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PNC Park, Attendance: 24,002 |
Friday, April 12, 2002 Time of Game: 2:44 |
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Cubs
7
3-6
Won 1
5th, 3½ GB
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Cubs 0 0 1 0 1 1 4 0 0 7 10 0
Pirates 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 0
W: Jason Bere (1-1), L: Dave Williams (1-1) |
Pirates
3
5-4
Lost 3
3rd, 1½ GB
|
Chicago Cubs AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details C Stynes 3B 3 1 2 2 1 0 .182 .490 16 7 0 1 A Ojeda 3B 1 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 1 1 0 0 C Patterson CF 4 1 0 0 1 1 .333 .948 16 9 0 0 S Sosa RF 4 1 1 1 1 2 .242 1.148 20 10 7 0 HR F McGriff 1B 5 0 1 1 0 0 .182 .537 19 10 11 0 A Gonzalez SS 4 0 1 1 0 0 .441 1.059 16 9 0 3 M Encarnacion LF 4 0 0 0 0 3 .000 .000 17 13 1 0 J Borowski P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 A Alfonseca P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 M Bellhorn 2B 4 1 1 1 0 3 .200 .738 24 16 0 1 HR R Machado C 3 2 3 1 1 0 .429 1.500 19 11 7 0 HR,2B J Bere P 1 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 4 4 0 1 SH D Lewis PH-LF 2 1 1 0 0 0 .167 .417 6 5 1 0 2B Totals 35 7 10 0 4 9 158 95 27 7
Pittsburgh Pirates AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details A Brown CF 4 0 0 0 0 0 .152 .555 10 8 1 0 P Reese 2B 4 0 0 0 0 2 .346 .856 25 15 2 1 J Kendall C 4 0 0 0 0 1 .086 .301 12 8 9 0 B Giles LF 3 1 1 0 1 0 .214 .813 18 10 3 0 SB A Ramirez 3B 3 0 0 0 1 2 .355 .889 20 10 0 3 A Rios RF 2 0 1 0 1 0 .321 .744 12 6 1 0 S Lowe P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 J Beimel P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 B Boehringer P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 A Nunez PH 1 0 0 0 0 1 .125 .325 6 3 0 0 K Young 1B 2 0 0 1 1 0 .286 .971 12 7 11 0 SF J Wilson SS 4 0 1 0 0 0 .136 .273 15 10 0 3 D Williams P 2 1 1 1 0 0 .250 1.250 10 6 0 0 HR R Mackowiak RF 2 1 1 1 0 0 .150 .500 4 4 0 0 HR Totals 31 3 5 0 4 6 144 87 27 7
Chicago Cubs IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA J Bere, W (1-1) 6 3 2 2 3 4 1 2.13 24 95-57 31· 8·18 8· 8· 2· 1 59 - 1.13 0.10 J Borowski 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 2.35 8 32-21 12· 1· 8 2· 4· 1· 1 0-0 0.35 0.03 A Alfonseca 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 3.00 4 17-9 3· 0· 6 2· 0· 0· 0 0-0 0.38 0.02 Totals 9 5 3 3 4 6 2 36 144-87 46· 9·32 12·12· 3· 2 -
Pittsburgh Pirates IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA D Williams, L (1-1) 6 5 3 3 2 4 3 3.00 24 96-59 37· 5·17 9· 6· 4· 3 52 - 1.08 -0.09 S Lowe 0.2 3 4 4 1 2 0 11.81 6 23-14 6· 4· 4 1· 2· 2· 0 0-0 1.03 -0.20 J Beimel 1.1 2 0 0 1 2 0 0.00 7 28-16 7· 6· 3 2· 2· 1· 0 2-2 0.31 -0.06 B Boehringer 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.93 3 11-6 4· 2· 0 0· 2· 0· 0 0-0 0.06 0.00 Totals 9 10 7 7 4 9 3 40 158-95 54·17·24 12·12· 7· 3 2-2
Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates 1. Chris Stynes 3B 1. Adrian Brown CF 2. Corey Patterson CF 2. Pokey Reese 2B 3. Sammy Sosa RF 3. Jason Kendall C 4. Fred McGriff 1B 4. Brian Giles LF 5. Alex Gonzalez SS 5. Aramis Ramirez 3B 6. Mario Encarnacion LF 6. Armando Rios RF 7. Mark Bellhorn 2B 7. Kevin Young 1B 8. Robert Machado C 8. Jack Wilson SS 9. Jason Bere P 9. Dave Williams P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t6 | 0 | --- | R | 4,(3-0) | 16% | 66% | 2-2 | CHC | S. Sosa | D. Williams | Home Run (LF-CF) |
| b5 | 0 | --- | R | 6,(3-2) | -15% | 43% | 1-2 | PIT | D. Williams | J. Bere | Home Run |
| t5 | 0 | --- | R | 8,(3-2) | 14% | 64% | 1-1 | CHC | R. Machado | D. Williams | Home Run (LF-CF) |
| t7 | 1 | -23 | RR | 3,(1-1) | 12% | 90% | 3-2 | CHC | C. Stynes | S. Lowe | Single to CF (Line Drive); Machado Scores; Lewis Scores; Stynes to 2B/Adv on throw to Hm |
