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Scores
Standings
SEA
@CHW		6
7
NYY
@CLE		10
6
BAL
@DET		8
3
CAL
@KCR		2
6
BOS
@MIL		0
7
TOR
@MIN		1
2
TEX
@OAK		3
5
CIN
@ATL		2
4
HOU
@LAD		4
5
MON
@PIT		2
4
SFG
@SDP		4
3		 
(15)
CHC
@STL		2
1
Saturday, July 3, 1982
, Tiger Stadium
Attendance: 24,782, Time of Game: 2:54
Orioles
8
40-34
⇐ Won 2 ⇒
3rd, 3 GB
 at Tigers
3
39-35
⇐ Lost 2 ⇒
4th, 4 GB
W: Storm Davis (1-1)
L: Jerry Ujdur (1-4)
 
                1  2  3   4  5  6   7  8  9    R  H  E
                -  -  -   -  -  -   -  -  -    -  -  -
Orioles         1  0  0   2  1  4   0  0  0    8 12  0
Tigers          0  0  0   0  0  1   2  0  0    3 11  0

Baltimore Orioles

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Al Bumbry CF 4 1 2 0 1 0 .257 .622 -0.007 0.63 0.056 -0.064 0.3 2 0
Dan Ford RF 5 1 1 2 0 1 .238 .679 -0.054 0.63 0.018 -0.072 -0.0 4 0 HR
Ken Singleton DH 3 1 2 2 2 0 .258 .736 0.179 0.29 0.180 -0.001 2.2 HR,2B
Eddie Murray 1B 4 0 0 0 1 0 .318 .956 -0.028 0.33 0.005 -0.033 -0.5 9 1 IW
Cal Ripken SS 5 1 2 1 0 0 .266 .771 0.057 0.48 0.109 -0.051 0.1 4 4 HR
Joe Nolan C 4 2 3 1 0 0 .258 .728 0.131 0.41 0.133 -0.002 1.0 2 0 HR,2B,GDP
Gary Roenicke LF 3 0 0 0 1 0 .259 .942 -0.005 0.52 0.017 -0.023 -0.5 2 1
Floyd Rayford 3B 4 1 1 2 0 1 .125 .576 0.006 0.65 0.051 -0.045 0.9 1 1 HR
Rich Dauer 2B 3 1 1 0 1 0 .289 .735 -0.048 0.51 0.004 -0.052 -0.1 3 4
Storm Davis P
   Ross Grimsley P
   Don Stanhouse P
   Tippy Martinez P
Team Totals 35 8 12 8 6 2 .343 1.268 0.231 0.47 0.573 -0.343 3.5 27 11
2B: K Singleton (11, off J Ujdur); J Nolan (4, off J Ujdur).
HR: K Singleton (6, off J Ujdur; 1st inn, 0 on, 2 outs to LF-CF); C Ripken (10, off J Ujdur; 4th inn, 0 on, 0 outs to LF); D Ford (6, off A Lopez; 6th inn, 1 on, 2 outs to LF-CF); J Nolan (4, off J Ujdur; 4th inn, 0 on, 0 outs to RF); F Rayford (1, off A Lopez; 6th inn, 1 on, 1 out to RF).
IBB: E Murray (8, by A Lopez).
TB: J Nolan 7; K Singleton 6; C Ripken 5; F Rayford 4; D Ford 4; A Bumbry 2; R Dauer.
GIDP: J Nolan (3).
RBI: K Singleton 2 (39); F Rayford 2 (2); D Ford 2 (28); C Ripken (44); J Nolan (21).
2-out RBI: D Ford 2; K Singleton.
Team LOB: 6.
With RISP: 1 for 5.
Fielding
DP: 1. R Dauer-C Ripken-E Murray.
Outfield Assists: G Roenicke (L Jones at 3rd base).
Baserunning
Pickoffs: A Bumbry (1st base by L Parrish).

