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Scores
Standings
LAA
@BAL
7
3
TOR
@BOS
1
5
TBR
@KCR
2
8
CHW
@MIN
3
2
CLE
@NYY
4
6
OAK
@SEA
2
3
DET
@TEX
5
7
ARI
@ATL
1
8
NYM
@CHC
3
5
MIL
@CIN
3
4
WSN
@COL
12
5
SDP
@HOU
3
5
STL
@MIA
5
2
PIT
@PHI
4
5
LAD
@SFG
0
2
Tuesday, June 26, 2012, 7:07PM
, Rangers Ballpark in Arlington
Attendance: 39,561, Time of Game: 3:15
Tigers
5
36-38
 Lost 1 
3rd, 3 GB
at Rangers
7
46-29
 Won 1 
1st
W: Yu Darvish (10-4)
L: Drew Smyly (2-3)
S: Joe Nathan (17)
                1  2  3   4  5  6   7  8  9    R  H  E
                -  -  -   -  -  -   -  -  -    -  -  -
Tigers          2  0  0   1  1  0   0  1  0    5  5  1
Rangers         1  0  0   4  1  0   1  0  X    7 10  0

Detroit Tigers

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO PA BA OBP SLG OPS Pit Str WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Austin Jackson CF 3 2 1 0 1 1 4 .312 .400 .518 .918 20 10 0.015 1.05 0.078 -0.062 0.2 2 1
Quintin Berry LF 3 0 1 1 1 1 4 .308 .400 .413 .813 15 7 0.120 1.31 0.169 -0.050 0.9 1 0
Miguel Cabrera 3B 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 .304 .363 .528 .891 12 8 -0.064 1.38 0.035 -0.099 -0.3 0 1 HBP
Prince Fielder 1B 4 1 2 4 0 0 4 .306 .379 .507 .887 17 11 0.197 1.57 0.262 -0.065 2.6 7 0 HR,2B
Delmon Young DH 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 .259 .292 .375 .666 23 14 -0.109 1.01 0.000 -0.109 -1.1
Brennan Boesch RF 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 .232 .271 .351 .621 19 13 -0.098 0.92 0.000 -0.098 -0.9 6 0
Jhonny Peralta SS 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 .253 .329 .389 .718 16 10 -0.093 0.89 0.000 -0.093 -0.8 2 3
Alex Avila C 4 1 1 0 0 2 4 .234 .322 .399 .721 16 10 0.021 0.79 0.073 -0.052 0.2 6 2 2B
Ramon Santiago 2B 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 .228 .303 .309 .611 14 11 -0.078 0.86 0.000 -0.078 -0.7 0 2
Drew Smyly P 0 0
   Luis Marte P 0 1
   Jose Valverde P 0 0
Team Totals 32 5 5 5 2 12 35 .156 .229 .313 .541 152 94 -0.089 1.09 0.617 -0.706 0.1 24 10
2B: P Fielder (18, off Y Darvish); A Avila (9, off Y Darvish).
HR: P Fielder (12, off Y Darvish, 4th inn, 0 on, 0 outs to LF-CF).
HBP: M Cabrera (2, by Y Darvish).
TB: P Fielder 6; A Avila 2; Q Berry; A Jackson.
RBI: P Fielder 4 (50); Q Berry (11).
2-out RBI: Q Berry.
Team LOB: 3.
With RISP: 2 for 9.
Fielding
PB: A Avila (5).
E: D Smyly (2).
Outfield Assists: A Jackson (B Snyder at 2nd base).

