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Fenway Park, Attendance: 35,105 |
Tuesday, August 17, 2004, 7:08PM Time of Game: 2:41 |
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Blue Jays
4
49-71
Lost 3
5th, 27 GB
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Blue Jays 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 1
Red Sox 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 5 7 0
W: Keith Foulke (3-3), L: Kevin Frederick (0-2) Winning Run scored with 1 out |
Red Sox
5
66-52
Won 2
2nd, 9 GB
|
Toronto Blue Jays AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details R Johnson RF 4 0 0 0 0 1 .271 .699 17 10 1 0 O Hudson 2B 4 2 2 0 0 1 .267 .773 17 14 6 4 V Wells CF 4 1 2 3 0 0 .283 .809 16 10 2 0 HR,2B C Delgado 1B 4 0 0 0 0 1 .232 .808 14 10 8 0 F Catalanotto DH 3 0 0 0 0 1 .300 .746 11 8 0 0 C Gomez PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .285 .687 3 1 0 0 E Hinske 3B 4 1 2 1 0 0 .253 .695 14 11 0 2 HR G Zaun C 3 0 1 0 0 1 .276 .775 9 6 4 1 K Cash C 1 0 0 0 0 0 .191 .552 6 4 0 0 G Gross LF 4 0 1 0 0 2 .214 .705 12 10 2 0 C Woodward SS 3 0 0 0 0 0 .226 .609 5 3 2 2 T Lilly P 0 0 K Frederick P 0 0 J Speier P 0 0 Totals 35 4 8 0 0 7 124 87 25 9
Boston Red Sox AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details J Damon CF 5 2 1 1 0 0 .301 .845 18 12 4 0 HR O Cabrera SS 4 0 1 1 1 0 .241 .626 16 8 2 2 2B M Ramirez LF 2 0 0 0 1 1 .317 1.022 14 7 2 0 HBP,GDP D Ortiz DH 3 0 0 0 0 2 .309 .993 17 10 0 0 HBP K Millar 1B 3 1 1 0 1 2 .307 .862 28 15 10 1 J Varitek C 4 1 2 1 0 0 .294 .871 14 7 7 0 HR,2B B Mueller 3B 3 1 0 0 1 0 .277 .801 13 6 0 2 G Kapler RF 4 0 1 1 0 0 .281 .734 18 13 1 0 R Gutierrez 2B 3 0 1 1 0 0 .200 .504 5 5 0 4 D Roberts PH 0 0 0 0 1 0 .252 .698 8 4 0 0 P Martinez P 1 0 M Timlin P 0 0 M Myers P 0 0 K Foulke P 0 0 Totals 31 5 7 0 5 5 151 87 27 9
Toronto Blue Jays IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA T Lilly 7 6 4 4 4 5 2 3.88 32 116-67 38·11·18 5·16· 1· 0 50 - 1.19 0.06 K Frederick, L (0-2) 1.1 0 1 1 1 0 0 6.08 5 26-14 8· 3· 3 3· 1· 0· 0 0-0 1.96 0.12 J Speier 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4.50 1 2-2 1· 0· 1 0· 1· 0· 0 1-1 2.97 -0.35 Totals 8.1 7 5 5 5 5 2 38 144-83 47·14·22 8·18· 1· 0 1-1
Boston Red Sox IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA P Martinez 7 8 4 4 0 6 2 3.78 29 106-75 46· 9·20 10·13· 1· 0 51 - 0.92 0.06 M Timlin 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.34 2 3-2 2· 0· 0 1· 1· 0· 0 0-0 1.66 0.09 M Myers 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.31 1 3-1 1· 0· 0 1· 0· 0· 0 0-0 1.02 0.03 K Foulke, W (3-3) 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.71 3 12-9 4· 1· 4 0· 2· 0· 0 0-0 1.89 0.16 Totals 9 8 4 4 0 7 2 35 124-87 53·10·24 12·16· 1· 0 -
Toronto Blue Jays Boston Red Sox 1. Reed Johnson RF 1. Johnny Damon CF 2. Orlando Hudson 2B 2. Orlando Cabrera SS 3. Vernon Wells CF 3. Manny Ramirez LF 4. Carlos Delgado 1B 4. David Ortiz DH 5. Frank Catalanotto DH 5. Kevin Millar 1B 6. Eric Hinske 3B 6. Jason Varitek C 7. Gregg Zaun C 7. Bill Mueller 3B 8. Gabe Gross LF 8. Gabe Kapler RF 9. Chris Woodward SS 9. Ricky Gutierrez 2B Ted Lilly P Pedro Martinez P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b9 | 1 | 1-- | R | 2,(0-1) | 35% | 100% | 4-4 | BOS | O. Cabrera | J. Speier | Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep CF); Damon Scores |
| t3 | 2 | 1-- | RR | 4,(2-1) | -20% | 44% | 1-2 | TOR | V. Wells | P. Martinez | Home Run (Fly Ball); Hudson Scores |
| b4 | 2 | 1-3 | R | 1,(0-0) | 11% | 55% | 3-4 | BOS | R. Gutierrez | T. Lilly | Single to RF (Fly Ball to CF-RF); Mueller Scores; Kapler to 2B |
| b4 | 2 | --- | R | 1,(0-0) | 11% | 39% | 2-4 | BOS | J. Varitek | T. Lilly | Home Run (Fly Ball) |
| t4 | 1 | --- | R | 4,(0-2) | -11% | 31% | 3-2 | TOR | E. Hinske | P. Martinez | Home Run (Fly Ball) |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Blue Jays Batting, Tied 0-0, Red Sox' Pedro Martinez facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 2% | 52% | 0-0 | TOR | R. Johnson | P. Martinez | Popfly: SS (Short LF) |
| t1 | 1 | --- | 1,(0-0) | -2% | 50% | 0-0 | TOR | O. Hudson | P. Martinez | Single to CF (Fly Ball) | |
| t1 | 1 | 1-- | R | 3,(1-1) | -10% | 40% | 0-0 | TOR | V. Wells | P. Martinez | Double to LF (Fly Ball to Deep CF); Hudson Scores |
| t1 | 1 | -2- | O | 5,(1-2) | 3% | 43% | 1-0 | TOR | C. Delgado | P. Martinez | Groundout: 2B-1B; Wells to 3B |
