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You Are Here > Baseball-Reference.com > Box Scores > 1986 > Jul 10, 1986, Braves at Mets Box Score and Play by Play
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Shea Stadium, Attendance: 34,836 |
Thursday, July 10, 1986 Time of Game: 2:22 |
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Braves
1
42-43
Lost 1
4th, 4 GB
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Braves 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 7 0
Mets 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 X 5 7 1
W: Bob Ojeda (10-2), L: Zane Smith (7-10) |
Mets
5
56-25
Won 1
1st
|
Batting Stats
Atlanta Braves AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details A Thomas SS 4 0 0 0 0 1 .313 .813 1 5 K Griffey LF 4 0 0 0 0 1 .300 .797 0 0 D Murphy CF 3 1 3 0 1 0 .280 .852 2 0 2B,CS B Horner 1B 4 0 0 0 0 1 .284 .844 12 3 T Harper RF 4 0 4 1 0 0 .227 .666 0 0 CS R Ramirez 3B 4 0 0 0 0 2 .235 .598 0 3 K Oberkfell 2B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .303 .792 1 2 B Benedict C 4 0 0 0 0 0 .297 .797 5 0 Z Smith P 1 0 0 0 1 1 .089 .217 2 1 J Acker P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 B Sample PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .246 .677 0 0 P Assenmacher P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .286 1 0 Totals 33 1 7 0 2 6 24 14
Batting Events
2B: D Murphy (16, off B Ojeda).
TB: T Harper 4; D Murphy 4.
RBI: T Harper (22).
2-out RBI: T Harper.
Team LOB: 7.
With RISP: 1 for 3.
Fielding Events
DP: 1. A Thomas-B Horner.
Baserunning Events
CS: D Murphy (4, 2nd base by B Ojeda/G Carter); T Harper (6, 2nd base by B Ojeda/G Carter).
New York Mets AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details M Wilson CF 4 0 1 1 0 0 .280 .774 4 0 T Teufel 2B 3 1 0 0 1 1 .228 .637 3 0 K Hernandez 1B 3 1 1 0 1 1 .286 .772 2 1 2B G Carter C 1 2 1 1 3 0 .244 .768 7 1 HR,IW D Strawberry RF 4 0 1 0 0 2 .294 .952 4 0 G Foster LF 4 0 1 3 0 0 .250 .792 2 0 2B R Knight 3B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .290 .790 2 0 R Santana SS 3 1 1 0 1 0 .170 .434 3 2 B Ojeda P 3 0 1 0 0 0 .098 .195 0 1 SH Totals 29 5 7 0 6 4 27 5
Batting Events
2B: G Foster (6, off Z Smith); K Hernandez (16, off Z Smith).
HR: G Carter (14, off Z Smith; 2nd inn, 0 on, 0 outs to LF-CF).
SH: B Ojeda (2, off Z Smith).
IBB: G Carter (3, by Z Smith).
TB: G Carter 4; G Foster 2; K Hernandez 2; M Wilson; B Ojeda; R Santana; D Strawberry.
RBI: G Foster 3 (37); M Wilson (14); G Carter (58).
2-out RBI: G Foster 3.
Team LOB: 7.
With RISP: 2 for 8.
Fielding Events
E: R Knight (5).
Pitching Stats
Atlanta Braves IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA Z Smith, L (7-10) 4.2 5 5 5 5 4 1 3.49 24 - · · 8· 6· 2· 1 33 - 0.88 -0.20 J Acker 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4.12 5 - · · 4· 1· 0· 0 1-0 0.22 0.01 P Assenmacher 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 2.18 7 - · · 4· 2· 1· 0 0-0 0.11 0.01 Totals 8 7 5 5 6 4 1 36 - · · 16· 9· 3· 1 1-0
New York Mets IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA B Ojeda, W (10-2) 9 7 1 0 2 6 0 2.24 35 - · · 4·23· 8· 0 75 - 0.72 0.32 Totals 9 7 1 0 2 6 0 35 - · · 4·23· 8· 0 -
Balks: None.
WP: None.
HBP: None.
IBB: Z Smith (2; G Carter).
Pickoffs: None.
Other Info
Umpires:
HP - Terry Tata, 1B - Jerry Crawford, 2B - Charlie Williams, 3B - Dana DeMuth.
Time of Game: 2:22.
Attendance: 34,836.
Field Condition: Unknown.
Start Time Weather: Unknown.
