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Kingdome, Attendance: 50,015 |
Sunday, September 1, 1996, 5:07 Time of Game: 2:53 |
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Orioles
1
72-64
Lost 1
2nd, 4 GB
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Orioles 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0
Mariners 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 X 5 9 0
W: Terry Mulholland (11-8), L: David Wells (10-13) |
Mariners
5
71-65
Won 1
2nd, 6 GB
|
Baltimore Orioles AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details R Alomar 2B 3 0 1 0 0 0 .347 .971 13 7 2 2 SH B Anderson CF 4 0 1 0 0 0 .295 1.034 12 9 2 0 C Ripken SS 3 0 0 0 1 0 .281 .804 14 5 1 4 IW R Palmeiro 1B 4 0 0 0 0 1 .288 .928 14 10 7 1 B Bonilla RF 4 1 2 1 0 0 .291 .848 10 6 3 0 HR T Zeile 3B 3 0 1 0 1 1 .270 .792 20 10 1 2 2B P Incaviglia DH 3 0 0 0 0 0 .239 .793 6 3 0 0 HBP B Surhoff LF 4 0 1 0 0 1 .291 .840 15 11 3 0 2B C Hoiles C 2 0 1 0 1 0 .255 .835 14 8 5 0 E Murray PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .268 .763 8 5 0 0 D Wells P 0 1 T Mathews P 0 0 Totals 31 1 7 0 3 3 126 74 24 10
Seattle Mariners AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details R Amaral 2B 2 1 1 0 1 1 .293 .762 17 8 0 2 2B,SB,SH A Rodriguez SS 3 1 2 3 1 0 .376 1.110 25 13 2 5 HR,2B,IW K Griffey CF 3 0 0 0 1 0 .301 1.024 13 8 1 0 E Martinez DH 4 0 0 0 0 0 .334 1.090 16 9 0 0 J Buhner RF 4 0 1 0 0 1 .273 .932 15 8 3 0 D Hollins 3B 4 1 1 0 0 1 .244 .761 16 12 2 5 2B M Whiten LF 4 1 1 1 0 1 .252 .822 11 8 1 0 HR B Hunter 1B 3 0 1 1 0 0 .290 .798 16 11 15 0 SF J Marzano C 4 1 2 0 0 0 .261 .655 15 10 3 0 T Mulholland P 0 1 N Charlton P 0 0 M Jackson P 0 0 Totals 31 5 9 0 3 4 144 87 27 13
Baltimore Orioles IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA D Wells, L (10-13) 6.2 7 4 4 3 3 1 4.72 30 119-72 52· 6·14 10·14· 5· 0 44 - 0.92 -0.11 T Mathews 1.1 2 1 1 0 1 1 4.62 6 23-14 11· 0· 3 2· 3· 1· 0 2-0 0.14 0.00 Totals 8 9 5 5 3 4 2 36 142-86 63· 6·17 12·17· 6· 0 2-0
Seattle Mariners IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA T Mulholland, W (11-8) 6.1 7 1 1 3 2 1 4.62 28 88-54 33· 3·18 11·12· 6· 0 54 - 1.32 0.21 N Charlton, H (7) 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.19 4 16-9 7· 0· 2 2· 2· 1· 0 2-0 1.04 0.16 M Jackson 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3.79 4 15-9 5· 1· 3 1· 1· 1· 0 0-0 0.27 0.02 Totals 9 7 1 1 3 3 1 36 119-72 45· 4·23 14·15· 8· 0 2-0
Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 1. Roberto Alomar 2B 1. Rich Amaral 2B 2. Brady Anderson CF 2. Alex Rodriguez SS 3. Cal Ripken SS 3. Ken Griffey CF 4. Rafael Palmeiro 1B 4. Edgar Martinez DH 5. Bobby Bonilla RF 5. Jay Buhner RF 6. Todd Zeile 3B 6. Dave Hollins 3B 7. Pete Incaviglia DH 7. Mark Whiten LF 8. B.J. Surhoff LF 8. Brian Hunter 1B 9. Chris Hoiles C 9. John Marzano C David Wells P Terry Mulholland P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b5 | 1 | 12- | RRR | 10,(3-2) | 24% | 86% | 1-1 | SEA | A. Rodriguez | D. Wells | Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF); Marzano Scores; Amaral Scores; Rodriguez Scores |
| t7 | 1 | 12- | OO | 6,(2-2) | 10% | 93% | 1-4 | BAL | B. Anderson | N. Charlton | Line Drive Double Play: 1B unassisted; Alomar out at 1B/1B |
| t5 | 1 | -23 | O | 1,(0-0) | 10% | 49% | 1-1 | BAL | B. Anderson | T. Mulholland | Flyball: LF (Short LF) |
| t2 | 1 | --- | R | 4,(2-1) | -10% | 43% | 0-0 | BAL | B. Bonilla | T. Mulholland | Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF Line); Bonilla Scores |
| t5 | 2 | 123 | O | 5,(2-2) | 10% | 57% | 1-1 | BAL | R. Palmeiro | T. Mulholland | Flyball: RF (Deep CF-RF) |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Orioles Batting, Tied 0-0, Mariners' Terry Mulholland facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | BAL | R. Alomar | T. Mulholland | Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B) |
| t1 | 1 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 2% | 54% | 0-0 | BAL | B. Anderson | T. Mulholland | Foul Popfly: 3B (3B Foul) |
