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TEX  3
@BAL  2
 CLE 19
@BOS  9
 KCR  5
@DET  0
 MIL  2
@NYY  1
 OAK  9
MIN  6
 MIN  7
@OAK  1
 CAL 12
@SEA  5
 TOR  3
CHW  1
 CHC  5
NYM  2
 SDP 12
@CIN  4
 ATL  6
@HOU  0
 SFG  8
@LAD  4
 MON  9
@PHI  8
 STL  8
@PIT  7
Standings at end of play this day
Second game of doubleheader, see First game.

Network Associates Coliseum, Attendance: 5,494

 Sunday, April 10, 1977
Time of Game: 2:43
Twins
7
1-2
Won 1
5th, 2 GB
 
                1  2  3   4  5  6   7  8  9    R  H  E
                -  -  -   -  -  -   -  -  -    -  -  -
Twins           0  0  0   2  0  3   0  0  2    7 11  1
Athletics       1  0  0   0  0  0   0  0  0    1  6  1
W: Paul Thormodsgard (1-0), L: Jim Umbarger (0-1), S: Tom Burgmeier (1)
 Athletics
1
2-1
Lost 1
3rd, 1 GB

Batting Stats

Minnesota Twins              AB   R   H RBI   BB  SO    BA   OPS  Pit  Str   PO   A  Details
J Terrell SS                  4   1   3   0    1   0  .800 2.233              2   4   SB
R Carew 1B                    5   0   0   0    0   2  .286  .643             15   1   
L Hisle LF                    5   1   1   2    0   1  .182  .740              1   0   HR
D Ford RF                     3   2   2   0    2   0  .300  .900              1   0   CS
C Kusick DH                   5   1   1   2    0   0  .250  .857              0   0   HR
L Bostock CF                  3   1   1   0    1   0  .400  .962              4   0   
B Randall 2B                  4   1   0   1    0   0  .000  .000              1   6   
M Cubbage 3B                  4   0   2   2    0   2  .455 1.084              1   3   CS
G Borgmann C                  4   0   1   0    0   0  .250  .500              2   0   

P Thormodsgard P                                                              0   2
  T Burgmeier P                                                               0   1
Totals                       37   7  11   0    4   5                         27  17
Batting Events
HR: L Hisle (1, off D Bair; 9th inn, 1 on, 2 outs to RF); C Kusick (1, off J Umbarger; 4th inn, 1 on, 1 out to CF-RF).
TB: L Hisle 4; C Kusick 4; J Terrell 3; M Cubbage 2; D Ford 2; L Bostock; G Borgmann.
RBI: C Kusick 2 (2); L Hisle 2 (4); M Cubbage 2 (2); B Randall (1).
2-out RBI: L Hisle 2.
Team LOB: 7.
With RISP: 1 for 7.
Fielding Events
DP: 1. J Terrell-B Randall-R Carew.
E: P Thormodsgard ().
Baserunning Events
SB: J Terrell (1, 2nd base off J Umbarger/J Newman).
CS: D Ford (1, 2nd base by D Giusti/J Newman); M Cubbage (1, 3rd base by D Giusti POCS).
Oakland Athletics            AB   R   H RBI   BB  SO    BA   OPS  Pit  Str   PO   A  Details
B North CF                    3   0   1   0    1   0  .250  .641              2   0   
R Scott 2B-SS                 4   1   2   0    0   0  .333  .983              4   3   SB
M Page LF                     4   0   1   1    0   0  .455 1.045              2   0   2B
  L Lintz 2B                  0   0   0   0    0   0                          0   0   
D Allen DH                    0   0   0   0    0   0  .500 1.125              0   0   
  J Tabb PH                   1   0   0   0    1   0  .000  .500              0   0   
  M Sanguillen PH             2   0   0   0    0   0  .300  .700              0   0   
W Gross 3B-1B                 3   0   0   0    0   1  .300 1.117              3   1   HBP
E Williams 1B-C               4   0   1   0    0   0  .300 1.117              9   0   2B,GDP
S Mallory RF                  2   0   0   0    1   1  .000  .333              2   0   SH
J Newman C                    2   0   0   0    0   0  .000  .000              3   1   
  R McKinney PH-3B            2   0   1   0    0   0  .500 1.000              0   0   
R Picciolo SS                 2   0   0   0    0   0  .000  .000              1   3   
  T Armas PH-LF               2   0   0   0    0   0  .111  .311              1   0   

