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| Standings at end of play this day | ||
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Qualcomm Stadium, Attendance: 13,697 |
Friday, August 12, 1977 Time of Game: 2:42 |
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Astros
4
54-63
Lost 1
3rd, 16 GB
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Astros 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 10 2
Padres 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 5 11 0
W: Rollie Fingers (8-4), L: Ken Forsch (4-8) Winning Run scored with 1 out |
Padres
5
53-67
Won 5
5th, 18½ GB
|
Houston Astros AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details T Puhl LF 3 0 1 0 0 0 .260 .653 0 0 W Howard PH-LF 2 0 0 0 0 2 .222 .546 0 0 E Cabell 3B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .270 .727 3 1 C Cedeno CF 4 1 2 1 0 1 .244 .734 3 1 HR B Watson 1B 4 1 1 0 0 1 .285 .828 11 0 J Cruz RF 4 0 2 1 0 0 .288 .825 2 1 2B,CS J Ferguson C 4 1 1 0 0 2 .248 .789 4 0 A Howe 2B 3 1 1 1 1 0 .265 .769 1 3 2B R Metzger SS 2 0 1 0 1 0 .181 .517 1 5 E Herrmann PH 1 0 1 1 0 0 .272 .642 0 0 2B J Gonzalez PR-SS 0 0 0 0 0 0 .257 .622 0 0 T Dixon P 1 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 2 SH B McLaughlin P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .111 0 0 K Boswell PH 1 0 0 0 0 1 .222 .556 0 0 G Pentz P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 A Gardner PH 1 0 0 0 0 1 .143 .315 0 0 K Forsch P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .077 .220 0 0 Totals 34 4 10 0 2 8 25 13
San Diego Padres AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details G Richards 1B 5 1 1 1 0 0 .272 .720 8 1 B Almon SS 4 1 2 0 1 0 .254 .616 0 4 J Turner LF 5 0 2 0 0 1 .242 .736 1 1 D Winfield RF 3 1 1 1 2 0 .296 .871 3 1 G Hendrick CF 5 1 3 1 0 0 .300 .832 3 0 G Tenace C 2 0 1 0 2 0 .229 .836 8 2 HBP M Champion 2B 3 0 0 0 0 1 .230 .546 2 2 SH D Kingman PH 1 0 0 1 0 0 .219 .687 0 0 T Ashford 3B 4 1 1 0 0 0 .237 .640 1 0 D Wehrmeister P 2 0 0 0 0 1 .182 .455 0 2 SH B Shirley P 1 0 0 0 0 0 .102 .260 1 0 R Fingers P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 Totals 35 5 11 0 5 3 27 13
Houston Astros IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA T Dixon 4 10 4 3 2 2 0 3.00 25 - · · 6· 4· 0·10 28 - 1.23 -0.33 B McLaughlin 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.31 6 - · · 5· 1· 0· 0 2-0 0.54 0.09 G Pentz 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 4.94 7 - · · 4· 2· 0· 0 0-0 0.38 0.03 K Forsch, L (4-8) 0.1 1 1 1 2 1 0 2.71 5 - · · 1· 0· 0· 1 0-0 3.31 -0.38 Totals 8.1 11 5 4 5 3 0 43 - · · 16· 7· 0·11 2-0
San Diego Padres IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA D Wehrmeister 6.1 7 2 2 2 2 1 4.32 26 - · · 8· 7· 0· 7 51 - 0.92 0.03 B Shirley, H (1) 2 1 1 1 0 4 0 4.11 7 - · · 0· 2· 2· 1 2-0 1.62 0.19 R Fingers, BS (8), W (8-4) 0.2 2 1 1 0 2 0 2.91 4 - · · 0· 0· 0· 2 1-1 3.29 -0.30 Totals 9 10 4 4 2 8 1 37 - · · 8· 9· 2·10 3-1
Houston Astros San Diego Padres 1. Terry Puhl LF 1. Gene Richards 1B 2. Enos Cabell 3B 2. Bill Almon SS 3. Cesar Cedeno CF 3. Jerry Turner LF 4. Bob Watson 1B 4. Dave Winfield RF 5. Jose Cruz RF 5. George Hendrick CF 6. Joe Ferguson C 6. Gene Tenace C 7. Art Howe 2B 7. Mike Champion 2B 8. Roger Metzger SS 8. Tucker Ashford 3B 9. Tom Dixon P 9. Dave Wehrmeister P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t9 | 1 | -2- | R | -35% | 44% | 3-4 | HOU | E. Herrmann | R. Fingers | Double to CF; Howe Scores | |
| b9 | 1 | 1-- | 21% | 84% | 4-4 | SDP | G. Hendrick | K. Forsch | Single to CF; Winfield to 3B; Hendrick to 2B/Adv on throw to 3B | ||
| b9 | 1 | 123 | R | 17% | 100% | 4-4 | SDP | D. Kingman | K. Forsch | Fielder's Choice ; Winfield Scores; Hendrick to 3B; Tenace to 2B; Kingman to 1B | |
| t9 | 1 | 1-- | R | -14% | 79% | 2-4 | HOU | A. Howe | R. Fingers | Double to CF; Ferguson Scores | |
| b3 | 2 | 12- | R | 13% | 68% | 0-0 | SDP | G. Hendrick | T. Dixon | Single to CF; Almon Scores; Turner to 3B |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Padres' Dave Wehrmeister facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | HOU | T. Puhl | D. Wehrmeister | Flyball: LF | |