| t1 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 1% | 55% | 0-0 | BAL | C. Ripken | T. Mulholland | Groundout: SS-1B (SS-2B) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 0, Mariners 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Mariners Batting, Tied 0-0, Orioles' David Wells facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | 6,(3-2) | 5% | 61% | 0-0 | SEA | R. Amaral | D. Wells | Double to RF (Line Drive to Short CF-RF) | |
| b1 | 0 | -2- | O | 5,(2-2) | -4% | 57% | 0-0 | SEA | A. Rodriguez | D. Wells | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| b1 | 1 | -2- | 2,(0-1) | 2% | 59% | 0-0 | SEA | K. Griffey | D. Wells | Amaral Steals 3B | |
| b1 | 1 | --3 | 8,(3-2) | 2% | 61% | 0-0 | SEA | K. Griffey | D. Wells | Walk | |
| b1 | 1 | 1-3 | O | 2,(1-0) | -6% | 55% | 0-0 | SEA | E. Martinez | D. Wells | Fielder's Choice P; Amaral out at Hm/P-3B-C; Griffey to 3B; Martinez to 1B |
| b1 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 5,(1-2) | -5% | 50% | 0-0 | SEA | J. Buhner | D. Wells | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Orioles 0, Mariners 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Orioles Batting, Tied 0-0, Mariners' Terry Mulholland facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | BAL | R. Palmeiro | T. Mulholland | Strikeout Swinging |
| t2 | 1 | --- | R | 4,(2-1) | -10% | 43% | 0-0 | BAL | B. Bonilla | T. Mulholland | Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF Line); Bonilla Scores |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 2% | 45% | 1-0 | BAL | T. Zeile | T. Mulholland | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 46% | 1-0 | BAL | P. Incaviglia | T. Mulholland | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Mariners Batting, Behind 0-1, Orioles' David Wells facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | 2,(0-1) | 6% | 52% | 0-1 | SEA | D. Hollins | D. Wells | Double to RF (Line Drive to Deep RF Line) | |
| b2 | 0 | -2- | O | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 50% | 0-1 | SEA | M. Whiten | D. Wells | Flyball: CF (Deep CF-RF); Hollins to 3B |
| b2 | 1 | --3 | RO | 3,(2-0) | 1% | 51% | 0-1 | SEA | B. Hunter | D. Wells | Lineout: LF/Sacrifice Fly (Deep LF-CF); Hollins Scores |
| b2 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -1% | 50% | 1-1 | SEA | J. Marzano | D. Wells | Groundout: SS-1B (SS-2B) |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Orioles Batting, Tied 1-1, Mariners' Terry Mulholland facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(0-2) | 3% | 53% | 1-1 | BAL | B. Surhoff | T. Mulholland | Strikeout Looking |
| t3 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 2% | 55% | 1-1 | BAL | C. Hoiles | T. Mulholland | Groundout: SS-1B (SS-2B) |
| t3 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 1% | 56% | 1-1 | BAL | R. Alomar | T. Mulholland | Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Mariners Batting, Tied 1-1, Orioles' David Wells facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -3% | 53% | 1-1 | SEA | R. Amaral | D. Wells | Strikeout Swinging |
| b3 | 1 | --- | 6,(3-2) | 4% | 58% | 1-1 | SEA | A. Rodriguez | D. Wells | Double to RF (Line Drive to Deep RF) | |
| b3 | 1 | -2- | O | 1,(0-0) | -3% | 54% | 1-1 | SEA | K. Griffey | D. Wells | Groundout: 2B-1B; Rodriguez to 3B |
| b3 | 2 | --3 | O | 5,(3-1) | -4% | 50% | 1-1 | SEA | E. Martinez | D. Wells | Foul Popfly: 3B |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Orioles Batting, Tied 1-1, Mariners' Terry Mulholland facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | 4,(1-2) | -4% | 46% | 1-1 | BAL | B. Anderson | T. Mulholland | Single to CF (Line Drive) | |
| t4 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4,(2-1) | 4% | 50% | 1-1 | BAL | C. Ripken | T. Mulholland | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| t4 | 1 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | 4% | 54% | 1-1 | BAL | R. Palmeiro | T. Mulholland | Flyball: CF (Deep LF-CF) |
