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Scores
Standings
LAA
@BOS
7
5
NYY
@CHW
6
7
TEX
@DET
2
8
CLE
@KCR
9
6
CLE
@KCR
2
0
MIN
@OAK
2
11
BAL
@SEA
8
7
TOR
@TBR
3
5
FLA
@ATL
4
7
HOU
@CIN
5
3
CHC
@COL
2
4
ARI
@LAD
6
4
PHI
@MIL
3
1
STL
@PIT
6
2
SFG
@SDP
1
0
NYM
@WSN
5
10
Thursday, April 24, 2008, 1:05PM
, Comerica Park
Attendance: 39,058, Time of Game: 2:54
Rangers
2
7-16
 Lost 7 
4th, 7 GB
at Tigers
8
10-13
 Won 4 
4th, 3 GB
W: Zach Miner (1-1)
                1  2  3   4  5  6   7  8  9    R  H  E
                -  -  -   -  -  -   -  -  -    -  -  -
Rangers         1  0  0   0  1  0   0  0  0    2  4  0
Tigers          1  0  1   0  3  2   0  1  X    8 10  0

Texas Rangers

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO PA BA OBP SLG OPS Pit Str WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Frank Catalanotto LF 4 1 1 0 0 1 5 .263 .333 .456 .789 24 14 -0.018 0.82 0.052 -0.070 -0.1 3 0 HBP
Michael Young SS 4 1 2 1 1 0 5 .286 .359 .451 .810 21 10 0.079 0.89 0.137 -0.058 1.2 1 2 HR
Josh Hamilton RF 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 .293 .355 .522 .877 19 12 -0.109 0.96 0.000 -0.109 -1.4 2 0
Hank Blalock 3B 4 0 1 0 1 1 5 .293 .363 .439 .802 20 12 -0.012 0.73 0.048 -0.060 -0.9 0 2
Jason Botts DH 1 0 0 0 3 0 4 .138 .265 .310 .575 18 6 0.072 1.16 0.093 -0.021 0.8
David Murphy CF 3 0 0 1 1 1 4 .277 .344 .434 .778 20 11 0.047 1.84 0.128 -0.081 -0.0 2 0
Adam Melhuse C 4 0 0 0 0 3 4 .200 .273 .200 .473 19 13 -0.160 1.55 0.000 -0.160 -1.6 6 1
Ben Broussard 1B 3 0 0 0 1 1 4 .161 .246 .306 .553 13 6 -0.016 0.65 0.025 -0.042 -0.4 5 2
Ramon Vazquez 2B 2 0 0 0 1 1 3 .158 .273 .263 .536 16 8 -0.032 1.23 0.039 -0.071 -0.2 4 1
   German Duran PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .111 .200 .111 .311 6 4 -0.002 0.07 0.000 -0.002 -0.3
Jason Jennings P 1 0
   Kazuo Fukumori P 0 0
   Franklyn German P 0 0
Team Totals 31 2 4 2 8 10 40 .129 .325 .226 .551 176 96 -0.151 1.04 0.522 -0.674 -2.9 24 8
HR: M Young (3, off J Bonderman, 1st inn, 0 on, 1 out to LF-CF).
HBP: F Catalanotto (2, by J Bonderman).
TB: M Young 5; F Catalanotto; H Blalock.
RBI: M Young (8); D Murphy (7).
2-out RBI: D Murphy.
Team LOB: 11.
With RISP: 0 for 6.
Fielding
DP: 1. H Blalock-R Vazquez-B Broussard.

