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BAL  3
LAA  2
 SEA  3
@BOS  0
 CHW  4
TOR  2
 CLE  7
@DET  2
 MIN  6
NYY  5
 OAK  5
TEX  4
 TBD  6
KCR  3
 HOU 10
@ARI  0
 ATL  2
SDP  0
 COL 10
PHI  6
 WSN  2
@FLA  1
 LAD  3
SFG  1
 MIL  8
@NYM  2
 PIT  2
CHC  1
 STL  9
CIN  3
Standings at end of play this day

PNC Park, Attendance: 34,264

 Saturday, April 15, 2006, 7:05PM
Time of Game: 2:23
Cubs
1
6-4
Lost 1
4th, ½ GB
 
                1  2  3   4  5  6   7  8  9    R  H  E
                -  -  -   -  -  -   -  -  -    -  -  -
Cubs            0  0  0   0  0  0   1  0  0    1  7  2
Pirates         0  1  0   0  0  1   0  0  X    2  4  0
W: Zach Duke (1-1), L: Jerome Williams (0-1), S: Mike Gonzalez (2)
 Pirates
2
4-9
Won 1
6th, 4 GB

Batting Stats

Chicago Cubs                 AB   R   H RBI   BB  SO    BA   OPS  Pit  Str   PO   A  Details
J Pierre CF                   4   0   0   0    0   1  .214  .536   16   13    1   0   
J Hairston 2B                 4   0   1   0    0   1  .333  .775   19   12    3   3   
D Lee 1B                      3   0   1   0    1   0  .367 1.278   24   14   11   0   
A Ramirez 3B                  4   1   1   0    0   1  .167  .586   14    8    1   2   2B
M Barrett C                   4   0   0   0    0   1  .324  .998   11    9    5   1   
A Pagan RF                    2   0   1   0    0   0  .263  .579    8    4    0   0   CS
  F Bynum RF                  1   0   0   0    0   1  .000  .000    4    3    1   0   
  N Perez PH                  1   0   0   0    0   0  .250  .563    1    1    0   0   
M Murton LF                   3   0   2   1    1   0  .342 1.010   16    8    1   0   2B
R Cedeno SS                   4   0   1   0    0   0  .351  .865    8    7    1   3   
J Williams P                  2   0   0   0    0   1  .000  .000    5    5    0   1   
  T Walker PH                 1   0   0   0    0   0  .462 1.115    3    2    0   0   
  S Eyre P                    0   0   0   0    0   0                          0   0   
Totals                       33   1   7   0    2   6              129   86   24  10
Batting Events
2B: A Ramirez (1, off Z Duke); M Murton (2, off Z Duke).
TB: M Murton 3; A Ramirez 2; D Lee; R Cedeno; A Pagan; J Hairston.
RBI: M Murton (9).
2-out RBI: M Murton.
Team LOB: 7.
With RISP: 1 for 7.
Fielding Events
DP: 3. D Lee; R Cedeno-J Hairston-D Lee; A Ramirez-D Lee.
E: J Williams (1); R Cedeno (3).
Baserunning Events
CS: A Pagan (1, 2nd base by Z Duke/H Cota).
Pittsburgh Pirates           AB   R   H RBI   BB  SO    BA   OPS  Pit  Str   PO   A  Details
C Duffy CF                    3   0   0   0    1   0  .178  .540   19   11    2   0   
J Wilson SS                   4   0   0   0    0   0  .341 1.014   12    9    2   4   
J Bay LF                      0   0   0   0    3   0  .341  .974   19    6    0   0   HBP
J Burnitz RF                  4   0   1   0    0   0  .260  .768   19   11    1   0   
  M Gonzalez P                0   0   0   0    0   0                          0   0   
C Wilson 1B                   3   2   1   0    1   2  .345 1.390   17   10   10   1   3B,SB
J Randa 3B                    2   0   1   1    0   1  .243  .662   16   10    1   3   2B,SF
J Castillo 2B                 2   0   1   0    1   0  .318  .836    9    5    3   1   CS
H Cota C                      3   0   0   0    0   0  .172  .398   12    8    6   1   GDP
Z Duke P                      2   0   0   0    0   1  .200  .400    9    7    1   2   
  F Sanchez PH                1   0   0   0    0   0  .417 1.065    4    3    0   0   
  J Grabow P                  0   0   0   0    0   0                          0   1   
  R Hernandez P               0   0   0   0    0   0                          0   0   
  N McLouth RF                0   0   0   0    0   0  .250  .700              1   0   
Totals                       24   2   4   0    6   4              136   80   27  13
Batting Events
2B: J Randa (3, off J Williams).
3B: C Wilson (1, off J Williams).
SF: J Randa (1, off J Williams).
HBP: J Bay (1, by J Williams).
TB: C Wilson 3; J Randa 2; J Castillo; J Burnitz.
GIDP: H Cota (1).
RBI: J Randa (4).
Team LOB: 6.
With RISP: 1 for 7.
Baserunning Events
SB: C Wilson (1, 2nd base off J Williams/M Barrett).
CS: J Castillo (1, 2nd base by J Williams/M Barrett).
Pickoffs: J Bay (1st base by J Williams).