J Umbarger P                                                                  0   0
  D Giusti P                                                                  0   2
  D Bair P                                                                    0   0
Totals                       31   1   6   0    3   2                         27  10
Batting Events
2B: M Page (1, off P Thormodsgard); E Williams (1, off P Thormodsgard).
SH: S Mallory (1, off P Thormodsgard).
HBP: W Gross (1, by T Burgmeier).
TB: M Page 2; R Scott 2; E Williams 2; R McKinney; B North.
GIDP: E Williams (1).
RBI: M Page (1).
Team LOB: 8.
With RISP: 1 for 9.
Fielding Events
E: W Gross (2).
Baserunning Events
SB: R Scott (2, 2nd base off P Thormodsgard/G Borgmann).
Pickoffs: J Tabb (1st base by P Thormodsgard).

Pitching Stats

Minnesota Twins               IP     H   R  ER   BB  SO  HR    ERA   BF  Pit-Str  Ct·Sw·Lk   GB·FB·LD· ?   GmSc  IR-IS   LevI    WPA
P Thormodsgard, W (1-0)        6.1   6   1   1    3   2   0   1.42   28     -       ·  ·     13· 4· 0· 6     56    -     1.04   0.11
T Burgmeier, S (1)             2.2   0   0   0    0   0   0   0.00    8     -       ·  ·      4· 3· 1· 0          3-0    0.97   0.16
Totals                         9     6   1   1    3   2   0          36     -       ·  ·     17· 7· 1· 6          3-0 
Oakland Athletics             IP     H   R  ER   BB  SO  HR    ERA   BF  Pit-Str  Ct·Sw·Lk   GB·FB·LD· ?   GmSc  IR-IS   LevI    WPA
J Umbarger, L (0-1)            5.1   7   5   4    2   3   1   6.75   26     -       ·  ·      8· 6· 1· 7     37    -     1.13  -0.25
D Giusti                       2.2   2   0   0    1   1   0   0.00    9     -       ·  ·      2· 3· 2· 2          1-0    0.28   0.03
D Bair                         1     2   2   2    1   1   1  18.00    6     -       ·  ·      0· 2· 0· 2          0-0    0.05  -0.01
Totals                         9    11   7   6    4   5   2          41     -       ·  ·     10·11· 3·11          1-0
Balks: None.
WP: J Umbarger (1).
HBP: T Burgmeier (1; W Gross).
IBB: None.
Pickoffs: P Thormodsgard (0; J Tabb, 1st base); D Giusti (1; M Cubbage, 3rd base (CS)).

Other Info

Umpires: HP - Jim McKean, 1B - Dale Ford, 2B - Lou DiMuro, 3B - Bill Deegan.
Time of Game: 2:43.
Attendance: 5,494.
Field Condition: Unknown.
Start Time Weather: 67° F, Wind 12mph in unknown direction.

Lineups

   Minnesota Twins                           Oakland Athletics                            
1. Jerry Terrell                SS       1. Billy North                  CF
2. Rod Carew                    1B       2. Rodney Scott                 2B
3. Larry Hisle                  LF       3. Mitchell Page                LF
4. Dan Ford                     RF       4. Dick Allen                   DH
5. Craig Kusick                 DH       5. Wayne Gross                  3B
6. Lyman Bostock                CF       6. Earl Williams                1B
7. Bob Randall                  2B       7. Sheldon Mallory              RF
8. Mike Cubbage                 3B       8. Jeff Newman                   C
9. Glenn Borgmann                C       9. Rob Picciolo                 SS