Detroit Tigers

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO PA BA OBP SLG OPS Pit Str WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Curtis Granderson CF 4 1 1 1 1 0 5 .375 .545 .750 1.295 22 10 0.061 0.65 0.129 -0.069 0.1 0 0 HR,CS
Placido Polanco 2B 3 1 0 0 1 1 4 .140 .290 .158 .448 12 8 -0.033 0.63 0.017 -0.050 -0.6 1 4
Marcus Thames RF 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 .182 .270 .273 .543 11 5 0.030 0.63 0.050 -0.020 0.1 4 0
Magglio Ordonez DH 4 2 3 4 0 1 4 .294 .378 .529 .907 18 10 0.453 0.96 0.454 -0.001 3.9 2·HR
Miguel Cabrera 1B 4 1 1 0 0 0 4 .262 .340 .500 .840 13 9 -0.052 0.62 0.001 -0.053 -0.3 7 2
Jacque Jones LF 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 .222 .295 .333 .628 7 3 0.000 1.27 0.022 -0.022 0.0 1 0
   Ramon Santiago 3B 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 .350 .480 .600 1.080 6 4 -0.009 0.18 0.000 -0.009 -0.6 0 0
Edgar Renteria SS 4 0 1 1 0 1 4 .337 .371 .489 .860 11 8 -0.090 0.91 0.004 -0.093 -0.0 0 2 2B
Brandon Inge C 3 1 2 1 1 0 4 .270 .392 .492 .884 18 9 0.073 0.42 0.084 -0.011 1.8 10 0 HR
Ryan Raburn 3B-LF 4 1 1 1 0 2 4 .250 .375 .500 .875 11 8 -0.081 0.71 0.028 -0.109 -0.8 2 0 HR,GDP
Jeremy Bonderman P 1 1
   Zach Miner P 0 0
   Bobby Seay P 1 1
Team Totals 32 8 10 8 5 6 37 .312 .405 .813 1.218 129 74 0.352 0.69 0.789 -0.437 3.6 27 10
2B: E Renteria (5, off K Fukumori).
HR: C Granderson (1, off J Jennings, 1st inn, 0 on, 0 outs to RF); M Ordonez 2 (5, 2 off J Jennings, 3rd inn, 0 on, 2 outs to LF-CF; 5th inn, 2 on, 2 outs to LF); B Inge (3, off K Fukumori, 6th inn, 0 on, 2 outs to LF-CF); R Raburn (1, off K Fukumori, 6th inn, 0 on, 2 outs to RF).
TB: M Ordonez 9; B Inge 5; R Raburn 4; C Granderson 4; E Renteria 2; M Cabrera; M Thames.
GIDP: R Raburn (2).
RBI: M Ordonez 4 (14); R Raburn (4); B Inge (14); C Granderson (3); E Renteria (15).
2-out RBI: M Ordonez 4; B Inge; R Raburn.
Team LOB: 5.
With RISP: 2 for 6.
Baserunning
CS: C Granderson (1, 2nd base by J Jennings/A Melhuse).

Texas Rangers

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str Ctct StS StL GB FB LD Unk GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Jason Jennings, L (0-4) 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 7.46 23 82 44 24 3 17 4 10 3 0 36 -0.294 1.04 -2.3
Kazuo Fukumori 2.1 5 3 3 0 1 2 20.25 12 39 25 16 1 8 4 7 1 0 0 0 -0.058 0.12 -2.6
Franklyn German 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.82 2 8 5 4 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0.001 0.03 1.2
Team Totals 8 10 8 8 5 6 5 9.00 37 129 74 44 5 25 8 18 5 0 36 2 0 -0.351 0.69 -3.6

Detroit Tigers

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit Str Ctct StS StL GB FB LD Unk GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Jeremy Bonderman 4.2 2 2 2 7 7 1 4.28 24 111 56 28 7 21 3 6 2 0 52 -0.034 1.39 -0.1
Zach Miner, W (1-1) 3.1 0 0 0 1 3 0 9.88 11 45 29 17 3 9 4 3 1 0 3 0 0.181 0.71 2.4
Bobby Seay 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 3.38 5 20 11 7 0 4 4 1 1 0 0 0 0.003 0.08 0.5
Team Totals 9 4 2 2 8 10 1 2.00 40 176 96 52 10 34 11 10 4 0 52 3 0 0.150 1.04 2.9
Balks: None.
WP: None.
HBP: J Bonderman (1; F Catalanotto).
IBB: None.
Pickoffs: None.