Pitching Stats

Chicago Cubs                  IP     H   R  ER   BB  SO  HR    ERA   BF  Pit-Str  Ct·Sw·Lk   GB·FB·LD· ?   GmSc  IR-IS   LevI    WPA
J Williams, L (0-1)            6     4   2   1    4   3   0   2.45   26   94-57   32· 8·17    8·10· 4· 0     57    -     0.89   0.06
S Eyre                         2     0   0   0    2   1   0   0.00    6   32-18   11· 2· 5    1· 2· 2· 0          0-0    0.70   0.08
Totals                         8     4   2   1    6   4   0          32  126-75   43·10·22    9·12· 6· 0           -  
Pittsburgh Pirates            IP     H   R  ER   BB  SO  HR    ERA   BF  Pit-Str  Ct·Sw·Lk   GB·FB·LD· ?   GmSc  IR-IS   LevI    WPA
Z Duke, W (1-1)                7     6   1   1    1   5   0   4.50   27  104-71   43· 4·24   13· 8· 4· 0     65    -     1.13   0.35
J Grabow, H (1)                0.1   0   0   0    0   0   0   6.43    1    4-3     1· 0· 2    1· 0· 0· 0          0-0    2.17   0.06
R Hernandez, H (3)             0.2   1   0   0    1   1   0   0.00    4   16-8     7· 1· 0    1· 1· 0· 0          0-0    3.27   0.07
M Gonzalez, S (2)              1     0   0   0    0   0   0   3.60    3    4-3     3· 0· 0    0· 3· 1· 0          0-0    2.22   0.17
Totals                         9     7   1   1    2   6   0          35  128-85   54· 5·26   15·12· 5· 0           -
Balks: None.
WP: None.
HBP: J Williams (1; J Bay).
IBB: None.
Pickoffs: J Williams (0; J Bay, 1st base).

Other Info

Umpires: HP - Fieldin Culbreth, 1B - Bob Davidson, 2B - Tim McClelland, 3B - Marty Foster.
Time of Game: 2:23.
Attendance: 34,264.
Field Condition: Unknown.
Start Time Weather: 68° F, Wind 15mph out to Centerfield, Sunny.

