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Scores
Standings
BOS
@DET		5
1
MIL
@KCR		4
8
TEX
@MIN		6
3
NYY
@TOR		7
1
PIT
@CHC		3
2		 
(14)
ATL
@HOU		0
2
SFG
@SDP		1
5
NYM
@STL		2
6
Thursday, September 21, 1978
, Astrodome
Attendance: 3,775, Time of Game: 1:47
Braves
0
68-85
⇐ Lost 1 ⇒
6th, 24 GB
 at Astros
2
69-83
⇐ Won 1 ⇒
5th, 22½ GB
W: Ken Forsch (10-6)
L: Phil Niekro (19-16)
 
                1  2  3   4  5  6   7  8  9    R  H  E
                -  -  -   -  -  -   -  -  -    -  -  -
Braves          0  0  0   0  0  0   0  0  0    0  5  1
Astros          0  0  0   0  0  1   1  0  X    2 11  1

Atlanta Braves

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Jerry Royster SS 4 0 0 0 0 0 .259 .666 -0.078 0.79 0.000 -0.078 -0.6 4 2
Rowland Office CF 4 0 2 0 0 0 .254 .663 0.071 0.91 0.117 -0.046 0.5 3 0 2·2B
Gary Matthews RF 4 0 1 0 0 3 .283 .815 -0.070 1.19 0.044 -0.114 -0.5 1 0
Jeff Burroughs LF 4 0 0 0 0 3 .308 .979 -0.148 1.54 0.000 -0.148 -1.0 0 0
Bob Horner 3B 4 0 0 0 0 1 .263 .825 0.061 1.36 0.146 -0.085 0.1 0 1
Joe Nolan C 2 0 0 0 1 2 .238 .706 -0.161 1.38 0.013 -0.173 -0.8 5 3 CS
Dale Murphy 1B 3 0 0 0 0 1 .232 .696 -0.115 1.53 0.000 -0.115 -0.6 10 0
Glenn Hubbard 2B 3 0 1 0 0 0 .289 .658 0.036 0.85 0.065 -0.029 0.1 0 4
Phil Niekro P 3 0 1 0 0 0 .211 .472 -0.134 1.45 0.014 -0.148 -0.8 1 1 GDP
Team Totals 31 0 5 0 1 10 .161 .413 -0.538 1.22 0.399 -0.936 -3.7 24 11
2B: R Office 2 (13, 2 off K Forsch).
TB: R Office 4; G Hubbard; G Matthews; P Niekro.
GIDP: P Niekro (4).
Team LOB: 5.
With RISP: 0 for 6.
Fielding
DP: 1. J Nolan-P Niekro.
E: G Hubbard (4).
Baserunning
CS: J Nolan (2, 2nd base by K Forsch/B Bochy).

Houston Astros

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Rafael Landestoy SS 4 0 2 0 0 0 .271 .604 -0.004 1.21 0.051 -0.055 -0.0 1 2
Julio Gonzalez 2B 4 0 2 0 0 1 .228 .523 -0.030 1.47 0.072 -0.102 0.0 2 3
Jeffrey Leonard CF 4 1 2 1 0 0 .333 .667 0.104 1.43 0.151 -0.047 0.9 1 0
Jose Cruz RF 4 0 1 1 0 0 .308 .824 0.092 1.42 0.225 -0.133 -0.0 1 0 2B
Enos Cabell 3B 4 0 0 0 0 1 .298 .732 -0.063 0.90 0.000 -0.063 -0.8 0 4
Bob Watson 1B 3 0 0 0 0 1 .291 .820 -0.100 1.03 0.000 -0.100 -0.9 7 0
   Dave Bergman 1B 1 0 1 0 0 0 .237 .648 0.005 0.12 0.005 0.000 0.2 4 0
Joe Cannon LF 3 0 0 0 0 0 .111 .222 -0.072 0.97 0.000 -0.072 -0.6 1 0
   Denny Walling LF 1 0 0 0 0 0 .253 .694 -0.006 0.25 0.000 -0.006 -0.3 1 0
Bruce Bochy C 4 1 2 0 0 0 .262 .704 0.030 0.67 0.058 -0.028 0.2 9 2
Ken Forsch P 3 0 1 0 0 1 .192 .385 0.007 1.12 0.047 -0.040 -0.1 0 0
Team Totals 35 2 11 2 0 4 .314 .657 -0.037 1.09 0.609 -0.646 -1.3 27 11
2B: J Cruz (32, off P Niekro).
TB: J Gonzalez 2; J Cruz 2; J Leonard 2; R Landestoy 2; B Bochy 2; D Bergman; K Forsch.
RBI: J Cruz (80); J Leonard (1).
2-out RBI: J Leonard.
Team LOB: 9.
With RISP: 1 for 9.
Fielding
DP: 1. E Cabell-J Gonzalez-D Bergman.
E: J Cannon (1).