Detroit Tigers

Batting AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS WPA aLI WPA+ WPA- RE24 PO A
Lynn Jones RF 5 0 2 0 0 0 .226 .546 0.005 0.56 0.047 -0.042 0.1 2 0
Rick Leach 1B 4 1 1 1 1 0 .235 .606 -0.051 0.59 0.013 -0.064 0.3 12 1 HR
Chet Lemon CF 5 0 4 1 0 0 .242 .700 0.008 0.49 0.043 -0.035 1.2 3 0 2B
Lance Parrish C 3 0 0 0 0 0 .317 .923 -0.061 0.71 0.000 -0.061 -0.9 2 1
   Bill Fahey C 0 0 0 0 0 0 .100 .200 0.000 0.00 0.000 0.000 0.0 0 0
   John Wockenfuss PH-C 1 0 1 0 1 0 .259 .693 0.024 0.36 0.024 0.000 0.5 0 0
Richie Hebner DH 2 0 0 0 2 0 .278 .810 0.038 0.91 0.082 -0.044 -0.4
   Larry Herndon PH 1 0 0 0 0 1 .313 .913 -0.005 0.19 0.000 -0.005 -0.4
Jerry Turner LF 4 0 0 0 0 1 .196 .553 -0.089 0.95 0.000 -0.089 -1.3 1 0
Lou Whitaker 2B 4 1 1 0 0 0 .251 .669 -0.084 0.73 0.006 -0.090 -0.6 3 4 GDP
Tom Brookens 3B 3 1 2 0 1 0 .255 .712 0.023 0.50 0.043 -0.019 1.1 0 1
Alan Trammell SS 3 0 0 1 0 0 .210 .593 -0.079 0.77 0.000 -0.079 -1.1 2 4 SF
Jerry Ujdur P 1
   Aurelio Lopez P 1
   Kevin Saucier P
   Elias Sosa P 1
Team Totals 35 3 11 3 5 2 .314 .819 -0.271 0.65 0.258 -0.528 -1.5 27 12
2B: C Lemon (8, off S Davis).
HR: R Leach (1, off S Davis; 6th inn, 0 on, 0 outs to RF).
SF: A Trammell (3, off S Davis).
TB: C Lemon 5; R Leach 4; L Jones 2; T Brookens 2; L Whitaker; J Wockenfuss.
GIDP: L Whitaker (5).
RBI: R Leach (6); C Lemon (16); A Trammell (26).
2-out RBI: C Lemon.
Team LOB: 11.
With RISP: 1 for 7.
Fielding
DP: 4. L Parrish-R Leach; L Whitaker-A Trammell-R Leach; L Whitaker-R Leach; L Whitaker-A Trammell.

Baltimore Orioles

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Storm Davis, W (1-1) 6.2 7 3 3 3 1 1 1.93 28 46 0.253 0.79 1.3
Ross Grimsley 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 4.74 2 1 1 -0.022 0.26 -1.2
Don Stanhouse 2 3 0 0 1 0 0 5.52 10 2 0 0.034 0.38 1.0
Tippy Martinez 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 4.07 1 2 0 0.005 0.19 0.4
Team Totals 9 11 3 3 5 2 1 3.00 41 46 5 1 0.270 0.47 1.5
R Grimsley faced 2 batters in the 7th inning.

Detroit Tigers

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF GSc IR IS WPA aLI RE24
Jerry Ujdur, L (1-4) 4.1 7 4 4 2 2 3 4.24 21 33 -0.192 0.78 -2.2
Aurelio Lopez 1.1 4 4 4 1 0 2 6.67 8 1 0 -0.046 0.29 -2.9
Kevin Saucier 2.1 1 0 0 3 0 0 3.34 9 0 0 0.006 0.07 1.1
Elias Sosa 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.75 3 0 0 0.002 0.02 0.5
Team Totals 9 12 8 8 6 2 5 8.00 41 33 1 0 -0.230 0.65 -3.5
Balks: None.
WP: None.
HBP: None.
IBB: A Lopez (3; E Murray).
Pickoffs: None.