   Paul Thormodsgard             P          Jim Umbarger                  P

Top 5 Plays

Glossary · Click headers to sort · CSV · PRE · View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Out RoB R/O Pit(cnt) wWPA wWE Score @Bat Batter Pitcher Play Description
t4 1 1-- RR 23% 60% 0-1 MIN C. Kusick J. Umbarger Home Run (CF-RF); Ford Scores
t6 1 1-3 R 11% 85% 2-1 MIN B. Randall J. Umbarger Reached on E5 (Ground Ball); Ford Scores; Bostock to 3B; Randall to 2B
b1 1 -2- R -10% 34% 0-0 OAK M. Page P. Thormodsgard Double to RF; Scott Scores
t6 1 -23 RR 7% 92% 3-1 MIN M. Cubbage J. Umbarger Single to RF; Bostock Scores; Randall Scores/unER
t6 1 1-- 7% 74% 2-1 MIN L. Bostock J. Umbarger Single to RF; Ford to 3B

Play By Play

Glossary · Click headers to sort · CSV · PRE · View Pitches · Box Score Explanation · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Out RoB R/O Pit(cnt) wWPA wWE Score @Bat Batter Pitcher Play Description
Top of the 1st, Twins Batting, Tied 0-0, Athletics' Jim Umbarger facing 1-2-3
t1 0 --- 3% 53% 0-0 MIN J. Terrell J. Umbarger Single
t1 0 1-- 2% 56% 0-0 MIN R. Carew J. Umbarger Terrell Steals 2B
t1 0 -2- O -4% 52% 0-0 MIN R. Carew J. Umbarger Strikeout
t1 1 -2- 3% 55% 0-0 MIN L. Hisle J. Umbarger Wild Pitch; Terrell to 3B
t1 1 --3 O -6% 49% 0-0 MIN L. Hisle J. Umbarger Strikeout
t1 2 --3 O -4% 45% 0-0 MIN D. Ford J. Umbarger Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 0.
Bottom of the 1st, Athletics Batting, Tied 0-0, Twins' Paul Thormodsgard facing 1-2-3
b1 0 --- O 2% 47% 0-0 OAK B. North P. Thormodsgard Groundout: 2B-1B
b1 1 --- -2% 45% 0-0 OAK R. Scott P. Thormodsgard Single to LF
b1 1 1-- -2% 43% 0-0 OAK M. Page P. Thormodsgard Scott Steals 2B
b1 1 -2- R -10% 34% 0-0 OAK M. Page P. Thormodsgard Double to RF; Scott Scores
Jerry Tabb pinch hits for Dick Allen (DH) batting 4th
b1 1 -2- O 4% 37% 1-0 OAK J. Tabb P. Thormodsgard Fielder's Choice P; Page out at 3B/P-3B; Tabb to 1B
b1 2 1-- -1% 37% 1-0 OAK W. Gross P. Thormodsgard Tabb Picked off 1B, safe on E1; Tabb to 2B
b1 2 -2- O 3% 39% 1-0 OAK W. Gross P. Thormodsgard Strikeout
1 run, 2 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 1.
Top of the 2nd, Twins Batting, Behind 0-1, Athletics' Jim Umbarger facing 5-6-7
t2 0 --- O -2% 37% 0-1 MIN C. Kusick J. Umbarger Flyball: RF
t2 1 --- O -2% 35% 0-1 MIN L. Bostock J. Umbarger Groundout: SS-1B
t2 2 --- O -1% 34% 0-1 MIN B. Randall J. Umbarger Popfly: 2B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 1.
Bottom of the 2nd, Athletics Batting, Ahead 1-0, Twins' Paul Thormodsgard facing 6-7-8
b2 0 --- -5% 29% 1-0 OAK E. Williams P. Thormodsgard Double to RF
b2 0 -2- O 1% 30% 1-0 OAK S. Mallory P. Thormodsgard Bunt Groundout: 3B-1B/Sacrifice; Williams to 3B
b2 1 --3 O 5% 35% 1-0 OAK J. Newman P. Thormodsgard Groundout: SS-1B
b2 2 --3 O 3% 38% 1-0 OAK R. Picciolo P. Thormodsgard Flyball: CF
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 1.
Top of the 3rd, Twins Batting, Behind 0-1, Athletics' Jim Umbarger facing 8-9-1
t3 0 --- 4% 43% 0-1 MIN M. Cubbage J. Umbarger Single to LF
t3 0 1-- O -4% 39% 0-1 MIN G. Borgmann J. Umbarger Popfly: 2B
t3 1 1-- O -3% 36% 0-1 MIN J. Terrell J. Umbarger Flyball: LF
t3 2 1-- O -3% 33% 0-1 MIN R. Carew J. Umbarger Groundout: 3B-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 1.
