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Great American Ballpark, Attendance: 32,538 |
Saturday, June 30, 2007, 7:11PM Time of Game: 2:45 |
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Cardinals
1
35-42
Lost 1
3rd, 10½ GB
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Cardinals 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1
Reds 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 X 5 7 0
W: Kyle Lohse (4-10), L: Adam Wainwright (6-7) |
Reds
5
31-50
Won 1
6th, 16½ GB
|
St. Louis Cardinals AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details A Miles SS 3 0 1 0 0 1 .310 .698 16 10 2 1 HBP S Schumaker CF 4 0 0 0 0 2 .196 .478 13 12 0 0 GDP K Wells P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .346 .846 0 0 A Pujols 1B 2 0 1 0 2 0 .306 .943 17 6 9 0 C Duncan LF 3 0 0 0 1 3 .269 .868 25 14 2 0 S Rolen 3B 3 1 0 0 0 0 .261 .717 9 6 1 1 HBP J Encarnacion RF 4 0 0 0 0 2 .263 .735 14 10 2 0 A Kennedy 2B 4 0 1 0 0 0 .212 .532 16 11 1 4 Y Molina C 3 0 2 1 0 0 .289 .700 14 10 6 1 SF A Wainwright P 2 0 0 0 0 1 .280 .693 9 6 0 2 R Springer P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 R Ludwick PH-CF 2 0 0 0 0 0 .222 .639 6 5 1 0 Totals 30 1 5 0 3 9 139 90 24 9
Cincinnati Reds AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details S Hatteberg 1B 4 0 2 0 0 0 .300 .860 12 6 7 0 2·2B B Phillips 2B 3 0 0 0 0 0 .269 .780 12 9 2 4 CS,SH K Griffey RF 1 1 0 0 3 0 .289 .952 28 12 4 0 A Dunn LF 4 1 1 0 0 0 .267 .925 19 11 1 0 N Hopper LF 0 0 0 0 0 0 .262 .649 0 0 E Encarnacion 3B 3 1 1 0 1 0 .272 .740 11 5 1 0 2B D Weathers P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 J Hamilton CF 3 1 1 1 1 2 .273 .902 18 9 1 0 A Gonzalez SS 3 0 0 1 0 2 .255 .762 17 11 2 1 HBP D Ross C 4 1 2 2 0 1 .201 .656 12 9 9 0 HR K Lohse P 2 0 0 1 0 1 .192 .407 9 6 0 1 SF M Gosling P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 J Castro 3B 1 0 0 0 0 0 .167 .417 2 2 0 1 GDP Totals 28 5 7 0 5 6 140 80 27 7
St. Louis Cardinals IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA A Wainwright, L (6-7) 5 5 5 5 4 3 1 4.81 24 91-50 33· 5·12 9· 8· 1· 0 36 - 1.08 -0.18 R Springer 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 3.07 4 12-7 3· 3· 1 1· 1· 0· 0 3-2 0.66 -0.01 K Wells 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 6.30 8 31-20 14· 4· 2 2· 3· 0· 0 0-0 0.12 0.01 Totals 8 7 5 5 5 6 1 36 134-77 50·12·15 12·12· 1· 0 3-2
Cincinnati Reds IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA K Lohse, W (4-10) 7 5 1 1 3 8 0 4.77 30 112-72 41·11·20 6·11· 6· 0 68 - 1.08 0.25 M Gosling 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 8.31 1 5-4 1· 1· 2 0· 0· 0· 0 1-0 1.04 0.03 D Weathers 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.18 5 20-14 10· 1· 3 3· 2· 0· 0 1-0 0.33 0.04 Totals 9 5 1 1 3 9 0 36 137-90 52·13·25 9·13· 6· 0 2-0
St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds 1. Aaron Miles SS 1. Scott Hatteberg 1B 2. Skip Schumaker CF 2. Brandon Phillips 2B 3. Albert Pujols 1B 3. Ken Griffey RF 4. Chris Duncan LF 4. Adam Dunn LF 5. Scott Rolen 3B 5. Edwin Encarnacion 3B 6. Juan Encarnacion RF 6. Josh Hamilton CF 7. Adam Kennedy 2B 7. Alex Gonzalez SS 8. Yadier Molina C 8. Dave Ross C 9. Adam Wainwright P 9. Kyle Lohse P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b5 | 1 | 1-- | RR | 3,(1-1) | 25% | 68% | 0-1 | CIN | D. Ross | A. Wainwright | Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF Line); Hamilton Scores |
| b6 | 0 | 1-- | 5,(2-2) | 8% | 85% | 2-1 | CIN | A. Dunn | A. Wainwright | Single to CF (Line Drive to Short CF); Griffey to 3B | |
| t1 | 0 | 1-- | OO | 1,(0-0) | 7% | 54% | 0-0 | STL | S. Schumaker | K. Lohse | Ground Ball Double Play: SS-2B-1B (Weak SS) |
| t6 | 1 | 12- | O | 2,(1-0) | 7% | 67% | 1-2 | STL | S. Rolen | K. Lohse | Foul Flyball: RF (RF Foul) |
