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Veterans Stadium, Attendance: 19,138 |
Saturday, April 30, 1988, 1:38 Time of Game: 2:55 |
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Braves
5
3-16
Lost 3
6th, 10 GB
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Braves 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 5 8 2
Phillies 1 1 1 2 0 1 0 1 X 7 9 1
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Phillies
7
7-12
Won 1
5th, 7½ GB
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Atlanta Braves AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details A Hall CF 3 1 1 0 1 0 .304 .766 3 0 HBP R Gant 2B 2 0 0 0 1 1 .074 .249 1 2 K Coffman P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 1 D James PH-LF 2 1 2 0 0 0 .222 .611 0 0 D Murphy RF 3 0 0 0 2 0 .239 .728 3 0 GDP G Roenicke LF 2 1 1 1 1 0 .333 .792 0 0 2B T Simmons PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .235 .786 0 0 J Acker P 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 2.000 0 1 P Assenmacher P 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 3.000 0 1 K Griffey PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .129 .370 0 0 G Perry 1B 5 1 1 1 0 0 .230 .595 9 1 SB O Virgil C 3 0 0 1 0 0 .200 .525 6 1 SF K Oberkfell 3B 3 0 0 0 1 2 .231 .655 0 3 A Thomas SS 4 1 3 1 0 1 .222 .536 1 2 R Mahler P 1 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 D Garcia PH-2B 3 0 0 0 0 0 .130 .364 1 0 GDP Totals 33 5 8 0 6 4 24 12
Philadelphia Phillies AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details M Thompson CF 3 2 2 1 2 0 .296 .728 1 0 2B,SB,CS P Bradley LF 2 2 0 0 1 0 .229 .609 1 0 SB,HBP,SH J Samuel 2B 4 0 1 3 0 1 .235 .658 0 1 3B,SF M Schmidt 3B 3 1 3 2 1 0 .247 .773 1 3 3B,HBP V Hayes 1B 4 0 0 0 0 1 .257 .682 8 0 L Parrish C 4 0 2 1 0 1 .242 .881 4 1 2B C James RF 4 1 1 0 0 2 .206 .525 7 0 L Aguayo SS 4 0 0 0 0 0 .154 .497 3 1 K Tekulve P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 D Carman P 3 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 0 0 G Harris P 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 2.000 1 0 S Jeltz SS 1 1 0 0 0 0 .196 .633 1 0 SB Totals 32 7 9 0 4 6 27 6
Atlanta Braves IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA R Mahler, L (0-3) 4 7 5 4 1 3 0 5.40 23 - · · 6·11· 8· 0 32 - 1.14 -0.39 K Coffman 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 6.92 9 - · · 5· 2· 2· 0 0-0 0.63 -0.02 J Acker 1.2 0 1 0 2 2 0 7.94 8 - · · 2· 2· 0· 0 0-0 0.35 -0.01 P Assenmacher 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.25 0 - · · · · · 2-0 0.27 0.01 Totals 8 9 7 5 4 6 0 40 - · · 13·15·10· 0 2-0
Philadelphia Phillies IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA D Carman, W (3-2) 5.1 5 3 3 5 2 0 3.27 26 - · · 1·18· 6· 0 43 - 1.28 -0.12 G Harris, H (2) 1.2 1 1 1 1 0 0 3.52 7 - · · 3· 2· 2· 0 2-0 2.61 0.11 K Tekulve, S (1) 2 2 1 0 0 2 0 3.00 8 - · · 4· 2· 2· 0 0-0 1.28 0.09 Totals 9 8 5 4 6 4 0 41 - · · 8·22·10· 0 2-0
Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies 1. Albert Hall CF 1. Milt Thompson CF 2. Ron Gant 2B 2. Phil Bradley LF 3. Dale Murphy RF 3. Juan Samuel 2B 4. Gary Roenicke LF 4. Mike Schmidt 3B 5. Gerald Perry 1B 5. Von Hayes 1B 6. Ozzie Virgil C 6. Lance Parrish C 7. Ken Oberkfell 3B 7. Chris James RF 8. Andres Thomas SS 8. Luis Aguayo SS 9. Rick Mahler P 9. Don Carman P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b4 | 2 | 12- | RR | 18% | 88% | 3-2 | PHI | J. Samuel | R. Mahler | Triple to RF (Line Drive); Thompson Scores; Bradley Scores | |
