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Kauffman Stadium, Attendance: 30,317 |
Sunday, September 27, 1981 Time of Game: 2:30 |
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Mariners
3
42-61
Lost 1
6th, 17½ GB
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Mariners 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 3 6 0
Royals 0 0 0 2 2 7 0 4 X 15 22 0
W: Mike Jones (6-2), L: Ken Clay (1-7) |
Royals
15
45-51
Won 1
4th, 11 GB
|
Seattle Mariners AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details J Cruz 2B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .259 .662 1 0 J Anderson SS 0 0 0 0 0 0 .203 .540 1 2 L Randle 3B 4 0 1 0 0 0 .235 .601 1 2 T Paciorek CF 4 1 2 1 0 0 .326 .884 4 0 HR K Allen CF 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 R Zisk DH 3 0 1 0 0 1 .326 .883 0 0 J Maler PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .444 1.056 0 0 J Burroughs RF 3 0 1 0 0 0 .255 .743 0 0 D Henderson PR-RF 1 1 0 0 0 0 .167 .597 1 0 G Gray 1B 3 1 0 0 1 0 .240 .728 10 1 D Meyer LF 3 0 1 1 0 0 .259 .621 2 1 R Walton LF 1 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .143 0 0 P Serna SS-2B 3 0 0 0 0 0 .260 .746 2 6 HBP B Bulling C 3 0 0 1 0 1 .255 .654 2 1 D Firova C 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 K Clay P 0 0 M Parrott P 0 0 D Drago P 0 0 J Gleaton P 0 0 L Andersen P 0 0 Totals 33 3 6 0 1 3 24 13
Kansas City Royals AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details W Wilson LF 5 2 3 3 1 0 .301 .696 1 0 3B,2B,SB D Motley PR-LF 0 0 0 0 0 0 .231 .588 0 0 F White 2B 6 0 0 0 0 0 .239 .649 6 1 G Brett 3B 3 2 3 1 1 0 .308 .810 1 3 3B,SB D Chalk PR-3B 1 1 0 0 0 0 .224 .569 0 1 W Aikens 1B 5 1 3 1 0 1 .256 .830 13 0 2B T Ireland PR-1B 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 A Otis CF 5 2 3 4 0 0 .266 .748 0 0 2·2B H McRae DH 4 1 3 1 0 0 .270 .712 0 0 2·2B K Phelps PH 1 1 1 1 0 0 .136 .401 0 0 C Hurdle RF 3 1 1 0 0 0 .306 .894 1 0 C Geronimo PH-RF 2 1 2 1 0 0 .243 .635 0 0 P Sheridan RF 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 1 0 J Quirk C 4 1 2 2 0 1 .255 .631 2 0 HBP G Keatley C 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 U Washington SS 5 1 1 1 0 0 .226 .625 0 3 2B,GDP M Jones P 0 2 D Quisenberry P 0 1 Totals 44 15 22 0 2 2 27 11
Seattle Mariners IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA K Clay, L (1-7) 4.2 8 4 4 1 1 0 4.69 23 - · · 7· 5· 0· 8 32 - 0.96 -0.18 M Parrott 0.1 4 4 4 0 0 0 5.33 5 - · · 1· 0· 0· 4 1-0 0.26 -0.03 D Drago 0.2 4 3 3 0 0 0 6.23 6 - · · 1· 1· 0· 4 1-1 0.03 -0.00 J Gleaton 1.1 0 0 0 1 1 0 5.02 5 - · · 1· 2· 0· 0 1-0 0.00 0.00 L Andersen 1 6 4 4 0 0 0 2.69 8 - · · 1· 1· 0· 6 0-0 0.00 0.00 Totals 8 22 15 15 2 2 0 47 - · · 11· 9· 0·22 3-1
Kansas City Royals IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA M Jones, W (6-2) 8 6 3 3 1 2 1 2.80 32 - · · 11·11· 3· 6 59 - 0.64 0.29 D Quisenberry 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.86 3 - · · 1· 1· 0· 0 0-0 0.00 0.00 Totals 9 6 3 3 1 3 1 35 - · · 12·12· 3· 6 -
Seattle Mariners Kansas City Royals 1. Julio Cruz 2B 1. Willie Wilson LF 2. Len Randle 3B 2. Frank White 2B 3. Tom Paciorek CF 3. George Brett 3B 4. Richie Zisk DH 4. Willie Aikens 1B 5. Jeff Burroughs RF 5. Amos Otis CF 6. Gary Gray 1B 6. Hal McRae DH 7. Dan Meyer LF 7. Clint Hurdle RF 8. Paul Serna SS 8. Jamie Quirk C 9. Bud Bulling C 9. U L Washington SS Ken Clay P Mike Jones P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b4 | 0 | --- | 12% | 68% | 0-0 | KCR | G. Brett | K. Clay | Triple to RF | ||