Other Info

Umpires: HP - Hunter Wendelstedt, 1B - Marvin Hudson, 2B - Randy Marsh, 3B - Brian Knight.
Time of Game: 2:54.
Attendance: 39,058.
Field Condition: Unknown.
Start Time Weather: 70° F, Wind 14mph in from Leftfield, Sunny.

Win Probability Chart

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Top 5 Plays

View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
b5 2-2 2 12- 5,(3-1)  RRR DET M. Ordonez J. Jennings 30% 86% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF); Polanco Scores; Thames Scores
t5 1-2 2 123 6,(3-2)  R TEX D. Murphy J. Bonderman -13% 47% Walk; Catalanotto Scores; Blalock to 3B; Botts to 2B
b3 1-1 2 --- 6,(3-2)  R DET M. Ordonez J. Jennings 12% 63% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF)
b1 0-1 0 --- 6,(3-2)  R DET C. Granderson J. Jennings 10% 55% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep RF Line)
t5 2-2 2 123 4,(1-2)  O TEX A. Melhuse Z. Miner 10% 57% Groundout: 2B-1B

Play By Play

Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
Top of the 1st, Rangers Batting, Tied 0-0, Tigers' Jeremy Bonderman facing 1-2-3
t1 0-0 0 --- 5,(3-1)  O TEX F. Catalanotto J. Bonderman 2% 52% Flyball: LF
t1 0-0 1 --- 6,(3-2)  R TEX M. Young J. Bonderman -9% 43% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF)
t1 1-0 1 --- 4,(1-2)  O TEX J. Hamilton J. Bonderman 1% 44% Strikeout Swinging
t1 1-0 2 --- 7,(3-2)  TEX H. Blalock J. Bonderman -1% 43% Walk
t1 1-0 2 1-- 1,(0-0)  O TEX J. Botts J. Bonderman 2% 45% Groundout: P-1B (Front of Home)
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Rangers 1, Tigers 0.
Bottom of the 1st, Tigers Batting, Behind 0-1, Rangers' Jason Jennings facing 1-2-3
b1 0-1 0 --- 6,(3-2)  R DET C. Granderson J. Jennings 10% 55% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep RF Line)
b1 1-1 0 --- 3,(0-2)  O DET P. Polanco J. Jennings -2% 53% Strikeout Looking
b1 1-1 1 --- 5,(3-1)  DET M. Thames J. Jennings 2% 55% Walk
b1 1-1 1 1-- 3,(1-1)  DET M. Ordonez J. Jennings 3% 59% Single to CF (Fly Ball to Short CF); Thames to 2B
b1 1-1 1 12- 2,(0-1)  O DET M. Cabrera J. Jennings -4% 55% Groundout: 1B-SS/Forceout at 2B (Weak 2B-1B); Thames to 3B; Cabrera to 1B
b1 1-1 2 1-3 4,(3-0)  DET J. Jones J. Jennings 2% 57% Walk; Cabrera to 2B
b1 1-1 2 123 3,(0-2)  O DET E. Renteria J. Jennings -7% 50% Strikeout Swinging
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Rangers 1, Tigers 1.
Top of the 2nd, Rangers Batting, Tied 1-1, Tigers' Jeremy Bonderman facing 6-7-8
t2 1-1 0 --- 5,(3-1)  O TEX D. Murphy J. Bonderman 2% 52% Popfly: 3B (Weak 3B)
t2 1-1 1 --- 4,(1-2)  O TEX A. Melhuse J. Bonderman 2% 54% Strikeout Swinging
t2 1-1 2 --- 1,(0-0)  O TEX B. Broussard J. Bonderman 1% 55% Groundout: 1B-P
