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Scores
Standings
CLE
@DET
1
3
KCR
@MIN
7
5
OAK
@SEA
7
8
 
(15)
BOS
@TBR
3
5
CHW
@TEX
1
5
BAL
@TOR
3
4
HOU
@ATL
7
5
FLA
@CHC
4
6
SDP
@LAD
3
7
ARI
@MIL
3
4
CIN
@PIT
5
0
COL
@SFG
0
1
 
(10)
Sunday, May 3, 2009, 1:35PM
, PNC Park
Attendance: 13,670, Time of Game: 2:38
Reds
5
13-11
 Won 1 
2nd, 3½ GB
at Pirates
0
12-12
 Lost 1 
5th, 4½ GB
W: Johnny Cueto (2-1)
L: Jeff Karstens (1-1)
                1  2  3   4  5  6   7  8  9    R  H  E
                -  -  -   -  -  -   -  -  -    -  -  -
Reds            0  1  3   0  1  0   0  0  0    5  7  0
Pirates         0  0  0   0  0  0   0  0  0    0  4  0

Cincinnati Reds

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO PA BA OBP SLG OPS Pit Str WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Willy Taveras CF 5 0 1 0 0 0 5 .269 .344 .346 .691 22 13 -0.054 0.59 0.034 -0.089 -1.0 3 0 CS
Chris Dickerson LF 2 1 0 0 2 0 4 .204 .333 .327 .660 24 12 0.041 0.38 0.048 -0.007 0.2 2 0
Joey Votto 1B 3 2 1 0 1 1 4 .363 .442 .571 1.014 25 16 0.013 0.55 0.042 -0.029 0.2 4 3
Brandon Phillips 2B 4 0 2 1 0 0 4 .207 .292 .354 .645 13 8 -0.024 0.79 0.040 -0.064 0.6 1 2
Jay Bruce RF 3 2 1 1 1 0 4 .253 .330 .519 .849 13 5 0.128 0.71 0.135 -0.007 0.8 1 0 HR
Ramon Hernandez C 3 0 2 3 1 0 4 .261 .320 .362 .682 13 6 0.263 0.95 0.266 -0.004 3.0 9 0 2B
Adam Rosales 3B 3 0 0 0 1 0 4 .417 .529 .417 .946 16 7 -0.050 0.46 0.004 -0.054 -1.3 1 1
Alex Gonzalez SS 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 .186 .227 .300 .527 19 15 -0.043 0.40 0.000 -0.043 -1.0 3 1
   Arthur Rhodes P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.0 1 0
Johnny Cueto P 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 .200 .200 .200 .400 12 8 -0.039 0.47 0.000 -0.039 -0.6 2 1
   Paul Janish PH-SS 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 .333 .412 .400 .812 6 3 -0.001 0.02 0.000 -0.001 -0.2 0 0
Team Totals 31 5 7 5 6 3 37 .226 .351 .355 .706 163 93 0.234 0.57 0.569 -0.337 0.6 27 8
2B: R Hernandez (4, off J Karstens).
HR: J Bruce (6, off J Karstens, 2nd inn, 0 on, 0 outs to RF).
TB: J Bruce 4; R Hernandez 3; B Phillips 2; J Votto; W Taveras.
RBI: R Hernandez 3 (7); J Bruce (14); B Phillips (11).
2-out RBI: R Hernandez 3; B Phillips.
Team LOB: 5.
With RISP: 2 for 7.
Fielding
DP: 1. B Phillips-A Gonzalez-J Votto.
Baserunning
CS: W Taveras (1, 2nd base by J Karstens/J Jaramillo).