| b3 | 2 | 1-- | R | 14% | 67% | 2-2 | PHI | L. Parrish | R. Mahler | Double to LF (Line Drive); Schmidt Scores | |
| b2 | 2 | 12- | R | 14% | 56% | 1-2 | PHI | M. Thompson | R. Mahler | Double to CF (Line Drive to LF-CF); James Scores/unER; Aguayo to 3B | |
| t9 | 0 | 12- | OO | 12% | 99% | 4-7 | ATL | D. Murphy | K. Tekulve | Ground Ball Double Play: 3B-1B; James to 2B | |
| t6 | 1 | 12- | OO | 12% | 86% | 3-5 | ATL | D. Garcia | G. Harris | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Phillies' Don Carman facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | ATL | A. Hall | D. Carman | Lineout: RF | |
| t1 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 54% | 0-0 | ATL | R. Gant | D. Carman | Strikeout | |
| t1 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 55% | 0-0 | ATL | D. Murphy | D. Carman | Flyball: 1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Phillies 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Phillies Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Rick Mahler facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | 4% | 58% | 0-0 | PHI | M. Thompson | R. Mahler | Single to 3B/Bunt | ||
| b1 | 0 | 1-- | 3% | 61% | 0-0 | PHI | P. Bradley | R. Mahler | Thompson Steals 2B | ||
| b1 | 0 | -2- | O | -1% | 60% | 0-0 | PHI | P. Bradley | R. Mahler | Groundout: 2B-1B; Thompson to 3B | |
| b1 | 1 | --3 | O | -6% | 54% | 0-0 | PHI | J. Samuel | R. Mahler | Strikeout | |
| b1 | 2 | --3 | R | 10% | 63% | 0-0 | PHI | M. Schmidt | R. Mahler | Single to LF (Line Drive); Thompson Scores | |
| b1 | 2 | 1-- | O | -2% | 62% | 1-0 | PHI | V. Hayes | R. Mahler | Flyball: CF | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Phillies 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Braves Batting, Behind 0-1, Phillies' Don Carman facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | -7% | 55% | 0-1 | ATL | G. Roenicke | D. Carman | Double to CF (Line Drive) | ||
| t2 | 0 | -2- | -8% | 47% | 0-1 | ATL | G. Perry | D. Carman | Single to LF (Line Drive); Roenicke to 3B | ||
| t2 | 0 | 1-3 | RO | 1% | 48% | 0-1 | ATL | O. Virgil | D. Carman | Flyball: RF/Sacrifice Fly; Roenicke Scores; Perry to 2B | |
| t2 | 1 | -2- | -3% | 45% | 1-1 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | D. Carman | Perry Steals 3B | ||
| t2 | 1 | --3 | O | 6% | 51% | 1-1 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | D. Carman | Strikeout Looking | |
| t2 | 2 | --3 | R | -10% | 41% | 1-1 | ATL | A. Thomas | D. Carman | Single to LF (Line Drive); Perry Scores | |
| t2 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2% | 43% | 2-1 | ATL | R. Mahler | D. Carman | Flyball: SS | |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 2, Phillies 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Phillies Batting, Behind 1-2, Braves' Rick Mahler facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | 4% | 47% | 1-2 | PHI | L. Parrish | R. Mahler | Single to RF (Line Drive) | ||
| b2 | 0 | 1-- | O | -4% | 43% | 1-2 | PHI | C. James | R. Mahler | Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B | |
| b2 | 1 | 1-- | 4% | 47% | 1-2 | PHI | L. Aguayo | R. Mahler | Reached on E6 (Ground Ball); James to 2B; Aguayo to 1B | ||
| b2 | 1 | 12- | O | -5% | 42% | 1-2 | PHI | D. Carman | R. Mahler | Strikeout | |
| b2 | 2 | 12- | R | 14% | 56% | 1-2 | PHI | M. Thompson | R. Mahler | Double to CF (Line Drive to LF-CF); James Scores/unER; Aguayo to 3B | |