Other Info

Umpires: HP - Ted Hendry, 1B - Jim McKean, 2B - Al Clark, 3B - Drew Coble.
Time of Game: 2:54.
Attendance: 24,782.
Field Condition: Unknown.
Start Time Weather: Unknown.

Starting Lineups

Baltimore Orioles         Detroit Tigers
1 Al Bumbry CF 1 Lynn Jones RF
2 Dan Ford RF 2 Rick Leach 1B
3 Ken Singleton DH 3 Chet Lemon CF
4 Eddie Murray 1B 4 Lance Parrish C
5 Cal Ripken SS 5 Richie Hebner DH
6 Joe Nolan C 6 Jerry Turner LF
7 Gary Roenicke LF 7 Lou Whitaker 2B
8 Floyd Rayford 3B 8 Tom Brookens 3B
9 Rich Dauer 2B 9 Alan Trammell SS
Storm Davis P Jerry Ujdur P

Win Probability Chart

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Scoring Plays
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Top 5 Plays

View Pitches · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
t4 1-0 0 --- R BAL C. Ripken J. Ujdur 11% 73% Home Run
t1 0-0 2 --- R BAL K. Singleton J. Ujdur 10% 56% Home Run (LF-CF)
t4 2-0 0 --- R BAL J. Nolan J. Ujdur 8% 82% Home Run
t1 0-0 0 1-- OO BAL D. Ford J. Ujdur -7% 46% Double Play: Strikeout, Bumbry Picked off 1B (C-1B)
t5 3-0 1 1-- R BAL K. Singleton J. Ujdur 7% 91% Double to LF; Bumbry Scores