Texas Rangers

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO PA BA OBP SLG OPS Pit Str WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Ian Kinsler 2B 4 1 2 1 0 2 4 .270 .333 .438 .771 23 16 0.060 0.84 0.109 -0.048 0.4 0 3 HR
Elvis Andrus SS 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 .301 .378 .409 .787 11 5 0.049 1.07 0.165 -0.116 0.2 0 1 2B,CS
Josh Hamilton CF-LF 4 1 1 1 0 1 4 .317 .378 .656 1.035 16 9 -0.021 0.86 0.055 -0.076 0.2 2 0 HR
Adrian Beltre 3B 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 .328 .361 .533 .894 22 12 0.041 0.44 0.059 -0.017 0.2 0 1
Michael Young DH 4 1 2 1 0 1 4 .272 .300 .357 .657 17 12 0.140 0.82 0.170 -0.030 1.1 3B
Nelson Cruz LF-RF 4 1 1 1 0 0 4 .258 .315 .440 .755 14 8 0.028 0.96 0.084 -0.056 -0.1 0 0 SB
Mike Napoli 1B 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 .242 .347 .460 .806 20 14 -0.033 0.67 0.020 -0.054 -0.3 9 1 HBP
Yorvit Torrealba C 4 1 1 1 0 0 4 .229 .301 .331 .631 14 9 0.084 0.88 0.126 -0.042 0.4 10 2
Brandon Snyder RF 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 .313 .353 .521 .874 3 2 0.058 0.96 0.078 -0.020 0.5 3 0
   David Murphy PH-LF 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 .269 .364 .456 .821 10 4 0.005 0.45 0.009 -0.004 0.1 1 0
   Craig Gentry CF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .345 .415 .431 .846 0.000 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.0 1 0
Yu Darvish P 1 0
   Mike Adams P 0 0
   Joe Nathan P 0 0
Team Totals 32 7 10 6 3 6 36 .312 .389 .594 .983 150 91 0.411 0.82 0.875 -0.463 2.7 27 8
2B: E Andrus (18, off D Smyly).
3B: M Young (2, off D Smyly).
HR: I Kinsler (8, off D Smyly, 1st inn, 0 on, 0 outs to LF); J Hamilton (24, off L Marte, 7th inn, 0 on, 0 outs to CF).
HBP: M Napoli (6, by L Marte).
TB: I Kinsler 5; M Young 4; J Hamilton 4; E Andrus 2; N Cruz; B Snyder; A Beltre; Y Torrealba.
RBI: B Snyder (9); I Kinsler (36); Y Torrealba (11); N Cruz (48); M Young (30); J Hamilton (67).
2-out RBI: B Snyder; Y Torrealba.
Team LOB: 5.
With RISP: 4 for 8.
Baserunning
SB: N Cruz (6, 2nd base off D Smyly/A Avila).
CS: E Andrus (4, 2nd base by D Smyly/A Avila).

Detroit Tigers

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str Ctct StS StL GB FB LD Unk GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Drew Smyly, L (2-3) 4.2 8 6 6 2 3 1 4.48 22 97 58 35 8 15 7 10 2 0 25 -0.434 0.98 -3.5
Luis Marte 2.1 2 1 1 1 2 1 4.11 11 41 25 16 4 5 2 5 0 0 1 0 0.008 0.64 0.3
Jose Valverde 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 4.03 3 12 8 5 1 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0.016 0.20 0.5
Team Totals 8 10 7 7 3 6 2 7.88 36 150 91 56 13 22 9 17 2 0 25 1 0 -0.410 0.82 -2.7

Texas Rangers

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str Ctct StS StL GB FB LD Unk GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Yu Darvish, W (10-4) 7 4 4 4 1 10 1 3.57 27 113 72 31 20 21 7 8 2 0 62 -0.003 0.96 -0.2
Mike Adams, H (13) 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 3.12 5 26 14 10 1 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0.012 1.84 -0.5
Joe Nathan, S (17) 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1.99 3 13 8 2 2 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.080 1.02 0.5
Team Totals 9 5 5 5 2 12 1 5.00 35 152 94 43 23 28 9 11 2 0 62 0 0 0.089 1.09 -0.1
Balks: None.
WP: None.
HBP: Y Darvish (6; M Cabrera); L Marte (1; M Napoli).
IBB: None.
Pickoffs: None.

Other Info

Umpires: HP - Gary Darling, 1B - Paul Emmel, 2B - Scott Barry, 3B - Jerry Meals.
Time of Game: 3:15.
Attendance: 39,561.
Field Condition: Unknown.
Start Time Weather: 103° F, Wind 2mph out to Rightfield, Sunny.

Starting Lineups

Win Probability Chart

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Scoring Plays
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Top 5 Plays

View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
t1 0-0 1 12- 6,(3-2)  RR DET P. Fielder Y. Darvish -16% 31% Double to CF (Line Drive to LF-CF); Jackson Scores; Cabrera Scores
b4 1-3 1 -2- 1,(0-0)  R TEX M. Young D. Smyly 15% 49% Triple to LF (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF); Beltre Scores
b4 3-3 2 -2- 6,(3-2)  R TEX Y. Torrealba D. Smyly 13% 67% Single to RF (Fly Ball to Short RF); Cruz Scores; Torrealba to 2B/Adv on throw to Hm
t4 2-1 0 --- 4,(1-2)  R DET P. Fielder Y. Darvish -10% 28% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF)
b1 0-2 0 --- 5,(1-2)  R TEX I. Kinsler D. Smyly 9% 45% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF)