Bottom of the 3rd, Athletics Batting, Ahead 1-0, Twins' Paul Thormodsgard facing 1-2-3
b3 0 --- O 2% 35% 1-0 OAK B. North P. Thormodsgard Groundout: P-1B
b3 1 --- -2% 33% 1-0 OAK R. Scott P. Thormodsgard Single
b3 1 1-- O 2% 35% 1-0 OAK M. Page P. Thormodsgard Groundout: 1B-SS/Forceout at 2B
b3 2 1-- -2% 33% 1-0 OAK J. Tabb P. Thormodsgard Walk; Page to 2B
b3 2 12- O 4% 37% 1-0 OAK W. Gross P. Thormodsgard Groundout: SS unassisted/Forceout at 2B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Twins 0, Athletics 1.
Top of the 4th, Twins Batting, Behind 0-1, Athletics' Jim Umbarger facing 3-4-5
t4 0 --- O -3% 34% 0-1 MIN L. Hisle J. Umbarger Flyball: CF
t4 1 --- 3% 38% 0-1 MIN D. Ford J. Umbarger Walk
t4 1 1-- RR 23% 60% 0-1 MIN C. Kusick J. Umbarger Home Run (CF-RF); Ford Scores
t4 1 --- 3% 63% 2-1 MIN L. Bostock J. Umbarger Walk
t4 1 1-- O -3% 60% 2-1 MIN B. Randall J. Umbarger Groundout: 2B-SS/Forceout at 2B
t4 2 1-- O -2% 58% 2-1 MIN M. Cubbage J. Umbarger Strikeout
2 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 1.
Bottom of the 4th, Athletics Batting, Behind 1-2, Twins' Paul Thormodsgard facing 6-7-8
b4 0 --- O 3% 61% 1-2 OAK E. Williams P. Thormodsgard Groundout: 3B-1B
b4 1 --- O 2% 63% 1-2 OAK S. Mallory P. Thormodsgard Strikeout Looking
b4 2 --- O 1% 64% 1-2 OAK J. Newman P. Thormodsgard Flyball: CF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 1.
Top of the 5th, Twins Batting, Ahead 2-1, Athletics' Jim Umbarger facing 9-1-2
t5 0 --- O -2% 62% 2-1 MIN G. Borgmann J. Umbarger Groundout: SS-1B
t5 1 --- 3% 65% 2-1 MIN J. Terrell J. Umbarger Single to RF
t5 1 1-- O -2% 63% 2-1 MIN R. Carew J. Umbarger Groundout: 1B unassisted; Terrell to 2B
t5 2 -2- O -3% 59% 2-1 MIN L. Hisle J. Umbarger Fielder's Choice 3B unassisted; Terrell out at 3B/3B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 1.
Bottom of the 5th, Athletics Batting, Behind 1-2, Twins' Paul Thormodsgard facing 9-1-2
b5 0 --- O 3% 62% 1-2 OAK R. Picciolo P. Thormodsgard Groundout: 3B-1B
b5 1 --- -4% 59% 1-2 OAK B. North P. Thormodsgard Single to LF
b5 1 1-- O 4% 63% 1-2 OAK R. Scott P. Thormodsgard Popfly: 1B
b5 2 1-- O 4% 66% 1-2 OAK M. Page P. Thormodsgard Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 2, Athletics 1.
Top of the 6th, Twins Batting, Ahead 2-1, Athletics' Jim Umbarger facing 4-5-6
t6 0 --- 4% 70% 2-1 MIN D. Ford J. Umbarger Single to LF
t6 0 1-- O -4% 67% 2-1 MIN C. Kusick J. Umbarger Lineout: CF
t6 1 1-- 7% 74% 2-1 MIN L. Bostock J. Umbarger Single to RF; Ford to 3B
t6 1 1-3 R 11% 85% 2-1 MIN B. Randall J. Umbarger Reached on E5 (Ground Ball); Ford Scores; Bostock to 3B; Randall to 2B
t6 1 -23 RR 7% 92% 3-1 MIN M. Cubbage J. Umbarger Single to RF; Bostock Scores; Randall Scores/unER
Dave Giusti replaces Jim Umbarger pitching
t6 1 1-- 1% 93% 5-1 MIN G. Borgmann D. Giusti Single (LF-CF); Cubbage to 2B
t6 1 12- O -2% 91% 5-1 MIN J. Terrell D. Giusti Cubbage Caught Stealing (PO) 3B (P-SS-3B)
t6 2 1-- 1% 92% 5-1 MIN J. Terrell D. Giusti Walk; Borgmann to 2B
t6 2 12- O -1% 91% 5-1 MIN R. Carew D. Giusti Groundout: 2B-1B
3 runs, 4 hits, 1 error, 2 LOB. Twins 5, Athletics 1.
Bottom of the 6th, Athletics Batting, Behind 1-5, Twins' Paul Thormodsgard facing 4-5-6