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Rangers 1, Tigers 1.
Bottom of the 2nd, Tigers Batting, Tied 1-1, Rangers' Jason Jennings facing 8-9-1
b2 1-1 0 --- 5,(3-1)  DET B. Inge J. Jennings 4% 59% Walk
b2 1-1 0 1-- 2,(1-0)  OO DET R. Raburn J. Jennings -8% 51% Ground Ball Double Play: 3B-2B-1B (Weak 3B)
b2 1-1 2 --- 3,(1-1)  O DET C. Granderson J. Jennings -1% 50% Flyball: LF (Deep LF-CF)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Rangers 1, Tigers 1.
Top of the 3rd, Rangers Batting, Tied 1-1, Tigers' Jeremy Bonderman facing 9-1-2
t3 1-1 0 --- 7,(3-2)  TEX R. Vazquez J. Bonderman -4% 46% Walk
t3 1-1 0 1-- 7,(2-2)  O TEX F. Catalanotto J. Bonderman 4% 50% Strikeout Looking
t3 1-1 1 1-- 6,(3-2)  TEX M. Young J. Bonderman -4% 46% Walk; Vazquez to 2B
t3 1-1 1 12- 3,(2-0)  O TEX J. Hamilton J. Bonderman 4% 50% Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B (Weak SS); Vazquez to 3B; Hamilton to 1B
t3 1-1 2 1-3 4,(1-2)  O TEX H. Blalock J. Bonderman 6% 56% Strikeout Swinging
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Rangers 1, Tigers 1.
Bottom of the 3rd, Tigers Batting, Tied 1-1, Rangers' Jason Jennings facing 2-3-4
b3 1-1 0 --- 3,(0-2)  O DET P. Polanco J. Jennings -3% 53% Groundout: 1B-P (2B-1B)
b3 1-1 1 --- 2,(1-0)  O DET M. Thames J. Jennings -2% 51% Foul Popfly: 1B (1B Foul)
b3 1-1 2 --- 6,(3-2)  R DET M. Ordonez J. Jennings 12% 63% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF)
b3 2-1 2 --- 1,(0-0)  O DET M. Cabrera J. Jennings -1% 62% Flyball: RF (Deep CF-RF)
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Rangers 1, Tigers 2.
Top of the 4th, Rangers Batting, Behind 1-2, Tigers' Jeremy Bonderman facing 5-6-7
t4 1-2 0 --- 6,(3-2)  TEX J. Botts J. Bonderman -5% 57% Walk
t4 1-2 0 1-- 4,(0-2)  O TEX D. Murphy J. Bonderman 4% 62% Strikeout Swinging
t4 1-2 1 1-- 5,(2-2)  O TEX A. Melhuse J. Bonderman 4% 65% Strikeout Swinging
t4 1-2 2 1-- 5,(3-1)  TEX B. Broussard J. Bonderman -3% 63% Walk; Botts to 2B
t4 1-2 2 12- 5,(3-1)  O TEX R. Vazquez J. Bonderman 5% 68% Flyball: RF (Deep SS-2B)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Rangers 1, Tigers 2.
Bottom of the 4th, Tigers Batting, Ahead 2-1, Rangers' Jason Jennings facing 6-7-8
b4 2-1 0 --- 3,(0-2)  O DET J. Jones J. Jennings -2% 66% Strikeout Swinging
b4 2-1 1 --- 2,(1-0)  O DET E. Renteria J. Jennings -2% 64% Lineout: 2B
b4 2-1 2 --- 2,(0-1)  O DET B. Inge J. Jennings -1% 63% Lineout: CF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Rangers 1, Tigers 2.
Top of the 5th, Rangers Batting, Behind 1-2, Tigers' Jeremy Bonderman facing 1-2-3
Ramon Santiago replaces Jacque Jones (LF) playing 3B batting 6th
Ryan Raburn moves from 3B to LF
t5 1-2 0 --- 3,(1-1)  TEX F. Catalanotto J. Bonderman -5% 58% Hit By Pitch
