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Kingdome, Attendance: 17,517 |
Saturday, September 19, 1992, (null) Time of Game: 2:29 |
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Athletics
4
90-58
Lost 1
1st
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Athletics 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 8 1
Mariners 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 X 6 8 0
|
Mariners
6
57-91
Won 1
7th, 33 GB
|
Oakland Athletics AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details W Weiss SS 4 0 0 0 1 0 .220 .559 19 12 1 2 J Browne 3B 4 2 2 0 1 1 .289 .726 26 17 0 1 2B R Sierra RF 4 1 3 2 0 0 .280 .772 11 5 3 0 HR H Baines LF 2 0 0 1 1 0 .250 .708 10 5 1 0 R Henderson PH-LF 1 0 1 0 0 0 .280 .874 5 4 2 0 M McGwire 1B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .266 .975 6 4 7 2 GDP T Neel DH 2 1 0 0 2 1 .317 .990 19 10 0 0 W Wilson CF 4 0 1 0 0 1 .269 .662 15 10 2 0 J Quirk C 2 0 1 1 0 0 .215 .562 7 4 2 0 2B D Henderson PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .178 .378 2 2 0 0 H Mercedes C 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 2.000 1 0 E Fox PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .236 .691 3 3 0 0 T Steinbach C 0 0 0 0 0 0 .277 .754 0 0 L Blankenship 2B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .249 .752 15 12 3 3 GDP B Welch P 0 0 K Downs P 2 0 Totals 33 4 8 0 5 3 138 88 24 8
Seattle Mariners AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details O Vizquel SS 3 0 0 0 1 1 .287 .674 13 6 1 3 H Cotto LF 4 1 1 1 0 0 .265 .651 11 8 2 0 K Griffey CF 4 1 1 1 0 0 .323 .934 7 5 1 0 T Martinez DH 4 1 1 1 0 0 .260 .726 11 7 0 0 J Buhner RF 3 1 1 1 1 1 .245 .759 21 13 6 0 P O'Brien 1B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .218 .657 6 6 11 1 B Boone 2B 4 0 3 2 0 0 .194 .517 16 9 3 5 D Valle C 3 1 0 0 0 0 .238 .671 11 9 3 0 HBP M Blowers 3B 3 1 1 0 0 1 .209 .562 9 8 0 2 2B T Leary P 0 1 R Swan P 0 0 R DeLucia P 0 0 J Nelson P 0 0 Totals 32 6 8 0 2 3 105 71 27 12
Oakland Athletics IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA B Welch, L (10-6) 4 6 6 6 2 1 0 3.28 20 65-40 24· 3·13 6·10· 4· 0 25 - 1.22 -0.48 K Downs 4 2 0 0 0 2 0 3.38 15 40-31 19· 6· 6 5· 8· 3· 0 0-0 0.40 0.10 Totals 8 8 6 6 2 3 0 35 105-71 43· 9·19 11·18· 7· 0 -
Seattle Mariners IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA T Leary, W (7-9) 5 5 4 4 5 0 1 5.67 24 88-54 33· 6·15 11· 8· 1· 0 36 - 0.94 -0.22 R Swan, H (7) 1.2 3 0 0 0 0 0 4.85 7 24-16 12· 0· 4 2· 5· 3· 0 1-0 1.83 0.12 R DeLucia, H (2) 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 6.17 1 1-1 1· 0· 0 0· 1· 0· 0 2-0 2.48 0.06 J Nelson, S (5) 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 3.29 6 25-17 5· 4· 8 1· 2· 0· 0 0-0 1.03 0.14 Totals 9 8 4 4 5 3 1 38 138-88 51·10·27 14·16· 4· 0 3-0
Oakland Athletics Seattle Mariners 1. Walt Weiss SS 1. Omar Vizquel SS 2. Jerry Browne 3B 2. Henry Cotto LF 3. Ruben Sierra RF 3. Ken Griffey CF 4. Harold Baines LF 4. Tino Martinez DH 5. Mark McGwire 1B 5. Jay Buhner RF 6. Troy Neel DH 6. Pete O'Brien 1B 7. Willie Wilson CF 7. Bret Boone 2B 8. Jamie Quirk C 8. Dave Valle C 9. Lance Blankenship 2B 9. Mike Blowers 3B Bob Welch P Tim Leary P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t1 | 1 | 1-- | RR | 3,(2-0) | -17% | 32% | 0-0 | OAK | R. Sierra | T. Leary | Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep RF); Browne Scores; Sierra Scores |
| t6 | 1 | 1-3 | OO | 2,(0-1) | 15% | 85% | 4-6 | OAK | L. Blankenship | R. Swan | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-1B (SS-2B) |
| b3 | 2 | -23 | RR | 5,(3-1) | 15% | 83% | 4-3 | SEA | B. Boone | B. Welch | Single to 2B (Line Drive to Deep SS-2B); Martinez Scores; Buhner Scores |
| b3 | 1 | 1-3 | R | 1,(0-0) | 12% | 51% | 1-3 | SEA | K. Griffey | B. Welch | Single to SS (Ground Ball to Deep SS-2B); Blowers Scores; Cotto to 3B |
| b3 | 1 | 1-3 | R | 3,(2-0) | 12% | 63% | 2-3 | SEA | T. Martinez | B. Welch | Single to 2B (Line Drive to Deep SS-2B); Cotto Scores; Griffey to 3B |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Athletics Batting, Tied 0-0, Mariners' Tim Leary facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | OAK | W. Weiss | T. Leary | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t1 | 1 | --- | 7,(3-2) | -2% | 50% | 0-0 | OAK | J. Browne | T. Leary | Walk | |
