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Astrodome, Attendance: 20,773 |
Sunday, September 7, 1986 Time of Game: 2:50 |
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Cardinals
3
68-68
Lost 2
3rd, 24 GB
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Cardinals 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 7 1
Astros 0 0 0 1 2 2 1 0 X 6 12 1
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Astros
6
78-58
Won 2
1st
|
St. Louis Cardinals AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details V Coleman LF 5 0 0 0 0 2 .243 .606 4 0 T Herr 2B 5 1 1 0 0 1 .247 .667 6 3 W McGee CF 0 0 0 0 1 0 .248 .657 0 0 C Ford PR-RF 3 1 1 0 1 0 .254 .692 1 0 2B A Van Slyke 1B 4 0 1 1 1 1 .271 .791 5 2 T Pendleton 3B 4 0 1 1 0 0 .233 .577 0 2 J Morris RF-CF 4 0 0 0 0 0 .263 .603 1 0 O Smith SS 3 1 2 0 1 0 .271 .695 3 2 2·SB M LaValliere C 4 0 1 0 0 1 .225 .610 3 0 G Mathews P 3 0 0 1 0 2 .026 .101 0 1 G Bargar P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 1 0 M Laga PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .196 .702 0 0 J Boever P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Totals 36 3 7 0 4 7 24 10
Houston Astros AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details B Hatcher CF 2 0 0 0 2 1 .272 .695 3 0 CS,HBP B Doran 2B 4 0 1 1 0 0 .274 .728 0 5 SH P Garner 3B 3 1 1 1 0 0 .269 .762 1 0 HR D Walling PH-3B 1 0 0 0 1 0 .319 .873 0 0 G Davis 1B 4 1 1 0 1 0 .261 .831 9 0 3B K Bass RF 5 1 2 0 0 0 .307 .838 1 0 2B J Cruz LF 3 0 0 0 1 1 .276 .728 5 0 SB,GDP A Ashby C 3 2 2 0 1 0 .256 .682 7 0 2B,IW D Thon SS 4 1 3 0 0 0 .245 .658 1 1 D Darwin P 1 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 0 1 D Lopes PH 1 0 1 2 0 0 .281 .822 0 0 J Calhoun P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 J Pankovits PH 1 0 0 1 0 0 .292 .750 0 0 A Lopez P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 D Driessen PH 1 0 1 0 0 0 .333 .945 0 0 T Walker PR 0 0 0 0 0 0 .224 .703 0 0 SB D Smith P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 Totals 33 6 12 0 6 3 27 7
St. Louis Cardinals IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA G Mathews, L (10-5) 5.2 9 5 5 3 2 1 3.38 27 - · · 6· 7· 0· 9 30 - 1.56 -0.33 G Bargar 1.1 2 1 1 1 0 0 6.04 8 - · · 2· 2· 0· 2 2-1 0.84 -0.12 J Boever 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0.00 6 - · · 0· 2· 0· 1 0-0 0.21 0.01 Totals 8 12 6 6 6 3 1 41 - · · 8·11· 0·12 2-1
Houston Astros IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA D Darwin 5 6 3 3 1 5 0 3.58 23 - · · 3· 8· 0· 6 47 - 1.01 -0.14 J Calhoun, W (1-0) 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 3.63 4 - · · 1· 0· 0· 0 0-0 1.34 0.07 A Lopez, H (3) 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 3.08 9 - · · 5· 2· 0· 1 0-0 1.14 0.10 D Smith, S (29) 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2.36 4 - · · 2· 1· 0· 0 0-0 0.46 0.03 Totals 9 7 3 3 4 7 0 40 - · · 11·11· 0· 7 -
St. Louis Cardinals Houston Astros 1. Vince Coleman LF 1. Billy Hatcher CF 2. Tom Herr 2B 2. Bill Doran 2B 3. Willie McGee CF 3. Phil Garner 3B 4. Andy Van Slyke 1B 4. Glenn Davis 1B 5. Terry Pendleton 3B 5. Kevin Bass RF 6. John Morris RF 6. Jose Cruz LF 7. Ozzie Smith SS 7. Alan Ashby C 8. Mike LaValliere C 8. Dickie Thon SS 9. Greg Mathews P 9. Danny Darwin P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b5 | 0 | -23 | RR | 13% | 61% | 1-3 | HOU | D. Lopes | G. Mathews | Single; Ashby Scores; Thon Scores | |