Lineups

   Chicago Cubs                              Pittsburgh Pirates                           
1. Juan Pierre                  CF       1. Chris Duffy                  CF
2. Jerry Hairston               2B       2. Jack Wilson                  SS
3. Derrek Lee                   1B       3. Jason Bay                    LF
4. Aramis Ramirez               3B       4. Jeromy Burnitz               RF
5. Michael Barrett               C       5. Craig Wilson                 1B
6. Angel Pagan                  RF       6. Joe Randa                    3B
7. Matt Murton                  LF       7. Jose Castillo                2B
8. Ronny Cedeno                 SS       8. Humberto Cota                 C
9. Jerome Williams               P       9. Zach Duke                     P

Top 5 Plays

Glossary · Click headers to sort · CSV · PRE · View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Out RoB R/O Pit(cnt) wWPA wWE Score @Bat Batter Pitcher Play Description
t8 2 12- O 4,(1-2)  11% 87% 1-2 CHC M. Barrett R. Hernandez Strikeout Swinging
t8 1 12- O 3,(2-0)  11% 76% 1-2 CHC A. Ramirez R. Hernandez Flyball: CF
t7 2 -2- R 1,(0-0)  -10% 74% 0-2 CHC M. Murton Z. Duke Single to LF (Line Drive); Ramirez Scores
b2 2 --3 R 5,(2-2)  9% 63% 0-0 PIT H. Cota J. Williams Reached on E6 (throw) (Ground Ball); Wilson Scores/No RBI/unER; Cota to 1B
b4 0 12- OO 1,(0-0)  -9% 67% 1-0 PIT H. Cota J. Williams Ground Ball Double Play: SS-2B-1B; Randa to 3B