Play By Play

View Pitches · Box Score Explanation · wWE and wWPA Explanation
Inn Score Out RoB Pit(cnt) R/O @Bat Batter Pitcher wWPA wWE Play Description
Top of the 1st, Orioles Batting, Tied 0-0, Tigers' Jerry Ujdur facing 1-2-3
t1 0-0 0 --- BAL A. Bumbry J. Ujdur 4% 54% Single to RF
t1 0-0 0 1-- OO BAL D. Ford J. Ujdur -7% 46% Double Play: Strikeout, Bumbry Picked off 1B (C-1B)
t1 0-0 2 --- R BAL K. Singleton J. Ujdur 10% 56% Home Run (LF-CF)
t1 1-0 2 --- O BAL E. Murray J. Ujdur -1% 55% Groundout: SS-1B
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 1, Tigers 0.
Bottom of the 1st, Tigers Batting, Behind 0-1, Orioles' Storm Davis facing 1-2-3
b1 0-1 0 --- DET L. Jones S. Davis -4% 52% Single to RF
b1 0-1 0 1-- O DET R. Leach S. Davis 4% 55% Lineout: SS
b1 0-1 1 1-- O DET C. Lemon S. Davis 3% 58% Single to LF; Jones out at 3B/LF-3B
b1 0-1 2 1-- O DET L. Parrish S. Davis 2% 61% Groundout: 2B-1B
0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Tigers 0.
Top of the 2nd, Orioles Batting, Ahead 1-0, Tigers' Jerry Ujdur facing 5-6-7
t2 1-0 0 --- O BAL C. Ripken J. Ujdur -2% 58% Popfly: 1B
t2 1-0 1 --- BAL J. Nolan J. Ujdur 4% 62% Double to RF
t2 1-0 1 -2- BAL G. Roenicke J. Ujdur 2% 64% Walk
t2 1-0 1 12- O BAL F. Rayford J. Ujdur -3% 61% Flyball: RF; Nolan to 3B
t2 1-0 2 1-3 O BAL R. Dauer J. Ujdur -5% 56% Flyball: CF
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Orioles 1, Tigers 0.
Bottom of the 2nd, Tigers Batting, Behind 0-1, Orioles' Storm Davis facing 5-6-7
b2 0-1 0 --- DET R. Hebner S. Davis -4% 52% Walk
b2 0-1 0 1-- O DET J. Turner S. Davis 4% 56% Strikeout
b2 0-1 1 1-- O DET L. Whitaker S. Davis 3% 59% Flyball: LF
b2 0-1 2 1-- DET T. Brookens S. Davis -2% 57% Walk; Hebner to 2B
b2 0-1 2 12- O DET A. Trammell S. Davis 5% 61% Popfly: 1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Orioles 1, Tigers 0.
Top of the 3rd, Orioles Batting, Ahead 1-0, Tigers' Jerry Ujdur facing 1-2-3
t3 1-0 0 --- O BAL A. Bumbry J. Ujdur -2% 59% Flyball: LF
t3 1-0 1 --- O BAL D. Ford J. Ujdur -2% 58% Groundout: P-1B
t3 1-0 2 --- BAL K. Singleton J. Ujdur 1% 59% Walk
t3 1-0 2 1-- O BAL E. Murray J. Ujdur -2% 57% Flyball: CF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Tigers 0.
Bottom of the 3rd, Tigers Batting, Behind 0-1, Orioles' Storm Davis facing 1-2-3
b3 0-1 0 --- O DET L. Jones S. Davis 3% 59% Groundout: SS-1B
b3 0-1 1 --- O DET R. Leach S. Davis 2% 61% Flyball: RF
b3 0-1 2 --- DET C. Lemon S. Davis -2% 60% Single to CF
b3 0-1 2 1-- O DET L. Parrish S. Davis 3% 63% Groundout: SS-2B/Forceout at 2B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 1, Tigers 0.
Top of the 4th, Orioles Batting, Ahead 1-0, Tigers' Jerry Ujdur facing 5-6-7
t4 1-0 0 --- R BAL C. Ripken J. Ujdur 11% 73% Home Run
t4 2-0 0 --- R BAL J. Nolan J. Ujdur 8% 82% Home Run
t4 3-0 0 --- O BAL G. Roenicke J. Ujdur -1% 81% Groundout: 2B-1B
t4 3-0 1 --- O BAL F. Rayford J. Ujdur -1% 80% Strikeout
t4 3-0 2 --- O BAL R. Dauer J. Ujdur -1% 79% Foul Flyball: RF
2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 3, Tigers 0.
Bottom of the 4th, Tigers Batting, Behind 0-3, Orioles' Storm Davis facing 5-6-7
b4 0-3 0 --- DET R. Hebner S. Davis -4% 75% Walk
b4 0-3 0 1-- O DET J. Turner S. Davis 4% 79% Groundout: 1B-SS/Forceout at 2B
b4 0-3 1 1-- OO DET L. Whitaker S. Davis 5% 84% Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 3, Tigers 0.
Top of the 5th, Orioles Batting, Ahead 3-0, Tigers' Jerry Ujdur facing 1-2-3
t5 3-0 0 --- BAL A. Bumbry J. Ujdur 2% 86% Single to LF
t5 3-0 0 1-- O BAL D. Ford J. Ujdur -2% 84% Flyball: CF
t5 3-0 1 1-- R BAL K. Singleton J. Ujdur 7% 91% Double to LF; Bumbry Scores
Aurelio Lopez replaces Jerry Ujdur pitching
t5 4-0 1 -2- BAL E. Murray A. Lopez 1% 91% Intentional Walk
t5 4-0 1 12- OO BAL C. Ripken A. Lopez -3% 88% Double Play: Flyball: 2B-1B
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 4, Tigers 0.
Bottom of the 5th, Tigers Batting, Behind 0-4, Orioles' Storm Davis facing 8-9-1
b5 0-4 0 --- O DET T. Brookens S. Davis 2% 90% Flyball: RF
b5 0-4 1 --- O DET A. Trammell S. Davis 1% 91% Groundout: SS-1B
b5 0-4 2 --- O DET L. Jones S. Davis 1% 92% Flyball: CF
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 4, Tigers 0.