Play By Play

Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
Top of the 1st, Tigers Batting, Tied 0-0, Rangers' Yu Darvish facing 1-2-3
t1 0-0 0 --- 6,(3-2)  DET A. Jackson Y. Darvish -3% 47% Walk
t1 0-0 0 1-- 5,(2-2)  O DET Q. Berry Y. Darvish 3% 50% Strikeout Swinging
t1 0-0 1 1-- 1,(0-0)  DET M. Cabrera Y. Darvish -3% 46% Hit By Pitch; Jackson to 2B
t1 0-0 1 12- 6,(3-2)  RR DET P. Fielder Y. Darvish -16% 31% Double to CF (Line Drive to LF-CF); Jackson Scores; Cabrera Scores
t1 2-0 1 -2- 5,(2-2)  O DET D. Young Y. Darvish 2% 33% Groundout: 2B-1B; Fielder to 3B
t1 2-0 2 --3 6,(3-2)  O DET B. Boesch Y. Darvish 3% 36% Flyball: RF (Short RF)
2 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Tigers 2, Rangers 0.
Bottom of the 1st, Rangers Batting, Behind 0-2, Tigers' Drew Smyly facing 1-2-3
b1 0-2 0 --- 5,(1-2)  R TEX I. Kinsler D. Smyly 9% 45% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF)
b1 1-2 0 --- 5,(3-1)  TEX E. Andrus D. Smyly 4% 49% Walk
b1 1-2 0 1-- 3,(1-1)  O TEX J. Hamilton D. Smyly -6% 43% Andrus Caught Stealing 2B (C-SS)
b1 1-2 1 --- 6,(3-2)  O TEX J. Hamilton D. Smyly -2% 41% Groundout: 2B-1B
b1 1-2 2 --- 7,(3-2)  O TEX A. Beltre D. Smyly -1% 40% Groundout: SS-1B (Weak 3B)
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 2, Rangers 1.
Top of the 2nd, Tigers Batting, Ahead 2-1, Rangers' Yu Darvish facing 7-8-9
t2 2-1 0 --- 5,(2-2)  O DET J. Peralta Y. Darvish 2% 42% Lineout: 1B (2B-1B)
t2 2-1 1 --- 2,(0-1)  O DET A. Avila Y. Darvish 2% 44% Groundout: 2B-1B
t2 2-1 2 --- 3,(0-2)  O DET R. Santiago Y. Darvish 1% 45% Strikeout Swinging (C-1B)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 2, Rangers 1.
Bottom of the 2nd, Rangers Batting, Behind 1-2, Tigers' Drew Smyly facing 5-6-7
b2 1-2 0 --- 5,(3-1)  O TEX M. Young D. Smyly -3% 42% Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
b2 1-2 1 --- 5,(2-2)  O TEX N. Cruz D. Smyly -2% 40% Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS)
b2 1-2 2 --- 4,(0-2)  O TEX M. Napoli D. Smyly -1% 39% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 2, Rangers 1.
Top of the 3rd, Tigers Batting, Ahead 2-1, Rangers' Yu Darvish facing 1-2-3
t3 2-1 0 --- 5,(2-2)  O DET A. Jackson Y. Darvish 2% 41% Strikeout Swinging
t3 2-1 1 --- 4,(1-2)  O DET Q. Berry Y. Darvish 2% 43% Groundout: 2B-1B (Weak 2B)
t3 2-1 2 --- 1,(0-0)  O DET M. Cabrera Y. Darvish 1% 44% Flyball: RF (Short RF)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 2, Rangers 1.
Bottom of the 3rd, Rangers Batting, Behind 1-2, Tigers' Drew Smyly facing 8-9-1
b3 1-2 0 --- 3,(1-1)  O TEX Y. Torrealba D. Smyly -3% 41% Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS)
b3 1-2 1 --- 2,(1-0)  O TEX B. Snyder D. Smyly -2% 39% Flyball: RF (Deep CF-RF)
b3 1-2 2 --- 6,(3-2)  TEX I. Kinsler D. Smyly 2% 41% Single to RF (Fly Ball to Deep 2B-1B)
b3 1-2 2 1-- 1,(0-0)  O TEX E. Andrus D. Smyly -3% 38% Flyball: RF (Short RF)
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Tigers 2, Rangers 1.
Top of the 4th, Tigers Batting, Ahead 2-1, Rangers' Yu Darvish facing 4-5-6
t4 2-1 0 --- 4,(1-2)  R DET P. Fielder Y. Darvish -10% 28% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF)
t4 3-1 0 --- 5,(2-2)  O DET D. Young Y. Darvish 2% 30% Strikeout Swinging
