Comments on: What worries me about Ryan Howard http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2301 This and that about baseball stats. Tue, 16 Jul 2013 17:01:55 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: What, me worry? About Ryan Howard? « Finger Food http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2301/comment-page-1#comment-8775 Sun, 30 Aug 2009 18:46:14 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2301#comment-8775 [...] Check ‘em out… [...]

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By: Daily Box Score 8/28: Burying OPS http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2301/comment-page-1#comment-8726 Sat, 29 Aug 2009 01:51:44 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2301#comment-8726 [...] And then just yesterday, he wrote this: [...]

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By: jackfish http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2301/comment-page-1#comment-8672 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 17:33:22 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2301#comment-8672 I guess the Devil Rays were impressed with players on the over 45 home runs list. They signed three of the five players (Canceco, Castilla & Vaughn) a season or two after they posted their low OPS numbers. So much for the "Bay Bombers".

Jack

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By: JohnnyTwisto http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2301/comment-page-1#comment-8668 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 16:16:06 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2301#comment-8668 Yeah, Ebessan hit on it. His unintentional walk rate has only ranged from about 9 to 11%, and is about 10% this season, so he's not really walking any less (especially if you consider that when he drew a ton of IBB, many of his UIBB were likely semi-intentional). That's a flaw of OBP (and by extension OPS+), because those walks do not lead to as many runs as a "normal" walk but are counted the same.

That said, it seems obvious that '06 was his career year. He's not really a .300 hitter; he strikes out far too much, and as a .260 hitter he is still productive but not quite Albert Pujols.

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By: Ebessan http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2301/comment-page-1#comment-8667 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 15:49:18 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2301#comment-8667 Well, in last year's case, that did have a lot to do with him just being snake-bit and highly unlucky. But his high walk seasons were undoubtedly due to his IBB count, which was crazy high. And he's at his peak speed, which isn't worth a ton, but it should go without saying that being able turn a single into a double is a great skill.

His obvious biggest problem is hitting against lefties, who eat him alive. He has gotten progressively worse against them every season, and is seeing more and more PAs against them. He desperately needs to figure them out.

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By: philsphannj http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2301/comment-page-1#comment-8666 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 15:32:04 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2301#comment-8666 Howard has an OPS+ of 141, compared to Kingman's 115.

Howard had an .881 OPS last year in his worst season so far. Kingman topped that figure just once in his 15 full seasons. (His career OPS is .780.)

Howard is no Babe Ruth, but he is by no means this generation's Dave Kingman.

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By: rpbrpb2002 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2301/comment-page-1#comment-8665 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 14:26:37 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2301#comment-8665 This oversimplifies, but Howard is this generation's Dave Kingman. Either a home run or a K. Kingman did strike out less often, and Howard is more productive, but I wouldn't want either one of them in my lineup.

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By: Andy http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2301/comment-page-1#comment-8664 Thu, 27 Aug 2009 14:14:26 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2301#comment-8664 I wrote this post 2 days ago...doesn't help that the guy hit a 3-run HR in the 10th inning last night...

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