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Shea Stadium, Attendance: 34,471 |
Sunday, August 29, 1982 Time of Game: 2:55 |
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Braves
9
72-57
Won 3
1st
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Braves 0 0 1 2 0 1 2 3 0 9 11 2
Mets 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 10 3
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Mets
4
50-78
Lost 13
6th, 23½ GB
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Atlanta Braves AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details J Royster LF-3B 3 2 2 1 1 0 .285 .756 2 0 CS,HBP R Johnson 3B 0 0 0 0 1 0 .239 .693 0 0 R Ramirez SS 6 1 1 2 0 0 .262 .650 2 3 C Washington RF 4 2 3 2 1 1 .262 .735 3 0 2·SB D Murphy CF-LF 4 1 1 0 1 2 .292 .898 1 0 IW B Horner 3B 4 0 0 0 0 1 .269 .864 0 3 S Bedrosian P 1 0 0 0 0 0 .050 .145 0 0 C Chambliss 1B 4 0 2 1 1 0 .270 .767 10 0 CS G Hubbard 2B 3 1 1 2 1 1 .265 .712 2 3 SB,SF B Benedict C 4 1 1 0 1 0 .214 .554 7 0 P Niekro P 2 0 0 0 0 0 .206 .468 0 0 B Butler PH-CF 3 1 0 0 0 2 .215 .511 0 0 Totals 38 9 11 0 7 7 27 9
New York Mets AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details M Wilson CF 4 1 1 0 0 1 .280 .680 3 0 SB,HBP B Bailor SS 5 0 0 0 0 0 .281 .626 1 5 GDP E Valentine RF 4 1 1 0 0 1 .287 .704 0 0 D Kingman 1B 4 1 1 2 0 1 .200 .725 9 0 2B R Staub LF 4 0 2 1 0 0 .259 .677 4 0 H Brooks 3B 4 0 1 1 0 1 .275 .668 0 2 B Giles 2B 4 0 1 0 0 1 .295 .792 3 3 B Bochy C 3 0 1 0 0 0 .308 .769 7 2 2B R Hodges PH 1 0 1 0 0 0 .245 .742 0 0 P Zachry P 2 1 1 0 0 1 .059 .145 0 1 G Foster PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .255 .694 0 0 T Hausman P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 J Orosco P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 M Jorgensen PH 1 0 0 0 0 1 .227 .705 0 0 Totals 37 4 10 0 0 7 27 13
Atlanta Braves IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA P Niekro, W (13-3) 6 9 4 4 0 4 0 3.75 28 - · · 7· 8· 0· 9 42 - 1.40 -0.23 S Bedrosian, S (8) 3 1 0 0 0 3 0 2.36 10 - · · 2· 3· 0· 1 0-0 0.56 0.09 Totals 9 10 4 4 0 7 0 38 - · · 9·11· 0·10 -
New York Mets IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA P Zachry 6 5 4 4 5 3 0 4.06 26 - · · 10· 4· 0· 4 44 - 1.31 -0.23 T Hausman, L (1-2) 2 5 5 1 1 2 0 4.29 15 - · · 3· 3· 0· 5 0-0 0.89 -0.41 J Orosco 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 3.05 6 - · · 2· 0· 0· 1 0-0 0.06 0.00 Totals 9 11 9 5 7 7 0 47 - · · 15· 7· 0·10 -
Atlanta Braves New York Mets 1. Jerry Royster LF 1. Mookie Wilson CF 2. Rafael Ramirez SS 2. Bob Bailor SS 3. Claudell Washingto RF 3. Ellis Valentine RF 4. Dale Murphy CF 4. Dave Kingman 1B 5. Bob Horner 3B 5. Rusty Staub LF 6. Chris Chambliss 1B 6. Hubie Brooks 3B 7. Glenn Hubbard 2B 7. Brian Giles 2B 8. Bruce Benedict C 8. Bruce Bochy C 9. Phil Niekro P 9. Pat Zachry P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b5 | 2 | -23 | RR | -26% | 45% | 1-3 | NYM | D. Kingman | P. Niekro | Double to LF; Wilson Scores; Zachry Scores | |
| t7 | 1 | 1-- | R | 23% | 73% | 4-4 | ATL | R. Ramirez | T. Hausman | Reached on E6 (Ground Ball); Royster Scores/No RBI; Ramirez to 2B | |
| t6 | 2 | 12- | R | 17% | 49% | 3-4 | ATL | G. Hubbard | P. Zachry | Single to LF; Chambliss to 2B; Washington Scores | |
