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Great American Ballpark, Attendance: 25,762 |
Sunday, April 17, 2005, 1:16PM Time of Game: 2:26 |
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Astros
5
5-6
Lost 2
4th, 1½ GB
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Astros 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 5 9 0
Reds 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 X 6 7 0
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Reds
6
6-5
Won 2
2nd, ½ GB
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Houston Astros AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details C Burke 2B 4 0 1 1 1 2 .238 .542 19 13 0 4 CS J Vizcaino SS 4 1 2 0 0 0 .500 1.431 18 12 2 2 2B J Bagwell 1B 3 1 1 1 1 2 .275 .850 16 8 10 0 M Lamb LF 4 0 0 0 0 2 .167 .619 22 17 1 0 W Taveras CF 0 0 0 0 0 0 .314 .775 1 0 M Ensberg 3B 4 0 0 0 0 3 .324 .891 18 13 1 0 GDP J Lane CF-RF 4 1 2 2 0 0 .326 1.058 12 10 2 0 HR,2B E Bruntlett PR 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 0 0 L Scott RF-LF 3 1 0 0 1 1 .231 .618 15 8 0 0 R Chavez C 4 1 1 1 0 1 .333 .833 9 8 7 2 2B B Duckworth P 2 0 1 0 0 0 .500 1.500 12 7 0 0 2B R Springer P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 O Palmeiro PH 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333 1.333 0 0 C Biggio PH 1 0 1 0 0 0 .366 1.008 1 1 0 0 C Qualls P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 A Everett PH 0 0 0 0 1 0 .150 .496 6 0 0 Totals 33 5 9 0 4 11 148 97 24 8
Cincinnati Reds AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details D Jimenez 2B 4 0 0 0 0 2 .216 .536 13 11 2 1 K Griffey CF 3 0 0 0 1 0 .257 .705 14 8 2 0 S Casey 1B 4 1 1 0 0 1 .267 .565 13 9 3 0 J Randa 3B 3 3 2 2 1 0 .385 1.247 20 10 2 0 HR A Dunn LF 3 1 1 0 0 0 .200 .796 17 8 3 0 2B,HBP W Pena RF 4 1 2 4 0 2 .348 1.217 9 8 2 0 HR,2B F Lopez SS 4 0 0 0 0 2 .286 .732 12 10 2 2 J LaRue C 3 0 1 0 0 1 .310 .789 11 6 11 1 A Harang P 2 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 7 6 0 1 J Valentine P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 K Mercker P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 J Cruz PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .200 .533 2 1 0 0 R Wagner P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 D Graves P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Totals 31 6 7 0 2 8 118 77 27 5
Houston Astros IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA B Duckworth 5 4 5 5 2 3 2 9.00 22 80-49 27· 4·18 7· 9· 1· 0 40 - 0.72 -0.38 R Springer 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 5.79 4 12-9 3· 2· 4 1· 1· 1· 0 0-0 0.72 0.03 C Qualls, L (1-1) 2 2 1 1 0 3 0 2.35 8 26-19 8· 2· 9 3· 2· 1· 0 0-0 1.48 -0.14 Totals 8 7 6 6 2 8 2 34 118-77 38· 8·31 11·12· 3· 0 -
Cincinnati Reds IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA A Harang 6 5 3 3 2 8 1 3.93 23 94-64 33·11·20 3·10· 4· 0 56 - 1.18 -0.03 J Valentine, H (1) 0.1 1 2 2 1 0 0 4.15 3 12-6 3· 2· 1 0· 2· 0· 0 0-0 1.39 -0.16 K Mercker, BS (1) 0.2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2.25 3 12-9 7· 1· 1 2· 1· 0· 0 1-1 2.94 -0.07 R Wagner, W (1-1) 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 1.29 3 17-11 2· 5· 4 0· 0· 0· 0 0-0 1.44 0.11 D Graves, S (4) 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 3.38 5 11-7 6· 1· 0 0· 4· 0· 0 0-0 4.20 0.16 Totals 9 9 5 5 4 11 1 37 146-97 51·20·26 5·17· 4· 0 1-1
Houston Astros Cincinnati Reds 1. Chris Burke 2B 1. D'Angelo Jimenez 2B 2. Jose Vizcaino SS 2. Ken Griffey CF 3. Jeff Bagwell 1B 3. Sean Casey 1B 4. Mike Lamb LF 4. Joe Randa 3B 5. Morgan Ensberg 3B 5. Adam Dunn LF 6. Jason Lane CF 6. Wily Mo Pena RF 7. Luke Scott RF 7. Felipe Lopez SS 8. Raul Chavez C 8. Jason LaRue C 9. Brandon Duckworth P 9. Aaron Harang P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b8 | 2 | 1-- | R | 1,(0-0) | 31% | 86% | 5-5 | CIN | W. Pena | C. Qualls | Double to CF (Line Drive to Deep CF-RF); Randa Scores |
| b4 | 1 | 12- | RRR | 2,(1-0) | 30% | 77% | 2-3 | CIN | W. Pena | B. Duckworth | Home Run (Fly Ball to LF-CF); Randa Scores; Dunn Scores |
| t4 | 2 | 1-- | RR | 2,(0-1) | -24% | 41% | 1-2 | HOU | J. Lane | A. Harang | Home Run (Fly Ball to CF-RF); Bagwell Scores |
| t9 | 0 | --- | 2,(0-1) | -20% | 64% | 5-6 | HOU | J. Lane | D. Graves | Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep CF) | |