Manny Sanguillen pinch hits for Jerry Tabb (DH) batting 4th
b6 0 --- O 2% 93% 1-5 OAK M. Sanguillen P. Thormodsgard Groundout: 2B-1B
b6 1 --- O 1% 94% 1-5 OAK W. Gross P. Thormodsgard Flyball: CF
b6 2 --- O 0% 94% 1-5 OAK E. Williams P. Thormodsgard Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 5, Athletics 1.
Top of the 7th, Twins Batting, Ahead 5-1, Athletics' Dave Giusti facing 3-4-5
t7 0 --- O -0% 94% 5-1 MIN L. Hisle D. Giusti Lineout: LF
t7 1 --- 0% 94% 5-1 MIN D. Ford D. Giusti Single
t7 1 1-- O -1% 94% 5-1 MIN C. Kusick D. Giusti Ford Caught Stealing 2B (C-2B)
t7 2 --- O -0% 93% 5-1 MIN C. Kusick D. Giusti Foul Popfly: 1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 5, Athletics 1.
Bottom of the 7th, Athletics Batting, Behind 1-5, Twins' Paul Thormodsgard facing 7-8-9
b7 0 --- -3% 90% 1-5 OAK S. Mallory P. Thormodsgard Walk
Rich McKinney pinch hits for Jeff Newman (C) batting 8th
b7 0 1-- -6% 84% 1-5 OAK R. McKinney P. Thormodsgard Single to LF; Mallory to 2B
Tony Armas pinch hits for Rob Picciolo (SS) batting 9th
b7 0 12- O 2% 87% 1-5 OAK T. Armas P. Thormodsgard Groundout: 2B-1B; Mallory to 3B; McKinney to 2B
b7 1 -23 -3% 83% 1-5 OAK B. North P. Thormodsgard Walk
Tom Burgmeier replaces Paul Thormodsgard pitching
b7 1 123 O 7% 90% 1-5 OAK R. Scott T. Burgmeier Flyball: RF
b7 2 123 O 6% 97% 1-5 OAK M. Page T. Burgmeier Groundout: P-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Twins 5, Athletics 1.
Top of the 8th, Twins Batting, Ahead 5-1, Athletics' Dave Giusti facing 6-7-8
Earl Williams moves from 1B to C; Wayne Gross moves from 3B to 1B; Larry Lintz replaces Mitchell Page (LF) playing 2B batting 3rd; Rich McKinney moves from PH to 3B; Rodney Scott moves from 2B to SS; Tony Armas moves from PH to LF
t8 0 --- O -0% 96% 5-1 MIN L. Bostock D. Giusti Groundout: P-1B
t8 1 --- O -0% 96% 5-1 MIN B. Randall D. Giusti Lineout: RF
t8 2 --- O -0% 96% 5-1 MIN M. Cubbage D. Giusti Strikeout
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 5, Athletics 1.
Bottom of the 8th, Athletics Batting, Behind 1-5, Twins' Tom Burgmeier facing 4-5-6
b8 0 --- O 2% 97% 1-5 OAK M. Sanguillen T. Burgmeier Groundout: SS-1B
b8 1 --- -2% 96% 1-5 OAK W. Gross T. Burgmeier Hit By Pitch
b8 1 1-- OO 3% 99% 1-5 OAK E. Williams T. Burgmeier Ground Ball Double Play: SS-2B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 5, Athletics 1.
Top of the 9th, Twins Batting, Ahead 5-1, Athletics' Doug Bair facing 9-1-2
Doug Bair replaces Dave Giusti pitching
t9 0 --- O -0% 98% 5-1 MIN G. Borgmann D. Bair Popfly: SS
t9 1 --- 0% 99% 5-1 MIN J. Terrell D. Bair Single to RF
t9 1 1-- O -0% 98% 5-1 MIN R. Carew D. Bair Strikeout
t9 2 1-- RR 1% 100% 5-1 MIN L. Hisle D. Bair Home Run; Terrell Scores
t9 2 --- 0% 100% 7-1 MIN D. Ford D. Bair Walk
t9 2 1-- O 0% 100% 7-1 MIN C. Kusick D. Bair Flyball: LF
2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 7, Athletics 1.
Bottom of the 9th, Athletics Batting, Behind 1-7, Twins' Tom Burgmeier facing 7-8-9
b9 0 --- O 0% 100% 1-7 OAK S. Mallory T. Burgmeier Flyball: CF
b9 1 --- O 0% 100% 1-7 OAK R. McKinney T. Burgmeier Lineout: LF
b9 2 --- O 0% 100% 1-7 OAK T. Armas T. Burgmeier Groundout: SS-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 7, Athletics 1.