| b5 | 0 | -2- | 13% | 48% | 1-3 | HOU | D. Thon | G. Mathews | Single; Ashby to 3B; Thon to 2B/Adv on throw to Hm | ||
| b4 | 0 | --- | R | 12% | 41% | 0-2 | HOU | P. Garner | G. Mathews | Home Run | |
| t5 | 2 | -2- | R | -11% | 25% | 2-1 | STL | A. Van Slyke | D. Darwin | Single; Ford Scores | |
| t1 | 2 | 12- | R | -11% | 39% | 0-0 | STL | T. Pendleton | D. Darwin | Single; Herr Scores; Ford to 3B |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Cardinals Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Danny Darwin facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | STL | V. Coleman | D. Darwin | Strikeout | |
| t1 | 1 | --- | -2% | 50% | 0-0 | STL | T. Herr | D. Darwin | Single | ||
| t1 | 1 | 1-- | -4% | 46% | 0-0 | STL | W. McGee | D. Darwin | Walk; Herr to 2B | ||
| t1 | 1 | 12- | O | 4% | 50% | 0-0 | STL | A. Van Slyke | D. Darwin | Flyball: CF | |
| Curt Ford pinch runs for Willie McGee (CF) batting 3rd | |||||||||||
| t1 | 2 | 12- | R | -11% | 39% | 0-0 | STL | T. Pendleton | D. Darwin | Single; Herr Scores; Ford to 3B | |
| t1 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 4% | 44% | 1-0 | STL | J. Morris | D. Darwin | Foul Flyball: 3B | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cardinals 1, Astros 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Astros Batting, Behind 0-1, Cardinals' Greg Mathews facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| John Morris moves from RF to CF; Curt Ford moves from PR to RF | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | 4% | 47% | 0-1 | HOU | B. Hatcher | G. Mathews | Walk | ||
| b1 | 0 | 1-- | O | -6% | 41% | 0-1 | HOU | B. Doran | G. Mathews | Hatcher Caught Stealing (PO) 2B (P-1B-SS) | |
| b1 | 1 | --- | O | -2% | 40% | 0-1 | HOU | B. Doran | G. Mathews | Flyball: LF | |
| b1 | 2 | --- | O | -1% | 39% | 0-1 | HOU | P. Garner | G. Mathews | Groundout: 3B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 1, Astros 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 1-0, Astros' Danny Darwin facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | -3% | 35% | 1-0 | STL | O. Smith | D. Darwin | Single | ||
| t2 | 0 | 1-- | -3% | 33% | 1-0 | STL | M. LaValliere | D. Darwin | Smith Steals 2B | ||
| t2 | 0 | -2- | -6% | 27% | 1-0 | STL | M. LaValliere | D. Darwin | Single; Smith to 3B | ||
| t2 | 0 | 1-3 | R | -5% | 22% | 1-0 | STL | G. Mathews | D. Darwin | Fielder's Choice ; Smith Scores; LaValliere to 2B; Mathews to 1B | |
| t2 | 0 | 12- | O | 4% | 26% | 2-0 | STL | V. Coleman | D. Darwin | Flyball: LF | |
| t2 | 1 | 12- | -4% | 22% | 2-0 | STL | T. Herr | D. Darwin | Balk; LaValliere to 3B; Mathews to 2B | ||
| t2 | 1 | -23 | O | 6% | 28% | 2-0 | STL | T. Herr | D. Darwin | Strikeout | |
| t2 | 2 | -23 | O | 4% | 32% | 2-0 | STL | C. Ford | D. Darwin | Flyball: LF | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cardinals 2, Astros 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Greg Mathews facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | O | -2% | 30% | 0-2 | HOU | G. Davis | G. Mathews | Flyball: RF | |
| b2 | 1 | --- | O | -2% | 28% | 0-2 | HOU | K. Bass | G. Mathews | Groundout: 1B unassisted | |