Play By Play

Glossary · Click headers to sort · CSV · PRE · View Pitches · Box Score Explanation · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Out RoB R/O Pit(cnt) wWPA wWE Score @Bat Batter Pitcher Play Description
Top of the 1st, Cubs Batting, Tied 0-0, Pirates' Zach Duke facing 1-2-3
t1 0 --- O 7,(1-2)  2% 52% 0-0 CHC J. Pierre Z. Duke Strikeout Looking
t1 1 --- O 5,(2-2)  2% 54% 0-0 CHC J. Hairston Z. Duke Popfly: SS (Short LF-CF)
t1 2 --- 7,(2-2)  -1% 53% 0-0 CHC D. Lee Z. Duke Single to LF (Ground Ball)
t1 2 1-- O 8,(3-2)  2% 55% 0-0 CHC A. Ramirez Z. Duke Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 1st, Pirates Batting, Tied 0-0, Cubs' Jerome Williams facing 1-2-3
b1 0 --- O 4,(1-2)  -2% 53% 0-0 PIT C. Duffy J. Williams Flyball: CF
b1 1 --- O 4,(2-1)  -2% 51% 0-0 PIT J. Wilson J. Williams Groundout: SS-1B
b1 2 --- 6,(3-2)  1% 52% 0-0 PIT J. Bay J. Williams Walk
b1 2 1-- O 5,(2-2)  -2% 50% 0-0 PIT J. Burnitz J. Williams Popfly: 2B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 0.
Top of the 2nd, Cubs Batting, Tied 0-0, Pirates' Zach Duke facing 5-6-7
t2 0 --- O 1,(0-0)  2% 52% 0-0 CHC M. Barrett Z. Duke Groundout: SS-1B
t2 1 --- 2,(1-0)  -3% 50% 0-0 CHC A. Pagan Z. Duke Single to LF (Ground Ball)
t2 1 1-- O 1,(0-0)  4% 54% 0-0 CHC M. Murton Z. Duke Pagan Caught Stealing 2B (C-2B)
t2 2 --- 5,(3-1)  -2% 52% 0-0 CHC M. Murton Z. Duke Double to LF (Line Drive to LF Line)
t2 2 -2- O 3,(1-1)  3% 55% 0-0 CHC R. Cedeno Z. Duke Lineout: 2B
0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 0.
Bottom of the 2nd, Pirates Batting, Tied 0-0, Cubs' Jerome Williams facing 5-6-7
b2 0 --- 5,(3-1)  4% 59% 0-0 PIT C. Wilson J. Williams Walk
b2 0 1-- 6,(2-2)  3% 61% 0-0 PIT J. Randa J. Williams Wilson Steals 2B
b2 0 -2- O 7,(3-2)  -4% 57% 0-0 PIT J. Randa J. Williams Strikeout Swinging
b2 1 -2- O 2,(0-1)  -3% 54% 0-0 PIT J. Castillo J. Williams Groundout: 2B-1B; Wilson to 3B
b2 2 --3 R 5,(2-2)  9% 63% 0-0 PIT H. Cota J. Williams Reached on E6 (throw) (Ground Ball); Wilson Scores/No RBI/unER; Cota to 1B
b2 2 1-- O 3,(0-2)  -2% 61% 1-0 PIT Z. Duke J. Williams Strikeout Swinging
1 run, 0 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 1.
Top of the 3rd, Cubs Batting, Behind 0-1, Pirates' Zach Duke facing 9-1-2
t3 0 --- O 3,(0-2)  3% 64% 0-1 CHC J. Williams Z. Duke Strikeout Looking
t3 1 --- O 1,(0-0)  2% 66% 0-1 CHC J. Pierre Z. Duke Bunt Groundout: P-1B
t3 2 --- O 5,(2-2)  1% 67% 0-1 CHC J. Hairston Z. Duke Groundout: SS-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 1.
Bottom of the 3rd, Pirates Batting, Ahead 1-0, Cubs' Jerome Williams facing 1-2-3
b3 0 --- O 3,(1-1)  -2% 65% 1-0 PIT C. Duffy J. Williams Flyball: LF (LF-CF)
b3 1 --- O 2,(0-1)  -2% 63% 1-0 PIT J. Wilson J. Williams Foul Popfly: C (Behind Home)
b3 2 --- 3,(0-2)  1% 64% 1-0 PIT J. Bay J. Williams Hit By Pitch
b3 2 1-- 2,(1-1)  1% 65% 1-0 PIT J. Burnitz J. Williams Bay Picked off 1B, safe on E1; Bay to 2B
b3 2 -2- 3,(1-1)  1% 67% 1-0 PIT J. Burnitz J. Williams Single to 3B (Ground Ball); Bay to 3B
b3 2 1-3 O 4,(1-2)  -5% 62% 1-0 PIT C. Wilson J. Williams Strikeout Looking
0 runs, 1 hit, 1 error, 2 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 1.
Top of the 4th, Cubs Batting, Behind 0-1, Pirates' Zach Duke facing 3-4-5
t4 0 --- O 6,(2-2)  3% 65% 0-1 CHC D. Lee Z. Duke Groundout: 3B-1B
t4 1 --- O 1,(0-0)  2% 67% 0-1 CHC A. Ramirez Z. Duke Groundout: 3B-1B
t4 2 --- O 4,(1-2)  1% 68% 0-1 CHC M. Barrett Z. Duke Flyball: CF (Deep CF)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 1.
Bottom of the 4th, Pirates Batting, Ahead 1-0, Cubs' Jerome Williams facing 6-7-8
b4 0 --- 1,(0-0)  6% 74% 1-0 PIT J. Randa J. Williams Double to 1B (Pop Fly)
b4 0 -2- 6,(3-2)  2% 76% 1-0 PIT J. Castillo J. Williams Walk
b4 0 12- OO 1,(0-0)  -9% 67% 1-0 PIT H. Cota J. Williams Ground Ball Double Play: SS-2B-1B; Randa to 3B
b4 2 --3 O 6,(2-2)  -4% 64% 1-0 PIT Z. Duke J. Williams Lineout: SS
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 1.
Top of the 5th, Cubs Batting, Behind 0-1, Pirates' Zach Duke facing 6-7-8
t5 0 --- O 6,(3-2)  3% 67% 0-1 CHC A. Pagan Z. Duke Groundout: SS-1B
t5 1 --- 7,(3-2)  -3% 63% 0-1 CHC M. Murton Z. Duke Walk
t5 1 1-- O 3,(0-2)  4% 67% 0-1 CHC R. Cedeno Z. Duke Groundout: 2B-SS/Forceout at 2B