| b1 | 2 | 1-- | RR | 4,(2-1) | 19% | 71% | 0-0 | CIN | J. Randa | B. Duckworth | Home Run (Fly Ball to LF-CF); Casey Scores |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Astros Batting, Tied 0-0, Reds' Aaron Harang facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -3% | 47% | 0-0 | HOU | C. Burke | A. Harang | Walk | |
| t1 | 0 | 1-- | 2,(0-1) | -6% | 41% | 0-0 | HOU | J. Vizcaino | A. Harang | Single to LF (Line Drive); Burke to 2B | |
| t1 | 0 | 12- | O | 4,(1-2) | 5% | 46% | 0-0 | HOU | J. Bagwell | A. Harang | Strikeout Looking |
| t1 | 1 | 12- | OO | 10,(3-2) | 9% | 55% | 0-0 | HOU | M. Lamb | A. Harang | Double Play: Strikeout Swinging, Burke Caught Stealing 3B (C-3B) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 0, Reds 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Reds Batting, Tied 0-0, Astros' Brandon Duckworth facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -2% | 53% | 0-0 | CIN | D. Jimenez | B. Duckworth | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| b1 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -2% | 51% | 0-0 | CIN | K. Griffey | B. Duckworth | Groundout: C-1B (Front of Home) |
| b1 | 2 | --- | 7,(3-2) | 1% | 52% | 0-0 | CIN | S. Casey | B. Duckworth | Single to RF (Ground Ball) | |
| b1 | 2 | 1-- | RR | 4,(2-1) | 19% | 71% | 0-0 | CIN | J. Randa | B. Duckworth | Home Run (Fly Ball to LF-CF); Casey Scores |
| b1 | 2 | --- | O | 7,(3-2) | -1% | 70% | 2-0 | CIN | A. Dunn | B. Duckworth | Groundout: 1B unassisted |
| 2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Reds 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Reds' Aaron Harang facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 2% | 72% | 0-2 | HOU | M. Ensberg | A. Harang | Strikeout Swinging |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 2% | 74% | 0-2 | HOU | J. Lane | A. Harang | Flyball: RF (Deep RF) |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | 1% | 75% | 0-2 | HOU | L. Scott | A. Harang | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Reds 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Reds Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Brandon Duckworth facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -2% | 73% | 2-0 | CIN | W. Pena | B. Duckworth | Strikeout Swinging |
| b2 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -1% | 72% | 2-0 | CIN | F. Lopez | B. Duckworth | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b2 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | -1% | 71% | 2-0 | CIN | J. LaRue | B. Duckworth | Popfly: SS |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Reds 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Reds' Aaron Harang facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | 3% | 74% | 0-2 | HOU | R. Chavez | A. Harang | Strikeout Looking |
| t3 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | 2% | 76% | 0-2 | HOU | B. Duckworth | A. Harang | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t3 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 1% | 77% | 0-2 | HOU | C. Burke | A. Harang | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Reds 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Reds Batting, Ahead 2-0, Astros' Brandon Duckworth facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 75% | 2-0 | CIN | A. Harang | B. Duckworth | Groundout: SS-1B |
| b3 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | -1% | 74% | 2-0 | CIN | D. Jimenez | B. Duckworth | Flyball: LF (Short LF-CF) |
| b3 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 73% | 2-0 | CIN | K. Griffey | B. Duckworth | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 0, Reds 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Astros Batting, Behind 0-2, Reds' Aaron Harang facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | 6,(3-2) | -7% | 66% | 0-2 | HOU | J. Vizcaino | A. Harang | Double to RF (Line Drive to Deep CF-RF) | |
| t4 | 0 | -2- | R | 2,(1-0) | -8% | 58% | 0-2 | HOU | J. Bagwell | A. Harang | Single to LF (Ground Ball thru LF Line); Vizcaino Scores |
| t4 | 0 | 1-- | O | 3,(0-2) | 4% | 62% | 1-2 | HOU | M. Lamb | A. Harang | Foul Popfly: 3B (3B Foul) |