| b5 | 2 | -23 | RR | 11% | 94% | 2-0 | KCR | A. Otis | K. Clay | Double to RF; Wilson Scores; Brett Scores | |
| b4 | 0 | -2- | R | 9% | 84% | 1-0 | KCR | A. Otis | K. Clay | Double to RF; Aikens Scores | |
| b4 | 0 | --3 | R | 7% | 75% | 0-0 | KCR | W. Aikens | K. Clay | Double to LF; Brett Scores | |
| b5 | 1 | -23 | O | -5% | 83% | 2-0 | KCR | W. Aikens | K. Clay | Strikeout |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Mariners Batting, Tied 0-0, Royals' Mike Jones facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | SEA | J. Cruz | M. Jones | Flyball: 2B | |
| t1 | 1 | --- | -2% | 50% | 0-0 | SEA | L. Randle | M. Jones | Single to CF | ||
| t1 | 1 | 1-- | -4% | 46% | 0-0 | SEA | T. Paciorek | M. Jones | Single to CF; Randle to 2B | ||
| t1 | 1 | 12- | O | 4% | 50% | 0-0 | SEA | R. Zisk | M. Jones | Strikeout | |
| t1 | 2 | 12- | O | 4% | 55% | 0-0 | SEA | J. Burroughs | M. Jones | Lineout: 3B | |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Royals Batting, Tied 0-0, Mariners' Ken Clay facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 52% | 0-0 | KCR | W. Wilson | K. Clay | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| b1 | 1 | --- | O | -1% | 51% | 0-0 | KCR | F. White | K. Clay | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b1 | 2 | --- | 1% | 52% | 0-0 | KCR | G. Brett | K. Clay | Single to CF | ||
| b1 | 2 | 1-- | O | -2% | 50% | 0-0 | KCR | W. Aikens | K. Clay | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Mariners Batting, Tied 0-0, Royals' Mike Jones facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | SEA | G. Gray | M. Jones | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 54% | 0-0 | SEA | D. Meyer | M. Jones | Groundout: P-1B | |
| t2 | 2 | --- | -1% | 53% | 0-0 | SEA | P. Serna | M. Jones | Hit By Pitch | ||
| t2 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2% | 55% | 0-0 | SEA | B. Bulling | M. Jones | Strikeout | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Royals Batting, Tied 0-0, Mariners' Ken Clay facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 53% | 0-0 | KCR | A. Otis | K. Clay | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b2 | 1 | --- | O | -2% | 51% | 0-0 | KCR | H. McRae | K. Clay | Double to LF; McRae out at 3B/LF-SS-3B | |
| b2 | 2 | --- | O | -1% | 50% | 0-0 | KCR | C. Hurdle | K. Clay | Flyball: 2B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Mariners Batting, Tied 0-0, Royals' Mike Jones facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | SEA | J. Cruz | M. Jones | Flyball: 1B | |
| t3 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 54% | 0-0 | SEA | L. Randle | M. Jones | Lineout: 2B | |
| t3 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 55% | 0-0 | SEA | T. Paciorek | M. Jones | Foul Flyball: 1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Royals Batting, Tied 0-0, Mariners' Ken Clay facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | 4% | 59% | 0-0 | KCR | J. Quirk | K. Clay | Hit By Pitch | ||
| b3 | 0 | 1-- | O | -2% | 58% | 0-0 | KCR | U. Washington | K. Clay | Groundout: 1B unassisted; Quirk to 2B | |