| t1 | 1 | 1-- | RR | 3,(2-0) | -17% | 32% | 0-0 | OAK | R. Sierra | T. Leary | Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep RF); Browne Scores; Sierra Scores |
| t1 | 1 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 34% | 2-0 | OAK | H. Baines | T. Leary | Groundout: 2B-1B (SS-2B) |
| t1 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 1% | 34% | 2-0 | OAK | M. McGwire | T. Leary | Popfly: 2B (2B-1B) |
| 2 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Athletics 2, Mariners 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Mariners Batting, Behind 0-2, Athletics' Bob Welch facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 4% | 38% | 0-2 | SEA | O. Vizquel | B. Welch | Walk | |
| b1 | 0 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 36% | 0-2 | SEA | H. Cotto | B. Welch | Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B); Vizquel to 2B |
| b1 | 1 | -2- | O | 4,(2-1) | -3% | 33% | 0-2 | SEA | K. Griffey | B. Welch | Popfly: SS (SS-2B) |
| b1 | 2 | -2- | O | 3,(1-1) | -3% | 29% | 0-2 | SEA | T. Martinez | B. Welch | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Athletics 2, Mariners 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Athletics Batting, Ahead 2-0, Mariners' Tim Leary facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | 7,(3-2) | -3% | 27% | 2-0 | OAK | T. Neel | T. Leary | Walk | |
| t2 | 0 | 1-- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 28% | 2-0 | OAK | W. Wilson | T. Leary | Groundout: SS-1B (SS-2B); Neel to 2B |
| t2 | 1 | -2- | R | 5,(2-2) | -8% | 20% | 2-0 | OAK | J. Quirk | T. Leary | Double (Fly Ball); Neel Scores |
| t2 | 1 | -2- | O | 4,(0-2) | 2% | 22% | 3-0 | OAK | L. Blankenship | T. Leary | Flyball: LF |
| t2 | 2 | -2- | 6,(3-2) | -0% | 22% | 3-0 | OAK | W. Weiss | T. Leary | Walk | |
| t2 | 2 | 12- | O | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 24% | 3-0 | OAK | J. Browne | T. Leary | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Athletics 3, Mariners 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Mariners Batting, Behind 0-3, Athletics' Bob Welch facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | 7,(3-2) | 4% | 28% | 0-3 | SEA | J. Buhner | B. Welch | Walk | |
| b2 | 0 | 1-- | OO | 1,(0-0) | -7% | 20% | 0-3 | SEA | P. O'Brien | B. Welch | Line Drive Double Play: 2B-1B |
| b2 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -1% | 20% | 0-3 | SEA | B. Boone | B. Welch | Popfly: 1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Athletics 3, Mariners 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Athletics Batting, Ahead 3-0, Mariners' Tim Leary facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | 3,(1-1) | -2% | 18% | 3-0 | OAK | R. Sierra | T. Leary | Single to CF (Ground Ball thru Deep SS-2B) | |
| t3 | 0 | 1-- | 6,(3-2) | -3% | 15% | 3-0 | OAK | H. Baines | T. Leary | Walk; Sierra to 2B | |
| t3 | 0 | 12- | O | 2,(1-0) | 3% | 17% | 3-0 | OAK | M. McGwire | T. Leary | Flyball: LF (Deep LF) |
| t3 | 1 | 12- | O | 1,(0-0) | 2% | 20% | 3-0 | OAK | T. Neel | T. Leary | Flyball: RF (Deep RF); Sierra to 3B |
| t3 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 5,(1-2) | 3% | 22% | 3-0 | OAK | W. Wilson | T. Leary | Groundout: P-1B (Short 1B Line) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Athletics 3, Mariners 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Mariners Batting, Behind 0-3, Athletics' Bob Welch facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | 4,(1-2) | 4% | 26% | 0-3 | SEA | D. Valle | B. Welch | Hit By Pitch | |
| b3 | 0 | 1-- | 2,(0-1) | 11% | 38% | 0-3 | SEA | M. Blowers | B. Welch | Double (Fly Ball to Deep CF-RF); Valle to 3B | |
| b3 | 0 | -23 | O | 4,(1-2) | -6% | 32% | 0-3 | SEA | O. Vizquel | B. Welch | Strikeout Swinging |
| b3 | 1 | -23 | R | 2,(0-1) | 8% | 40% | 0-3 | SEA | H. Cotto | B. Welch | Single (Line Drive to Deep 2B-1B); Valle Scores; Blowers to 3B |
| b3 | 1 | 1-3 | R | 1,(0-0) | 12% | 51% | 1-3 | SEA | K. Griffey | B. Welch | Single to SS (Ground Ball to Deep SS-2B); Blowers Scores; Cotto to 3B |
| b3 | 1 | 1-3 | R | 3,(2-0) | 12% | 63% | 2-3 | SEA | T. Martinez | B. Welch | Single to 2B (Line Drive to Deep SS-2B); Cotto Scores; Griffey to 3B |