Pittsburgh Pirates

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO PA BA OBP SLG OPS Pit Str WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Nyjer Morgan LF 3 0 1 0 1 0 4 .310 .372 .370 .742 15 9 -0.024 0.61 0.045 -0.069 -0.5 3 0 CS
Freddy Sanchez 2B 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 .327 .356 .531 .886 16 14 -0.038 0.36 0.000 -0.038 -0.6 1 3
Nate McLouth CF 4 0 1 0 0 2 4 .284 .392 .463 .855 18 13 -0.011 0.39 0.019 -0.030 -0.1 3 0
Adam LaRoche 1B 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 .276 .364 .540 .904 12 6 -0.072 0.76 0.000 -0.072 -1.2 9 0 GDP
Brandon Moss RF 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 .197 .243 .258 .500 7 5 -0.028 0.36 0.000 -0.028 -0.4 4 2
Andy LaRoche 3B 3 0 2 0 0 0 3 .250 .317 .347 .664 12 6 0.015 0.43 0.029 -0.013 0.3 1 5
Jason Jaramillo C 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 .286 .359 .429 .788 11 7 -0.048 0.62 0.000 -0.048 -0.7 3 2
Brian Bixler SS 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 .200 .250 .333 .583 8 6 -0.023 0.46 0.000 -0.023 -0.3 2 1
   Evan Meek P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.0 0 0
   Eric Hinske PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .250 .340 .364 .704 5 2 -0.009 0.38 0.000 -0.009 -0.3
   Jesse Chavez P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.0 0 1
Jeff Karstens P 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .167 .000 .167 7 4 -0.012 0.50 0.000 -0.012 -0.2 0 0
   Ramon Vazquez SS 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 .175 .353 .175 .528 6 4 -0.017 0.33 0.000 -0.017 -0.5 1 0
Team Totals 29 0 4 0 1 9 30 .138 .167 .138 .305 117 76 -0.267 0.48 0.093 -0.359 -4.4 27 14
TB: A LaRoche 2; N McLouth; N Morgan.
GIDP: A LaRoche (2).
Team LOB: 3.
With RISP: 0 for 0.
Fielding
DP: 1. B Moss-R Vazquez.
PB: J Jaramillo (1).
Outfield Assists: B Moss (R Hernandez at 2nd base); B Moss (B Phillips at 2nd base).
Baserunning
CS: N Morgan (3, 2nd base by J Cueto/R Hernandez).

Cincinnati Reds

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str Ctct StS StL GB FB LD Unk GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Johnny Cueto, W (2-1) 8 4 0 0 1 9 0 1.65 27 109 68 33 14 21 9 8 1 0 82 0.259 0.53 3.9
Arthur Rhodes 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 3 8 8 4 0 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 0.007 0.09 0.5
Team Totals 9 4 0 0 1 9 0 0.00 30 117 76 37 14 25 10 10 2 0 82 0 0 0.266 0.48 4.4

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str Ctct StS StL GB FB LD Unk GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Jeff Karstens, L (1-1) 5 6 5 4 4 1 1 5.85 23 95 53 34 7 12 7 11 1 0 34 -0.253 0.84 -2.6
Evan Meek 3 1 0 0 2 1 0 0.00 11 48 27 15 5 7 4 4 1 0 0 0 0.018 0.12 1.5
Jesse Chavez 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.74 3 20 13 11 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.001 0.02 0.5
Team Totals 9 7 5 4 6 3 1 4.00 37 163 93 60 14 19 12 16 2 0 34 0 0 -0.234 0.57 -0.6
Balks: None.
WP: None.
HBP: None.
IBB: None.
Pickoffs: None.

Other Info

Umpires: HP - Angel Campos, 1B - Jerry Meals, 2B - Mike DiMuro, 3B - Dale Scott.
Time of Game: 2:38.
Attendance: 13,670.
Field Condition: Unknown.
Start Time Weather: 59° F, Wind 7mph in from Centerfield.

Starting Lineups

Cincinnati Reds         Pittsburgh Pirates
1 Willy Taveras CF 1 Nyjer Morgan LF
2 Chris Dickerson LF 2 Freddy Sanchez 2B
3 Joey Votto 1B 3 Nate McLouth CF
4 Brandon Phillips 2B 4 Adam LaRoche 1B
5 Jay Bruce RF 5 Brandon Moss RF
6 Ramon Hernandez C 6 Andy LaRoche 3B
7 Adam Rosales 3B 7 Jason Jaramillo C
8 Alex Gonzalez SS 8 Brian Bixler SS
9 Johnny Cueto P 9 Jeff Karstens P

Win Probability Chart

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Top 5 Plays

View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
t3 1-0 2 123 5,(2-2)  RRRO CIN R. Hernandez J. Karstens 21% 85% Single to RF (Fly Ball to Deep RF); Dickerson Scores; Votto Scores; Bruce Scores; Hernandez out at 2B/RF-2B-C-SS
t2 0-0 0 --- 4,(2-1)  R CIN J. Bruce J. Karstens 11% 61% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep RF)
b1 0-0 0 1-- 1,(0-0)  O PIT F. Sanchez J. Cueto 6% 47% Morgan Caught Stealing 2B (P-2B)
t2 1-0 0 --- 1,(0-0)  CIN R. Hernandez J. Karstens 6% 66% Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep CF)
t3 1-0 0 1-- 2,(1-0)  O CIN C. Dickerson J. Karstens -6% 59% Taveras Caught Stealing 2B (C-SS)

