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Network Associates Coliseum, Attendance: 37,676 |
Sunday, September 1, 2002 Time of Game: 2:43 |
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Twins
5
80-58
Lost 4
1st
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Twins 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 3 5 6 0
Athletics 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 3 7 12 0
W: Billy Koch (7-2), L: Eddie Guardado (1-3) Winning Run scored with 1 out |
Athletics
7
86-51
Won 18
1st
|
Minnesota Twins AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details L Rivas 2B 4 0 0 0 1 1 .243 .672 27 16 1 2 C Guzman SS 4 1 1 0 0 1 .274 .670 9 7 1 1 GDP T Hunter CF 4 1 2 2 0 1 .297 .877 12 9 6 0 HR M LeCroy DH 3 1 1 1 1 0 .265 .750 15 8 0 0 HR C Koskie 3B 3 1 1 1 1 1 .267 .800 16 6 1 3 HR,CS D Mohr LF 3 0 0 0 0 1 .277 .771 16 8 3 0 J Jones PH-LF 1 0 0 0 0 0 .290 .836 8 5 0 0 D Mientkiewicz 1B 3 0 0 0 0 2 .269 .786 17 13 5 0 HBP M Cuddyer RF 4 1 1 1 0 1 .200 .641 10 8 4 1 HR T Prince C 2 0 0 0 2 0 .225 .726 14 3 4 0 SB J Mays P 0 0 M Jackson P 0 0 T Fiore P 0 0 E Guardado P 0 0 Totals 31 5 6 0 5 8 144 83 25 7
Oakland Athletics AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details R Durham DH 5 1 3 1 0 0 .302 .843 17 13 0 0 S Hatteberg 1B 3 1 2 0 1 0 .270 .781 19 12 11 1 2·2B E Byrnes LF 0 0 0 0 0 0 .253 .726 0 0 O Saenz PH 1 0 0 0 0 1 .276 .823 3 3 0 0 M Tejada SS 5 2 3 5 0 0 .310 .870 21 16 2 3 2·HR E Chavez 3B 4 0 1 0 0 1 .282 .893 17 11 0 2 J Dye RF 4 0 1 0 0 1 .255 .786 13 9 2 0 GDP J Mabry LF-1B 3 1 1 1 1 1 .307 .884 17 9 2 0 HR M Ellis 2B 4 1 1 0 0 0 .273 .750 13 9 2 4 T Long CF 3 0 0 0 1 0 .241 .692 10 5 0 0 R Hernandez C 3 0 0 0 1 0 .236 .658 18 11 8 0 R Velarde PR 0 1 0 0 0 0 .246 .703 0 0 M Mulder P 0 6 B Koch P 0 0 Totals 35 7 12 0 4 4 148 98 27 16
Minnesota Twins IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA J Mays 6 10 4 4 2 3 2 6.17 28 103-68 44· 8·16 5·16· 6· 2 37 - 1.08 -0.23 M Jackson 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.02 3 11-9 7· 0· 2 0· 3· 0· 0 0-0 0.35 0.03 T Fiore 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2.89 4 14-7 6· 0· 1 1· 2· 0· 0 0-0 0.31 0.02 E Guardado, BS (6), L (1-3) 0.1 2 3 3 1 1 1 3.07 4 20-14 8· 2· 4 0· 1· 1· 1 0-0 5.53 -0.79 Totals 8.1 12 7 7 4 4 3 39 148-98 65·10·23 6·22· 7· 3 -
Oakland Athletics IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA M Mulder 8 5 4 4 4 7 3 3.65 32 108-61 35· 8·18 12· 5· 1· 3 59 - 1.18 -0.19 B Koch, W (7-2) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2.42 5 28-17 12· 3· 2 1· 1· 0· 1 0-0 1.31 -0.29 Totals 9 6 5 5 5 8 4 37 136-78 47·11·20 13· 6· 1· 4 -
Minnesota Twins Oakland Athletics 1. Luis Rivas 2B 1. Ray Durham DH 2. Cristian Guzman SS 2. Scott Hatteberg 1B 3. Torii Hunter CF 3. Miguel Tejada SS 4. Matt LeCroy DH 4. Eric Chavez 3B 5. Corey Koskie 3B 5. Jermaine Dye RF 6. Dustan Mohr LF 6. John Mabry LF 7. Doug Mientkiewicz 1B 7. Mark Ellis 2B 8. Michael Cuddyer RF 8. Terrence Long CF 9. Tom Prince C 9. Ramon Hernandez C Joe Mays P Mark Mulder P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b9 | 1 | 12- | RRR | 5,(1-2) | 66% | 100% | 4-5 | OAK | M. Tejada | E. Guardado | Home Run; Velarde Scores; Durham Scores |
| t9 | 2 | --- | R | 1,(0-0) | -41% | 20% | 4-4 | MIN | M. Cuddyer | B. Koch | Home Run (LF-CF) |
| t9 | 0 | --- | R | 3,(1-1) | -33% | 50% | 3-4 | MIN | C. Koskie | M. Mulder | Home Run |
| t6 | 0 | 1-- | RR | 2,(0-1) | -22% | 50% | 0-2 | MIN | T. Hunter | M. Mulder | Home Run; Guzman Scores |
| b9 | 0 | 12- | O | 3,(0-2) | -18% | 34% | 4-5 | OAK | O. Saenz | E. Guardado | Strikeout Looking |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Twins Batting, Tied 0-0, Athletics' Mark Mulder facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | MIN | L. Rivas | M. Mulder | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t1 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 2% | 54% | 0-0 | MIN | C. Guzman | M. Mulder | Groundout: P-1B |