t5 2 1-- O 2,(0-1)  3% 71% 0-1 CHC J. Williams Z. Duke Groundout: SS-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 1.
Bottom of the 5th, Pirates Batting, Ahead 1-0, Cubs' Jerome Williams facing 1-2-3
Freddie Bynum replaces Angel Pagan playing RF batting 6th
b5 0 --- O 5,(2-2)  -2% 68% 1-0 PIT C. Duffy J. Williams Groundout: SS-1B
b5 1 --- O 4,(1-2)  -2% 67% 1-0 PIT J. Wilson J. Williams Groundout: P-1B
b5 2 --- 5,(3-1)  1% 68% 1-0 PIT J. Bay J. Williams Walk
b5 2 1-- O 2,(1-0)  -2% 66% 1-0 PIT J. Burnitz J. Williams Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 1.
Top of the 6th, Cubs Batting, Behind 0-1, Pirates' Zach Duke facing 1-2-3
t6 0 --- O 4,(1-2)  4% 69% 0-1 CHC J. Pierre Z. Duke Groundout: P-1B
t6 1 --- O 6,(2-2)  3% 72% 0-1 CHC J. Hairston Z. Duke Strikeout Looking
t6 2 --- O 5,(2-2)  2% 74% 0-1 CHC D. Lee Z. Duke Groundout: 3B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 1.
Bottom of the 6th, Pirates Batting, Ahead 1-0, Cubs' Jerome Williams facing 5-6-7
b6 0 --- 1,(0-0)  9% 83% 1-0 PIT C. Wilson J. Williams Triple to RF (Line Drive to Deep RF)
b6 0 --3 RO 2,(0-1)  -0% 83% 1-0 PIT J. Randa J. Williams Flyball: RF/Sacrifice Fly; Wilson Scores
b6 1 --- 1,(0-0)  1% 84% 2-0 PIT J. Castillo J. Williams Single to CF (Line Drive)
b6 1 1-- O 2,(1-0)  -2% 82% 2-0 PIT H. Cota J. Williams Castillo Caught Stealing 2B (C-2B)
b6 2 --- O 4,(1-2)  -1% 81% 2-0 PIT H. Cota J. Williams Lineout: 1B
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 2.
Top of the 7th, Cubs Batting, Behind 0-2, Pirates' Zach Duke facing 4-5-6
t7 0 --- 2,(1-0)  -9% 73% 0-2 CHC A. Ramirez Z. Duke Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep CF)
t7 0 -2- O 2,(0-1)  6% 79% 0-2 CHC M. Barrett Z. Duke Flyball: RF (CF-RF)
t7 1 -2- O 4,(1-2)  5% 84% 0-2 CHC F. Bynum Z. Duke Strikeout Swinging
t7 2 -2- R 1,(0-0)  -10% 74% 0-2 CHC M. Murton Z. Duke Single to LF (Line Drive); Ramirez Scores
t7 2 1-- 1,(0-0)  -4% 70% 1-2 CHC R. Cedeno Z. Duke Single to LF (Line Drive); Murton to 2B
Todd Walker pinch hits for Jerome Williams (P) batting 9th
t7 2 12- O 3,(1-1)  8% 79% 1-2 CHC T. Walker Z. Duke Groundout: 1B-P
1 run, 3 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cubs 1, Pirates 2.
Bottom of the 7th, Pirates Batting, Ahead 2-1, Cubs' Scott Eyre facing 9-1-2
Scott Eyre replaces Todd Walker (PH) pitching and batting 9th; Freddy Sanchez pinch hits for Zach Duke (P) batting 9th
b7 0 --- O 4,(1-2)  -2% 77% 2-1 PIT F. Sanchez S. Eyre Groundout: 3B-1B
b7 1 --- 7,(3-2)  2% 79% 2-1 PIT C. Duffy S. Eyre Walk
b7 1 1-- OO 2,(0-1)  -5% 74% 2-1 PIT J. Wilson S. Eyre Line Drive Double Play: 3B; Duffy out at 1B/3B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 1, Pirates 2.
Top of the 8th, Cubs Batting, Behind 1-2, Pirates' John Grabow facing 1-2-3
John Grabow replaces Freddy Sanchez (PH) pitching and batting 9th
t8 0 --- O 4,(1-2)  6% 80% 1-2 CHC J. Pierre J. Grabow Groundout: P-1B
Roberto Hernandez replaces John Grabow pitching and batting 9th
t8 1 --- 3,(1-1)  -6% 74% 1-2 CHC J. Hairston R. Hernandez Single to CF (Ground Ball)
t8 1 1-- 6,(3-2)  -8% 65% 1-2 CHC D. Lee R. Hernandez Walk; Hairston to 2B
t8 1 12- O 3,(2-0)  11% 76% 1-2 CHC A. Ramirez R. Hernandez Flyball: CF
t8 2 12- O 4,(1-2)  11% 87% 1-2 CHC M. Barrett R. Hernandez Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cubs 1, Pirates 2.
Bottom of the 8th, Pirates Batting, Ahead 2-1, Cubs' Scott Eyre facing 3-4-5
b8 0 --- 5,(3-1)  2% 88% 2-1 PIT J. Bay S. Eyre Walk
b8 0 1-- OO 7,(3-2)  -5% 84% 2-1 PIT J. Burnitz S. Eyre Line Drive Double Play: 1B unassisted; Bay out at 1B/1B
b8 2 --- O 7,(2-2)  -1% 83% 2-1 PIT C. Wilson S. Eyre Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 1, Pirates 2.
Top of the 9th, Cubs Batting, Behind 1-2, Pirates' Mike Gonzalez facing 6-7-8
Mike Gonzalez replaces Jeromy Burnitz (RF) pitching and batting 4th; Nate McLouth replaces Roberto Hernandez (P) playing RF batting 9th; Neifi Perez pinch hits for Freddie Bynum (RF) batting 6th
t9 0 --- O 1,(0-0)  7% 91% 1-2 CHC N. Perez M. Gonzalez Flyball: RF
t9 1 --- O 2,(1-0)  6% 96% 1-2 CHC M. Murton M. Gonzalez Lineout: 3B
t9 2 --- O 1,(0-0)  4% 100% 1-2 CHC R. Cedeno M. Gonzalez Popfly: 2B (Short RF)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 1, Pirates 2.