| b2 | 2 | -23 | O | -6% | 50% | 2-2 | PHI | P. Bradley | R. Mahler | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 1 error, 2 LOB. Braves 2, Phillies 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Braves Batting, Tied 2-2, Phillies' Don Carman facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | -4% | 46% | 2-2 | ATL | A. Hall | D. Carman | Walk | ||
| t3 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4% | 50% | 2-2 | ATL | R. Gant | D. Carman | Flyball: 1B | |
| t3 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3% | 53% | 2-2 | ATL | D. Murphy | D. Carman | Flyball: LF | |
| t3 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2% | 55% | 2-2 | ATL | G. Roenicke | D. Carman | Flyball: RF | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 2, Phillies 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Phillies Batting, Tied 2-2, Braves' Rick Mahler facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 53% | 2-2 | PHI | J. Samuel | R. Mahler | Flyball: CF | |
| b3 | 1 | --- | 3% | 56% | 2-2 | PHI | M. Schmidt | R. Mahler | Single to RF (Line Drive) | ||
| b3 | 1 | 1-- | O | -3% | 52% | 2-2 | PHI | V. Hayes | R. Mahler | Lineout: CF | |
| b3 | 2 | 1-- | R | 14% | 67% | 2-2 | PHI | L. Parrish | R. Mahler | Double to LF (Line Drive); Schmidt Scores | |
| b3 | 2 | -2- | O | -3% | 64% | 3-2 | PHI | C. James | R. Mahler | Strikeout Looking | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 2, Phillies 3. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Braves Batting, Behind 2-3, Phillies' Don Carman facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 67% | 2-3 | ATL | G. Perry | D. Carman | Flyball: CF | |
| t4 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 69% | 2-3 | ATL | O. Virgil | D. Carman | Bunt Groundout: C-1B | |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 70% | 2-3 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | D. Carman | Flyball: SS | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 2, Phillies 3. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Phillies Batting, Ahead 3-2, Braves' Rick Mahler facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 68% | 3-2 | PHI | L. Aguayo | R. Mahler | Flyball: 1B | |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 66% | 3-2 | PHI | D. Carman | R. Mahler | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b4 | 2 | --- | 1% | 68% | 3-2 | PHI | M. Thompson | R. Mahler | Walk | ||
| b4 | 2 | 1-- | 2% | 69% | 3-2 | PHI | P. Bradley | R. Mahler | Hit By Pitch; Thompson to 2B | ||
| b4 | 2 | 12- | RR | 18% | 88% | 3-2 | PHI | J. Samuel | R. Mahler | Triple to RF (Line Drive); Thompson Scores; Bradley Scores | |
| b4 | 2 | --3 | 0% | 88% | 5-2 | PHI | M. Schmidt | R. Mahler | Hit By Pitch | ||
| b4 | 2 | 1-3 | O | -2% | 86% | 5-2 | PHI | V. Hayes | R. Mahler | Lineout: RF | |
| 2 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Braves 2, Phillies 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Braves Batting, Behind 2-5, Phillies' Don Carman facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | -4% | 82% | 2-5 | ATL | A. Thomas | D. Carman | Single to RF (Line Drive to CF-RF) | ||
| Damaso Garcia pinch hits for Rick Mahler (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4% | 86% | 2-5 | ATL | D. Garcia | D. Carman | Flyball: RF | |
| t5 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3% | 88% | 2-5 | ATL | A. Hall | D. Carman | Flyball: RF | |
| t5 | 2 | 1-- | -2% | 86% | 2-5 | ATL | R. Gant | D. Carman | Walk; Thomas to 2B | ||