Play By Play

Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
Top of the 1st, Reds Batting, Tied 0-0, Pirates' Jeff Karstens facing 1-2-3
t1 0-0 0 --- 7,(3-2)  O CIN W. Taveras J. Karstens -2% 48% Flyball: CF (Deep CF-RF)
t1 0-0 1 --- 5,(3-1)  CIN C. Dickerson J. Karstens 2% 50% Walk
t1 0-0 1 1-- 6,(3-2)  O CIN J. Votto J. Karstens -3% 47% Flyball: LF (Deep LF-CF)
t1 0-0 2 1-- 3,(1-1)  O CIN B. Phillips J. Karstens -2% 45% Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B (Weak SS)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Reds 0, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 1st, Pirates Batting, Tied 0-0, Reds' Johnny Cueto facing 1-2-3
b1 0-0 0 --- 6,(2-2)  PIT N. Morgan J. Cueto -4% 42% Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B)
b1 0-0 0 1-- 1,(0-0)  O PIT F. Sanchez J. Cueto 6% 47% Morgan Caught Stealing 2B (P-2B)
b1 0-0 1 --- 7,(2-2)  O PIT F. Sanchez J. Cueto 2% 49% Strikeout Swinging
b1 0-0 2 --- 7,(3-2)  O PIT N. McLouth J. Cueto 1% 50% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 0, Pirates 0.
Top of the 2nd, Reds Batting, Tied 0-0, Pirates' Jeff Karstens facing 5-6-7
t2 0-0 0 --- 4,(2-1)  R CIN J. Bruce J. Karstens 11% 61% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep RF)
t2 1-0 0 --- 1,(0-0)  CIN R. Hernandez J. Karstens 6% 66% Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep CF)
t2 1-0 0 -2- 5,(3-1)  O CIN A. Rosales J. Karstens -4% 62% Foul Popfly: 1B (1B Foul)
t2 1-0 1 -2- 5,(2-2)  O CIN A. Gonzalez J. Karstens -3% 59% Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
t2 1-0 2 -2- 4,(1-2)  O CIN J. Cueto J. Karstens -3% 56% Strikeout Swinging
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Reds 1, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 2nd, Pirates Batting, Behind 0-1, Reds' Johnny Cueto facing 4-5-6
b2 0-1 0 --- 6,(3-2)  O PIT A. LaRoche J. Cueto 3% 59% Strikeout Swinging
b2 0-1 1 --- 2,(1-0)  O PIT B. Moss J. Cueto 2% 60% Flyball: LF (Deep LF-CF)
b2 0-1 2 --- 2,(1-0)  PIT A. LaRoche J. Cueto -1% 59% Single to SS (Ground Ball to Weak 3B)
b2 0-1 2 1-- 6,(3-2)  O PIT J. Jaramillo J. Cueto 3% 62% Popfly: SS (Deep SS)
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Reds 1, Pirates 0.
Top of the 3rd, Reds Batting, Ahead 1-0, Pirates' Jeff Karstens facing 1-2-3
t3 1-0 0 --- 2,(1-0)  CIN W. Taveras J. Karstens 3% 65% Single to LF (Ground Ball thru Weak 3B)
t3 1-0 0 1-- 2,(1-0)  O CIN C. Dickerson J. Karstens -6% 59% Taveras Caught Stealing 2B (C-SS)
t3 1-0 1 --- 7,(3-2)  CIN C. Dickerson J. Karstens 2% 62% Walk
t3 1-0 1 1-- 9,(3-2)  CIN J. Votto J. Karstens 3% 65% Walk; Dickerson to 2B
t3 1-0 1 12- 3,(1-1)  O CIN B. Phillips J. Karstens -4% 61% Popfly: 3B (Weak 3B)
t3 1-0 2 12- 4,(3-0)  CIN J. Bruce J. Karstens 3% 64% Walk; Dickerson to 3B; Votto to 2B
t3 1-0 2 123 5,(2-2)  RRRO CIN R. Hernandez J. Karstens 21% 85% Single to RF (Fly Ball to Deep RF); Dickerson Scores; Votto Scores; Bruce Scores; Hernandez out at 2B/RF-2B-C-SS
3 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 4, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 3rd, Pirates Batting, Behind 0-4, Reds' Johnny Cueto facing 8-9-1
b3 0-4 0 --- 4,(1-2)  O PIT B. Bixler J. Cueto 2% 86% Strikeout Swinging
b3 0-4 1 --- 7,(3-2)  O PIT J. Karstens J. Cueto 1% 88% Strikeout Looking