| t4 | 2 | 1-- | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 51% | 1-1 | BAL | B. Bonilla | T. Mulholland | Single to CF (Line Drive to LF-CF); Anderson to 2B | |
| t4 | 2 | 12- | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 49% | 1-1 | BAL | T. Zeile | T. Mulholland | Wild Pitch; Anderson to 3B; Bonilla to 2B | |
| t4 | 2 | -23 | 5,(3-1) | -2% | 48% | 1-1 | BAL | T. Zeile | T. Mulholland | Walk | |
| t4 | 2 | 123 | O | 1,(0-0) | 9% | 56% | 1-1 | BAL | P. Incaviglia | T. Mulholland | Groundout: 3B unassisted/Forceout at 3B |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Mariners Batting, Tied 1-1, Orioles' David Wells facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | -3% | 54% | 1-1 | SEA | J. Buhner | D. Wells | Flyball: CF |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | -2% | 51% | 1-1 | SEA | D. Hollins | D. Wells | Flyball: LF |
| b4 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 50% | 1-1 | SEA | M. Whiten | D. Wells | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Orioles Batting, Tied 1-1, Mariners' Terry Mulholland facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | 1,(0-0) | -7% | 43% | 1-1 | BAL | B. Surhoff | T. Mulholland | Double to LF (Line Drive to Deep LF) | |
| t5 | 0 | -2- | 5,(3-1) | -4% | 39% | 1-1 | BAL | C. Hoiles | T. Mulholland | Walk | |
| t5 | 0 | 12- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 39% | 1-1 | BAL | R. Alomar | T. Mulholland | Bunt Groundout: 3B-1B/Sacrifice; Surhoff to 3B; Hoiles to 2B |
| t5 | 1 | -23 | O | 1,(0-0) | 10% | 49% | 1-1 | BAL | B. Anderson | T. Mulholland | Flyball: LF (Short LF) |
| t5 | 2 | -23 | 4,(3-0) | -2% | 48% | 1-1 | BAL | C. Ripken | T. Mulholland | Intentional Walk | |
| t5 | 2 | 123 | O | 5,(2-2) | 10% | 57% | 1-1 | BAL | R. Palmeiro | T. Mulholland | Flyball: RF (Deep CF-RF) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Mariners Batting, Tied 1-1, Orioles' David Wells facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | -3% | 54% | 1-1 | SEA | B. Hunter | D. Wells | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b5 | 1 | --- | 3,(1-1) | 3% | 57% | 1-1 | SEA | J. Marzano | D. Wells | Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B) | |
| b5 | 1 | 1-- | 5,(3-1) | 4% | 62% | 1-1 | SEA | R. Amaral | D. Wells | Walk; Marzano to 2B | |
| b5 | 1 | 12- | RRR | 10,(3-2) | 24% | 86% | 1-1 | SEA | A. Rodriguez | D. Wells | Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF); Marzano Scores; Amaral Scores; Rodriguez Scores |
| b5 | 1 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 85% | 4-1 | SEA | K. Griffey | D. Wells | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| b5 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | -1% | 84% | 4-1 | SEA | E. Martinez | D. Wells | Groundout: 2B-1B (Weak 2B-1B) |
| 3 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Orioles Batting, Behind 1-4, Mariners' Terry Mulholland facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 87% | 1-4 | BAL | B. Bonilla | T. Mulholland | Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS) |
| t6 | 1 | --- | 5,(2-2) | -4% | 83% | 1-4 | BAL | T. Zeile | T. Mulholland | Double to LF (Line Drive) | |
| t6 | 1 | -2- | O | 2,(1-0) | 4% | 87% | 1-4 | BAL | P. Incaviglia | T. Mulholland | Groundout: SS-1B (Deep SS-3B Hole) |
| t6 | 2 | -2- | O | 4,(3-1) | 3% | 90% | 1-4 | BAL | B. Surhoff | T. Mulholland | Zeile Picked off 2B (P-SS) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Mariners Batting, Ahead 4-1, Orioles' David Wells facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | 3,(2-0) | 1% | 91% | 4-1 | SEA | J. Buhner | D. Wells | Single to LF (Ground Ball thru SS-3B Hole) | |
| b6 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 90% | 4-1 | SEA | D. Hollins | D. Wells | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| b6 | 1 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | -1% | 89% | 4-1 | SEA | M. Whiten | D. Wells | Popfly: SS (Deep SS) |