| t5 | 2 | 12- | -4% | 82% | 2-5 | ATL | D. Murphy | D. Carman | Walk; Thomas to 3B; Gant to 2B | ||
| t5 | 2 | 123 | R | -9% | 73% | 2-5 | ATL | G. Roenicke | D. Carman | Walk; Thomas Scores; Gant to 3B; Murphy to 2B | |
| t5 | 2 | 123 | O | 10% | 83% | 3-5 | ATL | G. Perry | D. Carman | Flyball: RF | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Braves 3, Phillies 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Phillies Batting, Ahead 5-3, Braves' Kevin Coffman facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Kevin Coffman replaces Ron Gant (2B) pitching and batting 2nd; Damaso Garcia moves from PH to 2B | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | O | -1% | 82% | 5-3 | PHI | L. Parrish | K. Coffman | Bunt Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| b5 | 1 | --- | 1% | 83% | 5-3 | PHI | C. James | K. Coffman | Single to CF (Line Drive) | ||
| b5 | 1 | 1-- | O | -2% | 82% | 5-3 | PHI | L. Aguayo | K. Coffman | Groundout: 1B-SS/Forceout at 2B | |
| b5 | 2 | 1-- | O | -1% | 80% | 5-3 | PHI | D. Carman | K. Coffman | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 3, Phillies 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Braves Batting, Behind 3-5, Phillies' Don Carman facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 83% | 3-5 | ATL | O. Virgil | D. Carman | Flyball: RF | |
| t6 | 1 | --- | -4% | 80% | 3-5 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | D. Carman | Walk | ||
| t6 | 1 | 1-- | -6% | 74% | 3-5 | ATL | A. Thomas | D. Carman | Single to LF (Line Drive); Oberkfell to 2B | ||
| Greg Harris replaces Don Carman pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t6 | 1 | 12- | OO | 12% | 86% | 3-5 | ATL | D. Garcia | G. Harris | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 3, Phillies 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Phillies Batting, Ahead 5-3, Braves' Kevin Coffman facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | O | -1% | 85% | 5-3 | PHI | M. Thompson | K. Coffman | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| b6 | 1 | --- | 1% | 86% | 5-3 | PHI | P. Bradley | K. Coffman | Walk | ||
| b6 | 1 | 1-- | 1% | 87% | 5-3 | PHI | J. Samuel | K. Coffman | Bradley Steals 2B | ||
| b6 | 1 | -2- | O | -2% | 86% | 5-3 | PHI | J. Samuel | K. Coffman | Groundout: P-1B | |
| b6 | 2 | -2- | R | 7% | 92% | 5-3 | PHI | M. Schmidt | K. Coffman | Triple to CF (Line Drive); Bradley Scores | |
| b6 | 2 | --3 | O | -1% | 91% | 6-3 | PHI | V. Hayes | K. Coffman | Strikeout | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 3, Phillies 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Braves Batting, Behind 3-6, Phillies' Greg Harris facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | -4% | 87% | 3-6 | ATL | A. Hall | G. Harris | Hit By Pitch | ||
| Dion James pinch hits for Kevin Coffman (P) batting 2nd | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | 1-- | -10% | 77% | 3-6 | ATL | D. James | G. Harris | Single to RF (Line Drive); Hall to 3B | ||
| t7 | 0 | 1-3 | -8% | 69% | 3-6 | ATL | D. Murphy | G. Harris | Walk; James to 2B | ||
| Ted Simmons pinch hits for Gary Roenicke (LF) batting 4th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | 123 | O | 10% | 79% | 3-6 | ATL | T. Simmons | G. Harris | Lineout: 1B | |
| t7 | 1 | 123 | RO | 2% | 81% | 3-6 | ATL | G. Perry | G. Harris | Groundout: P unassisted; Hall Scores; James to 3B; Murphy to 2B | |