| b2 | 2 | --- | O | -1% | 27% | 0-2 | HOU | J. Cruz | G. Mathews | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 2, Astros 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Danny Darwin facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 29% | 2-0 | STL | A. Van Slyke | D. Darwin | Strikeout Looking | |
| t3 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 30% | 2-0 | STL | T. Pendleton | D. Darwin | Groundout: P-1B | |
| t3 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 31% | 2-0 | STL | J. Morris | D. Darwin | Flyball: SS | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 2, Astros 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Greg Mathews facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | 4% | 35% | 0-2 | HOU | A. Ashby | G. Mathews | Single | ||
| b3 | 0 | 1-- | 7% | 42% | 0-2 | HOU | D. Thon | G. Mathews | Single; Ashby to 2B | ||
| b3 | 0 | 12- | O | -7% | 35% | 0-2 | HOU | D. Darwin | G. Mathews | Strikeout | |
| b3 | 1 | 12- | O | -5% | 30% | 0-2 | HOU | B. Hatcher | G. Mathews | Flyball: 2B | |
| b3 | 2 | 12- | O | -5% | 25% | 0-2 | HOU | B. Doran | G. Mathews | Flyball: LF | |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cardinals 2, Astros 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Danny Darwin facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 27% | 2-0 | STL | O. Smith | D. Darwin | Flyball: LF | |
| t4 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 28% | 2-0 | STL | M. LaValliere | D. Darwin | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 1% | 29% | 2-0 | STL | G. Mathews | D. Darwin | Strikeout | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 2, Astros 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Cardinals' Greg Mathews facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | R | 12% | 41% | 0-2 | HOU | P. Garner | G. Mathews | Home Run | |
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | -3% | 38% | 1-2 | HOU | G. Davis | G. Mathews | Flyball: 2B | |
| b4 | 1 | --- | 3% | 42% | 1-2 | HOU | K. Bass | G. Mathews | Single | ||
| b4 | 1 | 1-- | OO | -7% | 35% | 1-2 | HOU | J. Cruz | G. Mathews | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 2, Astros 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 2-1, Astros' Danny Darwin facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 37% | 2-1 | STL | V. Coleman | D. Darwin | Strikeout Looking | |
| t5 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 39% | 2-1 | STL | T. Herr | D. Darwin | Flyball: LF | |
| t5 | 2 | --- | -2% | 36% | 2-1 | STL | C. Ford | D. Darwin | Double | ||
| t5 | 2 | -2- | R | -11% | 25% | 2-1 | STL | A. Van Slyke | D. Darwin | Single; Ford Scores | |
| t5 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2% | 26% | 3-1 | STL | T. Pendleton | D. Darwin | Flyball: LF | |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 3, Astros 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Astros Batting, Behind 1-3, Cardinals' Greg Mathews facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | 8% | 35% | 1-3 | HOU | A. Ashby | G. Mathews | Double | ||
| b5 | 0 | -2- | 13% | 48% | 1-3 | HOU | D. Thon | G. Mathews | Single; Ashby to 3B; Thon to 2B/Adv on throw to Hm | ||
| Davey Lopes pinch hits for Danny Darwin (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | -23 | RR | 13% | 61% | 1-3 | HOU | D. Lopes | G. Mathews | Single; Ashby Scores; Thon Scores | |
| b5 | 0 | 1-- | 4% | 65% | 3-3 | HOU | B. Hatcher | G. Mathews | Wild Pitch; Lopes to 2B | ||
