. What is an MP saved worth?

MP events increase expected runs scored

  • Matched PBP data to a run expectancy table
  • Used 1999-2002 data

    • Context matters

  • Scoring from third with two outs increases expectancy about 0.70 runs
  • Moving second to third with two outs increases expectancy about .025 runs

    • Average improvement of 0.273 runs

  • A good catcher saves 4+ runs/year, and a bad catcher costs the same
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    Better Defense Through Bruising
    Sean Forman, Sports Reference, Inc. (2006-07-01)

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