Top of the 6th, Orioles Batting, Ahead 4-0, Tigers' Aurelio Lopez facing 6-7-8
t6 4-0 0 --- BAL J. Nolan A. Lopez 1% 93% Single to LF
t6 4-0 0 1-- O BAL G. Roenicke A. Lopez -1% 92% Popfly: 1B
t6 4-0 1 1-- RR BAL F. Rayford A. Lopez 5% 97% Home Run; Nolan Scores
t6 6-0 1 --- BAL R. Dauer A. Lopez 0% 97% Single to LF
t6 6-0 1 1-- O BAL A. Bumbry A. Lopez -0% 97% Groundout: P unassisted; Dauer to 2B
t6 6-0 2 -2- RR BAL D. Ford A. Lopez 2% 99% Home Run (LF-CF); Dauer Scores
Kevin Saucier replaces Aurelio Lopez pitching
t6 8-0 2 --- BAL K. Singleton K. Saucier 0% 99% Walk
t6 8-0 2 1-- O BAL E. Murray K. Saucier -0% 99% Foul Flyball: 1B
4 runs, 4 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 8, Tigers 0.
Bottom of the 6th, Tigers Batting, Behind 0-8, Orioles' Storm Davis facing 2-3-4
b6 0-8 0 --- R DET R. Leach S. Davis -1% 98% Home Run
b6 1-8 0 --- DET C. Lemon S. Davis -1% 97% Double to LF
b6 1-8 0 -2- O DET L. Parrish S. Davis 1% 98% Popfly: 2B
b6 1-8 1 -2- O DET R. Hebner S. Davis 1% 99% Groundout: 2B-1B
b6 1-8 2 -2- O DET J. Turner S. Davis 0% 99% Popfly: SS
1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 8, Tigers 1.
Top of the 7th, Orioles Batting, Ahead 8-1, Tigers' Kevin Saucier facing 5-6-7
Bill Fahey replaces Lance Parrish playing C batting 4th
t7 8-1 0 --- BAL C. Ripken K. Saucier 0% 99% Single to RF
t7 8-1 0 1-- OO BAL J. Nolan K. Saucier -0% 99% Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B
t7 8-1 2 --- O BAL G. Roenicke K. Saucier -0% 99% Popfly: 2B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 8, Tigers 1.
Bottom of the 7th, Tigers Batting, Behind 1-8, Orioles' Storm Davis facing 7-8-9
b7 1-8 0 --- DET L. Whitaker S. Davis -1% 98% Single to CF
b7 1-8 0 1-- DET T. Brookens S. Davis -2% 97% Single to RF; Whitaker to 3B
b7 1-8 0 1-3 RO DET A. Trammell S. Davis 1% 98% Flyball: LF/Sacrifice Fly; Whitaker Scores
b7 2-8 1 1-- O DET L. Jones S. Davis 1% 99% Flyball: RF
Ross Grimsley replaces Storm Davis pitching
b7 2-8 2 1-- DET R. Leach R. Grimsley -1% 98% Walk; Brookens to 2B
b7 2-8 2 12- R DET C. Lemon R. Grimsley -2% 97% Single to LF; Brookens Scores; Leach to 2B
Don Stanhouse replaces Ross Grimsley pitching
John Wockenfuss pinch hits for Bill Fahey (C) batting 4th
b7 3-8 2 12- DET J. Wockenfuss D. Stanhouse -2% 95% Walk; Leach to 3B; Lemon to 2B
b7 3-8 2 123 O DET R. Hebner D. Stanhouse 4% 98% Flyball: CF
2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 3 LOB. Orioles 8, Tigers 3.
Top of the 8th, Orioles Batting, Ahead 8-3, Tigers' Kevin Saucier facing 8-9-1
John Wockenfuss moves from PH to C
t8 8-3 0 --- O BAL F. Rayford K. Saucier -0% 98% Groundout: 3B-1B
t8 8-3 1 --- BAL R. Dauer K. Saucier 0% 98% Walk
t8 8-3 1 1-- BAL A. Bumbry K. Saucier 0% 99% Walk; Dauer to 2B
t8 8-3 1 12- OO BAL D. Ford K. Saucier -1% 98% Line Drive Double Play: 2B-SS
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 8, Tigers 3.
Bottom of the 8th, Tigers Batting, Behind 3-8, Orioles' Don Stanhouse facing 6-7-8
b8 3-8 0 --- O DET J. Turner D. Stanhouse 1% 99% Flyball: RF
b8 3-8 1 --- O DET L. Whitaker D. Stanhouse 0% 99% Groundout: 2B-1B
b8 3-8 2 --- DET T. Brookens D. Stanhouse -0% 99% Single to RF
b8 3-8 2 1-- O DET A. Trammell D. Stanhouse 1% 99% Groundout: 3B-1B
0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Orioles 8, Tigers 3.
Top of the 9th, Orioles Batting, Ahead 8-3, Tigers' Elias Sosa facing 3-4-5
Elias Sosa replaces Kevin Saucier pitching
t9 8-3 0 --- O BAL K. Singleton E. Sosa -0% 99% Groundout: SS-1B
t9 8-3 1 --- O BAL E. Murray E. Sosa -0% 99% Groundout: 1B-P
t9 8-3 2 --- O BAL C. Ripken E. Sosa -0% 99% Groundout: SS-1B
0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Orioles 8, Tigers 3.
Bottom of the 9th, Tigers Batting, Behind 3-8, Orioles' Don Stanhouse facing 1-2-3
b9 3-8 0 --- DET L. Jones D. Stanhouse -1% 98% Single to LF
b9 3-8 0 1-- O DET R. Leach D. Stanhouse 1% 99% Lineout: 1B
b9 3-8 1 1-- O DET C. Lemon D. Stanhouse 1% 100% Popfly: 2B
b9 3-8 2 1-- DET J. Wockenfuss D. Stanhouse -0% 100% Single to 3B; Jones to 2B
Tippy Martinez replaces Don Stanhouse pitching
Larry Herndon pinch hits for Richie Hebner (DH) batting 5th
b9 3-8 2 12- O DET L. Herndon T. Martinez 0% 100% Strikeout
0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Orioles 8, Tigers 3.