| b5 | 2 | -2- | R | -15% | 30% | 3-3 | NYM | R. Staub | P. Niekro | Single to LF; Kingman Scores | |
| b5 | 0 | 1-- | -13% | 55% | 1-3 | NYM | M. Wilson | P. Niekro | Single to 1B; Zachry to 3B/Adv on E3 |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Mets' Pat Zachry facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | 4% | 54% | 0-0 | ATL | J. Royster | P. Zachry | Walk | ||
| t1 | 0 | 1-- | O | -6% | 48% | 0-0 | ATL | R. Ramirez | P. Zachry | Royster Caught Stealing 2B (C-SS) | |
| t1 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 46% | 0-0 | ATL | R. Ramirez | P. Zachry | Flyball: LF | |
| t1 | 2 | --- | O | -1% | 45% | 0-0 | ATL | C. Washington | P. Zachry | Strikeout | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Mets Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 48% | 0-0 | NYM | M. Wilson | P. Niekro | Strikeout | |
| b1 | 1 | --- | -3% | 45% | 0-0 | NYM | B. Bailor | P. Niekro | Reached on E5 (Ground Ball); Bailor to 1B | ||
| b1 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3% | 48% | 0-0 | NYM | E. Valentine | P. Niekro | Flyball: RF | |
| b1 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2% | 50% | 0-0 | NYM | D. Kingman | P. Niekro | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Mets' Pat Zachry facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 48% | 0-0 | ATL | D. Murphy | P. Zachry | Strikeout | |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 46% | 0-0 | ATL | B. Horner | P. Zachry | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | -1% | 45% | 0-0 | ATL | C. Chambliss | P. Zachry | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Mets Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 47% | 0-0 | NYM | R. Staub | P. Niekro | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| b2 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 49% | 0-0 | NYM | H. Brooks | P. Niekro | Flyball: RF | |
| b2 | 2 | --- | -1% | 48% | 0-0 | NYM | B. Giles | P. Niekro | Single to LF | ||
| b2 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2% | 50% | 0-0 | NYM | B. Bochy | P. Niekro | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Mets' Pat Zachry facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | 4% | 54% | 0-0 | ATL | G. Hubbard | P. Zachry | Walk | ||
| t3 | 0 | 1-- | 3% | 57% | 0-0 | ATL | B. Benedict | P. Zachry | Hubbard Steals 2B | ||
| t3 | 0 | -2- | O | -5% | 52% | 0-0 | ATL | B. Benedict | P. Zachry | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| t3 | 1 | -2- | O | -3% | 49% | 0-0 | ATL | P. Niekro | P. Zachry | Groundout: 2B-1B; Hubbard to 3B | |
| t3 | 2 | --3 | R | 11% | 60% | 0-0 | ATL | J. Royster | P. Zachry | Single to 3B/Bunt; Hubbard Scores | |
| t3 | 2 | 1-- | O | -2% | 58% | 1-0 | ATL | R. Ramirez | P. Zachry | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 1, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Mets Batting, Behind 0-1, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 60% | 0-1 | NYM | P. Zachry | P. Niekro | Strikeout | |
| b3 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 62% | 0-1 | NYM | M. Wilson | P. Niekro | Foul Flyball: 1B | |
| b3 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 63% | 0-1 | NYM | B. Bailor | P. Niekro | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 1, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Braves Batting, Ahead 1-0, Mets' Pat Zachry facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | 3% | 67% | 1-0 | ATL | C. Washington | P. Zachry | Single to CF | ||
