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Busch Stadium II, Attendance: 41,193 |
Friday, April 25, 2008, 9:15PM Time of Game: 2:47 |
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Astros
3
12-12
Won 6
4th, 3½ GB
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Astros 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 6 1
Cardinals 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0
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Cardinals
2
14-10
Lost 1
2nd, 1½ GB
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Houston Astros AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details K Matsui 2B 4 0 1 0 0 1 .290 .676 13 10 2 3 D Erstad CF-LF 4 1 2 0 0 0 .308 .718 15 11 3 0 2B M Tejada SS 3 1 1 1 1 0 .348 .988 22 12 2 3 3B L Berkman 1B 3 0 0 1 0 0 .313 1.061 17 10 6 1 SF,GDP C Lee LF 4 1 1 1 0 0 .278 .831 16 11 4 0 HR J Valverde P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 G Blum 3B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .206 .582 20 13 1 0 H Pence RF 3 0 1 0 0 0 .271 .712 9 6 3 0 J Towles C 3 0 0 0 0 1 .212 .840 12 8 6 0 S Chacon P 2 0 0 0 0 1 .100 .282 8 7 0 0 J Cruz PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .087 .406 6 3 0 0 W Wright P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 M Bourn CF 0 0 0 0 0 0 .216 .647 0 0 Totals 31 3 6 0 1 3 138 91 27 7
St. Louis Cardinals AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details S Schumaker RF 4 1 0 0 1 0 .313 .852 24 15 3 0 GDP R Ankiel CF 4 1 1 0 1 2 .244 .770 19 10 1 0 A Pujols 1B 3 0 1 0 2 0 .375 1.128 22 9 14 1 IW C Duncan LF 3 0 0 0 2 0 .275 .857 20 12 4 0 T Glaus 3B 2 0 0 0 0 2 .268 .767 8 7 0 1 A Miles 3B 2 0 0 0 0 0 .260 .607 9 6 0 0 A Kennedy 2B 4 0 1 1 0 1 .310 .687 13 9 0 7 Y Molina C 2 0 1 0 2 0 .278 .713 16 4 2 1 IW B Looper P 2 0 1 0 0 0 .250 .708 8 6 1 0 SH R Franklin P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 B Barton PH 1 0 0 0 0 1 .333 .872 4 3 0 0 J Isringhausen P 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 B Ryan SS 4 0 1 0 0 0 .429 .929 14 8 1 5 SB Totals 31 2 6 0 8 6 157 89 27 15
Houston Astros IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA S Chacon 7 5 2 1 6 3 0 2.45 31 111-60 36· 7·17 9·13· 4· 0 58 - 0.93 0.04 W Wright, W (3-0) 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 3.68 4 19-10 4· 3· 3 0· 1· 0· 0 0-0 0.23 0.01 J Valverde, S (4) 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 7.50 5 22-15 10· 4· 1 2· 1· 0· 0 0-0 5.42 0.20 Totals 9 6 2 1 8 6 0 40 152-85 50·14·21 11·15· 4· 0 -
St. Louis Cardinals IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA B Looper 7 2 0 0 1 2 0 4.05 23 97-63 39· 7·17 12· 8· 2· 0 74 - 0.89 0.40 R Franklin, H (8) 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.19 4 15-9 6· 1· 2 1· 3· 1· 0 0-0 1.46 0.07 J Isringhausen, BS (2), L (1-2) 1 3 3 3 0 1 1 6.55 6 26-19 10· 2· 7 2· 3· 2· 0 0-0 1.84 -0.72 Totals 9 6 3 3 1 3 1 33 138-91 55·10·26 15·14· 5· 0 -
Houston Astros St. Louis Cardinals 1. Kazuo Matsui 2B 1. Skip Schumaker RF 2. Darin Erstad CF 2. Rick Ankiel CF 3. Miguel Tejada SS 3. Albert Pujols 1B 4. Lance Berkman 1B 4. Chris Duncan LF 5. Carlos Lee LF 5. Troy Glaus 3B 6. Geoff Blum 3B 6. Adam Kennedy 2B 7. Hunter Pence RF 7. Yadier Molina C 8. J.R. Towles C 8. Braden Looper P 9. Shawn Chacon P 9. Brendan Ryan SS
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t9 | 2 | --- | R | 1,(0-0) | 41% | 81% | 2-2 | HOU | C. Lee | J. Isringhausen | Home Run (Line Drive to Deep LF) |
| b9 | 1 | --3 | O | 4,(1-2) | 25% | 84% | 2-3 | STL | R. Ankiel | J. Valverde | Strikeout Swinging |
| t9 | 1 | 1-- | R | 6,(3-2) | 23% | 32% | 0-2 | HOU | M. Tejada | J. Isringhausen | Triple to CF (Line Drive to Deep CF-RF); Erstad Scores |
| b9 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 4,(0-2) | 20% | 100% | 2-3 | STL | C. Duncan | J. Valverde | Popfly: SS (Weak SS) |