Retrosheet.org Boxscore:PIT200604150

Play-by-Play Explanation

  • RoB- This gives the baserunner (Runners on Base) configuration at the start of the play. "1-3" would mean runners on first and third. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
  • R/O- This has a "O" for every out on the play and an "R" for every run that scored on the play. Some plays will have both in no particular order.
  • Pit- When available, the number of pitches in this plate appearance. Clicking on this number will show the sequence of pitches thrown including, when available, things like runner going, ball blocked, attempted pickoffs and the like. We believe this data to be as accurate as humanly possible, but there are going to be some errors in the data, so please take it with a grain of salt. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
  • wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
  • wWE- Winning Team's Win Expectancy. The probability of the eventual winning team winning the game prior to this play given two average teams playing each other. More About Win Probability Added
  • Score- The score from the perspective of the batting team.
  • Batter- The batter at the plate when this play occurred. If the play is a baserunning event, then the batter's name will be repeated as indicated by quotes.
  • Pitcher- The pitcher on the mound when this play occurred.
  • Play Detail- This is an explanation of the play that occurred. In some cases, batted ball location and type will be indicated within parentheses. Again, these are best efforts to the record the game as it happened. Also, plays made on the baserunners (including the batter as a baserunner) will be indicated in parentheses after the baserunner's name. Advancement of baserunners is given in cases where the advancement is not easily deduced or obvious from the play. For example, advancement for a walk will not be given, but for a single or double it will be given.

Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.

The play-by-play information both shown and used to create certain data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet.

In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.

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