| b3 | 1 | -2- | O | -4% | 54% | 0-0 | KCR | W. Wilson | K. Clay | Flyball: CF | |
| b3 | 2 | -2- | O | -4% | 50% | 0-0 | KCR | F. White | K. Clay | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Mariners Batting, Tied 0-0, Royals' Mike Jones facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | -4% | 46% | 0-0 | SEA | R. Zisk | M. Jones | Single to LF | ||
| t4 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4% | 50% | 0-0 | SEA | J. Burroughs | M. Jones | Groundout: P-2B/Forceout at 2B | |
| t4 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3% | 53% | 0-0 | SEA | G. Gray | M. Jones | Flyball: LF | |
| t4 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3% | 56% | 0-0 | SEA | D. Meyer | M. Jones | Lineout: RF | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Royals Batting, Tied 0-0, Mariners' Ken Clay facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | 12% | 68% | 0-0 | KCR | G. Brett | K. Clay | Triple to RF | ||
| b4 | 0 | --3 | R | 7% | 75% | 0-0 | KCR | W. Aikens | K. Clay | Double to LF; Brett Scores | |
| b4 | 0 | -2- | R | 9% | 84% | 1-0 | KCR | A. Otis | K. Clay | Double to RF; Aikens Scores | |
| b4 | 0 | -2- | 4% | 88% | 2-0 | KCR | H. McRae | K. Clay | Single to RF; Otis to 3B | ||
| b4 | 0 | 1-3 | O | -4% | 85% | 2-0 | KCR | C. Hurdle | K. Clay | Flyball: CF | |
| b4 | 1 | 1-3 | O | -4% | 80% | 2-0 | KCR | J. Quirk | K. Clay | Flyball: CF | |
| b4 | 2 | 1-3 | O | -3% | 77% | 2-0 | KCR | U. Washington | K. Clay | Flyball: LF | |
| 2 runs, 4 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Mariners Batting, Behind 0-2, Royals' Mike Jones facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 80% | 0-2 | SEA | P. Serna | M. Jones | Flyball: 2B | |
| t5 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 82% | 0-2 | SEA | B. Bulling | M. Jones | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| t5 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 83% | 0-2 | SEA | J. Cruz | M. Jones | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Royals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Mariners' Ken Clay facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | 4% | 87% | 2-0 | KCR | W. Wilson | K. Clay | Double to LF | ||
| b5 | 0 | -2- | O | -3% | 84% | 2-0 | KCR | F. White | K. Clay | Bunt Groundout: C-1B | |
| b5 | 1 | -2- | 1% | 85% | 2-0 | KCR | G. Brett | K. Clay | Walk | ||
| b5 | 1 | 12- | 3% | 88% | 2-0 | KCR | W. Aikens | K. Clay | Wilson Steals 3B; Brett Steals 2B | ||
| b5 | 1 | -23 | O | -5% | 83% | 2-0 | KCR | W. Aikens | K. Clay | Strikeout | |
| b5 | 2 | -23 | RR | 11% | 94% | 2-0 | KCR | A. Otis | K. Clay | Double to RF; Wilson Scores; Brett Scores | |
| Mike Parrott replaces Ken Clay pitching | |||||||||||
| b5 | 2 | -2- | O | -1% | 93% | 4-0 | KCR | H. McRae | M. Parrott | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| 2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Mariners Batting, Behind 0-4, Royals' Mike Jones facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 1% | 95% | 0-4 | SEA | L. Randle | M. Jones | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| t6 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 95% | 0-4 | SEA | T. Paciorek | M. Jones | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| t6 | 2 | --- | O | 0% | 96% | 0-4 | SEA | R. Zisk | M. Jones | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Royals Batting, Ahead 4-0, Mariners' Mike Parrott facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | 0% | 96% | 4-0 | KCR | C. Hurdle | M. Parrott | Single to LF | ||