t4 3-1 1 --- 5,(1-2)  O DET B. Boesch Y. Darvish 1% 31% Strikeout Swinging
t4 3-1 2 --- 4,(1-2)  O DET J. Peralta Y. Darvish 1% 32% Flyball: RF (Deep CF-RF)
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 3, Rangers 1.
Bottom of the 4th, Rangers Batting, Behind 1-3, Tigers' Drew Smyly facing 3-4-5
b4 1-3 0 --- 5,(2-2)  O TEX J. Hamilton D. Smyly -3% 29% Strikeout Swinging
b4 1-3 1 --- 4,(2-1)  TEX A. Beltre D. Smyly 5% 34% Single to P (Ground Ball to Front of Home); Beltre to 2B/Adv on E1 (throw to 1B)
b4 1-3 1 -2- 1,(0-0)  R TEX M. Young D. Smyly 15% 49% Triple to LF (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF); Beltre Scores
b4 2-3 1 --3 5,(2-2)  R TEX N. Cruz D. Smyly 7% 56% Single to RF (Fly Ball to Short RF); Young Scores
b4 3-3 1 1-- 5,(2-2)  O TEX M. Napoli D. Smyly -3% 53% Flyball: CF (Deep CF)
b4 3-3 2 1-- 2,(0-1)  TEX Y. Torrealba D. Smyly 1% 54% Cruz Steals 2B
b4 3-3 2 -2- 6,(3-2)  R TEX Y. Torrealba D. Smyly 13% 67% Single to RF (Fly Ball to Short RF); Cruz Scores; Torrealba to 2B/Adv on throw to Hm
b4 4-3 2 -2- 1,(0-0)  RO TEX B. Snyder D. Smyly 8% 74% Single to CF (Line Drive to Short CF); Torrealba Scores; Snyder out at 2B/CF-C-SS
4 runs, 5 hits, 1 error, 0 LOB. Tigers 3, Rangers 5.
Top of the 5th, Tigers Batting, Behind 3-5, Rangers' Yu Darvish facing 8-9-1
t5 3-5 0 --- 3,(2-0)  DET A. Avila Y. Darvish -7% 67% Double to LF (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF)
t5 3-5 0 -2- 8,(3-2)  O DET R. Santiago Y. Darvish 5% 73% Strikeout Swinging
t5 3-5 1 -2- 3,(1-1)  O DET A. Jackson Y. Darvish 4% 76% Groundout: 1B-P; Avila to 3B
t5 3-5 2 --3 2,(1-0)  R DET Q. Berry Y. Darvish -9% 67% Single to RF (Ground Ball thru 2B-1B); Avila Scores
t5 4-5 2 1-- 3,(0-2)  O DET M. Cabrera Y. Darvish 3% 71% Strikeout Swinging
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Tigers 4, Rangers 5.
Bottom of the 5th, Rangers Batting, Ahead 5-4, Tigers' Drew Smyly facing 1-2-3
b5 5-4 0 --- 7,(1-2)  O TEX I. Kinsler D. Smyly -2% 68% Strikeout Swinging
b5 5-4 1 --- 4,(2-1)  TEX E. Andrus D. Smyly 4% 72% Double to LF (Line Drive to Short LF Line)
b5 5-4 1 -2- 1,(0-0)  O TEX J. Hamilton D. Smyly -3% 69% Groundout: 2B-1B; Andrus to 3B
b5 5-4 2 --3 2,(0-1)  R TEX A. Beltre D. Smyly 9% 78% Passed Ball; Andrus Scores
b5 6-4 2 --- 9,(3-2)  TEX A. Beltre D. Smyly 1% 79% Walk
Luis Marte replaces Drew Smyly pitching
b5 6-4 2 1-- 5,(1-2)  TEX M. Young L. Marte 2% 81% Single to SS (Ground Ball to SS-2B); Beltre to 3B
b5 6-4 2 1-3 2,(1-0)  O TEX N. Cruz L. Marte -3% 77% Flyball: RF
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Tigers 4, Rangers 6.
Top of the 6th, Tigers Batting, Behind 4-6, Rangers' Yu Darvish facing 4-5-6
t6 4-6 0 --- 5,(2-2)  O DET P. Fielder Y. Darvish 3% 81% Flyball: CF (Deep CF)
t6 4-6 1 --- 6,(3-2)  O DET D. Young Y. Darvish 2% 83% Strikeout Swinging
t6 4-6 2 --- 4,(1-2)  O DET B. Boesch Y. Darvish 1% 84% Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 4, Rangers 6.
Bottom of the 6th, Rangers Batting, Ahead 6-4, Tigers' Luis Marte facing 7-8-9
b6 6-4 0 --- 7,(1-2)  TEX M. Napoli L. Marte 2% 86% Hit By Pitch
b6 6-4 0 1-- 3,(1-1)  O TEX Y. Torrealba L. Marte -1% 85% Groundout: P-1B (Front of Home); Napoli to 2B
David Murphy pinch hits for Brandon Snyder (RF) batting 9th