| t6 | 2 | 12- | O | 4,(1-2) | 7% | 74% | 1-2 | STL | J. Encarnacion | K. Lohse | Strikeout Swinging |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Cardinals Batting, Tied 0-0, Reds' Kyle Lohse facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | 5,(2-2) | -3% | 47% | 0-0 | STL | A. Miles | K. Lohse | Single to RF (Ground Ball) | |
| t1 | 0 | 1-- | OO | 1,(0-0) | 7% | 54% | 0-0 | STL | S. Schumaker | K. Lohse | Ground Ball Double Play: SS-2B-1B (Weak SS) |
| t1 | 2 | --- | 7,(3-2) | -1% | 53% | 0-0 | STL | A. Pujols | K. Lohse | Single to RF (Line Drive to Short RF) | |
| t1 | 2 | 1-- | O | 7,(2-2) | 2% | 55% | 0-0 | STL | C. Duncan | K. Lohse | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 0, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Reds Batting, Tied 0-0, Cardinals' Adam Wainwright facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | 3,(1-1) | 6% | 61% | 0-0 | CIN | S. Hatteberg | A. Wainwright | Double to LF (Fly Ball to Deep LF) | |
| b1 | 0 | -2- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 59% | 0-0 | CIN | B. Phillips | A. Wainwright | Bunt Groundout: P-1B/Sacrifice (Front of Home); Hatteberg to 3B |
| b1 | 1 | --3 | 4,(3-0) | 2% | 61% | 0-0 | CIN | K. Griffey | A. Wainwright | Walk | |
| b1 | 1 | 1-3 | O | 2,(1-0) | -6% | 55% | 0-0 | CIN | A. Dunn | A. Wainwright | Popfly: 3B (Weak SS) |
| b1 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 1,(0-0) | -5% | 50% | 0-0 | CIN | E. Encarnacion | A. Wainwright | Groundout: SS-1B (Weak SS-2B) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cardinals 0, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Cardinals Batting, Tied 0-0, Reds' Kyle Lohse facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | 4,(1-2) | -4% | 46% | 0-0 | STL | S. Rolen | K. Lohse | Hit By Pitch | |
| t2 | 0 | 1-- | O | 3,(0-2) | 3% | 50% | 0-0 | STL | J. Encarnacion | K. Lohse | Strikeout Looking |
| t2 | 1 | 1-- | 4,(1-2) | -6% | 43% | 0-0 | STL | A. Kennedy | K. Lohse | Single to RF (Ground Ball); Rolen to 3B | |
| t2 | 1 | 1-3 | RO | 3,(1-1) | -1% | 43% | 0-0 | STL | Y. Molina | K. Lohse | Lineout: CF/Sacrifice Fly (Deep CF); Rolen Scores |
| t2 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3,(1-1) | 2% | 45% | 1-0 | STL | A. Wainwright | K. Lohse | Lineout: 2B |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Reds Batting, Behind 0-1, Cardinals' Adam Wainwright facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -3% | 42% | 0-1 | CIN | J. Hamilton | A. Wainwright | Strikeout Swinging |
| b2 | 1 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | -2% | 41% | 0-1 | CIN | A. Gonzalez | A. Wainwright | Flyball: LF |
| b2 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 39% | 0-1 | CIN | D. Ross | A. Wainwright | Popfly: SS (Deep SS-3B Hole) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 1-0, Reds' Kyle Lohse facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 2% | 42% | 1-0 | STL | A. Miles | K. Lohse | Flyball: LF |
| t3 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | 1% | 43% | 1-0 | STL | S. Schumaker | K. Lohse | Popfly: 3B (Weak SS-2B) |
| t3 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 44% | 1-0 | STL | A. Pujols | K. Lohse | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Reds Batting, Behind 0-1, Cardinals' Adam Wainwright facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | -3% | 41% | 0-1 | CIN | K. Lohse | A. Wainwright | Strikeout Swinging |
| b3 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(2-0) | -2% | 40% | 0-1 | CIN | S. Hatteberg | A. Wainwright | Groundout: P-1B |
| b3 | 2 | --- | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 41% | 0-1 | CIN | B. Phillips | A. Wainwright | Reached on E6 (Ground Ball to Weak SS) | |
| b3 | 2 | 1-- | O | 6,(2-2) | -3% | 38% | 0-1 | CIN | K. Griffey | A. Wainwright | Phillips Caught Stealing 2B (C-SS) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 1 error, 0 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 1-0, Reds' Kyle Lohse facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 2% | 41% | 1-0 | STL | C. Duncan | K. Lohse | Strikeout Looking |