Lineups
Atlanta Braves New York Mets 1. Andres Thomas SS 1. Mookie Wilson CF 2. Ken Griffey LF 2. Tim Teufel 2B 3. Dale Murphy CF 3. Keith Hernandez 1B 4. Bob Horner 1B 4. Gary Carter C 5. Terry Harper RF 5. Darryl Strawberry RF 6. Rafael Ramirez 3B 6. George Foster LF 7. Ken Oberkfell 2B 7. Ray Knight 3B 8. Bruce Benedict C 8. Rafael Santana SS 9. Zane Smith P 9. Bob Ojeda P
Top 5 Plays
Glossary · Click headers to sort · CSV · PRE · View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b5 | 2 | 123 | RRR | 13% | 97% | 2-0 | NYM | G. Foster | Z. Smith | Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF); Teufel Scores; Hernandez Scores; Carter Scores | |
| b2 | 0 | --- | R | 11% | 66% | 0-0 | NYM | G. Carter | Z. Smith | Home Run (LF-CF) | |
| b3 | 1 | -2- | R | 10% | 79% | 1-0 | NYM | M. Wilson | Z. Smith | Single to RF (Ground Ball thru 2B-1B); Santana Scores; Wilson to 2B/Adv on throw to Hm | |
| b5 | 1 | 1-- | 5% | 88% | 2-0 | NYM | K. Hernandez | Z. Smith | Double to LF (Line Drive to Deep LF Line); Teufel to 3B | ||
| t4 | 1 | 1-- | O | 5% | 79% | 0-2 | ATL | T. Harper | B. Ojeda | Murphy Caught Stealing 2B (P-1B-SS) |
Play By Play
Glossary · Click headers to sort · CSV · PRE · View Pitches · Box Score Explanation · wWE and wWPA Explanation| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Mets' Bob Ojeda facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | ATL | A. Thomas | B. Ojeda | Flyball: LF | |
| t1 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 54% | 0-0 | ATL | K. Griffey | B. Ojeda | Flyball: SS | |
| t1 | 2 | --- | -2% | 51% | 0-0 | ATL | D. Murphy | B. Ojeda | Double to CF (Line Drive to Deep CF-RF) | ||
| t1 | 2 | -2- | O | 3% | 55% | 0-0 | ATL | B. Horner | B. Ojeda | Strikeout | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Mets Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Zane Smith facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 52% | 0-0 | NYM | M. Wilson | Z. Smith | Groundout: 1B-P | |
| b1 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 51% | 0-0 | NYM | T. Teufel | Z. Smith | Strikeout | |
| b1 | 2 | --- | O | -1% | 50% | 0-0 | NYM | K. Hernandez | Z. Smith | Strikeout Looking | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Mets' Bob Ojeda facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | -4% | 46% | 0-0 | ATL | T. Harper | B. Ojeda | Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B) | ||
| t2 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4% | 50% | 0-0 | ATL | R. Ramirez | B. Ojeda | Strikeout | |
| t2 | 1 | 1-- | O | 4% | 54% | 0-0 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | B. Ojeda | Harper Caught Stealing 2B (C-SS) | |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 55% | 0-0 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | B. Ojeda | Flyball: 1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Mets Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Zane Smith facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | R | 11% | 66% | 0-0 | NYM | G. Carter | Z. Smith | Home Run (LF-CF) | |
| b2 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 64% | 1-0 | NYM | D. Strawberry | Z. Smith | Groundout: 1B-P | |
| b2 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 63% | 1-0 | NYM | G. Foster | Z. Smith | Flyball: CF | |
| b2 | 2 | --- | O | -1% | 62% | 1-0 | NYM | R. Knight | Z. Smith | Flyball: CF | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Braves Batting, Behind 0-1, Mets' Bob Ojeda facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 65% | 0-1 | ATL | B. Benedict | B. Ojeda | Flyball: CF | |
| t3 | 1 | --- | -3% | 62% | 0-1 | ATL | Z. Smith | B. Ojeda | Walk | ||
| t3 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3% | 65% | 0-1 | ATL | A. Thomas | B. Ojeda | Foul Flyball: RF | |
| t3 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3% | 68% | 0-1 | ATL | K. Griffey | B. Ojeda | Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Mets Batting, Ahead 1-0, Braves' Zane Smith facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | 3% | 71% | 1-0 | NYM | R. Santana | Z. Smith | Walk | ||
| b3 | 0 | 1-- | O | -1% | 69% | 1-0 | NYM | B. Ojeda | Z. Smith | Bunt Groundout: P-2B/Sacrifice; Santana to 2B | |
| b3 | 1 | -2- | R | 10% | 79% | 1-0 | NYM | M. Wilson | Z. Smith | Single to RF (Ground Ball thru 2B-1B); Santana Scores; Wilson to 2B/Adv on throw to Hm | |
| b3 | 1 | -2- | O | -2% | 77% | 2-0 | NYM | T. Teufel | Z. Smith | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b3 | 2 | -2- | 1% | 77% | 2-0 | NYM | K. Hernandez | Z. Smith | Walk | ||
| b3 | 2 | 12- | 2% | 79% | 2-0 | NYM | G. Carter | Z. Smith | Walk; Wilson to 3B; Hernandez to 2B | ||