b6 6-4 1 -2- 4,(3-0)  TEX D. Murphy L. Marte 1% 86% Walk
b6 6-4 1 12- 5,(2-2)  O TEX I. Kinsler L. Marte -3% 84% Strikeout Looking
b6 6-4 2 12- 1,(0-0)  O TEX E. Andrus L. Marte -3% 81% Flyball: RF (Deep RF)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Tigers 4, Rangers 6.
Top of the 7th, Tigers Batting, Behind 4-6, Rangers' Yu Darvish facing 7-8-9
David Murphy moves from PH to LF
Nelson Cruz moves from LF to RF
t7 4-6 0 --- 3,(1-1)  O DET J. Peralta Y. Darvish 4% 84% Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
t7 4-6 1 --- 6,(2-2)  O DET A. Avila Y. Darvish 2% 87% Strikeout Swinging
t7 4-6 2 --- 3,(0-2)  O DET R. Santiago Y. Darvish 1% 88% Strikeout Swinging (C-1B)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 4, Rangers 6.
Bottom of the 7th, Rangers Batting, Ahead 6-4, Tigers' Luis Marte facing 3-4-5
b7 6-4 0 --- 4,(2-1)  R TEX J. Hamilton L. Marte 6% 94% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep CF)
b7 7-4 0 --- 2,(1-0)  O TEX A. Beltre L. Marte -1% 93% Flyball: RF (CF-RF)
b7 7-4 1 --- 6,(1-2)  O TEX M. Young L. Marte -0% 93% Strikeout Swinging
b7 7-4 2 --- 2,(1-0)  O TEX N. Cruz L. Marte -0% 92% Flyball: RF
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 4, Rangers 7.
Top of the 8th, Tigers Batting, Behind 4-7, Rangers' Mike Adams facing 1-2-3
Mike Adams replaces Yu Darvish pitching
t8 4-7 0 --- 6,(3-2)  DET A. Jackson M. Adams -4% 88% Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B)
t8 4-7 0 1-- 4,(3-0)  DET Q. Berry M. Adams -8% 81% Walk; Jackson to 2B
t8 4-7 0 12- 7,(3-2)  O DET M. Cabrera M. Adams 5% 86% Flyball: CF (Deep CF); Jackson to 3B
t8 4-7 1 1-3 2,(0-1)  RO DET P. Fielder M. Adams 3% 89% Groundout: 1B unassisted (Weak 2B-1B); Jackson Scores; Berry to 2B
t8 5-7 2 -2- 7,(2-2)  O DET D. Young M. Adams 4% 94% Flyball: LF (Deep LF)
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Tigers 5, Rangers 7.
Bottom of the 8th, Rangers Batting, Ahead 7-5, Tigers' Jose Valverde facing 7-8-9
Jose Valverde replaces Luis Marte pitching
b8 7-5 0 --- 4,(2-1)  O TEX M. Napoli J. Valverde -1% 93% Flyball: LF (Deep LF Line)
b8 7-5 1 --- 2,(0-1)  O TEX Y. Torrealba J. Valverde -1% 92% Flyball: CF
b8 7-5 2 --- 6,(2-2)  O TEX D. Murphy J. Valverde -0% 92% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 5, Rangers 7.
Top of the 9th, Tigers Batting, Behind 5-7, Rangers' Joe Nathan facing 6-7-8
Joe Nathan replaces Mike Adams pitching
Josh Hamilton moves from CF to LF
Craig Gentry replaces David Murphy (LF) playing CF batting 9th
t9 5-7 0 --- 4,(1-2)  O DET B. Boesch J. Nathan 4% 96% Strikeout Looking
t9 5-7 1 --- 4,(2-1)  O DET J. Peralta J. Nathan 3% 99% Flyball: CF (Short CF)
t9 5-7 2 --- 5,(2-2)  O DET A. Avila J. Nathan 1% 100% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Tigers 5, Rangers 7.

Retrosheet.org Boxscore:TEX201206260
BackToBaseball.com Game Playback

  • Score- The score from the perspective of the batting team.
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  • wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
  • wWE- Winning Team's Win Expectancy. The probability of the eventual winning team winning the game prior to this play given two average teams playing each other. More About Win Probability Added
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