| t4 | 0 | 1-- | 5% | 72% | 1-0 | ATL | D. Murphy | P. Zachry | Single to LF; Washington to 2B | ||
| t4 | 0 | 12- | O | -5% | 67% | 1-0 | ATL | B. Horner | P. Zachry | Strikeout | |
| t4 | 1 | 12- | R | 13% | 80% | 1-0 | ATL | C. Chambliss | P. Zachry | Single to RF; Murphy to 3B; Washington Scores | |
| t4 | 1 | 1-3 | RO | 2% | 82% | 2-0 | ATL | G. Hubbard | P. Zachry | Flyball: CF/Sacrifice Fly; Murphy Scores | |
| t4 | 2 | 1-- | O | -1% | 81% | 3-0 | ATL | B. Benedict | P. Zachry | Chambliss Caught Stealing 2B (C-2B) | |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 3, Mets 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Mets Batting, Behind 0-3, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | -4% | 77% | 0-3 | NYM | E. Valentine | P. Niekro | Single to 2B | ||
| b4 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4% | 80% | 0-3 | NYM | D. Kingman | P. Niekro | Strikeout | |
| b4 | 1 | 1-- | -4% | 76% | 0-3 | NYM | R. Staub | P. Niekro | Single to 2B; Valentine to 2B | ||
| b4 | 1 | 12- | R | -10% | 66% | 0-3 | NYM | H. Brooks | P. Niekro | Single to LF; Staub to 2B; Valentine Scores | |
| b4 | 1 | 12- | O | 6% | 72% | 1-3 | NYM | B. Giles | P. Niekro | Popfly: 2B | |
| b4 | 2 | 12- | O | 5% | 77% | 1-3 | NYM | B. Bochy | P. Niekro | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| 1 run, 3 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Braves 3, Mets 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Braves Batting, Ahead 3-1, Mets' Pat Zachry facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | 3% | 80% | 3-1 | ATL | B. Benedict | P. Zachry | Walk | ||
| t5 | 0 | 1-- | O | -1% | 79% | 3-1 | ATL | P. Niekro | P. Zachry | Groundout: P-1B; Benedict to 2B | |
| t5 | 1 | -2- | O | -3% | 76% | 3-1 | ATL | J. Royster | P. Zachry | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| t5 | 2 | -2- | O | -2% | 74% | 3-1 | ATL | R. Ramirez | P. Zachry | Flyball: CF | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 3, Mets 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Mets Batting, Behind 1-3, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | -5% | 68% | 1-3 | NYM | P. Zachry | P. Niekro | Single to LF | ||
| b5 | 0 | 1-- | -13% | 55% | 1-3 | NYM | M. Wilson | P. Niekro | Single to 1B; Zachry to 3B/Adv on E3 | ||
| b5 | 0 | 1-3 | -2% | 52% | 1-3 | NYM | B. Bailor | P. Niekro | Wilson Steals 2B | ||
| b5 | 0 | -23 | O | 8% | 61% | 1-3 | NYM | B. Bailor | P. Niekro | Flyball: CF | |
| b5 | 1 | -23 | O | 11% | 72% | 1-3 | NYM | E. Valentine | P. Niekro | Strikeout | |
| b5 | 2 | -23 | RR | -26% | 45% | 1-3 | NYM | D. Kingman | P. Niekro | Double to LF; Wilson Scores; Zachry Scores | |
| b5 | 2 | -2- | R | -15% | 30% | 3-3 | NYM | R. Staub | P. Niekro | Single to LF; Kingman Scores | |
| b5 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2% | 32% | 4-3 | NYM | H. Brooks | P. Niekro | Flyball: LF | |
| 3 runs, 4 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Braves 3, Mets 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Braves Batting, Behind 3-4, Mets' Pat Zachry facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | 6% | 39% | 3-4 | ATL | C. Washington | P. Zachry | Walk | ||