Retrosheet.org Boxscore:DET198207030
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Play-by-Play Explanation

  • Score- The score from the perspective of the batting team.
  • RoB- This gives the baserunner (Runners on Base) configuration at the start of the play. "1-3" would mean runners on first and third. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
  • Pit- When available, the number of pitches in this plate appearance. Clicking on this number will show the sequence of pitches thrown including, when available, things like runner going, ball blocked, attempted pickoffs and the like. We believe this data to be as accurate as humanly possible, but there are going to be some errors in the data, so please take it with a grain of salt. Clicking on this will show the defensive players and baserunners on the field for this play.
  • R/O- This has a "O" for every out on the play and an "R" for every run that scored on the play. Some plays will have both in no particular order.
  • Batter- The batter at the plate when this play occurred. If the play is a baserunning event, then the batter's name will be repeated as indicated by quotes.
  • Pitcher- The pitcher on the mound when this play occurred.
  • wWPA- Winning Team's Win Probability Added. The amount that this play increased or decreased the eventual winning team's probability of winning the game. More About Win Probability Added
  • wWE- Winning Team's Win Expectancy. The probability of the eventual winning team winning the game prior to this play given two average teams playing each other. More About Win Probability Added
  • Play Detail- This is an explanation of the play that occurred. In some cases, batted ball location and type will be indicated within parentheses. Again, these are best efforts to the record the game as it happened. Also, plays made on the baserunners (including the batter as a baserunner) will be indicated in parentheses after the baserunner's name. Advancement of baserunners is given in cases where the advancement is not easily deduced or obvious from the play. For example, advancement for a walk will not be given, but for a single or double it will be given.

Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.

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In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.

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