| b1 | 2 | 123 | RR | 2,(0-1) | -17% | 26% | 0-0 | STL | A. Kennedy | S. Chacon | Single to 3B (Ground Ball to Weak SS); Schumaker Scores; Ankiel Scores/Adv on E5 (throw)/unER/No RBI; Duncan to 3B; Kennedy to 2B |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Cardinals' Braden Looper facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -2% | 48% | 0-0 | HOU | K. Matsui | B. Looper | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t1 | 1 | --- | 3,(1-1) | 4% | 52% | 0-0 | HOU | D. Erstad | B. Looper | Double to RF (Line Drive to RF Line) | |
| t1 | 1 | -2- | O | 9,(3-2) | -3% | 48% | 0-0 | HOU | M. Tejada | B. Looper | Popfly: 1B |
| t1 | 2 | -2- | O | 3,(1-1) | -3% | 45% | 0-0 | HOU | L. Berkman | B. Looper | Flyball: LF (LF-CF) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Cardinals Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Shawn Chacon facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | 4,(3-0) | -4% | 42% | 0-0 | STL | S. Schumaker | S. Chacon | Walk | |
| b1 | 0 | 1-- | 4,(3-0) | -5% | 36% | 0-0 | STL | R. Ankiel | S. Chacon | Walk; Schumaker to 2B | |
| b1 | 0 | 12- | O | 4,(2-1) | 5% | 42% | 0-0 | STL | A. Pujols | S. Chacon | Popfly: 2B (Deep SS-2B) |
| b1 | 1 | 12- | 8,(3-2) | -6% | 36% | 0-0 | STL | C. Duncan | S. Chacon | Walk; Schumaker to 3B; Ankiel to 2B | |
| b1 | 1 | 123 | O | 3,(0-2) | 7% | 43% | 0-0 | STL | T. Glaus | S. Chacon | Strikeout Looking |
| b1 | 2 | 123 | RR | 2,(0-1) | -17% | 26% | 0-0 | STL | A. Kennedy | S. Chacon | Single to 3B (Ground Ball to Weak SS); Schumaker Scores; Ankiel Scores/Adv on E5 (throw)/unER/No RBI; Duncan to 3B; Kennedy to 2B |
| b1 | 2 | -23 | 4,(3-0) | -1% | 25% | 2-0 | STL | Y. Molina | S. Chacon | Intentional Walk | |
| b1 | 2 | 123 | O | 5,(1-2) | 5% | 30% | 2-0 | STL | B. Looper | S. Chacon | Popfly: 1B (2B-1B) |
| 2 runs, 1 hit, 1 error, 3 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Braden Looper facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 9,(2-2) | -2% | 28% | 0-2 | HOU | C. Lee | B. Looper | Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B) |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | -2% | 26% | 0-2 | HOU | G. Blum | B. Looper | Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS) |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 25% | 0-2 | HOU | H. Pence | B. Looper | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Shawn Chacon facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 2% | 27% | 2-0 | STL | B. Ryan | S. Chacon | Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS) |
| b2 | 1 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 1% | 28% | 2-0 | STL | S. Schumaker | S. Chacon | Lineout: 3B (Weak 3B) |
| b2 | 2 | --- | 4,(2-1) | -1% | 27% | 2-0 | STL | R. Ankiel | S. Chacon | Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B) | |
| b2 | 2 | 1-- | 4,(2-1) | -1% | 26% | 2-0 | STL | A. Pujols | S. Chacon | Single to P (Ground Ball to Front of Home); Ankiel to 2B | |
| b2 | 2 | 12- | 6,(3-2) | -2% | 24% | 2-0 | STL | C. Duncan | S. Chacon | Walk; Ankiel to 3B; Pujols to 2B | |
| b2 | 2 | 123 | O | 5,(1-2) | 5% | 29% | 2-0 | STL | T. Glaus | S. Chacon | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Braden Looper facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| Aaron Miles replaces Troy Glaus playing 3B batting 5th | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -3% | 26% | 0-2 | HOU | J. Towles | B. Looper | Strikeout Swinging |
| t3 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 24% | 0-2 | HOU | S. Chacon | B. Looper | Groundout: P unassisted (P's Left) |
| t3 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -1% | 23% | 0-2 | HOU | K. Matsui | B. Looper | Flyball: LF (LF Line) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Shawn Chacon facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 2% | 25% | 2-0 | STL | A. Kennedy | S. Chacon | Flyball: RF |