| b3 | 2 | 123 | O | -5% | 75% | 2-0 | NYM | D. Strawberry | Z. Smith | Strikeout | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Braves Batting, Behind 0-2, Mets' Bob Ojeda facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | -5% | 70% | 0-2 | ATL | D. Murphy | B. Ojeda | Single to LF (Line Drive to SS-3B Hole) | ||
| t4 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4% | 74% | 0-2 | ATL | B. Horner | B. Ojeda | Flyball: CF | |
| t4 | 1 | 1-- | O | 5% | 79% | 0-2 | ATL | T. Harper | B. Ojeda | Murphy Caught Stealing 2B (P-1B-SS) | |
| t4 | 2 | --- | -1% | 77% | 0-2 | ATL | T. Harper | B. Ojeda | Single to RF (Line Drive to Short RF) | ||
| t4 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3% | 80% | 0-2 | ATL | R. Ramirez | B. Ojeda | Strikeout | |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Mets Batting, Ahead 2-0, Braves' Zane Smith facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | -1% | 79% | 2-0 | NYM | G. Foster | Z. Smith | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 77% | 2-0 | NYM | R. Knight | Z. Smith | Foul Flyball: C | |
| b4 | 2 | --- | 1% | 78% | 2-0 | NYM | R. Santana | Z. Smith | Single to RF (Line Drive to Short RF) | ||
| b4 | 2 | 1-- | O | -1% | 77% | 2-0 | NYM | B. Ojeda | Z. Smith | Groundout: 3B-1B/Forceout at 2B; Ojeda to 1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Braves Batting, Behind 0-2, Mets' Bob Ojeda facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 80% | 0-2 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | B. Ojeda | Flyball: RF | |
| t5 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 81% | 0-2 | ATL | B. Benedict | B. Ojeda | Foul Flyball: C | |
| t5 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 83% | 0-2 | ATL | Z. Smith | B. Ojeda | Strikeout Looking | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Mets Batting, Ahead 2-0, Braves' Zane Smith facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | O | -1% | 81% | 2-0 | NYM | M. Wilson | Z. Smith | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b5 | 1 | --- | 2% | 83% | 2-0 | NYM | T. Teufel | Z. Smith | Walk | ||
| b5 | 1 | 1-- | 5% | 88% | 2-0 | NYM | K. Hernandez | Z. Smith | Double to LF (Line Drive to Deep LF Line); Teufel to 3B | ||
| b5 | 1 | -23 | 0% | 88% | 2-0 | NYM | G. Carter | Z. Smith | Intentional Walk | ||
| b5 | 1 | 123 | O | -4% | 84% | 2-0 | NYM | D. Strawberry | Z. Smith | Strikeout | |
| b5 | 2 | 123 | RRR | 13% | 97% | 2-0 | NYM | G. Foster | Z. Smith | Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF); Teufel Scores; Hernandez Scores; Carter Scores | |
| Jim Acker replaces Zane Smith pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b5 | 2 | -2- | O | -0% | 96% | 5-0 | NYM | R. Knight | J. Acker | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 3 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Braves Batting, Behind 0-5, Mets' Bob Ojeda facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 1% | 97% | 0-5 | ATL | A. Thomas | B. Ojeda | Flyball: CF | |
| t6 | 1 | --- | O | 0% | 98% | 0-5 | ATL | K. Griffey | B. Ojeda | Strikeout | |
| t6 | 2 | --- | -0% | 97% | 0-5 | ATL | D. Murphy | B. Ojeda | Walk | ||
| t6 | 2 | 1-- | -1% | 96% | 0-5 | ATL | B. Horner | B. Ojeda | Reached on E5 (Ground Ball); Murphy to 2B; Horner to 1B | ||
| t6 | 2 | 12- | R | -3% | 93% | 0-5 | ATL | T. Harper | B. Ojeda | Single to LF (Line Drive to Short LF); Murphy Scores/unER; Horner to 2B; Harper to 1B | |
| t6 | 2 | 12- | O | 3% | 96% | 1-5 | ATL | R. Ramirez | B. Ojeda | Flyball: RF | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 1 error, 2 LOB. Braves 1, Mets 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Mets Batting, Ahead 5-1, Braves' Jim Acker facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | O | -0% | 95% | 5-1 | NYM | R. Santana | J. Acker | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| b6 | 1 | --- | 0% | 96% | 5-1 | NYM | B. Ojeda | J. Acker | Single to LF (Fly Ball to Short LF) | ||
| b6 | 1 | 1-- | O | -0% | 96% | 5-1 | NYM | M. Wilson | J. Acker | Groundout: 1B unassisted; Ojeda to 2B | |
| b6 | 2 | -2- | O | -1% | 95% | 5-1 | NYM | T. Teufel | J. Acker | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 1, Mets 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Braves Batting, Behind 1-5, Mets' Bob Ojeda facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 1% | 96% | 1-5 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | B. Ojeda | Lineout: CF | |
| t7 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 97% | 1-5 | ATL | B. Benedict | B. Ojeda | Flyball: 1B | |