| t1 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 54% | 0-0 | HOU | E. Cabell | D. Wehrmeister | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| t1 | 2 | --- | -1% | 52% | 0-0 | HOU | C. Cedeno | D. Wehrmeister | Single to P | ||
| t1 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2% | 55% | 0-0 | HOU | B. Watson | D. Wehrmeister | Flyball: RF | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Padres 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Padres Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Tom Dixon facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 52% | 0-0 | SDP | G. Richards | T. Dixon | Groundout: 1B unassisted | |
| b1 | 1 | --- | 3% | 55% | 0-0 | SDP | B. Almon | T. Dixon | Walk | ||
| b1 | 1 | 1-- | 2% | 57% | 0-0 | SDP | J. Turner | T. Dixon | Wild Pitch; Almon to 2B | ||
| b1 | 1 | -2- | O | -3% | 53% | 0-0 | SDP | J. Turner | T. Dixon | Foul Flyball: 3B | |
| b1 | 2 | -2- | 1% | 54% | 0-0 | SDP | D. Winfield | T. Dixon | Walk | ||
| b1 | 2 | 12- | O | -4% | 50% | 0-0 | SDP | G. Hendrick | T. Dixon | Flyball: RF | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Astros 0, Padres 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Padres' Dave Wehrmeister facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | HOU | J. Cruz | D. Wehrmeister | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 54% | 0-0 | HOU | J. Ferguson | D. Wehrmeister | Flyball: CF | |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 55% | 0-0 | HOU | A. Howe | D. Wehrmeister | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Padres 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Padres Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Tom Dixon facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | 4% | 59% | 0-0 | SDP | G. Tenace | T. Dixon | Hit By Pitch | ||
| b2 | 0 | 1-- | O | -4% | 55% | 0-0 | SDP | M. Champion | T. Dixon | Strikeout Looking | |
| b2 | 1 | 1-- | O | -3% | 52% | 0-0 | SDP | T. Ashford | T. Dixon | Groundout: RF-SS/Forceout at 2B | |
| b2 | 2 | 1-- | 2% | 54% | 0-0 | SDP | D. Wehrmeister | T. Dixon | Ashford Picked off 1B, safe on E1; Ashford to 3B | ||
| b2 | 2 | --3 | O | -4% | 50% | 0-0 | SDP | D. Wehrmeister | T. Dixon | Strikeout Looking | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Padres 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Padres' Dave Wehrmeister facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | HOU | R. Metzger | D. Wehrmeister | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| t3 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 54% | 0-0 | HOU | T. Dixon | D. Wehrmeister | Flyball: CF | |
| t3 | 2 | --- | -1% | 53% | 0-0 | HOU | T. Puhl | D. Wehrmeister | Single to RF | ||
| t3 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2% | 55% | 0-0 | HOU | E. Cabell | D. Wehrmeister | Groundout: P-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Padres 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Padres Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Tom Dixon facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 53% | 0-0 | SDP | G. Richards | T. Dixon | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b3 | 1 | --- | 3% | 56% | 0-0 | SDP | B. Almon | T. Dixon | Single to CF | ||
| b3 | 1 | 1-- | 4% | 60% | 0-0 | SDP | J. Turner | T. Dixon | Single to RF; Almon to 2B | ||
| b3 | 1 | 12- | O | -5% | 55% | 0-0 | SDP | D. Winfield | T. Dixon | Flyball: RF | |
| b3 | 2 | 12- | R | 13% | 68% | 0-0 | SDP | G. Hendrick | T. Dixon | Single to CF; Almon Scores; Turner to 3B | |
| b3 | 2 | 1-3 | O | -4% | 64% | 1-0 | SDP | G. Tenace | T. Dixon | Flyball: CF | |
| 1 run, 3 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Astros 0, Padres 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Astros Batting, Behind 0-1, Padres' Dave Wehrmeister facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 67% | 0-1 | HOU | C. Cedeno | D. Wehrmeister | Flyball: RF | |
| t4 | 1 | --- | -3% | 63% | 0-1 | HOU | B. Watson | D. Wehrmeister | Single to SS | ||
| t4 | 1 | 1-- | RO | -9% | 55% | 0-1 | HOU | J. Cruz | D. Wehrmeister | Double to RF; Watson Scores; Cruz out at 3B/RF-2B-1B-LF-1B | |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 56% | 1-1 | HOU | J. Ferguson | D. Wehrmeister | Strikeout | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 1, Padres 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Padres Batting, Tied 1-1, Astros' Tom Dixon facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | -3% | 53% | 1-1 | SDP | M. Champion | T. Dixon | Groundout: P-1B | |