| b3 | 1 | 1-3 | R | 5,(2-2) | 8% | 71% | 3-3 | SEA | J. Buhner | B. Welch | Single (Ground Ball to Deep SS-2B); Griffey Scores; Martinez to 2B |
| b3 | 1 | 12- | O | 1,(0-0) | -3% | 68% | 4-3 | SEA | P. O'Brien | B. Welch | Groundout: 1B unassisted (Weak 1B); Martinez to 3B; Buhner to 2B |
| b3 | 2 | -23 | RR | 5,(3-1) | 15% | 83% | 4-3 | SEA | B. Boone | B. Welch | Single to 2B (Line Drive to Deep SS-2B); Martinez Scores; Buhner Scores |
| b3 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3,(0-2) | -1% | 82% | 6-3 | SEA | D. Valle | B. Welch | Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B; Valle to 1B |
| 6 runs, 6 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Athletics 3, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Athletics Batting, Behind 3-6, Mariners' Tim Leary facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 2% | 85% | 3-6 | OAK | J. Quirk | T. Leary | Flyball: RF (Short CF-RF) |
| t4 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | 1% | 86% | 3-6 | OAK | L. Blankenship | T. Leary | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | 1% | 87% | 3-6 | OAK | W. Weiss | T. Leary | Groundout: 1B unassisted (2B-1B) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Athletics 3, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Mariners Batting, Ahead 6-3, Athletics' Bob Welch facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -1% | 86% | 6-3 | SEA | M. Blowers | B. Welch | Flyball: RF |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | -1% | 85% | 6-3 | SEA | O. Vizquel | B. Welch | Flyball: CF |
| b4 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | -1% | 85% | 6-3 | SEA | H. Cotto | B. Welch | Flyball: LF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Athletics 3, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Athletics Batting, Behind 3-6, Mariners' Tim Leary facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | 5,(0-2) | -6% | 79% | 3-6 | OAK | J. Browne | T. Leary | Double to 1B (Line Drive) | |
| t5 | 0 | -2- | 2,(1-0) | -8% | 71% | 3-6 | OAK | R. Sierra | T. Leary | Single to 2B (Ground Ball to SS-2B); Browne to 3B | |
| t5 | 0 | 1-3 | RO | 3,(1-1) | 5% | 76% | 3-6 | OAK | H. Baines | T. Leary | Groundout: 1B-SS/Forceout at 2B; Browne Scores; Baines to 1B |
| t5 | 1 | 1-- | OO | 1,(0-0) | 6% | 82% | 4-6 | OAK | M. McGwire | T. Leary | Ground Ball Double Play: 3B-2B-1B |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Athletics 4, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Mariners Batting, Ahead 6-4, Athletics' Kelly Downs facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| Kelly Downs replaces Bob Welch pitching | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 81% | 6-4 | SEA | K. Griffey | K. Downs | Flyball: RF |
| b5 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 80% | 6-4 | SEA | T. Martinez | K. Downs | Groundout: 1B-P (Weak 1B) |
| b5 | 2 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | -1% | 79% | 6-4 | SEA | J. Buhner | K. Downs | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Athletics 4, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Athletics Batting, Behind 4-6, Mariners' Tim Leary facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | 7,(3-2) | -5% | 74% | 4-6 | OAK | T. Neel | T. Leary | Walk | |
| Russ Swan replaces Tim Leary pitching | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | 1-- | 3,(1-1) | -9% | 65% | 4-6 | OAK | W. Wilson | R. Swan | Single to 2B (Line Drive to Deep SS-2B); Neel to 2B | |
| Dave Henderson pinch hits for Jamie Quirk (C) batting 8th | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | 12- | O | 2,(0-1) | 5% | 70% | 4-6 | OAK | D. Henderson | R. Swan | Flyball: RF; Neel to 3B |
| t6 | 1 | 1-3 | OO | 2,(0-1) | 15% | 85% | 4-6 | OAK | L. Blankenship | R. Swan | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-1B (SS-2B) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Athletics 4, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Mariners Batting, Ahead 6-4, Athletics' Kelly Downs facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Henry Mercedes replaces Dave Henderson (PH) playing C batting 8th | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -1% | 84% | 6-4 | SEA | P. O'Brien | K. Downs | Groundout: 2B-1B (SS-2B) |