| Bill Sample pinch hits for Jim Acker (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 2 | --- | O | 0% | 98% | 1-5 | ATL | B. Sample | B. Ojeda | Foul Flyball: 3B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 1, Mets 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Mets Batting, Ahead 5-1, Braves' Paul Assenmacher facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| Paul Assenmacher replaces Bill Sample (PH) pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | -0% | 97% | 5-1 | NYM | K. Hernandez | P. Assenmacher | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| b7 | 1 | --- | 0% | 98% | 5-1 | NYM | G. Carter | P. Assenmacher | Walk | ||
| b7 | 1 | 1-- | 0% | 98% | 5-1 | NYM | D. Strawberry | P. Assenmacher | Single to RF (Line Drive to 2B-1B); Carter to 2B | ||
| b7 | 1 | 12- | OO | -1% | 97% | 5-1 | NYM | G. Foster | P. Assenmacher | Double Play: Flyball: SS-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 1, Mets 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Braves Batting, Behind 1-5, Mets' Bob Ojeda facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 1% | 98% | 1-5 | ATL | A. Thomas | B. Ojeda | Strikeout | |
| t8 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 99% | 1-5 | ATL | K. Griffey | B. Ojeda | Flyball: 2B | |
| t8 | 2 | --- | -0% | 98% | 1-5 | ATL | D. Murphy | B. Ojeda | Single to RF (Line Drive to 2B-1B) | ||
| t8 | 2 | 1-- | O | 1% | 99% | 1-5 | ATL | B. Horner | B. Ojeda | Flyball: LF | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 1, Mets 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Mets Batting, Ahead 5-1, Braves' Paul Assenmacher facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | -0% | 99% | 5-1 | NYM | R. Knight | P. Assenmacher | Groundout: 1B unassisted | |
| b8 | 1 | --- | O | -0% | 99% | 5-1 | NYM | R. Santana | P. Assenmacher | Groundout: 1B-P | |
| b8 | 2 | --- | O | 0% | 99% | 5-1 | NYM | B. Ojeda | P. Assenmacher | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 1, Mets 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Braves Batting, Behind 1-5, Mets' Bob Ojeda facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | -2% | 97% | 1-5 | ATL | T. Harper | B. Ojeda | Single to CF (Line Drive to SS-2B) | ||
| t9 | 0 | 1-- | O | 1% | 99% | 1-5 | ATL | R. Ramirez | B. Ojeda | Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B; Ramirez to 1B | |
| t9 | 1 | 1-- | O | 1% | 100% | 1-5 | ATL | K. Oberkfell | B. Ojeda | Flyball: RF | |
| t9 | 2 | 1-- | O | 0% | 100% | 1-5 | ATL | B. Benedict | B. Ojeda | Lineout: 3B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 1, Mets 5. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:NYN198607100
Play-by-Play Explanation
- RoB- This gives the baserunner (Runners on Base) configuration at the start of the play. "1-3" would mean runners on first and third. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
- R/O- This has a "O" for every out on the play and an "R" for every run that scored on the play. Some plays will have both in no particular order.
- Pit- When available, the number of pitches in this plate appearance. Clicking on this number will show the sequence of pitches thrown including, when available, things like runner going, ball blocked, attempted pickoffs and the like. We believe this data to be as accurate as humanly possible, but there are going to be some errors in the data, so please take it with a grain of salt. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
- wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
- wWE- Winning Team's Win Expectancy. The probability of the eventual winning team winning the game prior to this play given two average teams playing each other. More About Win Probability Added
- Score- The score from the perspective of the batting team.
- Batter- The batter at the plate when this play occurred. If the play is a baserunning event, then the batter's name will be repeated as indicated by quotes.
- Pitcher- The pitcher on the mound when this play occurred.
- Play Detail- This is an explanation of the play that occurred. In some cases, batted ball location and type will be indicated within parentheses. Again, these are best efforts to the record the game as it happened. Also, plays made on the baserunners (including the batter as a baserunner) will be indicated in parentheses after the baserunner's name. Advancement of baserunners is given in cases where the advancement is not easily deduced or obvious from the play. For example, advancement for a walk will not be given, but for a single or double it will be given.
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
The play-by-play information both shown and used to create certain
data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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