| b6 | 0 | 1-- | 1% | 97% | 4-0 | KCR | J. Quirk | M. Parrott | Single to CF; Hurdle to 2B | ||
| b6 | 0 | 12- | R | 2% | 99% | 4-0 | KCR | U. Washington | M. Parrott | Double to CF; Hurdle Scores; Quirk to 3B | |
| b6 | 0 | -23 | RR | 1% | 100% | 5-0 | KCR | W. Wilson | M. Parrott | Triple to RF; Quirk Scores; Washington Scores | |
| Dick Drago replaces Mike Parrott pitching | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --3 | O | -0% | 100% | 7-0 | KCR | F. White | D. Drago | Flyball: SS | |
| b6 | 1 | --3 | R | 0% | 100% | 7-0 | KCR | G. Brett | D. Drago | Single to CF; Wilson Scores | |
| Dave Chalk pinch runs for George Brett (3B) batting 3rd | |||||||||||
| b6 | 1 | 1-- | 0% | 100% | 8-0 | KCR | W. Aikens | D. Drago | Single to CF; Chalk to 3B | ||
| b6 | 1 | 1-3 | RO | 0% | 100% | 8-0 | KCR | A. Otis | D. Drago | Groundout: 1B-SS/Forceout at 2B; Chalk Scores | |
| b6 | 2 | 1-- | R | 0% | 100% | 9-0 | KCR | H. McRae | D. Drago | Double to LF; Otis Scores | |
| Cesar Geronimo pinch hits for Clint Hurdle (RF) batting 7th | |||||||||||
| b6 | 2 | -2- | R | 0% | 100% | 10-0 | KCR | C. Geronimo | D. Drago | Single to LF; McRae Scores | |
| Jerry Don Gleaton replaces Dick Drago pitching | |||||||||||
| b6 | 2 | 1-- | O | 0% | 100% | 11-0 | KCR | J. Quirk | J. Gleaton | Strikeout | |
| 7 runs, 8 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Mariners 0, Royals 11. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Mariners Batting, Behind 0-11, Royals' Mike Jones facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| Dave Chalk moves from PR to 3B; Cesar Geronimo moves from PH to RF | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | 0% | 100% | 0-11 | SEA | J. Burroughs | M. Jones | Single to LF | ||
| Dave Henderson pinch runs for Jeff Burroughs (RF) batting 5th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | 1-- | -0% | 100% | 0-11 | SEA | G. Gray | M. Jones | Walk; Henderson to 2B | ||
| t7 | 0 | 12- | R | -0% | 100% | 0-11 | SEA | D. Meyer | M. Jones | Single to RF; Henderson Scores; Gray to 3B | |
| t7 | 0 | 1-3 | O | 0% | 100% | 1-11 | SEA | P. Serna | M. Jones | Flyball: 2B | |
| t7 | 1 | 1-3 | RO | 0% | 100% | 1-11 | SEA | B. Bulling | M. Jones | Groundout: 1B unassisted; Gray Scores; Meyer to 2B | |
| t7 | 2 | -2- | O | 0% | 100% | 2-11 | SEA | J. Cruz | M. Jones | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Mariners 2, Royals 11. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Royals Batting, Ahead 11-2, Mariners' Jerry Don Gleaton facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| Paul Serna moves from SS to 2B; Jim Anderson replaces Julio Cruz (2B) playing SS batting 1st; Dave Henderson moves from PR to RF | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 0% | 100% | 11-2 | KCR | U. Washington | J. Gleaton | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| b7 | 1 | --- | 0% | 100% | 11-2 | KCR | W. Wilson | J. Gleaton | Walk | ||
| b7 | 1 | 1-- | O | 0% | 100% | 11-2 | KCR | F. White | J. Gleaton | Flyball: CF | |