| b4 | 1 | --- | 3% | 56% | 1-1 | SDP | T. Ashford | T. Dixon | Single to LF | ||
| b4 | 1 | 1-- | O | -2% | 54% | 1-1 | SDP | D. Wehrmeister | T. Dixon | Bunt Groundout: P-2B/Sacrifice; Ashford to 2B | |
| b4 | 2 | -2- | R | 13% | 67% | 1-1 | SDP | G. Richards | T. Dixon | Single to RF; Ashford Scores | |
| b4 | 2 | 1-- | 2% | 69% | 2-1 | SDP | B. Almon | T. Dixon | Single to CF; Richards to 2B | ||
| b4 | 2 | 12- | 3% | 72% | 2-1 | SDP | J. Turner | T. Dixon | Single to 3B; Richards to 3B; Almon to 2B | ||
| b4 | 2 | 123 | RO | 6% | 77% | 2-1 | SDP | D. Winfield | T. Dixon | Single to CF; Richards Scores; Almon to 3B; Turner out at 3B/CF-3B | |
| 2 runs, 5 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Astros 1, Padres 3. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Astros Batting, Behind 1-3, Padres' Dave Wehrmeister facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 80% | 1-3 | HOU | A. Howe | D. Wehrmeister | Flyball: CF | |
| t5 | 1 | --- | -3% | 77% | 1-3 | HOU | R. Metzger | D. Wehrmeister | Single to CF | ||
| t5 | 1 | 1-- | O | 2% | 79% | 1-3 | HOU | T. Dixon | D. Wehrmeister | Bunt Groundout: C-2B/Sacrifice; Metzger to 2B | |
| t5 | 2 | -2- | O | 4% | 83% | 1-3 | HOU | T. Puhl | D. Wehrmeister | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 1, Padres 3. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Padres Batting, Ahead 3-1, Astros' Tom Dixon facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | 2% | 85% | 3-1 | SDP | G. Hendrick | T. Dixon | Single to LF | ||
| b5 | 0 | 1-- | 3% | 88% | 3-1 | SDP | G. Tenace | T. Dixon | Single to 3B; Hendrick to 2B | ||
| b5 | 0 | 12- | R | 7% | 95% | 3-1 | SDP | M. Champion | T. Dixon | Reached on E1/Sacrifice Bunt; Hendrick Scores/No RBI/unER; Tenace to 3B; Champion to 2B | |
| Bo McLaughlin replaces Tom Dixon pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | -23 | O | -2% | 93% | 4-1 | SDP | T. Ashford | B. McLaughlin | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b5 | 1 | -23 | O | -3% | 90% | 4-1 | SDP | D. Wehrmeister | B. McLaughlin | Fielder's Choice SS; Tenace out at Hm/SS-C; Champion to 3B; Wehrmeister to 1B | |
| b5 | 2 | 1-3 | O | -2% | 88% | 4-1 | SDP | G. Richards | B. McLaughlin | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 1 error, 2 LOB. Astros 1, Padres 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Astros Batting, Behind 1-4, Padres' Dave Wehrmeister facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 90% | 1-4 | HOU | E. Cabell | D. Wehrmeister | Groundout: P-1B | |
| t6 | 1 | --- | R | -7% | 83% | 1-4 | HOU | C. Cedeno | D. Wehrmeister | Home Run | |
| t6 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 85% | 2-4 | HOU | B. Watson | D. Wehrmeister | Flyball: RF | |
| t6 | 2 | --- | -2% | 83% | 2-4 | HOU | J. Cruz | D. Wehrmeister | Single to CF | ||
| t6 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3% | 86% | 2-4 | HOU | J. Ferguson | D. Wehrmeister | Cruz Caught Stealing 2B (C-2B) | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 2, Padres 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Padres Batting, Ahead 4-2, Astros' Bo McLaughlin facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | O | -1% | 85% | 4-2 | SDP | B. Almon | B. McLaughlin | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b6 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 84% | 4-2 | SDP | J. Turner | B. McLaughlin | Foul Flyball: 3B | |
| b6 | 2 | --- | O | -1% | 84% | 4-2 | SDP | D. Winfield | B. McLaughlin | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 2, Padres 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Astros Batting, Behind 2-4, Padres' Dave Wehrmeister facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 87% | 2-4 | HOU | J. Ferguson | D. Wehrmeister | Strikeout | |
| t7 | 1 | --- | -4% | 83% | 2-4 | HOU | A. Howe | D. Wehrmeister | Walk | ||
| t7 | 1 | 1-- | -6% | 77% | 2-4 | HOU | R. Metzger | D. Wehrmeister | Walk; Howe to 2B | ||