| t1 | 2 | --- | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 53% | 0-0 | MIN | T. Hunter | M. Mulder | Single to RF (Ground Ball thru Short RF) | |
| t1 | 2 | 1-- | 4,(3-0) | -2% | 51% | 0-0 | MIN | M. LeCroy | M. Mulder | Walk; Hunter to 2B | |
| t1 | 2 | 12- | O | 3,(2-0) | 4% | 55% | 0-0 | MIN | C. Koskie | M. Mulder | Groundout: 2B-SS/Forceout at 2B |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Athletics Batting, Tied 0-0, Twins' Joe Mays facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | 4,(1-2) | 3% | 58% | 0-0 | OAK | R. Durham | J. Mays | Single to CF (Line Drive) | |
| b1 | 0 | 1-- | 4,(1-2) | 10% | 68% | 0-0 | OAK | S. Hatteberg | J. Mays | Double (Line Drive to Deep CF-RF); Durham to 3B | |
| b1 | 0 | -23 | 6,(2-2) | 2% | 70% | 0-0 | OAK | M. Tejada | J. Mays | Single (Ground Ball); Durham stays at 3B; Hatteberg stays at 2B | |
| b1 | 0 | 123 | O | 5,(2-2) | -6% | 64% | 0-0 | OAK | E. Chavez | J. Mays | Strikeout Swinging |
| b1 | 1 | 123 | O | 5,(2-2) | -7% | 57% | 0-0 | OAK | J. Dye | J. Mays | Strikeout Swinging |
| b1 | 2 | 123 | O | 3,(0-2) | -7% | 50% | 0-0 | OAK | J. Mabry | J. Mays | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Twins Batting, Tied 0-0, Athletics' Mark Mulder facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | MIN | D. Mohr | M. Mulder | Flyball: RF |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(1-2) | 2% | 54% | 0-0 | MIN | D. Mientkiewicz | M. Mulder | Strikeout Swinging |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 1% | 55% | 0-0 | MIN | M. Cuddyer | M. Mulder | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Athletics Batting, Tied 0-0, Twins' Joe Mays facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | -2% | 53% | 0-0 | OAK | M. Ellis | J. Mays | Flyball: RF |
| b2 | 1 | --- | 6,(3-2) | 3% | 55% | 0-0 | OAK | T. Long | J. Mays | Walk | |
| b2 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3,(0-2) | -2% | 54% | 0-0 | OAK | R. Hernandez | J. Mays | Groundout: 2B-1B; Long to 2B |
| b2 | 2 | -2- | O | 3,(1-1) | -4% | 50% | 0-0 | OAK | R. Durham | J. Mays | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Twins Batting, Tied 0-0, Athletics' Mark Mulder facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | 4,(3-0) | -4% | 46% | 0-0 | MIN | T. Prince | M. Mulder | Walk | |
| t3 | 0 | 1-- | O | 3,(0-2) | 4% | 50% | 0-0 | MIN | L. Rivas | M. Mulder | Strikeout Swinging |
| t3 | 1 | 1-- | O | 5,(2-2) | 3% | 53% | 0-0 | MIN | C. Guzman | M. Mulder | Strikeout Swinging |
| t3 | 2 | 1-- | O | 5,(1-2) | 3% | 56% | 0-0 | MIN | T. Hunter | M. Mulder | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Athletics Batting, Tied 0-0, Twins' Joe Mays facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | 7,(3-2) | 4% | 60% | 0-0 | OAK | S. Hatteberg | J. Mays | Walk | |
| b3 | 0 | 1-- | RR | 5,(1-2) | 17% | 76% | 0-0 | OAK | M. Tejada | J. Mays | Home Run; Hatteberg Scores |
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 75% | 2-0 | OAK | E. Chavez | J. Mays | Flyball: CF |
| b3 | 1 | --- | 2,(0-1) | 2% | 76% | 2-0 | OAK | J. Dye | J. Mays | Single to LF (Line Drive) | |
| b3 | 1 | 1-- | O | 5,(2-2) | -2% | 74% | 2-0 | OAK | J. Mabry | J. Mays | Flyball: CF (Deep CF) |
| b3 | 2 | 1-- | O | 5,(2-2) | -2% | 73% | 2-0 | OAK | M. Ellis | J. Mays | Flyball: CF |
| 2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Twins Batting, Behind 0-2, Athletics' Mark Mulder facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 3% | 75% | 0-2 | MIN | M. LeCroy | M. Mulder | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t4 | 1 | --- | 4,(3-0) | -3% | 72% | 0-2 | MIN | C. Koskie | M. Mulder | Walk | |
