disadvantage would warrant adding the risk of taking a 3 pointer on the road

By: Frank Thu, 25 Nov 2010 15:16:27 +0000 "Have any of you guys heard people say that home teams play for the tie in other sports? If so, is there a way for it to make sense?"

Is there any other sport where the home team always gets the last chance on offense?

By: Raphy Thu, 25 Nov 2010 12:20:50 +0000 John - I once wrote a post on the topic:

By: John Autin Thu, 25 Nov 2010 06:57:10 +0000 Complete tangent: Bunting for a double.

According to the B-R split data, Cliff Pennington had a bunt double this year. Did anyone hear of this? I googled but couldn't find a thing. Other recent bunt doubles found in the B-R split data have been confirmed by other sources (Rafael Furcal in 2009, Juan Pierre 2007 and 2004).

By: John Autin Thu, 25 Nov 2010 06:45:43 +0000 Adding on to Kds's point @11 --

The chance of a sac attempt failing is, I think, widely underestimated by MLB managers, which warps their judgment of when a sac attempt is appropriate.

By: Johnny Twisto Wed, 24 Nov 2010 17:50:51 +0000 Of course, Kds, thank you. I was aware of that as I did the searches but didn't bother to consider it when I wrote my conclusions, such as they were.

By: kds Wed, 24 Nov 2010 16:05:54 +0000 JT, The biggest difference between your numbers and those from The Book is that you are assuming that 100% of the time someone attempts to bunt there is a successful sacrifice. This is not true, it is much closer to 75%. Sometimes the results are worse, force of the lead runner, DP, pop-up, K. And sometimes they are better, BB, hit, RoE, FC no out. All of these possibilities must be considered, (and correctly weighed), to get an accurate RE/WE. And of course it should be adjusted to the specific batter and pitcher. Maybe I-Rod should bunt more to avoid DPs.