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	<title>Comments on: RESULTS: 2008 Hall of Fame voting</title>
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	<description>This and that about baseball stats.</description>
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		<title>By: mrbaseballcard</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3550</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mrbaseballcard]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 18:36:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3550</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Andy, and all others

Spartanbill had it right.  I was simply pointing out that many writers will not look past the cocaine issues Raines had (remember stories that he would slide headfirst so as to not break the vials he had in his back pocket) and this would explain lower vote totals than his high OBP and high SB&#039;s would otherwise deserve.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Andy, and all others</p>
<p>Spartanbill had it right.  I was simply pointing out that many writers will not look past the cocaine issues Raines had (remember stories that he would slide headfirst so as to not break the vials he had in his back pocket) and this would explain lower vote totals than his high OBP and high SB's would otherwise deserve.</p>
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		<title>By: Andy</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3548</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Andy]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 16:46:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3548</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[yeah...I believe nobody has had 70% of the BBWAA and didn&#039;t EVENTUALLY get in, even if voted by the Veterans Committee.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>yeah...I believe nobody has had 70% of the BBWAA and didn't EVENTUALLY get in, even if voted by the Veterans Committee.</p>
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		<title>By: zimcity</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3546</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[zimcity]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 16:29:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3546</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[True enough as there are no stats to measure integrity and contributions in the clubhouse or off the field.

Interesting note, I was looking at some HOF vote totals and Jim Bunning had 74.2% in 1988 and didn&#039;t make it in his final three years on the writer&#039;s ballot.  

So he was even closer than Rice and still had to wait until 1996 when the Veteran&#039;s Committee selected him.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>True enough as there are no stats to measure integrity and contributions in the clubhouse or off the field.</p>
<p>Interesting note, I was looking at some HOF vote totals and Jim Bunning had 74.2% in 1988 and didn't make it in his final three years on the writer's ballot.  </p>
<p>So he was even closer than Rice and still had to wait until 1996 when the Veteran's Committee selected him.</p>
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		<title>By: Andy</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3544</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Andy]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 15:40:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3544</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Zim, you might be right. I don&#039;t know, and I don&#039;t think there is an easy answer. Jim Rice&#039;s early years on the HOF ballot were hurt tremendously by the fact that he was blackballed by the Boston-area media for being uncooperative when he was a player. Other media around the country heard that he wasn&#039;t getting support EVEN from his local media, and they felt that they then shouldn&#039;t vote him either. I forget the numbers, but I think Rice started in the low 20-percent area on his first ballot. Since then, the Boston media have turned over a lot, and I heard yesterday that he was named on every ballot from Boston-area media. Now, he&#039;s over 70%, and no player to previously get at least 70% has failed to make the HOF eventually. Rice will definitely make it next year (unless it comes out that he used steroids...LOL.)

Anyway, my point here is just to characterize the intensely complex situation around HOF voting. Do I think that looking from a purely statistical view as we do has merit? And do I think that sites such as this one, Hardball Time, Baseball Prospectus, and numerous others take a very smart approach to stats? Yes I do. But I think it&#039;s only one segment of what needs to be considered.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Zim, you might be right. I don't know, and I don't think there is an easy answer. Jim Rice's early years on the HOF ballot were hurt tremendously by the fact that he was blackballed by the Boston-area media for being uncooperative when he was a player. Other media around the country heard that he wasn't getting support EVEN from his local media, and they felt that they then shouldn't vote him either. I forget the numbers, but I think Rice started in the low 20-percent area on his first ballot. Since then, the Boston media have turned over a lot, and I heard yesterday that he was named on every ballot from Boston-area media. Now, he's over 70%, and no player to previously get at least 70% has failed to make the HOF eventually. Rice will definitely make it next year (unless it comes out that he used steroids...LOL.)</p>
<p>Anyway, my point here is just to characterize the intensely complex situation around HOF voting. Do I think that looking from a purely statistical view as we do has merit? And do I think that sites such as this one, Hardball Time, Baseball Prospectus, and numerous others take a very smart approach to stats? Yes I do. But I think it's only one segment of what needs to be considered.</p>
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		<title>By: zimcity</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3543</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[zimcity]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 15:31:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3543</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Maybe it was slightly unfair to many of the writers, Andy.  But, of the 543 voters, I would bet a fair amount of them don&#039;t take it as seriously as they should, or as many of us do.  How else do you explain Raines low vote total, or Rice and Blyleven&#039;s continued struggle to get the required 75%?