| t4 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3,(1-2) | 5% | 77% | 0-2 | MIN | D. Mohr | M. Mulder | Koskie Caught Stealing (PO) 2B (P-1B-SS-1B) |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 1% | 78% | 0-2 | MIN | D. Mohr | M. Mulder | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Athletics Batting, Ahead 2-0, Twins' Joe Mays facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | -2% | 77% | 2-0 | OAK | T. Long | J. Mays | Flyball: RF |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | -1% | 75% | 2-0 | OAK | R. Hernandez | J. Mays | Popfly: 3B |
| b4 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -1% | 75% | 2-0 | OAK | R. Durham | J. Mays | Flyball: LF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Twins Batting, Behind 0-2, Athletics' Mark Mulder facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | 1,(0-0) | -5% | 70% | 0-2 | MIN | D. Mientkiewicz | M. Mulder | Hit By Pitch | |
| t5 | 0 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 73% | 0-2 | MIN | M. Cuddyer | M. Mulder | Groundout: P-1B; Mientkiewicz to 2B |
| t5 | 1 | -2- | O | 2,(1-0) | 4% | 77% | 0-2 | MIN | T. Prince | M. Mulder | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t5 | 2 | -2- | O | 3,(1-1) | 4% | 81% | 0-2 | MIN | L. Rivas | M. Mulder | Bunt Groundout: P-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Athletics Batting, Ahead 2-0, Twins' Joe Mays facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | 2,(1-0) | 4% | 85% | 2-0 | OAK | S. Hatteberg | J. Mays | Double (Line Drive to Deep CF-RF) | |
| b5 | 0 | -2- | O | 2,(1-0) | -3% | 82% | 2-0 | OAK | M. Tejada | J. Mays | Flyball: LF |
| b5 | 1 | -2- | 9,(3-2) | 1% | 83% | 2-0 | OAK | E. Chavez | J. Mays | Single (Pop Fly to Short LF-CF); Hatteberg stays at 2B | |
| b5 | 1 | 12- | OO | 2,(0-1) | -6% | 77% | 2-0 | OAK | J. Dye | J. Mays | Ground Ball Double Play: SS-2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Twins Batting, Behind 0-2, Athletics' Mark Mulder facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | 1,(0-0) | -5% | 72% | 0-2 | MIN | C. Guzman | M. Mulder | Single to RF (Line Drive) | |
| t6 | 0 | 1-- | RR | 2,(0-1) | -22% | 50% | 0-2 | MIN | T. Hunter | M. Mulder | Home Run; Guzman Scores |
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 4% | 54% | 2-2 | MIN | M. LeCroy | M. Mulder | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t6 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 2% | 56% | 2-2 | MIN | C. Koskie | M. Mulder | Strikeout Swinging |
| t6 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 2% | 58% | 2-2 | MIN | D. Mohr | M. Mulder | Flyball: LF |
| 2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Athletics Batting, Tied 2-2, Twins' Joe Mays facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | R | 4,(2-1) | 16% | 74% | 2-2 | OAK | J. Mabry | J. Mays | Home Run |
| b6 | 0 | --- | 1,(0-0) | 3% | 77% | 3-2 | OAK | M. Ellis | J. Mays | Single to CF (Line Drive) | |
| b6 | 0 | 1-- | O | 1,(0-0) | -3% | 74% | 3-2 | OAK | T. Long | J. Mays | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| b6 | 1 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 72% | 3-2 | OAK | R. Hernandez | J. Mays | Groundout: 3B-1B; Ellis to 2B |
| b6 | 2 | -2- | RO | 3,(1-1) | 9% | 81% | 3-2 | OAK | R. Durham | J. Mays | Single to RF (Line Drive); Ellis Scores; Durham out at 2B/RF-SS |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Twins Batting, Behind 2-4, Athletics' Mark Mulder facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 4% | 85% | 2-4 | MIN | D. Mientkiewicz | M. Mulder | Groundout: P-1B |
| t7 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 2% | 87% | 2-4 | MIN | M. Cuddyer | M. Mulder | Popfly: 2B |
| t7 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | 1% | 88% | 2-4 | MIN | T. Prince | M. Mulder | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Athletics Batting, Ahead 4-2, Twins' Mike Jackson facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| Mike Jackson replaces Joe Mays pitching | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 6,(1-2) | -1% | 87% | 4-2 | OAK | S. Hatteberg | M. Jackson | Flyball: LF |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -1% | 87% | 4-2 | OAK | M. Tejada | M. Jackson | Flyball: CF (Short CF) |