| t4 | 1 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | 4% | 66% | 1-2 | HOU | M. Ensberg | A. Harang | Strikeout Looking |
| t4 | 2 | 1-- | RR | 2,(0-1) | -24% | 41% | 1-2 | HOU | J. Lane | A. Harang | Home Run (Fly Ball to CF-RF); Bagwell Scores |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 1% | 43% | 3-2 | HOU | L. Scott | A. Harang | Popfly: SS |
| 3 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 3, Reds 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Reds Batting, Behind 2-3, Astros' Brandon Duckworth facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -3% | 40% | 2-3 | CIN | S. Casey | B. Duckworth | Popfly: SS (Short LF) |
| b4 | 1 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 3% | 43% | 2-3 | CIN | J. Randa | B. Duckworth | Walk | |
| b4 | 1 | 1-- | 1,(0-0) | 5% | 48% | 2-3 | CIN | A. Dunn | B. Duckworth | Hit By Pitch; Randa to 2B | |
| b4 | 1 | 12- | RRR | 2,(1-0) | 30% | 77% | 2-3 | CIN | W. Pena | B. Duckworth | Home Run (Fly Ball to LF-CF); Randa Scores; Dunn Scores |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -1% | 76% | 5-3 | CIN | F. Lopez | B. Duckworth | Strikeout Swinging |
| b4 | 2 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 1% | 77% | 5-3 | CIN | J. LaRue | B. Duckworth | Single to RF (Line Drive) | |
| b4 | 2 | 1-- | O | 5,(1-2) | -2% | 75% | 5-3 | CIN | A. Harang | B. Duckworth | Flyball: CF |
| 3 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 3, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Astros Batting, Behind 3-5, Reds' Aaron Harang facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 78% | 3-5 | HOU | R. Chavez | A. Harang | Lineout: 1B |
| t5 | 1 | --- | 6,(3-2) | -5% | 73% | 3-5 | HOU | B. Duckworth | A. Harang | Ground-rule Double (Fly Ball) | |
| t5 | 1 | -2- | O | 4,(1-2) | 4% | 78% | 3-5 | HOU | C. Burke | A. Harang | Strikeout Swinging |
| t5 | 2 | -2- | O | 2,(0-1) | 4% | 81% | 3-5 | HOU | J. Vizcaino | A. Harang | Flyball: CF |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 3, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Reds Batting, Ahead 5-3, Astros' Brandon Duckworth facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(0-2) | -1% | 80% | 5-3 | CIN | D. Jimenez | B. Duckworth | Strikeout Looking |
| b5 | 1 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 1% | 81% | 5-3 | CIN | K. Griffey | B. Duckworth | Walk | |
| b5 | 1 | 1-- | O | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 80% | 5-3 | CIN | S. Casey | B. Duckworth | Popfly: 3B |
| b5 | 2 | 1-- | O | 6,(3-2) | -2% | 78% | 5-3 | CIN | J. Randa | B. Duckworth | Flyball: CF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 3, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Astros Batting, Behind 3-5, Reds' Aaron Harang facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -5% | 73% | 3-5 | HOU | J. Bagwell | A. Harang | Walk | |
| t6 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | 5% | 78% | 3-5 | HOU | M. Lamb | A. Harang | Lineout: LF |
| t6 | 1 | 1-- | OO | 3,(0-2) | 7% | 85% | 3-5 | HOU | M. Ensberg | A. Harang | Ground Ball Double Play: P-2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 3, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Reds Batting, Ahead 5-3, Astros' Russ Springer facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| Russ Springer replaces Brandon Duckworth pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | 3,(2-0) | 4% | 88% | 5-3 | CIN | A. Dunn | R. Springer | Ground-rule Double (Line Drive to CF-RF) | |
| b6 | 0 | -2- | O | 3,(0-2) | -2% | 86% | 5-3 | CIN | W. Pena | R. Springer | Strikeout Swinging |
| b6 | 1 | -2- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 84% | 5-3 | CIN | F. Lopez | R. Springer | Groundout: 2B-1B; Dunn to 3B |
| b6 | 2 | --3 | O | 4,(1-2) | -3% | 82% | 5-3 | CIN | J. LaRue | R. Springer | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 3, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Astros Batting, Behind 3-5, Reds' Joe Valentine facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Joe Valentine replaces Aaron Harang pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 4% | 85% | 3-5 | HOU | J. Lane | J. Valentine | Flyball: LF |
| t7 | 1 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -4% | 81% | 3-5 | HOU | L. Scott | J. Valentine | Walk | |