| t4 | 1 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 2% | 42% | 1-0 | STL | S. Rolen | K. Lohse | Groundout: 2B-1B (2B-1B) |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 1% | 44% | 1-0 | STL | J. Encarnacion | K. Lohse | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Reds Batting, Behind 0-1, Cardinals' Adam Wainwright facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -3% | 40% | 0-1 | CIN | K. Griffey | A. Wainwright | Flyball: RF |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | 7,(3-2) | -2% | 38% | 0-1 | CIN | A. Dunn | A. Wainwright | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| b4 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 37% | 0-1 | CIN | E. Encarnacion | A. Wainwright | Groundout: 2B-1B (SS-2B) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Cardinals Batting, Ahead 1-0, Reds' Kyle Lohse facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 39% | 1-0 | STL | A. Kennedy | K. Lohse | Groundout: P-1B |
| t5 | 1 | --- | 1,(0-0) | -3% | 37% | 1-0 | STL | Y. Molina | K. Lohse | Single to LF (Line Drive to Short LF-CF) | |
| t5 | 1 | 1-- | O | 6,(2-2) | 3% | 40% | 1-0 | STL | A. Wainwright | K. Lohse | Strikeout Swinging |
| t5 | 2 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | 3% | 42% | 1-0 | STL | A. Miles | K. Lohse | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Reds Batting, Behind 0-1, Cardinals' Adam Wainwright facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | 6,(3-2) | 5% | 48% | 0-1 | CIN | J. Hamilton | A. Wainwright | Single to SS (Ground Ball to SS-2B) | |
| b5 | 0 | 1-- | O | 5,(1-2) | -5% | 43% | 0-1 | CIN | A. Gonzalez | A. Wainwright | Strikeout Swinging |
| b5 | 1 | 1-- | RR | 3,(1-1) | 25% | 68% | 0-1 | CIN | D. Ross | A. Wainwright | Home Run (Fly Ball to Deep LF Line); Hamilton Scores |
| b5 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 67% | 2-1 | CIN | K. Lohse | A. Wainwright | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| b5 | 2 | --- | 4,(2-1) | 2% | 69% | 2-1 | CIN | S. Hatteberg | A. Wainwright | Ground-rule Double (Fly Ball to Deep CF-RF) | |
| b5 | 2 | -2- | O | 6,(2-2) | -4% | 65% | 2-1 | CIN | B. Phillips | A. Wainwright | Groundout: 1B unassisted (2B-1B) |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Cardinals Batting, Behind 1-2, Reds' Kyle Lohse facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | 4% | 69% | 1-2 | STL | S. Schumaker | K. Lohse | Strikeout Looking |
| t6 | 1 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -4% | 65% | 1-2 | STL | A. Pujols | K. Lohse | Walk | |
| t6 | 1 | 1-- | 2,(1-0) | -2% | 63% | 1-2 | STL | C. Duncan | K. Lohse | Wild Pitch; Pujols to 2B | |
| t6 | 1 | -2- | 6,(3-2) | -3% | 59% | 1-2 | STL | C. Duncan | K. Lohse | Walk | |
| t6 | 1 | 12- | O | 2,(1-0) | 7% | 67% | 1-2 | STL | S. Rolen | K. Lohse | Foul Flyball: RF (RF Foul) |
| t6 | 2 | 12- | O | 4,(1-2) | 7% | 74% | 1-2 | STL | J. Encarnacion | K. Lohse | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Reds Batting, Ahead 2-1, Cardinals' Adam Wainwright facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | 8,(3-2) | 3% | 77% | 2-1 | CIN | K. Griffey | A. Wainwright | Walk | |
| b6 | 0 | 1-- | 5,(2-2) | 8% | 85% | 2-1 | CIN | A. Dunn | A. Wainwright | Single to CF (Line Drive to Short CF); Griffey to 3B | |
| b6 | 0 | 1-3 | 6,(3-2) | 2% | 87% | 2-1 | CIN | E. Encarnacion | A. Wainwright | Walk; Dunn to 2B | |
| b6 | 0 | 123 | R | 4,(3-0) | 5% | 93% | 2-1 | CIN | J. Hamilton | A. Wainwright | Walk; Griffey Scores; Dunn to 3B; Encarnacion to 2B |
| Russ Springer replaces Adam Wainwright pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | 123 | R | 3,(0-2) | 3% | 96% | 3-1 | CIN | A. Gonzalez | R. Springer | Hit By Pitch; Dunn Scores; Encarnacion to 3B; Hamilton to 2B |
| b6 | 0 | 123 | O | 5,(2-2) | -2% | 94% | 4-1 | CIN | D. Ross | R. Springer | Strikeout Swinging |