t5 1-2 0 1-- 2,(1-0)  O TEX M. Young J. Bonderman 5% 63% Lineout: RF (RF Line)
t5 1-2 1 1-- 7,(3-2)  O TEX J. Hamilton J. Bonderman 4% 67% Strikeout Swinging
t5 1-2 2 1-- 2,(0-1)  TEX H. Blalock J. Bonderman -4% 63% Single to LF (Line Drive to Short LF Line); Catalanotto to 3B
t5 1-2 2 1-3 6,(3-2)  TEX J. Botts J. Bonderman -3% 60% Walk; Blalock to 2B
t5 1-2 2 123 6,(3-2)  R TEX D. Murphy J. Bonderman -13% 47% Walk; Catalanotto Scores; Blalock to 3B; Botts to 2B
Zach Miner replaces Jeremy Bonderman pitching
t5 2-2 2 123 4,(1-2)  O TEX A. Melhuse Z. Miner 10% 57% Groundout: 2B-1B
1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Rangers 2, Tigers 2.
Bottom of the 5th, Tigers Batting, Tied 2-2, Rangers' Jason Jennings facing 9-1-2
b5 2-2 0 --- 4,(1-2)  O DET R. Raburn J. Jennings -3% 54% Strikeout Looking
b5 2-2 1 --- 5,(3-1)  DET C. Granderson J. Jennings 3% 57% Walk
b5 2-2 1 1-- 2,(1-0)  O DET P. Polanco J. Jennings -5% 52% Granderson Caught Stealing 2B (C-2B)
b5 2-2 2 --- 5,(3-1)  DET P. Polanco J. Jennings 2% 53% Walk
b5 2-2 2 1-- 2,(0-1)  DET M. Thames J. Jennings 3% 56% Single to CF (Line Drive); Polanco to 2B
b5 2-2 2 12- 5,(3-1)  RRR DET M. Ordonez J. Jennings 30% 86% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF); Polanco Scores; Thames Scores
b5 5-2 2 --- 6,(3-2)  O DET M. Cabrera J. Jennings -1% 86% Groundout: 3B-1B (Weak 3B)
3 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Rangers 2, Tigers 5.
Top of the 6th, Rangers Batting, Behind 2-5, Tigers' Zach Miner facing 8-9-1
t6 2-5 0 --- 6,(3-2)  O TEX B. Broussard Z. Miner 3% 88% Strikeout Swinging
t6 2-5 1 --- 4,(1-2)  O TEX R. Vazquez Z. Miner 2% 90% Strikeout Looking
t6 2-5 2 --- 3,(0-2)  O TEX F. Catalanotto Z. Miner 1% 91% Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Rangers 2, Tigers 5.
Bottom of the 6th, Tigers Batting, Ahead 5-2, Rangers' Kazuo Fukumori facing 6-7-8
Kazuo Fukumori replaces Jason Jennings pitching
b6 5-2 0 --- 4,(2-1)  O DET R. Santiago K. Fukumori -1% 90% Flyball: LF (Short LF Line)
b6 5-2 1 --- 4,(1-2)  O DET E. Renteria K. Fukumori -1% 89% Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS)
b6 5-2 2 --- 6,(2-2)  R DET B. Inge K. Fukumori 5% 94% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF)
b6 6-2 2 --- 2,(1-0)  R DET R. Raburn K. Fukumori 3% 97% Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep RF)
b6 7-2 2 --- 3,(1-1)  O DET C. Granderson K. Fukumori -0% 97% Flyball: LF (Short LF)
2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Rangers 2, Tigers 7.
Top of the 7th, Rangers Batting, Behind 2-7, Tigers' Zach Miner facing 2-3-4
t7 2-7 0 --- 3,(1-1)  O TEX M. Young Z. Miner 1% 98% Flyball: RF (Short RF)