| t7 | 1 | 1-- | R | 3,(1-1) | -15% | 66% | 3-5 | HOU | R. Chavez | J. Valentine | Double to LF (Fly Ball to Deep LF); Scott Scores |
| Kent Mercker replaces Joe Valentine pitching and batting 9th; Craig Biggio pinch hits for Orlando Palmeiro batting 9th; Orlando Palmeiro pinch hits for Russ Springer (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t7 | 1 | -2- | 1,(0-0) | -9% | 57% | 4-5 | HOU | C. Biggio | K. Mercker | Single to CF (Ground Ball); Chavez to 3B | |
| t7 | 1 | 1-3 | R | 3,(0-2) | -13% | 44% | 4-5 | HOU | C. Burke | K. Mercker | Single to LF (Ground Ball thru LF-CF); Chavez Scores; Biggio to 2B |
| t7 | 1 | 12- | OO | 8,(3-2) | 15% | 59% | 5-5 | HOU | J. Vizcaino | K. Mercker | Double Play: Popfly: SS; Biggio out at 2B/SS-2B |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 5, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Reds Batting, Tied 5-5, Astros' Chad Qualls facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| Chad Qualls replaces Craig Biggio (PH) pitching and batting 9th; Jacob Cruz pinch hits for Kent Mercker (P) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | -4% | 55% | 5-5 | CIN | J. Cruz | C. Qualls | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -3% | 52% | 5-5 | CIN | D. Jimenez | C. Qualls | Strikeout Swinging |
| b7 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 50% | 5-5 | CIN | K. Griffey | C. Qualls | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 5, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Astros Batting, Tied 5-5, Reds' Ryan Wagner facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| Ryan Wagner replaces Jacob Cruz (PH) pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 5% | 55% | 5-5 | HOU | J. Bagwell | R. Wagner | Strikeout Swinging |
| t8 | 1 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | 4% | 58% | 5-5 | HOU | M. Lamb | R. Wagner | Strikeout Swinging |
| t8 | 2 | --- | O | 7,(3-2) | 3% | 61% | 5-5 | HOU | M. Ensberg | R. Wagner | Strikeout Looking |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Astros 5, Reds 5. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Reds Batting, Tied 5-5, Astros' Chad Qualls facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| Luke Scott moves from RF to LF; Willy Taveras replaces Mike Lamb (LF) playing CF batting 4th; Jason Lane moves from CF to RF | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -5% | 56% | 5-5 | CIN | S. Casey | C. Qualls | Strikeout Swinging |
| b8 | 1 | --- | 5,(1-2) | 5% | 61% | 5-5 | CIN | J. Randa | C. Qualls | Single to CF (Ground Ball) | |
| b8 | 1 | 1-- | O | 6,(3-2) | -6% | 55% | 5-5 | CIN | A. Dunn | C. Qualls | Flyball: CF (Deep CF) |
| b8 | 2 | 1-- | R | 1,(0-0) | 31% | 86% | 5-5 | CIN | W. Pena | C. Qualls | Double to CF (Line Drive to Deep CF-RF); Randa Scores |
| b8 | 2 | -2- | O | 3,(0-2) | -2% | 84% | 6-5 | CIN | F. Lopez | C. Qualls | Strikeout Looking |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Astros 5, Reds 6. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Astros Batting, Behind 5-6, Reds' Danny Graves facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Danny Graves replaces Ryan Wagner pitching and batting 9th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | 2,(0-1) | -20% | 64% | 5-6 | HOU | J. Lane | D. Graves | Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep CF) | |
| t9 | 0 | -2- | O | 1,(0-0) | 13% | 77% | 5-6 | HOU | L. Scott | D. Graves | Flyball: CF |
| t9 | 1 | -2- | O | 1,(0-0) | 11% | 89% | 5-6 | HOU | R. Chavez | D. Graves | Flyball: LF (LF-CF) |
| Adam Everett pinch hits for Chad Qualls (P) batting 9th; Eric Bruntlett pinch runs for Jason Lane (RF) batting 6th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 2 | -2- | 2,(1-0) | -1% | 87% | 5-6 | HOU | A. Everett | D. Graves | Wild Pitch; Bruntlett to 3B | |
| t9 | 2 | --3 | 4,(3-0) | -4% | 84% | 5-6 | HOU | A. Everett | D. Graves | Walk | |
| t9 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 3,(0-2) | 16% | 100% | 5-6 | HOU | C. Burke | D. Graves | Flyball: RF |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Astros 5, Reds 6. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:CIN200504170
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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