Atlanta Braves

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Phil Niekro, L (19-16) 8 11 2 2 0 4 0 2.89 35 56 0.036 1.09 1.3
Team Totals 8 11 2 2 0 4 0 2.25 35 56 0.036 1.22 1.3

Houston Astros

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Ken Forsch, W (10-6) 9 5 0 0 1 10 0 2.75 32 86 0.536 1.22 3.7
Team Totals 9 5 0 0 1 10 0 0.00 32 86 0.536 1.09 3.7
Balks: None.
WP: K Forsch (2).
HBP: None.
IBB: None.
Pickoffs: None.

Other Info

Umpires: HP - Jerry Dale, 1B - John McSherry, 2B - Paul Runge, 3B - Bob Engel.
Time of Game: 1:47.
Attendance: 3,775.
Start Time Weather: In Dome.

Starting Lineups

Atlanta Braves         Houston Astros
1 Jerry Royster SS 1 Rafael Landestoy SS
2 Rowland Office CF 2 Julio Gonzalez 2B
3 Gary Matthews RF 3 Jeffrey Leonard CF
4 Jeff Burroughs LF 4 Jose Cruz RF
5 Bob Horner 3B 5 Enos Cabell 3B
6 Joe Nolan C 6 Bob Watson 1B
7 Dale Murphy 1B 7 Joe Cannon LF
8 Glenn Hubbard 2B 8 Bruce Bochy C
9 Phil Niekro P 9 Ken Forsch P

Win Probability Chart

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Top 5 Plays

View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
b6 0-0 0 1-- R HOU J. Cruz P. Niekro 20% 82% Double; Leonard Scores
t7 0-1 1 --3 O ATL J. Nolan K. Forsch 12% 74% Strikeout
b1 0-0 1 1-3 OO HOU J. Cruz P. Niekro -12% 50% Double Play: Flyball: C-P
t8 0-2 0 1-- OO ATL P. Niekro K. Forsch 12% 94% Ground Ball Double Play: 3B-2B-1B
b7 1-0 2 12- R HOU J. Leonard P. Niekro 10% 90% Single; Bochy Scores; Gonzalez to 2B