| b6 | 1 | 123 | RO | 2,(1-0) | 1% | 95% | 4-1 | CIN | K. Lohse | R. Springer | Flyball: RF/Sacrifice Fly; Encarnacion Scores; Hamilton to 3B |
| b6 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 2,(1-0) | -1% | 94% | 5-1 | CIN | S. Hatteberg | R. Springer | Groundout: 1B unassisted (2B-1B) |
| 3 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Cardinals Batting, Behind 1-5, Reds' Kyle Lohse facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | 2% | 95% | 1-5 | STL | A. Kennedy | K. Lohse | Groundout: 1B unassisted (2B-1B) |
| t7 | 1 | --- | 4,(1-2) | -2% | 93% | 1-5 | STL | Y. Molina | K. Lohse | Single to LF (Line Drive to Short LF) | |
| Ryan Ludwick pinch hits for Russ Springer (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 1 | 1-- | O | 4,(0-2) | 2% | 95% | 1-5 | STL | R. Ludwick | K. Lohse | Lineout: SS (Weak SS) |
| t7 | 2 | 1-- | 5,(2-2) | -1% | 94% | 1-5 | STL | A. Miles | K. Lohse | Hit By Pitch; Molina to 2B | |
| t7 | 2 | 12- | O | 4,(0-2) | 3% | 97% | 1-5 | STL | S. Schumaker | K. Lohse | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Reds Batting, Ahead 5-1, Cardinals' Kip Wells facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| Kip Wells replaces Skip Schumaker (CF) pitching and batting 2nd; Ryan Ludwick moves from PH to CF | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -0% | 96% | 5-1 | CIN | B. Phillips | K. Wells | Flyball: CF (Deep CF-RF) |
| b7 | 1 | --- | 6,(3-2) | 0% | 97% | 5-1 | CIN | K. Griffey | K. Wells | Walk | |
| b7 | 1 | 1-- | O | 5,(2-2) | -0% | 96% | 5-1 | CIN | A. Dunn | K. Wells | Flyball: LF (LF-CF) |
| b7 | 2 | 1-- | 3,(2-0) | 0% | 97% | 5-1 | CIN | E. Encarnacion | K. Wells | Double to LF (Fly Ball to Deep LF-CF); Griffey to 3B | |
| b7 | 2 | -23 | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 96% | 5-1 | CIN | J. Hamilton | K. Wells | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Cardinals Batting, Behind 1-5, Reds' Kyle Lohse facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| Norris Hopper replaces Adam Dunn playing LF batting 4th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | 4,(3-0) | -3% | 94% | 1-5 | STL | A. Pujols | K. Lohse | Walk | |
| Mike Gosling replaces Kyle Lohse pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | 1-- | O | 5,(1-2) | 2% | 96% | 1-5 | STL | C. Duncan | M. Gosling | Strikeout Looking |
| Dave Weathers replaces Edwin Encarnacion (3B) pitching and batting 5th; Juan Castro replaces Mike Gosling (P) playing 3B batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 1 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | 2% | 98% | 1-5 | STL | S. Rolen | D. Weathers | Flyball: RF (CF-RF) |
| t8 | 2 | 1-- | O | 5,(2-2) | 1% | 99% | 1-5 | STL | J. Encarnacion | D. Weathers | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Reds Batting, Ahead 5-1, Cardinals' Kip Wells facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -0% | 99% | 5-1 | CIN | A. Gonzalez | K. Wells | Strikeout Swinging |
| b8 | 1 | --- | 3,(0-2) | 0% | 99% | 5-1 | CIN | D. Ross | K. Wells | Single to LF (Ground Ball thru Weak 3B) | |
| b8 | 1 | 1-- | OO | 2,(0-1) | -0% | 98% | 5-1 | CIN | J. Castro | K. Wells | Ground Ball Double Play: 3B-2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Cardinals Batting, Behind 1-5, Reds' Dave Weathers facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | 1% | 99% | 1-5 | STL | A. Kennedy | D. Weathers | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t9 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | 0% | 100% | 1-5 | STL | Y. Molina | D. Weathers | Popfly: SS (Deep SS) |
| t9 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 0% | 100% | 1-5 | STL | R. Ludwick | D. Weathers | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Cardinals 1, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:CIN200706300
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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