b3 0-4 2 --- 5,(3-1)  PIT N. Morgan J. Cueto -1% 87% Walk
b3 0-4 2 1-- 2,(0-1)  O PIT F. Sanchez J. Cueto 2% 88% Flyball: CF (Deep CF)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Reds 4, Pirates 0.
Top of the 4th, Reds Batting, Ahead 4-0, Pirates' Jeff Karstens facing 7-8-9
t4 4-0 0 --- 1,(0-0)  O CIN A. Rosales J. Karstens -1% 88% Flyball: CF
t4 4-0 1 --- 2,(0-1)  O CIN A. Gonzalez J. Karstens -1% 87% Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
t4 4-0 2 --- 5,(2-2)  O CIN J. Cueto J. Karstens -0% 86% Flyball: CF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 4, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 4th, Pirates Batting, Behind 0-4, Reds' Johnny Cueto facing 3-4-5
b4 0-4 0 --- 6,(2-2)  O PIT N. McLouth J. Cueto 2% 88% Strikeout Swinging
b4 0-4 1 --- 1,(0-0)  O PIT A. LaRoche J. Cueto 1% 90% Groundout: 2B-1B (SS-2B)
b4 0-4 2 --- 4,(1-2)  O PIT B. Moss J. Cueto 1% 90% Groundout: 1B-P (2B-1B)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 4, Pirates 0.
Top of the 5th, Reds Batting, Ahead 4-0, Pirates' Jeff Karstens facing 1-2-3
t5 4-0 0 --- 1,(0-0)  O CIN W. Taveras J. Karstens -1% 90% Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
t5 4-0 1 --- 7,(2-2)  O CIN C. Dickerson J. Karstens -1% 89% Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
t5 4-0 2 --- 6,(2-2)  CIN J. Votto J. Karstens 0% 89% Single to RF (Ground Ball)
t5 4-0 2 1-- 1,(0-0)  CIN B. Phillips J. Karstens 0% 90% Passed Ball; Votto to 2B
t5 4-0 2 -2- 2,(1-0)  R CIN B. Phillips J. Karstens 4% 94% Single to LF (Line Drive to Short LF); Votto Scores/unER
t5 5-0 2 1-- 1,(0-0)  O CIN J. Bruce J. Karstens -0% 93% Flyball: RF
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 5th, Pirates Batting, Behind 0-5, Reds' Johnny Cueto facing 6-7-8
b5 0-5 0 --- 4,(2-1)  O PIT A. LaRoche J. Cueto 1% 94% Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
b5 0-5 1 --- 4,(1-2)  O PIT J. Jaramillo J. Cueto 1% 95% Strikeout Looking
b5 0-5 2 --- 4,(1-2)  O PIT B. Bixler J. Cueto 0% 96% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.
Top of the 6th, Reds Batting, Ahead 5-0, Pirates' Evan Meek facing 6-7-8
Evan Meek replaces Brian Bixler (SS) pitching and batting 8th
Ramon Vazquez replaces Jeff Karstens (P) playing SS batting 9th
t6 5-0 0 --- 2,(1-0)  O CIN R. Hernandez E. Meek -0% 95% Lineout: LF (Deep LF-CF)
t6 5-0 1 --- 6,(3-2)  CIN A. Rosales E. Meek 0% 96% Walk
t6 5-0 1 1-- 3,(0-2)  O CIN A. Gonzalez E. Meek -0% 95% Flyball: RF
t6 5-0 2 1-- 3,(1-1)  O CIN J. Cueto E. Meek -0% 95% Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 6th, Pirates Batting, Behind 0-5, Reds' Johnny Cueto facing 9-1-2
b6 0-5 0 --- 4,(1-2)  O PIT R. Vazquez J. Cueto 1% 96% Popfly: SS (Short CF)
b6 0-5 1 --- 2,(0-1)  O PIT N. Morgan J. Cueto 1% 97% Flyball: LF (Deep LF-CF)
b6 0-5 2 --- 4,(0-2)  O PIT F. Sanchez J. Cueto 0% 97% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.
Top of the 7th, Reds Batting, Ahead 5-0, Pirates' Evan Meek facing 1-2-3
t7 5-0 0 --- 7,(3-2)  O CIN W. Taveras E. Meek -0% 97% Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
t7 5-0 1 --- 5,(2-2)  O CIN C. Dickerson E. Meek -0% 97% Groundout: 2B-1B