Play By Play

View Pitches · Box Score Explanation · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
Top of the 1st, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 1-2-3
t1 0-0 0 --- O ATL J. Royster K. Forsch 2% 52% Groundout: SS-1B
t1 0-0 1 --- O ATL R. Office K. Forsch 1% 53% Flyball: LF
t1 0-0 2 --- O ATL G. Matthews K. Forsch 1% 54% Strikeout
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Bottom of the 1st, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 1-2-3
b1 0-0 0 --- HOU R. Landestoy P. Niekro 4% 58% Single
b1 0-0 0 1-- HOU J. Gonzalez P. Niekro 6% 64% Single; Landestoy to 2B
b1 0-0 0 12- O HOU J. Leonard P. Niekro -2% 62% Flyball: CF; Landestoy to 3B
b1 0-0 1 1-3 OO HOU J. Cruz P. Niekro -12% 50% Double Play: Flyball: C-P
0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Top of the 2nd, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 4-5-6
t2 0-0 0 --- O ATL J. Burroughs K. Forsch 2% 52% Strikeout
t2 0-0 1 --- O ATL B. Horner K. Forsch 1% 54% Groundout: SS-1B
t2 0-0 2 --- ATL J. Nolan K. Forsch -1% 52% Walk
t2 0-0 2 1-- O ATL D. Murphy K. Forsch 2% 55% Nolan Caught Stealing 2B (C-2B)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Bottom of the 2nd, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 5-6-7
b2 0-0 0 --- O HOU E. Cabell P. Niekro -2% 52% Strikeout
b2 0-0 1 --- O HOU B. Watson P. Niekro -1% 51% Flyball: CF
b2 0-0 2 --- O HOU J. Cannon P. Niekro -1% 50% Groundout: P-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Top of the 3rd, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 7-8-9
t3 0-0 0 --- O ATL D. Murphy K. Forsch 2% 52% Groundout: 1B unassisted
t3 0-0 1 --- O ATL G. Hubbard K. Forsch 2% 54% Flyball: RF
t3 0-0 2 --- ATL P. Niekro K. Forsch -1% 53% Single
t3 0-0 2 1-- O ATL J. Royster K. Forsch 2% 55% Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Bottom of the 3rd, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 8-9-1
b3 0-0 0 --- O HOU B. Bochy P. Niekro -2% 53% Flyball: SS
b3 0-0 1 --- O HOU K. Forsch P. Niekro -2% 51% Groundout: 3B-1B
b3 0-0 2 --- HOU R. Landestoy P. Niekro 1% 52% Single
b3 0-0 2 1-- O HOU J. Gonzalez P. Niekro -2% 50% Groundout: C-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Top of the 4th, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 2-3-4
t4 0-0 0 --- ATL R. Office K. Forsch -8% 42% Double
t4 0-0 0 -2- O ATL G. Matthews K. Forsch 5% 47% Strikeout (C-1B)
t4 0-0 1 -2- O ATL J. Burroughs K. Forsch 4% 51% Strikeout
t4 0-0 2 -2- O ATL B. Horner K. Forsch 4% 56% Strikeout
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Bottom of the 4th, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 3-4-5
b4 0-0 0 --- O HOU J. Leonard P. Niekro -3% 53% Groundout: 2B-1B
b4 0-0 1 --- HOU J. Cruz P. Niekro 3% 56% Reached on E4 (Ground Ball); Cruz to 1B
b4 0-0 1 1-- O HOU E. Cabell P. Niekro -3% 53% Groundout: SS unassisted/Forceout at 2B
b4 0-0 2 1-- O HOU B. Watson P. Niekro -3% 50% Groundout: SS-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Top of the 5th, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 6-7-8
t5 0-0 0 --- O ATL J. Nolan K. Forsch 3% 53% Strikeout
t5 0-0 1 --- O ATL D. Murphy K. Forsch 2% 55% Flyball: CF
t5 0-0 2 --- O ATL G. Hubbard K. Forsch 1% 56% Flyball: SS
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Bottom of the 5th, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 7-8-9
b5 0-0 0 --- O HOU J. Cannon P. Niekro -3% 53% Flyball: RF
b5 0-0 1 --- HOU B. Bochy P. Niekro 3% 57% Single
b5 0-0 1 1-- HOU K. Forsch P. Niekro 5% 61% Single; Bochy to 2B
b5 0-0 1 12- O HOU R. Landestoy P. Niekro -3% 58% Groundout: C-1B; Bochy to 3B; Forsch to 2B
b5 0-0 2 -23 O HOU J. Gonzalez P. Niekro -8% 50% Strikeout
0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Top of the 6th, Braves Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 9-1-2
t6 0-0 0 --- O ATL P. Niekro K. Forsch 3% 53% Groundout: 3B-1B
t6 0-0 1 --- O ATL J. Royster K. Forsch 2% 55% Groundout: 3B-1B
t6 0-0 2 --- ATL R. Office K. Forsch -4% 52% Double
t6 0-0 2 -2- O ATL G. Matthews K. Forsch 5% 57% Strikeout