My main point was that the voting system is somewhat antiquated as long as it is with ONLY the BBWAA.  It&#039;s the 21st century and all media should be represented in the voting.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Maybe it was slightly unfair to many of the writers, Andy.  But, of the 543 voters, I would bet a fair amount of them don't take it as seriously as they should, or as many of us do.  How else do you explain Raines low vote total, or Rice and Blyleven's continued struggle to get the required 75%?</p>
<p>My main point was that the voting system is somewhat antiquated as long as it is with ONLY the BBWAA.  It's the 21st century and all media should be represented in the voting.</p>
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		<title>By: Andy</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3542</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Andy]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 13:36:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3542</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[#10 zimcity...that&#039;s really unfair. Bloggers and statheads like us MIGHT know a lot more about baseball STATS...but not necessarily more about baseball. Journalists who cover the game know about things like demeanor, effort, attitude, cooperativeness, tenacity, etc, that you can never see from a page of stats, and those things are not inconsequential when considering a player&#039;s HOF candidacy.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>#10 zimcity...that's really unfair. Bloggers and statheads like us MIGHT know a lot more about baseball STATS...but not necessarily more about baseball. Journalists who cover the game know about things like demeanor, effort, attitude, cooperativeness, tenacity, etc, that you can never see from a page of stats, and those things are not inconsequential when considering a player's HOF candidacy.</p>
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		<title>By: David in Toledo</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3539</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David in Toledo]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 03:41:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3539</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here&#039;s the answer to my own question about Dave Parker.  Coincidentally, in the same year (1978) that Jim Rice was AL MVP, Parker was NL MVP and his bases-advanced that year (and a few games of 1977) make up, for 162 games, 426 in 697 PA.  That&#039;s a percentage of .611, THE SAME % that Jim Rice compiled in 163 games during 1978.  Remember that I found a stretch in which Tim Raines got to .649 for 162 consecutive games. . . .

Parker was a great defensive outfielder during this stretch.  If only he could have kept it up.  Raines may have dallied with drugs in a way that didn&#039;t hurt his performance measurably; something seriously impacted Dave Parker from 1980 through 1984.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here's the answer to my own question about Dave Parker.  Coincidentally, in the same year (1978) that Jim Rice was AL MVP, Parker was NL MVP and his bases-advanced that year (and a few games of 1977) make up, for 162 games, 426 in 697 PA.  That's a percentage of .611, THE SAME % that Jim Rice compiled in 163 games during 1978.  Remember that I found a stretch in which Tim Raines got to .649 for 162 consecutive games. . . .</p>
<p>Parker was a great defensive outfielder during this stretch.  If only he could have kept it up.  Raines may have dallied with drugs in a way that didn't hurt his performance measurably; something seriously impacted Dave Parker from 1980 through 1984.</p>
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		<title>By: David in Toledo</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3536</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David in Toledo]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 01:41:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3536</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I followed up my new acquaintance with the use of the gameday PI feature.  I assume the best way to get a 162-game career best is to just scroll up and down and then highlight and calculate periods that look particularly promising.  Anyway, in this 162 game stretch Raines had a bases-advanced average of .649.  I&#039;ll bet no other current HoF nominee (except McGwire) comes close to it:  not Rice, Dawson, Murphy, Mattingly, Baines. . . maybe Parker (I&#039;ll check).

Tim Raines batting from career game #817 (Jul 23, 1986) to game #978 (Aug 19, 1987)

  G   PA  AB  R   H  2B 3B HR RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF GDP  SB CS   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS
+---+---+---+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+-----+-----+-----+-----+
 162 712 611 126 208 41  7 18  83  93  21  57   4   0   4   8  67  7  .340  .428  .519  .947 

What does it (total bases plus bb plus sb minus cs and gdp) mean?  If he came up to bat five times, he was likely to advance 3.25 bases all by himself.  For his great 1978 year, Jim Rice&#039;s numbers would be .611/ab and 3.05 bases in five trips.

Where Rice has an advantage is that his 46 home runs in 1978 obviously drove home more teammates than Raines&#039;s 18 on the line above.  On his own, however, not considering whether anyone was on base when he came up, Raines was clearly more of a force -- for one year or over his career -- than any of the other HoF candidates named in paragraph one.