| b6 | 2 | 1-- | O | 8,(2-2) | -1% | 88% | 4-1 | SEA | B. Hunter | D. Wells | Flyball: RF |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Orioles Batting, Behind 1-4, Mariners' Terry Mulholland facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 3% | 90% | 1-4 | BAL | B. Surhoff | T. Mulholland | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t7 | 1 | --- | 6,(1-2) | -3% | 87% | 1-4 | BAL | C. Hoiles | T. Mulholland | Single to LF (Line Drive to Deep SS-3B Hole) | |
| t7 | 1 | 1-- | 4,(2-1) | -5% | 83% | 1-4 | BAL | R. Alomar | T. Mulholland | Single to LF (Line Drive to Short LF-CF); Hoiles to 2B | |
| Norm Charlton replaces Terry Mulholland pitching | |||||||||||
| t7 | 1 | 12- | OO | 6,(2-2) | 10% | 93% | 1-4 | BAL | B. Anderson | N. Charlton | Line Drive Double Play: 1B unassisted; Alomar out at 1B/1B |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Mariners Batting, Ahead 4-1, Orioles' David Wells facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | 4,(1-2) | 1% | 94% | 4-1 | SEA | J. Marzano | D. Wells | Single to CF (Line Drive to Deep SS-2B) | |
| b7 | 0 | 1-- | O | 2,(1-0) | -0% | 94% | 4-1 | SEA | R. Amaral | D. Wells | Bunt Groundout: 1B-2B/Sacrifice (Short 1B Line); Marzano to 2B |
| b7 | 1 | -2- | 4,(3-0) | 0% | 94% | 4-1 | SEA | A. Rodriguez | D. Wells | Intentional Walk | |
| b7 | 1 | 12- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 93% | 4-1 | SEA | K. Griffey | D. Wells | Flyball: RF (Short RF Line) |
| Terry Mathews replaces David Wells pitching | |||||||||||
| b7 | 2 | 12- | O | 4,(2-1) | -1% | 91% | 4-1 | SEA | E. Martinez | T. Mathews | Flyball: LF |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Orioles Batting, Behind 1-4, Mariners' Norm Charlton facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | 3% | 94% | 1-4 | BAL | C. Ripken | N. Charlton | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t8 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 2% | 96% | 1-4 | BAL | R. Palmeiro | N. Charlton | Groundout: 1B unassisted (Weak 1B) |
| t8 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(2-0) | 1% | 97% | 1-4 | BAL | B. Bonilla | N. Charlton | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Mariners Batting, Ahead 4-1, Orioles' Terry Mathews facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | -0% | 96% | 4-1 | SEA | J. Buhner | T. Mathews | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b8 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -0% | 96% | 4-1 | SEA | D. Hollins | T. Mathews | Strikeout Looking |
| b8 | 2 | --- | R | 4,(2-1) | 2% | 98% | 4-1 | SEA | M. Whiten | T. Mathews | Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF); Whiten Scores |
| b8 | 2 | --- | 2,(0-1) | 0% | 98% | 5-1 | SEA | B. Hunter | T. Mathews | Single to LF (Line Drive to Short LF Line) | |
| b8 | 2 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | -0% | 98% | 5-1 | SEA | J. Marzano | T. Mathews | Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B (SS-2B) |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Orioles Batting, Behind 1-5, Mariners' Mike Jackson facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Mike Jackson replaces Norm Charlton pitching | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 1% | 99% | 1-5 | BAL | T. Zeile | M. Jackson | Strikeout Swinging |
| t9 | 1 | --- | 2,(1-0) | -1% | 98% | 1-5 | BAL | P. Incaviglia | M. Jackson | Hit By Pitch | |
| t9 | 1 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | 1% | 99% | 1-5 | BAL | B. Surhoff | M. Jackson | Groundout: 2B-1B (Weak 2B); Incaviglia to 2B |
| Eddie Murray pinch hits for Chris Hoiles (C) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 2 | -2- | 2,(0-1) | 0% | 99% | 1-5 | BAL | E. Murray | M. Jackson | Wild Pitch; Incaviglia to 3B | |
| t9 | 2 | --3 | O | 6,(2-2) | 1% | 100% | 1-5 | BAL | E. Murray | M. Jackson | Lineout: SS |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Mariners 5. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:SEA199609010
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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