| b5 | 0 | -2- | 3% | 68% | 3-3 | HOU | B. Hatcher | G. Mathews | Walk | ||
| b5 | 0 | 12- | O | 0% | 68% | 3-3 | HOU | B. Doran | G. Mathews | Bunt Groundout: 3B-2B/Sacrifice; Lopes to 3B; Hatcher to 2B | |
| b5 | 1 | -23 | O | -11% | 58% | 3-3 | HOU | P. Garner | G. Mathews | Flyball: 2B | |
| b5 | 2 | -23 | O | -8% | 50% | 3-3 | HOU | G. Davis | G. Mathews | Flyball: LF | |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cardinals 3, Astros 3. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Cardinals Batting, Tied 3-3, Astros' Jeff Calhoun facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Jeff Calhoun replaces Davey Lopes (PH) pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 53% | 3-3 | STL | J. Morris | J. Calhoun | Groundout: SS-1B | |
| t6 | 1 | --- | -4% | 50% | 3-3 | STL | O. Smith | J. Calhoun | Walk | ||
| t6 | 1 | 1-- | O | 4% | 54% | 3-3 | STL | M. LaValliere | J. Calhoun | Strikeout | |
| t6 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3% | 57% | 3-3 | STL | G. Mathews | J. Calhoun | Strikeout | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 3, Astros 3. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Astros Batting, Tied 3-3, Cardinals' Greg Mathews facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | 10% | 67% | 3-3 | HOU | K. Bass | G. Mathews | Double | ||
| b6 | 0 | -2- | O | -6% | 61% | 3-3 | HOU | J. Cruz | G. Mathews | Strikeout | |
| b6 | 1 | -2- | 2% | 63% | 3-3 | HOU | A. Ashby | G. Mathews | Intentional Walk | ||
| b6 | 1 | 12- | 9% | 71% | 3-3 | HOU | D. Thon | G. Mathews | Single; Bass to 3B; Ashby to 2B | ||
| Jim Pankovits pinch hits for Jeff Calhoun (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b6 | 1 | 123 | RO | 4% | 75% | 3-3 | HOU | J. Pankovits | G. Mathews | Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B; Bass Scores; Ashby to 3B; Pankovits to 1B | |
| Greg Bargar replaces Greg Mathews pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b6 | 2 | 1-3 | 2% | 77% | 4-3 | HOU | B. Hatcher | G. Bargar | Hit By Pitch; Pankovits to 2B | ||
| b6 | 2 | 123 | R | 10% | 87% | 4-3 | HOU | B. Doran | G. Bargar | Single; Ashby Scores; Pankovits to 3B; Hatcher to 2B | |
| Denny Walling pinch hits for Phil Garner (3B) batting 3rd | |||||||||||
| b6 | 2 | 123 | O | -4% | 83% | 5-3 | HOU | D. Walling | G. Bargar | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Cardinals 3, Astros 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Cardinals Batting, Behind 3-5, Astros' Aurelio Lopez facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| Aurelio Lopez replaces Jim Pankovits (PH) pitching and batting 9th; Denny Walling moves from PH to 3B | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 3% | 87% | 3-5 | STL | V. Coleman | A. Lopez | Flyball: CF | |
| t7 | 1 | --- | O | 2% | 89% | 3-5 | STL | T. Herr | A. Lopez | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| t7 | 2 | --- | -2% | 87% | 3-5 | STL | C. Ford | A. Lopez | Reached on E1 (Ground Ball); Ford to 1B | ||
| t7 | 2 | 1-- | -3% | 84% | 3-5 | STL | A. Van Slyke | A. Lopez | Walk; Ford to 2B | ||
| t7 | 2 | 12- | O | 6% | 90% | 3-5 | STL | T. Pendleton | A. Lopez | Groundout: 1B unassisted | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 1 error, 2 LOB. Cardinals 3, Astros 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Astros Batting, Ahead 5-3, Cardinals' Greg Bargar facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | 4% | 94% | 5-3 | HOU | G. Davis | G. Bargar | Triple | ||