| Bob Shirley replaces Dave Wehrmeister pitching and batting 9th; Ken Boswell pinch hits for Bo McLaughlin (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 1 | 12- | O | 7% | 84% | 2-4 | HOU | K. Boswell | B. Shirley | Strikeout Looking | |
| Wilbur Howard pinch hits for Terry Puhl (LF) batting 1st | |||||||||||
| t7 | 2 | 12- | O | 6% | 90% | 2-4 | HOU | W. Howard | B. Shirley | Strikeout | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Astros 2, Padres 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Padres Batting, Ahead 4-2, Astros' Gene Pentz facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| Gene Pentz replaces Ken Boswell (PH) pitching and batting 9th; Wilbur Howard moves from PH to LF | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | -1% | 89% | 4-2 | SDP | G. Hendrick | G. Pentz | Flyball: CF | |
| b7 | 1 | --- | 1% | 90% | 4-2 | SDP | G. Tenace | G. Pentz | Walk | ||
| b7 | 1 | 1-- | O | -1% | 89% | 4-2 | SDP | M. Champion | G. Pentz | Groundout: 1B unassisted; Tenace to 2B | |
| b7 | 2 | -2- | O | -1% | 88% | 4-2 | SDP | T. Ashford | G. Pentz | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 2, Padres 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Astros Batting, Behind 2-4, Padres' Bob Shirley facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 91% | 2-4 | HOU | E. Cabell | B. Shirley | Lineout: P | |
| t8 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 94% | 2-4 | HOU | C. Cedeno | B. Shirley | Strikeout | |
| t8 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 95% | 2-4 | HOU | B. Watson | B. Shirley | Strikeout | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 2, Padres 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Padres Batting, Ahead 4-2, Astros' Gene Pentz facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | -0% | 94% | 4-2 | SDP | B. Shirley | G. Pentz | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| b8 | 1 | --- | O | -0% | 94% | 4-2 | SDP | G. Richards | G. Pentz | Flyball: CF | |
| b8 | 2 | --- | O | -0% | 94% | 4-2 | SDP | B. Almon | G. Pentz | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 2, Padres 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Astros Batting, Behind 2-4, Padres' Bob Shirley facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 97% | 2-4 | HOU | J. Cruz | B. Shirley | Lineout: 3B | |
| t9 | 1 | --- | -4% | 92% | 2-4 | HOU | J. Ferguson | B. Shirley | Single to 3B | ||
| Rollie Fingers replaces Bob Shirley pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 1 | 1-- | R | -14% | 79% | 2-4 | HOU | A. Howe | R. Fingers | Double to CF; Ferguson Scores | |
| Ed Herrmann pinch hits for Roger Metzger (SS) batting 8th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 1 | -2- | R | -35% | 44% | 3-4 | HOU | E. Herrmann | R. Fingers | Double to CF; Howe Scores | |
| Art Gardner pinch hits for Gene Pentz (P) batting 9th; Julio Gonzalez pinch runs for Ed Herrmann (PH) batting 8th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 1 | -2- | O | 9% | 53% | 4-4 | HOU | A. Gardner | R. Fingers | Strikeout Looking | |
| t9 | 2 | -2- | O | 10% | 62% | 4-4 | HOU | W. Howard | R. Fingers | Strikeout Looking | |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 4, Padres 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 9th, Padres Batting, Tied 4-4, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| Ken Forsch replaces Art Gardner (PH) pitching and batting 9th; Julio Gonzalez moves from PR to SS | |||||||||||
| b9 | 0 | --- | O | -5% | 57% | 4-4 | SDP | J. Turner | K. Forsch | Strikeout | |
| b9 | 1 | --- | 5% | 62% | 4-4 | SDP | D. Winfield | K. Forsch | Walk | ||
| b9 | 1 | 1-- | 21% | 84% | 4-4 | SDP | G. Hendrick | K. Forsch | Single to CF; Winfield to 3B; Hendrick to 2B/Adv on throw to 3B | ||
| b9 | 1 | -23 | -1% | 83% | 4-4 | SDP | G. Tenace | K. Forsch | Walk | ||
| Dave Kingman pinch hits for Mike Champion (2B) batting 7th | |||||||||||
| b9 | 1 | 123 | R | 17% | 100% | 4-4 | SDP | D. Kingman | K. Forsch | Fielder's Choice ; Winfield Scores; Hendrick to 3B; Tenace to 2B; Kingman to 1B | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Astros 4, Padres 5. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:SDN197708120
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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