| b3 | 1 | --- | 3,(1-1) | -2% | 23% | 2-0 | STL | Y. Molina | S. Chacon | Single to 3B (Ground Ball to Weak 3B) | |
| b3 | 1 | 1-- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 24% | 2-0 | STL | B. Looper | S. Chacon | Bunt Groundout: 1B-2B/Sacrifice (Weak 2B-1B); Molina to 2B |
| b3 | 2 | -2- | O | 4,(2-1) | 2% | 27% | 2-0 | STL | B. Ryan | S. Chacon | Flyball: RF (Short RF) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Braden Looper facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -3% | 24% | 0-2 | HOU | D. Erstad | B. Looper | Flyball: LF (Deep LF) |
| t4 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 22% | 0-2 | HOU | M. Tejada | B. Looper | Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS) |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -1% | 21% | 0-2 | HOU | L. Berkman | B. Looper | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Shawn Chacon facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 1% | 23% | 2-0 | STL | S. Schumaker | S. Chacon | Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS) |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | 1% | 24% | 2-0 | STL | R. Ankiel | S. Chacon | Strikeout Swinging |
| b4 | 2 | --- | 6,(3-2) | -1% | 23% | 2-0 | STL | A. Pujols | S. Chacon | Walk | |
| b4 | 2 | 1-- | O | 1,(0-0) | 2% | 25% | 2-0 | STL | C. Duncan | S. Chacon | Lineout: RF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Braden Looper facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -3% | 22% | 0-2 | HOU | C. Lee | B. Looper | Flyball: RF (Short RF) |
| t5 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -2% | 20% | 0-2 | HOU | G. Blum | B. Looper | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t5 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -1% | 19% | 0-2 | HOU | H. Pence | B. Looper | Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Shawn Chacon facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 1% | 20% | 2-0 | STL | A. Miles | S. Chacon | Flyball: CF |
| b5 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 1% | 21% | 2-0 | STL | A. Kennedy | S. Chacon | Flyball: LF |
| b5 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | 1% | 22% | 2-0 | STL | Y. Molina | S. Chacon | Flyball: LF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Braden Looper facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | -3% | 19% | 0-2 | HOU | J. Towles | B. Looper | Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS) |
| t6 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(1-2) | -2% | 17% | 0-2 | HOU | S. Chacon | B. Looper | Strikeout Swinging |
| t6 | 2 | --- | 3,(1-1) | 2% | 18% | 0-2 | HOU | K. Matsui | B. Looper | Single to CF (Line Drive) | |
| t6 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3,(1-1) | -3% | 15% | 0-2 | HOU | D. Erstad | B. Looper | Flyball: RF |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Shawn Chacon facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | 2,(1-0) | -2% | 13% | 2-0 | STL | B. Looper | S. Chacon | Single to CF (Line Drive) | |
| b6 | 0 | 1-- | O | 3,(2-0) | 2% | 15% | 2-0 | STL | B. Ryan | S. Chacon | Lineout: CF |
| b6 | 1 | 1-- | OO | 1,(0-0) | 3% | 18% | 2-0 | STL | S. Schumaker | S. Chacon | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Braden Looper facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 6% | 24% | 0-2 | HOU | M. Tejada | B. Looper | Walk | |
| t7 | 0 | 1-- | OO | 5,(2-2) | -12% | 12% | 0-2 | HOU | L. Berkman | B. Looper | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B |
| t7 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | -1% | 11% | 0-2 | HOU | C. Lee | B. Looper | Groundout: 2B-1B (SS-2B) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Shawn Chacon facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | 1% | 12% | 2-0 | STL | R. Ankiel | S. Chacon | Flyball: LF |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 1% | 13% | 2-0 | STL | A. Pujols | S. Chacon | Flyball: CF (Deep CF) |