| t6 | 0 | 1-- | 4% | 43% | 3-4 | ATL | D. Murphy | P. Zachry | Washington Steals 2B | ||
| t6 | 0 | -2- | O | -7% | 36% | 3-4 | ATL | D. Murphy | P. Zachry | Flyball: LF | |
| t6 | 1 | -2- | O | -6% | 30% | 3-4 | ATL | B. Horner | P. Zachry | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| t6 | 2 | -2- | 2% | 32% | 3-4 | ATL | C. Chambliss | P. Zachry | Walk | ||
| t6 | 2 | 12- | R | 17% | 49% | 3-4 | ATL | G. Hubbard | P. Zachry | Single to LF; Chambliss to 2B; Washington Scores | |
| t6 | 2 | 12- | O | -6% | 43% | 4-4 | ATL | B. Benedict | P. Zachry | Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Braves 4, Mets 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Mets Batting, Tied 4-4, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 46% | 4-4 | NYM | B. Giles | P. Niekro | Popfly: SS | |
| b6 | 1 | --- | -7% | 39% | 4-4 | NYM | B. Bochy | P. Niekro | Double to LF | ||
| George Foster pinch hits for Pat Zachry (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b6 | 1 | -2- | O | 5% | 45% | 4-4 | NYM | G. Foster | P. Niekro | Flyball: LF | |
| b6 | 2 | -2- | O | 5% | 50% | 4-4 | NYM | M. Wilson | P. Niekro | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 4, Mets 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Braves Batting, Tied 4-4, Mets' Tom Hausman facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| Tom Hausman replaces George Foster (PH) pitching and batting 9th; Brett Butler pinch hits for Phil Niekro (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | -4% | 46% | 4-4 | ATL | B. Butler | T. Hausman | Strikeout | |
| t7 | 1 | --- | 4% | 50% | 4-4 | ATL | J. Royster | T. Hausman | Single to RF | ||
| t7 | 1 | 1-- | R | 23% | 73% | 4-4 | ATL | R. Ramirez | T. Hausman | Reached on E6 (Ground Ball); Royster Scores/No RBI; Ramirez to 2B | |
| t7 | 1 | -2- | R | 10% | 83% | 5-4 | ATL | C. Washington | T. Hausman | Single to CF; Ramirez Scores/unER | |
| t7 | 1 | 1-- | 1% | 85% | 6-4 | ATL | D. Murphy | T. Hausman | Washington Steals 2B | ||
| t7 | 1 | -2- | O | -2% | 83% | 6-4 | ATL | D. Murphy | T. Hausman | Strikeout | |
| t7 | 2 | -2- | O | -2% | 80% | 6-4 | ATL | B. Horner | T. Hausman | Flyball: LF | |
| 2 runs, 2 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Braves 6, Mets 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Mets Batting, Behind 4-6, Braves' Steve Bedrosian facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| Steve Bedrosian replaces Bob Horner (3B) pitching and batting 5th; Jerry Royster moves from LF to 3B; Dale Murphy moves from CF to LF; Brett Butler moves from PH to CF | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 4% | 84% | 4-6 | NYM | B. Bailor | S. Bedrosian | Flyball: RF | |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 86% | 4-6 | NYM | E. Valentine | S. Bedrosian | Popfly: 2B | |
| b7 | 2 | --- | O | 2% | 88% | 4-6 | NYM | D. Kingman | S. Bedrosian | Popfly: 1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 6, Mets 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Braves Batting, Ahead 6-4, Mets' Tom Hausman facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | -1% | 87% | 6-4 | ATL | C. Chambliss | T. Hausman | Flyball: LF | |