| t3 | 0 | --- | R | 5,(0-2) | 11% | 50% | 0-1 | CHC | M. Bellhorn | D. Williams | Home Run |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Cubs Batting, Tied 0-0, Pirates' Dave Williams facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | -2% | 48% | 0-0 | CHC | C. Stynes | D. Williams | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t1 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | -2% | 46% | 0-0 | CHC | C. Patterson | D. Williams | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t1 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 45% | 0-0 | CHC | S. Sosa | D. Williams | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Pirates Batting, Tied 0-0, Cubs' Jason Bere facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 2% | 47% | 0-0 | PIT | A. Brown | J. Bere | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b1 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 2% | 49% | 0-0 | PIT | P. Reese | J. Bere | Strikeout Swinging |
| b1 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 50% | 0-0 | PIT | J. Kendall | J. Bere | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Cubs Batting, Tied 0-0, Pirates' Dave Williams facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 48% | 0-0 | CHC | F. McGriff | D. Williams | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | -2% | 46% | 0-0 | CHC | A. Gonzalez | D. Williams | Flyball: CF |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | -1% | 45% | 0-0 | CHC | M. Encarnacion | D. Williams | Groundout: SS-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Pirates Batting, Tied 0-0, Cubs' Jason Bere facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -4% | 41% | 0-0 | PIT | B. Giles | J. Bere | Walk | |
| b2 | 0 | 1-- | O | 6,(3-2) | 2% | 43% | 0-0 | PIT | A. Ramirez | J. Bere | Strikeout Swinging, Giles Steals 2B |
| b2 | 1 | -2- | 1,(0-0) | -5% | 38% | 0-0 | PIT | A. Rios | J. Bere | Single to LF (Line Drive); Giles to 3B | |
| b2 | 1 | 1-3 | RO | 3,(1-1) | -2% | 36% | 0-0 | PIT | K. Young | J. Bere | Flyball: RF/Sacrifice Fly; Giles Scores; Rios to 2B |
| b2 | 2 | -2- | 5,(2-2) | -1% | 34% | 1-0 | PIT | J. Wilson | J. Bere | Single (Ground Ball); Rios to 3B | |
| b2 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 4,(1-2) | 4% | 39% | 1-0 | PIT | D. Williams | J. Bere | Flyball: LF |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cubs 0, Pirates 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Cubs Batting, Behind 0-1, Pirates' Dave Williams facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | R | 5,(0-2) | 11% | 50% | 0-1 | CHC | M. Bellhorn | D. Williams | Home Run |
| t3 | 0 | --- | 2,(0-1) | 7% | 57% | 1-1 | CHC | R. Machado | D. Williams | Double (Line Drive to LF-CF) | |
| t3 | 0 | -2- | O | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 55% | 1-1 | CHC | J. Bere | D. Williams | Bunt Groundout: 3B-1B/Sacrifice; Machado to 3B |
| t3 | 1 | --3 | 5,(3-1) | 2% | 57% | 1-1 | CHC | C. Stynes | D. Williams | Walk | |
| t3 | 1 | 1-3 | O | 3,(0-2) | -7% | 50% | 1-1 | CHC | C. Patterson | D. Williams | Strikeout Swinging |
| t3 | 2 | 1-3 | 6,(3-2) | 3% | 53% | 1-1 | CHC | S. Sosa | D. Williams | Walk; Stynes to 2B | |
| t3 | 2 | 123 | O | 2,(1-0) | -8% | 44% | 1-1 | CHC | F. McGriff | D. Williams | Lineout: 2B |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Cubs 1, Pirates 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Pirates Batting, Tied 1-1, Cubs' Jason Bere facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 3% | 47% | 1-1 | PIT | A. Brown | J. Bere | Bunt Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| b3 | 1 | --- | O | 7,(3-2) | 2% | 49% | 1-1 | PIT | P. Reese | J. Bere | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| b3 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | 1% | 50% | 1-1 | PIT | J. Kendall | J. Bere | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 1, Pirates 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Cubs Batting, Tied 1-1, Pirates' Dave Williams facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -3% | 47% | 1-1 | CHC | A. Gonzalez | D. Williams | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t4 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -2% | 45% | 1-1 | CHC | M. Encarnacion | D. Williams | Strikeout Looking |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 7,(3-2) | -1% | 44% | 1-1 | CHC | M. Bellhorn | D. Williams | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 1, Pirates 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Pirates Batting, Tied 1-1, Cubs' Jason Bere facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | 3% | 47% | 1-1 | PIT | B. Giles | J. Bere | Lineout: RF |