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 0.
Bottom of the 6th, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 3-4-5
b6 0-0 0 --- HOU J. Leonard P. Niekro 5% 62% Single
b6 0-0 0 1-- R HOU J. Cruz P. Niekro 20% 82% Double; Leonard Scores
b6 1-0 0 -2- O HOU E. Cabell P. Niekro -0% 81% Groundout: 2B-1B; Cruz to 3B
b6 1-0 1 --3 O HOU B. Watson P. Niekro -6% 75% Strikeout
b6 1-0 2 --3 O HOU J. Cannon P. Niekro -3% 72% Groundout: 2B-1B
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 1.
Top of the 7th, Braves Batting, Behind 0-1, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 4-5-6
t7 0-1 0 --- O ATL J. Burroughs K. Forsch 4% 76% Strikeout
t7 0-1 1 --- ATL B. Horner K. Forsch -5% 71% Reached on E7 (Fly Ball); Horner to 1B
t7 0-1 1 1-- ATL J. Nolan K. Forsch -10% 62% Wild Pitch; Horner to 3B
t7 0-1 1 --3 O ATL J. Nolan K. Forsch 12% 74% Strikeout
t7 0-1 2 --3 O ATL D. Murphy K. Forsch 7% 81% Strikeout
0 runs, 0 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 1.
Bottom of the 7th, Astros Batting, Ahead 1-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 8-9-1
b7 1-0 0 --- HOU B. Bochy P. Niekro 3% 83% Single
b7 1-0 0 1-- O HOU K. Forsch P. Niekro -2% 81% Strikeout
b7 1-0 1 1-- O HOU R. Landestoy P. Niekro -2% 79% Flyball: SS
b7 1-0 2 1-- HOU J. Gonzalez P. Niekro 1% 81% Single; Bochy to 2B
b7 1-0 2 12- R HOU J. Leonard P. Niekro 10% 90% Single; Bochy Scores; Gonzalez to 2B
b7 2-0 2 12- O HOU J. Cruz P. Niekro -2% 89% Groundout: 2B-1B
1 run, 3 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 2.
Top of the 8th, Braves Batting, Behind 0-2, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 8-9-1
Dave Bergman replaces Bob Watson playing 1B batting 6th
Denny Walling replaces Joe Cannon playing LF batting 7th
t8 0-2 0 --- ATL G. Hubbard K. Forsch -6% 82% Single
t8 0-2 0 1-- OO ATL P. Niekro K. Forsch 12% 94% Ground Ball Double Play: 3B-2B-1B
t8 0-2 2 --- O ATL J. Royster K. Forsch 1% 95% Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 2.
Bottom of the 8th, Astros Batting, Ahead 2-0, Braves' Phil Niekro facing 5-6-7
b8 2-0 0 --- O HOU E. Cabell P. Niekro -0% 95% Groundout: SS-1B
b8 2-0 1 --- HOU D. Bergman P. Niekro 0% 95% Single
b8 2-0 1 1-- O HOU D. Walling P. Niekro -1% 94% Flyball: SS
b8 2-0 2 1-- O HOU B. Bochy P. Niekro -0% 94% Flyball: CF
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 2.
Top of the 9th, Braves Batting, Behind 0-2, Astros' Ken Forsch facing 2-3-4
t9 0-2 0 --- O ATL R. Office K. Forsch 3% 97% Groundout: 1B unassisted
t9 0-2 1 --- ATL G. Matthews K. Forsch -4% 93% Single
t9 0-2 1 1-- O ATL J. Burroughs K. Forsch 4% 97% Flyball: LF
t9 0-2 2 1-- O ATL B. Horner K. Forsch 3% 100% Groundout: 3B-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Braves 0, Astros 2.

Retrosheet.org Boxscore:HOU197809210
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Play-by-Play Explanation

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  • Batter- The batter at the plate when this play occurred. If the play is a baserunning event, then the batter's name will be repeated as indicated by quotes.
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  • wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
  • wWE- Winning Team's Win Expectancy. The probability of the eventual winning team winning the game prior to this play given two average teams playing each other. More About Win Probability Added
  • Play Detail- This is an explanation of the play that occurred. In some cases, batted ball location and type will be indicated within parentheses. Again, these are best efforts to the record the game as it happened. Also, plays made on the baserunners (including the batter as a baserunner) will be indicated in parentheses after the baserunner's name. Advancement of baserunners is given in cases where the advancement is not easily deduced or obvious from the play. For example, advancement for a walk will not be given, but for a single or double it will be given.

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