| b7 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 13% | 2-0 | STL | C. Duncan | S. Chacon | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Ryan Franklin facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Ryan Franklin replaces Braden Looper pitching and batting 8th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | -4% | 10% | 0-2 | HOU | G. Blum | R. Franklin | Flyball: CF |
| t8 | 1 | --- | 1,(0-0) | 5% | 14% | 0-2 | HOU | H. Pence | R. Franklin | Single to CF (Line Drive) | |
| t8 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3,(1-1) | -5% | 10% | 0-2 | HOU | J. Towles | R. Franklin | Flyball: RF (Short RF) |
| Jose Cruz pinch hits for Shawn Chacon (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 2 | 1-- | O | 6,(3-2) | -4% | 6% | 0-2 | HOU | J. Cruz | R. Franklin | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Wesley Wright facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| Wesley Wright replaces Jose Cruz (PH) pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 7,(3-2) | 1% | 7% | 2-0 | STL | A. Miles | W. Wright | Flyball: LF |
| b8 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 0% | 7% | 2-0 | STL | A. Kennedy | W. Wright | Strikeout Swinging |
| b8 | 2 | --- | 4,(3-0) | -0% | 7% | 2-0 | STL | Y. Molina | W. Wright | Walk | |
| Brian Barton pinch hits for Ryan Franklin (P) batting 8th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 2 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | 1% | 7% | 2-0 | STL | B. Barton | W. Wright | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Jason Isringhausen facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| Jason Isringhausen replaces Brian Barton (PH) pitching and batting 8th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -4% | 4% | 0-2 | HOU | K. Matsui | J. Isringhausen | Strikeout Swinging |
| t9 | 1 | --- | 5,(0-2) | 5% | 9% | 0-2 | HOU | D. Erstad | J. Isringhausen | Single to LF (Ground Ball thru Weak 3B) | |
| t9 | 1 | 1-- | R | 6,(3-2) | 23% | 32% | 0-2 | HOU | M. Tejada | J. Isringhausen | Triple to CF (Line Drive to Deep CF-RF); Erstad Scores |
| t9 | 1 | --3 | RO | 5,(2-2) | 7% | 39% | 1-2 | HOU | L. Berkman | J. Isringhausen | Flyball: LF/Sacrifice Fly (LF Line); Tejada Scores |
| t9 | 2 | --- | R | 1,(0-0) | 41% | 81% | 2-2 | HOU | C. Lee | J. Isringhausen | Home Run (Line Drive to Deep LF) |
| t9 | 2 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | -1% | 80% | 3-2 | HOU | G. Blum | J. Isringhausen | Groundout: 1B-P (2B-1B) |
| 3 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 3, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 9th, Cardinals Batting, Behind 2-3, Astros' Jose Valverde facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| Jose Valverde replaces Carlos Lee (LF) pitching and batting 5th; Darin Erstad moves from CF to LF; Michael Bourn replaces Wesley Wright (P) playing CF batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b9 | 0 | --- | 4,(1-2) | -13% | 66% | 2-3 | STL | B. Ryan | J. Valverde | Single to SS (Ground Ball to SS-2B) | |
| b9 | 0 | 1-- | 5,(0-2) | -11% | 55% | 2-3 | STL | S. Schumaker | J. Valverde | Ryan Steals 2B | |
| b9 | 0 | -2- | O | 6,(1-2) | 3% | 59% | 2-3 | STL | S. Schumaker | J. Valverde | Groundout: 2B-1B; Ryan to 3B |
| b9 | 1 | --3 | O | 4,(1-2) | 25% | 84% | 2-3 | STL | R. Ankiel | J. Valverde | Strikeout Swinging |
| b9 | 2 | --3 | 4,(3-0) | -4% | 80% | 2-3 | STL | A. Pujols | J. Valverde | Intentional Walk | |
| b9 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 4,(0-2) | 20% | 100% | 2-3 | STL | C. Duncan | J. Valverde | Popfly: SS (Weak SS) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Astros 3, Cardinals 2. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:SLN200804250
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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