| b7 | 2 | 1-- | O | -0% | 100% | 11-2 | KCR | D. Chalk | J. Gleaton | Flyball: LF | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Mariners 2, Royals 11. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Mariners Batting, Behind 2-11, Royals' Mike Jones facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 0% | 100% | 2-11 | SEA | L. Randle | M. Jones | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| t8 | 1 | --- | R | -0% | 100% | 2-11 | SEA | T. Paciorek | M. Jones | Home Run | |
| Jim Maler pinch hits for Richie Zisk (DH) batting 4th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 1 | --- | O | 0% | 100% | 3-11 | SEA | J. Maler | M. Jones | Flyball: 2B | |
| t8 | 2 | --- | O | 0% | 100% | 3-11 | SEA | D. Henderson | M. Jones | Foul Flyball: 1B | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Mariners 3, Royals 11. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Royals Batting, Ahead 11-3, Mariners' Larry Andersen facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| Larry Andersen replaces Jerry Don Gleaton pitching; Dan Firova replaces Bud Bulling playing C batting 9th; Reggie Walton replaces Dan Meyer playing LF batting 7th; Kim Allen replaces Tom Paciorek playing CF batting 3rd | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | 0% | 100% | 11-3 | KCR | W. Aikens | L. Andersen | Single to CF | ||
| Tim Ireland pinch runs for Willie Aikens (1B) batting 4th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | 1-- | 0% | 100% | 11-3 | KCR | A. Otis | L. Andersen | Single to 3B; Ireland to 2B | ||
| Ken Phelps pinch hits for Hal McRae (DH) batting 6th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | 12- | R | 0% | 100% | 11-3 | KCR | K. Phelps | L. Andersen | Single to RF; Ireland Scores; Otis to 2B | |
| b8 | 0 | 12- | 0% | 100% | 12-3 | KCR | C. Geronimo | L. Andersen | Single to P; Otis to 3B; Phelps to 2B | ||
| b8 | 0 | 123 | RR | 0% | 100% | 12-3 | KCR | J. Quirk | L. Andersen | Single to CF; Otis Scores; Phelps Scores; Geronimo to 2B | |
| b8 | 0 | 12- | OO | 0% | 100% | 14-3 | KCR | U. Washington | L. Andersen | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B; Geronimo to 3B | |
| b8 | 2 | --3 | R | 0% | 100% | 14-3 | KCR | W. Wilson | L. Andersen | Single to 2B; Geronimo Scores | |
| Darryl Motley pinch runs for Willie Wilson (LF) batting 1st | |||||||||||
| b8 | 2 | 1-- | O | 0% | 100% | 15-3 | KCR | F. White | L. Andersen | Flyball: RF | |
| 4 runs, 6 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Mariners 3, Royals 15. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Mariners Batting, Behind 3-15, Royals' Dan Quisenberry facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Dan Quisenberry replaces Mike Jones pitching; Greg Keatley replaces Jamie Quirk playing C batting 8th; Tim Ireland moves from PR to 1B; Darryl Motley moves from PR to LF; Pat Sheridan replaces Cesar Geronimo playing RF batting 7th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 0% | 100% | 3-15 | SEA | G. Gray | D. Quisenberry | Flyball: RF | |
| t9 | 1 | --- | O | 0% | 100% | 3-15 | SEA | R. Walton | D. Quisenberry | Strikeout | |
| t9 | 2 | --- | O | 0% | 100% | 3-15 | SEA | P. Serna | D. Quisenberry | Groundout: P-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Mariners 3, Royals 15. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:KCA198109270
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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