Comments on: Ryan Howard is disappearing when the Phillies are behind This and that about baseball stats. Tue, 16 Jul 2013 17:01:55 +0000 hourly 1 By: Timmy p Wed, 15 Jun 2011 02:56:50 +0000 @17 I like those points about Ryan being in better shape now, and I've heard his work ethic is good. I understand he came from a good family and has his head screwed on right. I love to watch him hit and I think the Phils made a good investment. Howard = HoF

By: Malcolm Tue, 14 Jun 2011 21:48:58 +0000 I don't see Howard declining to the point where he's worthless by age 36. Comparisons to Mo Vaughn, Cecil Fielder, or David Ortiz are somewhat questionable because Howard, unlike many other physically big first basemen, is actually in better physical shape now than he was as a rookie. As someone who watches Phillies games regularly, I have noticed that Howard is not only thinner, but runs the bases better, is more agile in the field, and even strikes out (marginally) less than he did earlier in his career. Also, his brief stint on the DL last year was the only time in his career he's ever been seriously injured, and it isn't something that seems to be bothering him anymore. He will probably decline a little bit, but I expect he'll still be hitting 30-35 homers per season in 5 years, which is production from first base that many teams would be happy to have. And in terms of RBI, I don't really think you can say that consistently driving in well over 100 runs/year is entirely luck. Right now the Phillies are in the bottom half of the league in runs scored, Howard is batting under .250, and he's still up there with the league leaders in RBI and on pace for something like 125, and has been protected most of the season by the mighty Ben Francisco.

By: kingcrab Tue, 14 Jun 2011 21:29:11 +0000 just noticed that he has 0 errors in the field...i haven't seen many phillies games this year, so has he improved that much or is he not getting to as many balls or making less plays, such as taking the easy out at first instead of starting the double play, pitchers covering the right side of the field instead of howard on bunts...

By: thejerseydevil Tue, 14 Jun 2011 14:51:54 +0000 2 outs, RISP: .952 ops
Late & Close: .961 ops
Tie Game: .914 ops
Within 1 R: .958 ops
Within 2 R: .879 ops
Within 3 R: .834 ops
Within 4 R: .845 ops
Margin > 4 R: .472 ops

So he's just not productive in "garbage time". Weird, but why is that a problem?

By: panrell Tue, 14 Jun 2011 12:08:16 +0000 And yet the Phils still have the most wins in baseball. Look out if they DO start hitting in the second half, which has been their history.

By: Cheese Tue, 14 Jun 2011 05:07:06 +0000 what are his career numbers in september for seasons in a pennant race and seasons not in a race

By: Dukeofflatbush Tue, 14 Jun 2011 01:23:36 +0000 Just an aside, but only 6 players have 135 RBIs in 4 different seasons.
That's small company.
Gehrig & Ruth 9 times each. (Which is ridiculous when you think they did that 4 times hitting back to back).
Greenberg & Foxx 5 times each.
Howard & Sosa 4 times each.
Only Ruth, Gehrig, Sosa and Howard have done so in at least 4 consecutive years. And to think Howard did it in his first 4 full seasons.
I know RBIs are not a true measure of a player's ability and have as much to do with luck rather than ability, but only 4 guys to do something in over 110 years is pretty good company.

By: John Autin Mon, 13 Jun 2011 23:52:01 +0000 I think the Phillies should turn him into a pinch-hitter. He's 12 for 29 in that role, with 5 HRs and a 1.503 OPS. 🙂

By: DougD Mon, 13 Jun 2011 21:04:42 +0000 So what exactly are we to make of this? That over his career he actually has hit a little better when the Phils are behind but this season he hasn’t. Does that really mean anything ath this point in the season? I don’t think so. The most interesting thing I see here is that he tends to be less patient when the Phils are behind. Probably a natural thing as you would tend to be more aggressive in trying to drive a run in when behind.


By: Ryan Howard is disappearing when the Phillies are behind » Stathead » Blog Archive Mon, 13 Jun 2011 20:47:21 +0000 [...] Ryan Howard is disappearing when the Phillies are behind: Andy at the Baseball-Reference blog has noticed a big split for Howard in 2011 when Philadelphia is trailing. [...]