The guys with highest bases-advanced percentages are the sluggers who also draw a lot of walks (and if they can steal a few bases with some efficiency and avoid hitting into double plays, that helps even more).]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I followed up my new acquaintance with the use of the gameday PI feature.  I assume the best way to get a 162-game career best is to just scroll up and down and then highlight and calculate periods that look particularly promising.  Anyway, in this 162 game stretch Raines had a bases-advanced average of .649.  I'll bet no other current HoF nominee (except McGwire) comes close to it:  not Rice, Dawson, Murphy, Mattingly, Baines. . . maybe Parker (I'll check).</p>
<p>Tim Raines batting from career game #817 (Jul 23, 1986) to game #978 (Aug 19, 1987)</p>
<p>  G   PA  AB  R   H  2B 3B HR RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF GDP  SB CS   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS<br />
+---+---+---+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+-----+-----+-----+-----+<br />
 162 712 611 126 208 41  7 18  83  93  21  57   4   0   4   8  67  7  .340  .428  .519  .947 </p>
<p>What does it (total bases plus bb plus sb minus cs and gdp) mean?  If he came up to bat five times, he was likely to advance 3.25 bases all by himself.  For his great 1978 year, Jim Rice's numbers would be .611/ab and 3.05 bases in five trips.</p>
<p>Where Rice has an advantage is that his 46 home runs in 1978 obviously drove home more teammates than Raines's 18 on the line above.  On his own, however, not considering whether anyone was on base when he came up, Raines was clearly more of a force -- for one year or over his career -- than any of the other HoF candidates named in paragraph one.</p>
<p>The guys with highest bases-advanced percentages are the sluggers who also draw a lot of walks (and if they can steal a few bases with some efficiency and avoid hitting into double plays, that helps even more).</p>
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		<title>By: spartanbill</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3535</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[spartanbill]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 00:58:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3535</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don&#039;t think mrbaseballcard was neccessarily making the point that Raines should&#039;t be in becuase of his drug use; just that some of the voters feel that way.

On stats alone, McGwire should be in and when Bonds name comes up, he should get into with 100 per cent.  But in the system we have,  I am sure Raines lost some votes because some members of the BBWAA see him as a druggy. McGwire did as well.  I wonder how many Jack Morris and Steve Carlton lost becuase most writers saw them as surly and uncooperative.   Bonds is going to lose point based on his &quot;alleged&quot; steroid use as well as his boorish personality.    Even though Clemens says he doesn&#039;t give a &quot;rats ass&quot; about the HOF, the next few weeks will largely determine his electabilty more than his 354 wins and 4672 K&#039;s.

I beleive that in a voters eyes, being a &quot;good person&quot; whatever the heck that means, counts to many voters.  It is silly to presume otherwise.  It helped a personable guy like Tom LaSorda, and to one extent or another, it hurts some of the others.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don't think mrbaseballcard was neccessarily making the point that Raines should't be in becuase of his drug use; just that some of the voters feel that way.</p>
<p>On stats alone, McGwire should be in and when Bonds name comes up, he should get into with 100 per cent.  But in the system we have,  I am sure Raines lost some votes because some members of the BBWAA see him as a druggy. McGwire did as well.  I wonder how many Jack Morris and Steve Carlton lost becuase most writers saw them as surly and uncooperative.   Bonds is going to lose point based on his "alleged" steroid use as well as his boorish personality.    Even though Clemens says he doesn't give a "rats ass" about the HOF, the next few weeks will largely determine his electabilty more than his 354 wins and 4672 K's.</p>
<p>I beleive that in a voters eyes, being a "good person" whatever the heck that means, counts to many voters.  It is silly to presume otherwise.  It helped a personable guy like Tom LaSorda, and to one extent or another, it hurts some of the others.</p>
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		<title>By: dayf</title>
		<link>http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/515/comment-page-1#comment-3532</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[dayf]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 21:19:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baseball-reference.com/sotd/archives/515#comment-3532</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#039;m just glad that someone got in. I was actually expecting a repeat of 1996 with no one getting elected. That ballot had four Hall of Famers (Niekro, Perez, Sutton and Sutter) on it and a handful more that I think will eventually get in (including Rice). That election kicked of my hatred of the whole process since I would have been able to get up to Cooperstown that year to see Niekro get inducted, but by the time he got elected in &#039;97 I was working full time and couldn&#039;t make it. Stupid writers!!!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I'm just glad that someone got in. I was actually expecting a repeat of 1996 with no one getting elected. That ballot had four Hall of Famers (Niekro, Perez, Sutton and Sutter) on it and a handful more that I think will eventually get in (including Rice). That election kicked of my hatred of the whole process since I would have been able to get up to Cooperstown that year to see Niekro get inducted, but by the time he got elected in '97 I was working full time and couldn't make it. Stupid writers!!!</p>
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