Retrosheet.org Boxscore:OAK197704102

Play-by-Play Explanation

  • RoB- This gives the baserunner (Runners on Base) configuration at the start of the play. "1-3" would mean runners on first and third. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
  • R/O- This has a "O" for every out on the play and an "R" for every run that scored on the play. Some plays will have both in no particular order.
  • Pit- When available, the number of pitches in this plate appearance. Clicking on this number will show the sequence of pitches thrown including, when available, things like runner going, ball blocked, attempted pickoffs and the like. We believe this data to be as accurate as humanly possible, but there are going to be some errors in the data, so please take it with a grain of salt. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
  • wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
  • wWE- Winning Team's Win Expectancy. The probability of the eventual winning team winning the game prior to this play given two average teams playing each other. More About Win Probability Added
  • Score- The score from the perspective of the batting team.
  • Batter- The batter at the plate when this play occurred. If the play is a baserunning event, then the batter's name will be repeated as indicated by quotes.
  • Pitcher- The pitcher on the mound when this play occurred.
  • Play Detail- This is an explanation of the play that occurred. In some cases, batted ball location and type will be indicated within parentheses. Again, these are best efforts to the record the game as it happened. Also, plays made on the baserunners (including the batter as a baserunner) will be indicated in parentheses after the baserunner's name. Advancement of baserunners is given in cases where the advancement is not easily deduced or obvious from the play. For example, advancement for a walk will not be given, but for a single or double it will be given.

Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.

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In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.

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