| b4 | 1 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -3% | 44% | 1-1 | PIT | A. Ramirez | J. Bere | Walk | |
| b4 | 1 | 1-- | 6,(3-2) | -4% | 39% | 1-1 | PIT | A. Rios | J. Bere | Walk; Ramirez to 2B | |
| b4 | 1 | 12- | O | 3,(0-2) | 5% | 45% | 1-1 | PIT | K. Young | J. Bere | Flyball: RF |
| b4 | 2 | 12- | O | 1,(0-0) | 5% | 50% | 1-1 | PIT | J. Wilson | J. Bere | Groundout: P-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cubs 1, Pirates 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Cubs Batting, Tied 1-1, Pirates' Dave Williams facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | R | 8,(3-2) | 14% | 64% | 1-1 | CHC | R. Machado | D. Williams | Home Run (LF-CF) |
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -2% | 62% | 2-1 | CHC | J. Bere | D. Williams | Bunt Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t5 | 1 | --- | 3,(2-0) | 3% | 64% | 2-1 | CHC | C. Stynes | D. Williams | Single (Ground Ball) | |
| t5 | 1 | 1-- | OO | 1,(0-0) | -5% | 59% | 2-1 | CHC | C. Patterson | D. Williams | Line Drive Double Play: 1B unassisted |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 2, Pirates 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Pirates Batting, Behind 1-2, Cubs' Jason Bere facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | R | 6,(3-2) | -15% | 43% | 1-2 | PIT | D. Williams | J. Bere | Home Run |
| b5 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 3% | 46% | 2-2 | PIT | A. Brown | J. Bere | Flyball: RF |
| b5 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 2% | 49% | 2-2 | PIT | P. Reese | J. Bere | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b5 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | 1% | 50% | 2-2 | PIT | J. Kendall | J. Bere | Foul Flyball: C (Front of Home) |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 2, Pirates 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Cubs Batting, Tied 2-2, Pirates' Dave Williams facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | R | 4,(3-0) | 16% | 66% | 2-2 | CHC | S. Sosa | D. Williams | Home Run (LF-CF) |
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 7,(3-2) | -3% | 64% | 3-2 | CHC | F. McGriff | D. Williams | Lineout: 1B |
| t6 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | -2% | 62% | 3-2 | CHC | A. Gonzalez | D. Williams | Flyball: RF |
| t6 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 61% | 3-2 | CHC | M. Encarnacion | D. Williams | Strikeout Swinging |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 3, Pirates 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Pirates Batting, Behind 2-3, Cubs' Jason Bere facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 4% | 65% | 2-3 | PIT | B. Giles | J. Bere | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b6 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 3% | 68% | 2-3 | PIT | A. Ramirez | J. Bere | Strikeout Swinging |
| b6 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 2% | 69% | 2-3 | PIT | A. Rios | J. Bere | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 3, Pirates 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Cubs Batting, Ahead 3-2, Pirates' Sean Lowe facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| Sean Lowe replaces Armando Rios (RF) pitching and batting 6th; Rob Mackowiak replaces Dave Williams (P) playing RF batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | -3% | 67% | 3-2 | CHC | M. Bellhorn | S. Lowe | Strikeout Swinging |
| t7 | 1 | --- | 4,(1-2) | 3% | 70% | 3-2 | CHC | R. Machado | S. Lowe | Single to CF (Line Drive) | |
| Darren Lewis pinch hits for Jason Bere (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 1 | 1-- | 2,(0-1) | 9% | 79% | 3-2 | CHC | D. Lewis | S. Lowe | Double to LF (Ground Ball thru Short LF); Machado to 3B | |
| t7 | 1 | -23 | RR | 3,(1-1) | 12% | 90% | 3-2 | CHC | C. Stynes | S. Lowe | Single to CF (Line Drive); Machado Scores; Lewis Scores; Stynes to 2B/Adv on throw to Hm |
| t7 | 1 | -2- | 5,(3-1) | 1% | 91% | 5-2 | CHC | C. Patterson | S. Lowe | Walk | |
| t7 | 1 | 12- | O | 3,(0-2) | -2% | 89% | 5-2 | CHC | S. Sosa | S. Lowe | Strikeout Swinging |
| Joe Beimel replaces Sean Lowe pitching and batting 6th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 2 | 12- | R | 5,(3-1) | 5% | 94% | 5-2 | CHC | F. McGriff | J. Beimel | Single to CF (Line Drive); Stynes Scores; Patterson to 3B |