t7 2-7 1 --- 3,(0-2)  O TEX J. Hamilton Z. Miner 1% 98% Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS-2B)
t7 2-7 2 --- 5,(2-2)  O TEX H. Blalock Z. Miner 0% 98% Lineout: RF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Rangers 2, Tigers 7.
Bottom of the 7th, Tigers Batting, Ahead 7-2, Rangers' Kazuo Fukumori facing 2-3-4
b7 7-2 0 --- 1,(0-0)  O DET P. Polanco K. Fukumori -0% 98% Flyball: RF (CF-RF)
b7 7-2 1 --- 2,(1-0)  O DET M. Thames K. Fukumori -0% 98% Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS)
b7 7-2 2 --- 4,(1-2)  O DET M. Ordonez K. Fukumori -0% 98% Strikeout Looking
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Rangers 2, Tigers 7.
Top of the 8th, Rangers Batting, Behind 2-7, Tigers' Zach Miner facing 5-6-7
t8 2-7 0 --- 5,(3-1)  TEX J. Botts Z. Miner -1% 97% Walk
t8 2-7 0 1-- 5,(2-2)  O TEX D. Murphy Z. Miner 1% 98% Flyball: LF
t8 2-7 1 1-- 6,(2-2)  O TEX A. Melhuse Z. Miner 1% 99% Strikeout Looking
t8 2-7 2 1-- 1,(0-0)  O TEX B. Broussard Z. Miner 0% 99% Groundout: 2B-1B (SS-2B)
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Rangers 2, Tigers 7.
Bottom of the 8th, Tigers Batting, Ahead 7-2, Rangers' Kazuo Fukumori facing 5-6-7
b8 7-2 0 --- 4,(1-2)  DET M. Cabrera K. Fukumori 0% 100% Single to CF (Ground Ball thru SS-2B)
b8 7-2 0 1-- 2,(0-1)  O DET R. Santiago K. Fukumori -0% 99% Flyball: CF (Short CF)
b8 7-2 1 1-- 2,(1-0)  R DET E. Renteria K. Fukumori 0% 100% Double to CF (Line Drive to Deep LF-CF); Cabrera Scores
b8 8-2 1 -2- 5,(3-1)  DET B. Inge K. Fukumori 0% 100% Single to LF (Ground Ball thru Weak 3B); Renteria to 3B
Franklyn German replaces Kazuo Fukumori pitching
b8 8-2 1 1-3 3,(0-2)  O DET R. Raburn F. German -0% 100% Strikeout Swinging
b8 8-2 2 1-3 5,(3-1)  O DET C. Granderson F. German -0% 100% Lineout: 2B
1 run, 3 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Rangers 2, Tigers 8.
Top of the 9th, Rangers Batting, Behind 2-8, Tigers' Bobby Seay facing 9-1-2
Bobby Seay replaces Zach Miner pitching
German Duran pinch hits for Ramon Vazquez (2B) batting 9th
t9 2-8 0 --- 6,(2-2)  O TEX G. Duran B. Seay 0% 100% Groundout: 2B-1B
t9 2-8 1 --- 6,(3-2)  TEX F. Catalanotto B. Seay -0% 100% Single to 1B (Ground Ball to Weak 2B)
t9 2-8 1 1-- 4,(2-1)  TEX M. Young B. Seay -0% 99% Single to CF (Line Drive); Catalanotto to 2B
t9 2-8 1 12- 2,(1-0)  O TEX J. Hamilton B. Seay 0% 100% Groundout: 1B-P (Weak 2B-1B); Catalanotto to 3B; Young to 2B
t9 2-8 2 -23 2,(1-0)  O TEX H. Blalock B. Seay 0% 100% Groundout: P-1B (Short 3B Line)
0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Rangers 2, Tigers 8.

Retrosheet.org Boxscore:DET200804240
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  • wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
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