t7 5-0 2 --- 4,(0-2)  O CIN J. Votto E. Meek -0% 96% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 7th, Pirates Batting, Behind 0-5, Reds' Johnny Cueto facing 3-4-5
b7 0-5 0 --- 2,(0-1)  PIT N. McLouth J. Cueto -2% 95% Single to LF (Line Drive to Short LF)
b7 0-5 0 1-- 5,(3-1)  OO PIT A. LaRoche J. Cueto 3% 98% Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B
b7 0-5 2 --- 1,(0-0)  O PIT B. Moss J. Cueto 0% 98% Groundout: 1B-P (2B-1B)
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.
Top of the 8th, Reds Batting, Ahead 5-0, Pirates' Evan Meek facing 4-5-6
t8 5-0 0 --- 5,(2-2)  CIN B. Phillips E. Meek 0% 99% Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B)
t8 5-0 0 1-- 4,(2-1)  O CIN J. Bruce E. Meek -0% 98% Flyball: RF (CF-RF)
t8 5-0 1 1-- 5,(3-1)  CIN R. Hernandez E. Meek 0% 99% Walk; Phillips to 2B
t8 5-0 1 12- 4,(2-1)  OO CIN A. Rosales E. Meek -1% 98% Fly Ball Double Play: RF (Short RF); Phillips out at 2B/RF-SS
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 8th, Pirates Batting, Behind 0-5, Reds' Johnny Cueto facing 6-7-8
b8 0-5 0 --- 6,(3-2)  PIT A. LaRoche J. Cueto -1% 97% Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B)
b8 0-5 0 1-- 1,(0-0)  O PIT J. Jaramillo J. Cueto 1% 98% Foul Popfly: 3B (3B Foul)
Eric Hinske pinch hits for Evan Meek (P) batting 8th
b8 0-5 1 1-- 5,(3-1)  O PIT E. Hinske J. Cueto 1% 99% Flyball: CF (Short CF)
b8 0-5 2 1-- 2,(1-0)  O PIT R. Vazquez J. Cueto 0% 99% Groundout: 1B unassisted (2B-1B)
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.
Top of the 9th, Reds Batting, Ahead 5-0, Pirates' Jesse Chavez facing 8-9-1
Jesse Chavez replaces Eric Hinske (PH) pitching and batting 8th
t9 5-0 0 --- 9,(2-2)  O CIN A. Gonzalez J. Chavez -0% 99% Groundout: P-1B (P's Left)
Paul Janish pinch hits for Johnny Cueto (P) batting 9th
t9 5-0 1 --- 6,(3-2)  O CIN P. Janish J. Chavez -0% 99% Strikeout Swinging
t9 5-0 2 --- 5,(2-2)  O CIN W. Taveras J. Chavez -0% 99% Flyball: LF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 9th, Pirates Batting, Behind 0-5, Reds' Arthur Rhodes facing 1-2-3
Arthur Rhodes replaces Alex Gonzalez (SS) pitching and batting 8th
Paul Janish moves from PH to SS
b9 0-5 0 --- 2,(0-1)  O PIT N. Morgan A. Rhodes 0% 100% Flyball: CF (LF-CF)
b9 0-5 1 --- 3,(0-2)  O PIT F. Sanchez A. Rhodes 0% 100% Groundout: 1B-P
b9 0-5 2 --- 3,(0-2)  O PIT N. McLouth A. Rhodes 0% 100% Lineout: RF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Reds 5, Pirates 0.

Retrosheet.org Boxscore:PIT200905030
BackToBaseball.com Game Playback

  • Score- The score from the perspective of the batting team.
  • RoB- This gives the baserunner (Runners on Base) configuration at the start of the play. "1-3" would mean runners on first and third. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
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  • R/O- This has a "O" for every out on the play and an "R" for every run that scored on the play. Some plays will have both in no particular order.
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  • wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
  • wWE- Winning Team's Win Expectancy. The probability of the eventual winning team winning the game prior to this play given two average teams playing each other. More About Win Probability Added
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