| b7 | 0 | --3 | R | 1% | 95% | 5-3 | HOU | K. Bass | G. Bargar | Wild Pitch; Davis Scores | |
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | -0% | 94% | 6-3 | HOU | K. Bass | G. Bargar | Flyball: CF | |
| b7 | 1 | --- | 0% | 95% | 6-3 | HOU | J. Cruz | G. Bargar | Walk | ||
| b7 | 1 | 1-- | 0% | 95% | 6-3 | HOU | A. Ashby | G. Bargar | Cruz Steals 2B | ||
| b7 | 1 | -2- | O | -1% | 95% | 6-3 | HOU | A. Ashby | G. Bargar | Groundout: 1B-P; Cruz to 3B | |
| b7 | 2 | --3 | O | -1% | 94% | 6-3 | HOU | D. Thon | G. Bargar | Flyball: 2B | |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 3, Astros 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Cardinals Batting, Behind 3-6, Astros' Aurelio Lopez facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 96% | 3-6 | STL | J. Morris | A. Lopez | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| t8 | 1 | --- | -2% | 94% | 3-6 | STL | O. Smith | A. Lopez | Single | ||
| t8 | 1 | 1-- | -1% | 93% | 3-6 | STL | M. LaValliere | A. Lopez | Smith Steals 2B | ||
| t8 | 1 | -2- | O | 3% | 96% | 3-6 | STL | M. LaValliere | A. Lopez | Flyball: RF | |
| Mike Laga pinch hits for Greg Bargar (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 2 | -2- | O | 2% | 98% | 3-6 | STL | M. Laga | A. Lopez | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 3, Astros 6. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Astros Batting, Ahead 6-3, Cardinals' Joe Boever facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| Joe Boever replaces Mike Laga (PH) pitching and batting 9th; Dan Driessen pinch hits for Aurelio Lopez (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | 0% | 98% | 6-3 | HOU | D. Driessen | J. Boever | E2 on Foul Ball | ||
| b8 | 0 | --- | 0% | 98% | 6-3 | HOU | D. Driessen | J. Boever | Single | ||
| Tony Walker pinch runs for Dan Driessen (PH) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | 1-- | O | -0% | 98% | 6-3 | HOU | B. Hatcher | J. Boever | Strikeout, Walker Steals 2B | |
| b8 | 1 | -2- | O | -0% | 98% | 6-3 | HOU | B. Doran | J. Boever | Flyball: LF | |
| b8 | 2 | -2- | 0% | 98% | 6-3 | HOU | D. Walling | J. Boever | Walk, Wild Pitch; Walker to 3B | ||
| b8 | 2 | 1-3 | 0% | 98% | 6-3 | HOU | G. Davis | J. Boever | Walk; Walling to 2B | ||
| b8 | 2 | 123 | O | -1% | 97% | 6-3 | HOU | K. Bass | J. Boever | Flyball: SS | |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 1 error, 3 LOB. Cardinals 3, Astros 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Cardinals Batting, Behind 3-6, Astros' Dave Smith facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| Dave Smith replaces Tony Walker (PR) pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 2% | 99% | 3-6 | STL | V. Coleman | D. Smith | Flyball: CF | |
| t9 | 1 | --- | O | 1% | 100% | 3-6 | STL | T. Herr | D. Smith | Groundout: 2B-1B | |
| t9 | 2 | --- | -1% | 99% | 3-6 | STL | C. Ford | D. Smith | Walk | ||
| t9 | 2 | 1-- | O | 1% | 100% | 3-6 | STL | A. Van Slyke | D. Smith | Groundout: 1B unassisted | |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 3, Astros 6. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:HOU198609070
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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