| t7 | 2 | 1-3 | R | 3,(1-1) | 3% | 97% | 6-2 | CHC | A. Gonzalez | J. Beimel | Single (Ground Ball); Patterson Scores; McGriff to 2B |
| t7 | 2 | 12- | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 96% | 7-2 | CHC | M. Encarnacion | J. Beimel | Strikeout Swinging |
| 4 runs, 5 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cubs 7, Pirates 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Pirates Batting, Behind 2-7, Cubs' Joe Borowski facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| Joe Borowski replaces Mario Encarnacion (LF) pitching and batting 6th; Augie Ojeda replaces Chris Stynes playing 3B batting 1st; Darren Lewis moves from PH to LF | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 1% | 97% | 2-7 | PIT | K. Young | J. Borowski | Foul Flyball: 1B |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 1% | 98% | 2-7 | PIT | J. Wilson | J. Borowski | Lineout: LF |
| b7 | 2 | --- | R | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 96% | 2-7 | PIT | R. Mackowiak | J. Borowski | Home Run |
| b7 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 1% | 96% | 3-7 | PIT | A. Brown | J. Borowski | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 7, Pirates 3. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Cubs Batting, Ahead 7-3, Pirates' Joe Beimel facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | -0% | 96% | 7-3 | CHC | M. Bellhorn | J. Beimel | Strikeout Swinging |
| t8 | 1 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 0% | 96% | 7-3 | CHC | R. Machado | J. Beimel | Walk | |
| t8 | 1 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | -0% | 96% | 7-3 | CHC | D. Lewis | J. Beimel | Groundout: 3B-2B/Forceout at 2B |
| t8 | 2 | 1-- | O | 1,(0-0) | -0% | 96% | 7-3 | CHC | A. Ojeda | J. Beimel | Flyball: LF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cubs 7, Pirates 3. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Pirates Batting, Behind 3-7, Cubs' Joe Borowski facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 8,(3-2) | 2% | 97% | 3-7 | PIT | P. Reese | J. Borowski | Strikeout Looking |
| b8 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 1% | 98% | 3-7 | PIT | J. Kendall | J. Borowski | Flyball: RF |
| b8 | 2 | --- | 6,(3-2) | -1% | 97% | 3-7 | PIT | B. Giles | J. Borowski | Single to RF (Ground Ball thru Short RF) | |
| b8 | 2 | 1-- | O | 5,(2-2) | 1% | 99% | 3-7 | PIT | A. Ramirez | J. Borowski | Flyball: RF |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cubs 7, Pirates 3. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Cubs Batting, Ahead 7-3, Pirates' Brian Boehringer facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| Brian Boehringer replaces Joe Beimel pitching and batting 6th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -0% | 98% | 7-3 | CHC | C. Patterson | B. Boehringer | Flyball: LF |
| t9 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | -0% | 98% | 7-3 | CHC | S. Sosa | B. Boehringer | Strikeout Swinging |
| t9 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -0% | 98% | 7-3 | CHC | F. McGriff | B. Boehringer | Flyball: LF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cubs 7, Pirates 3. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 9th, Pirates Batting, Behind 3-7, Cubs' Antonio Alfonseca facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Antonio Alfonseca replaces Joe Borowski pitching and batting 6th; Abraham Nunez pinch hits for Brian Boehringer (P) batting 6th | |||||||||||
| b9 | 0 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 1% | 99% | 3-7 | PIT | A. Nunez | A. Alfonseca | Strikeout Looking |
| b9 | 1 | --- | 4,(3-0) | -1% | 98% | 3-7 | PIT | K. Young | A. Alfonseca | Walk | |
| b9 | 1 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | 1% | 99% | 3-7 | PIT | J. Wilson | A. Alfonseca | Groundout: P-1B; Young to 2B |
| b9 | 2 | -2- | O | 3,(0-2) | 1% | 100% | 3-7 | PIT | R. Mackowiak | A. Alfonseca | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cubs 7, Pirates 3. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:PIT200204120
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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