| t8 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 86% | 6-4 | ATL | G. Hubbard | T. Hausman | Flyball: CF | |
| t8 | 2 | --- | 1% | 87% | 6-4 | ATL | B. Benedict | T. Hausman | Single to SS | ||
| t8 | 2 | 1-- | 1% | 88% | 6-4 | ATL | B. Butler | T. Hausman | Reached on E5 (Ground Ball); Benedict to 3B | ||
| t8 | 2 | 1-3 | 1% | 89% | 6-4 | ATL | J. Royster | T. Hausman | Hit By Pitch; Butler to 2B | ||
| t8 | 2 | 123 | RR | 8% | 97% | 6-4 | ATL | R. Ramirez | T. Hausman | Single to CF; Royster to 2B; Butler Scores/unER; Benedict Scores/unER | |
| t8 | 2 | 12- | R | 2% | 99% | 8-4 | ATL | C. Washington | T. Hausman | Single to RF; Royster Scores/unER; Ramirez to 3B; Washington to 2B/Adv on throw | |
| t8 | 2 | -23 | 0% | 99% | 9-4 | ATL | D. Murphy | T. Hausman | Intentional Walk | ||
| t8 | 2 | 123 | O | -0% | 98% | 9-4 | ATL | S. Bedrosian | T. Hausman | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 3 runs, 3 hits, 1 error, 3 LOB. Braves 9, Mets 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Mets Batting, Behind 4-9, Braves' Steve Bedrosian facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| Randy Johnson replaces Jerry Royster playing 3B batting 1st | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 1% | 99% | 4-9 | NYM | R. Staub | S. Bedrosian | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b8 | 1 | --- | O | 0% | 99% | 4-9 | NYM | H. Brooks | S. Bedrosian | Strikeout | |
| b8 | 2 | --- | O | 0% | 100% | 4-9 | NYM | B. Giles | S. Bedrosian | Strikeout | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 9, Mets 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Braves Batting, Ahead 9-4, Mets' Jesse Orosco facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Jesse Orosco replaces Tom Hausman pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | 0% | 100% | 9-4 | ATL | C. Chambliss | J. Orosco | Single to CF | ||
| t9 | 0 | 1-- | O | -0% | 100% | 9-4 | ATL | G. Hubbard | J. Orosco | Strikeout | |
| t9 | 1 | 1-- | 0% | 100% | 9-4 | ATL | B. Benedict | J. Orosco | Reached on E5 (Ground Ball); Chambliss to 2B | ||
| t9 | 1 | 12- | O | -0% | 100% | 9-4 | ATL | B. Butler | J. Orosco | Strikeout | |
| t9 | 2 | 12- | 0% | 100% | 9-4 | ATL | R. Johnson | J. Orosco | Walk; Chambliss to 3B; Benedict to 2B | ||
| t9 | 2 | 123 | O | -0% | 99% | 9-4 | ATL | R. Ramirez | J. Orosco | Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 1 error, 3 LOB. Braves 9, Mets 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 9th, Mets Batting, Behind 4-9, Braves' Steve Bedrosian facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| Ron Hodges pinch hits for Bruce Bochy (C) batting 8th | |||||||||||
| b9 | 0 | --- | -1% | 99% | 4-9 | NYM | R. Hodges | S. Bedrosian | Single to CF | ||
| Mike Jorgensen pinch hits for Jesse Orosco (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b9 | 0 | 1-- | O | 1% | 99% | 4-9 | NYM | M. Jorgensen | S. Bedrosian | Strikeout | |
| b9 | 1 | 1-- | -1% | 99% | 4-9 | NYM | M. Wilson | S. Bedrosian | Hit By Pitch; Hodges to 2B | ||
| b9 | 1 | 12- | OO | 1% | 100% | 4-9 | NYM | B. Bailor | S. Bedrosian | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 9, Mets 4. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:NYN198208290
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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