| t7 | 2 | -23 | O | 9% | 90% | 4-6 | ATL | O. Virgil | G. Harris | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Braves 4, Phillies 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Phillies Batting, Ahead 6-4, Braves' Jim Acker facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Jim Acker replaces Ted Simmons (PH) pitching and batting 4th; Dion James moves from PH to LF | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | -1% | 89% | 6-4 | PHI | L. Parrish | J. Acker | Strikeout Looking | |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 89% | 6-4 | PHI | C. James | J. Acker | Strikeout | |
| b7 | 2 | --- | O | -0% | 88% | 6-4 | PHI | L. Aguayo | J. Acker | Flyball: RF | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 4, Phillies 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Braves Batting, Behind 4-6, Phillies' Kent Tekulve facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| Kent Tekulve replaces Luis Aguayo (SS) pitching and batting 8th; Steve Jeltz replaces Greg Harris (P) playing SS batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 92% | 4-6 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | K. Tekulve | Strikeout Looking | |
| t8 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 94% | 4-6 | ATL | A. Thomas | K. Tekulve | Strikeout | |
| t8 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 95% | 4-6 | ATL | D. Garcia | K. Tekulve | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 4, Phillies 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Phillies Batting, Ahead 6-4, Braves' Jim Acker facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | 1% | 95% | 6-4 | PHI | S. Jeltz | J. Acker | Reached on E6 (Ground Ball); Jeltz to 1B | ||
| b8 | 0 | 1-- | 1% | 96% | 6-4 | PHI | M. Thompson | J. Acker | Jeltz Steals 2B | ||
| b8 | 0 | -2- | 0% | 97% | 6-4 | PHI | M. Thompson | J. Acker | Walk | ||
| b8 | 0 | 12- | O | 0% | 97% | 6-4 | PHI | P. Bradley | J. Acker | Bunt Groundout: P-2B/Sacrifice; Jeltz to 3B; Thompson to 2B | |
| b8 | 1 | -23 | RO | 1% | 98% | 6-4 | PHI | J. Samuel | J. Acker | Flyball: RF/Sacrifice Fly; Jeltz Scores/unER; Thompson to 3B | |
| b8 | 2 | --3 | 0% | 98% | 7-4 | PHI | M. Schmidt | J. Acker | Walk | ||
| Paul Assenmacher replaces Jim Acker pitching and batting 4th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 2 | 1-3 | O | -0% | 97% | 7-4 | PHI | V. Hayes | P. Assenmacher | Thompson Caught Stealing Hm (P-C) | |
| 1 run, 0 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Braves 4, Phillies 7. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Braves Batting, Behind 4-7, Phillies' Kent Tekulve facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | -3% | 94% | 4-7 | ATL | A. Hall | K. Tekulve | Single to CF (Line Drive) | ||
| t9 | 0 | 1-- | -7% | 86% | 4-7 | ATL | D. James | K. Tekulve | Single to RF (Line Drive); Hall to 2B | ||
| t9 | 0 | 12- | OO | 12% | 99% | 4-7 | ATL | D. Murphy | K. Tekulve | Ground Ball Double Play: 3B-1B; James to 2B | |
| Ken Griffey pinch hits for Paul Assenmacher (P) batting 4th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 2 | -2- | R | -2% | 97% | 4-7 | ATL | K. Griffey | K. Tekulve | Reached on E4 (Ground Ball); James Scores/No RBI/unER; Griffey to 1B | |
| t9 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3% | 100% | 5-7 | ATL | G. Perry | K. Tekulve | Groundout: SS unassisted/Forceout at 2B | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Braves 5, Phillies 7. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:PHI198804300
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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