| b7 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | -1% | 86% | 4-2 | OAK | E. Chavez | M. Jackson | Flyball: CF (Short CF) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Twins Batting, Behind 2-4, Athletics' Mark Mulder facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -7% | 79% | 2-4 | MIN | L. Rivas | M. Mulder | Walk | |
| t8 | 0 | 1-- | OO | 1,(0-0) | 13% | 92% | 2-4 | MIN | C. Guzman | M. Mulder | Ground Ball Double Play: P-SS-1B |
| t8 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | 1% | 94% | 2-4 | MIN | T. Hunter | M. Mulder | Popfly: 2B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Athletics Batting, Ahead 4-2, Twins' Tony Fiore facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| Tony Fiore replaces Mike Jackson pitching | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -1% | 93% | 4-2 | OAK | J. Dye | T. Fiore | Flyball: CF |
| b8 | 1 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 1% | 94% | 4-2 | OAK | J. Mabry | T. Fiore | Walk | |
| b8 | 1 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | -0% | 93% | 4-2 | OAK | M. Ellis | T. Fiore | Groundout: 3B-1B; Mabry to 2B |
| b8 | 2 | -2- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 92% | 4-2 | OAK | T. Long | T. Fiore | Flyball: RF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Twins Batting, Behind 2-4, Athletics' Mark Mulder facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| John Mabry moves from LF to 1B; Eric Byrnes replaces Scott Hatteberg (1B) playing LF batting 2nd | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | R | 4,(0-2) | -9% | 83% | 2-4 | MIN | M. LeCroy | M. Mulder | Home Run (LF-CF) |
| t9 | 0 | --- | R | 3,(1-1) | -33% | 50% | 3-4 | MIN | C. Koskie | M. Mulder | Home Run |
| Billy Koch replaces Mark Mulder pitching; Jacque Jones pinch hits for Dustan Mohr (LF) batting 6th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 8,(3-2) | 6% | 56% | 4-4 | MIN | J. Jones | B. Koch | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t9 | 1 | --- | O | 8,(2-2) | 5% | 61% | 4-4 | MIN | D. Mientkiewicz | B. Koch | Strikeout Swinging |
| t9 | 2 | --- | R | 1,(0-0) | -41% | 20% | 4-4 | MIN | M. Cuddyer | B. Koch | Home Run (LF-CF) |
| t9 | 2 | --- | 4,(3-0) | -1% | 19% | 5-4 | MIN | T. Prince | B. Koch | Walk | |
| t9 | 2 | 1-- | 5,(1-2) | -1% | 18% | 5-4 | MIN | L. Rivas | B. Koch | Prince Steals 2B | |
| t9 | 2 | -2- | O | 7,(2-2) | 3% | 21% | 5-4 | MIN | L. Rivas | B. Koch | Flyball: RF (Short RF) |
| 3 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 5, Athletics 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 9th, Athletics Batting, Behind 4-5, Twins' Eddie Guardado facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| Eddie Guardado replaces Tony Fiore pitching; Jacque Jones moves from PH to LF | |||||||||||
| b9 | 0 | --- | 8,(3-2) | 13% | 35% | 4-5 | OAK | R. Hernandez | E. Guardado | Walk | |
| Randy Velarde pinch runs for Ramon Hernandez (C) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b9 | 0 | 1-- | 4,(1-2) | 18% | 53% | 4-5 | OAK | R. Durham | E. Guardado | Single to RF (Line Drive); Velarde to 2B | |
| Olmedo Saenz pinch hits for Eric Byrnes (LF) batting 2nd | |||||||||||
| b9 | 0 | 12- | O | 3,(0-2) | -18% | 34% | 4-5 | OAK | O. Saenz | E. Guardado | Strikeout Looking |
| b9 | 1 | 12- | RRR | 5,(1-2) | 66% | 100% | 4-5 | OAK | M. Tejada | E. Guardado | Home Run; Velarde Scores; Durham Scores |
| 3 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 5, Athletics 7. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:OAK200209010
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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