| b6 | 1 | --- | 3,(2-0) | 1% | 85% | 6-4 | SEA | B. Boone | K. Downs | Single to SS (Line Drive to Deep SS) | |
| b6 | 1 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 84% | 6-4 | SEA | D. Valle | K. Downs | Popfly: 2B (Deep 2B) |
| b6 | 2 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 82% | 6-4 | SEA | M. Blowers | K. Downs | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Athletics 4, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Athletics Batting, Behind 4-6, Mariners' Russ Swan facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 3% | 86% | 4-6 | OAK | W. Weiss | R. Swan | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t7 | 1 | --- | 7,(3-2) | -4% | 82% | 4-6 | OAK | J. Browne | R. Swan | Single to 2B (Line Drive to Deep SS-2B) | |
| t7 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3,(2-0) | 4% | 86% | 4-6 | OAK | R. Sierra | R. Swan | Flyball: RF |
| Rickey Henderson pinch hits for Harold Baines (LF) batting 4th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 2 | 1-- | 5,(1-2) | -3% | 83% | 4-6 | OAK | R. Henderson | R. Swan | Single to CF (Line Drive); Browne to 2B | |
| Rich DeLucia replaces Russ Swan pitching | |||||||||||
| t7 | 2 | 12- | O | 1,(0-0) | 6% | 89% | 4-6 | OAK | M. McGwire | R. DeLucia | Flyball: RF (Short RF) |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Athletics 4, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Mariners Batting, Ahead 6-4, Athletics' Kelly Downs facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| Rickey Henderson moves from PH to LF | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | -1% | 88% | 6-4 | SEA | O. Vizquel | K. Downs | Foul Flyball: LF (3B Foul) |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -1% | 88% | 6-4 | SEA | H. Cotto | K. Downs | Lineout: CF |
| b7 | 2 | --- | 1,(0-0) | 0% | 88% | 6-4 | SEA | K. Griffey | K. Downs | Reached on E4 (Ground Ball to SS-2B); Griffey to 1B | |
| b7 | 2 | 1-- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 87% | 6-4 | SEA | T. Martinez | K. Downs | Groundout: 1B-P (2B-1B) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Athletics 4, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Athletics Batting, Behind 4-6, Mariners' Jeff Nelson facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Jeff Nelson replaces Rich DeLucia pitching | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 4% | 91% | 4-6 | OAK | T. Neel | J. Nelson | Strikeout Swinging |
| t8 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 2% | 93% | 4-6 | OAK | W. Wilson | J. Nelson | Strikeout Swinging |
| Eric Fox pinch hits for Henry Mercedes (C) batting 8th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | 1% | 94% | 4-6 | OAK | E. Fox | J. Nelson | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Athletics 4, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Mariners Batting, Ahead 6-4, Athletics' Kelly Downs facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| Terry Steinbach replaces Eric Fox (PH) playing C batting 8th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -0% | 94% | 6-4 | SEA | J. Buhner | K. Downs | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b8 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -0% | 93% | 6-4 | SEA | P. O'Brien | K. Downs | Flyball: LF |
| b8 | 2 | --- | 5,(2-2) | 0% | 94% | 6-4 | SEA | B. Boone | K. Downs | Single (Line Drive to 2B-1B) | |
| b8 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | -1% | 93% | 6-4 | SEA | D. Valle | K. Downs | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Athletics 4, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Athletics Batting, Behind 4-6, Mariners' Jeff Nelson facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 4% | 97% | 4-6 | OAK | L. Blankenship | J. Nelson | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t9 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 2% | 99% | 4-6 | OAK | W. Weiss | J. Nelson | Flyball: CF |
| t9 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 1% | 100% | 4-6 | OAK | J. Browne | J. Nelson | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Athletics 4, Mariners 6. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:SEA199209190
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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