Luis Castillo
He’s in the news as a new Met this trade line. Strange career - how many guys in this day & age have OBP higher than their SLG?
One fun thing you can do with the PI is find similar players and see how they aged to get an idea how Castilo might age.
Let’s look at guys who from ages 23-31, played at least 1150 G at key defensive positions (2B, SS, 3B, & CF - I’m leaving out catcher because it’s a very different position) who had SLG under .370 and OBP over .350.
I’m aware Castillo’s on the border of many of that criteria, but think that’s actually appropriate here. He’ll have more games played by the end of the year, his SLG should be higher than those I’m comparing him to because of the era adjustment, and I want a higher OBP to toss out the real no-hit Belanger types.
Here are his similar hitters. Clyde Milan fell apart at age 33. Randolph was good through 32, but then was hit-of-miss thereafter. Bucky Harris disintegrated at age 31. Donie Bush flopped in his early 30s and completely fell apart at ag 33. I think he’s slightly better than Bush, definately better than Harris, but nowhere near as good as the other two. I’d expect him to flop next year.
I have no idea if he’s under contract next year, mind you, but this is the sort of thing you can look up ith PI.