| t1 | 2 | --3 | O | 6,(2-2) | 3% | 46% | 1-0 | TOR | F. Catalanotto | P. Martinez | Strikeout Swinging |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Blue Jays 1, Red Sox 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Red Sox Batting, Behind 0-1, Blue Jays' Ted Lilly facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | R | 4,(2-1) | 9% | 55% | 0-1 | BOS | J. Damon | T. Lilly | Home Run (Fly Ball) |
| b1 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | -2% | 53% | 1-1 | BOS | O. Cabrera | T. Lilly | Lineout: 2B |
| b1 | 1 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | -2% | 51% | 1-1 | BOS | M. Ramirez | T. Lilly | Strikeout Swinging |
| b1 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -1% | 50% | 1-1 | BOS | D. Ortiz | T. Lilly | Flyball: CF (Deep CF) |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 1, Red Sox 1. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Blue Jays Batting, Tied 1-1, Red Sox' Pedro Martinez facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 2% | 52% | 1-1 | TOR | E. Hinske | P. Martinez | Groundout: 1B-P |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 2% | 54% | 1-1 | TOR | G. Zaun | P. Martinez | Popfly: SS (Short LF) |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 56% | 1-1 | TOR | G. Gross | P. Martinez | Flyball: LF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 1, Red Sox 1. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Red Sox Batting, Tied 1-1, Blue Jays' Ted Lilly facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | 2,(0-1) | 4% | 59% | 1-1 | BOS | K. Millar | T. Lilly | Single to CF (Fly Ball) | |
| b2 | 0 | 1-- | 5,(3-1) | 10% | 69% | 1-1 | BOS | J. Varitek | T. Lilly | Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep CF); Millar to 3B | |
| b2 | 0 | -23 | O | 2,(0-1) | -5% | 64% | 1-1 | BOS | B. Mueller | T. Lilly | Popfly: 2B (Short RF) |
| b2 | 1 | -23 | RO | 2,(0-1) | -0% | 63% | 1-1 | BOS | G. Kapler | T. Lilly | Groundout: SS-1B; Millar Scores |
| b2 | 2 | -2- | O | 2,(0-1) | -3% | 60% | 2-1 | BOS | R. Gutierrez | T. Lilly | Groundout: SS-1B |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Blue Jays 1, Red Sox 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Blue Jays Batting, Behind 1-2, Red Sox' Pedro Martinez facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 3% | 63% | 1-2 | TOR | C. Woodward | P. Martinez | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t3 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 2% | 65% | 1-2 | TOR | R. Johnson | P. Martinez | Strikeout Swinging |
| t3 | 2 | --- | 9,(1-2) | -1% | 63% | 1-2 | TOR | O. Hudson | P. Martinez | Single to 2B (Ground Ball) | |
| t3 | 2 | 1-- | RR | 4,(2-1) | -20% | 44% | 1-2 | TOR | V. Wells | P. Martinez | Home Run (Fly Ball); Hudson Scores |
| t3 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 1% | 45% | 3-2 | TOR | C. Delgado | P. Martinez | Strikeout Looking |
| 2 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 3, Red Sox 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Red Sox Batting, Behind 2-3, Blue Jays' Ted Lilly facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -3% | 42% | 2-3 | BOS | J. Damon | T. Lilly | Flyball: LF (LF-CF) |
| b3 | 1 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 3% | 45% | 2-3 | BOS | O. Cabrera | T. Lilly | Walk | |
| b3 | 1 | 1-- | OO | 2,(0-1) | -6% | 39% | 2-3 | BOS | M. Ramirez | T. Lilly | Ground Ball Double Play: 3B-2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 3, Red Sox 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Blue Jays Batting, Ahead 3-2, Red Sox' Pedro Martinez facing 5-6-7 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 3% | 41% | 3-2 | TOR | F. Catalanotto | P. Martinez | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t4 | 1 | --- | R | 4,(0-2) | -11% | 31% | 3-2 | TOR | E. Hinske | P. Martinez | Home Run (Fly Ball) |
| t4 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 2% | 32% | 4-2 | TOR | G. Zaun | P. Martinez | Strikeout Looking |
| t4 | 2 | --- | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 31% | 4-2 | TOR | G. Gross | P. Martinez | Single to RF (Line Drive) | |
| t4 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2,(1-0) | 2% | 33% | 4-2 | TOR | C. Woodward | P. Martinez | Popfly: 1B |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Red Sox Batting, Behind 2-4, Blue Jays' Ted Lilly facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | -3% | 30% | 2-4 | BOS | D. Ortiz | T. Lilly | Strikeout Swinging |
| b4 | 1 | --- | 7,(3-2) | 0% | 30% | 2-4 | BOS | K. Millar | T. Lilly | E3 on Foul Ball | |
| b4 | 1 | --- | O | 8,(3-2) | -2% | 28% | 2-4 | BOS | K. Millar | T. Lilly | Strikeout Swinging |
| b4 | 2 | --- | R | 1,(0-0) | 11% | 39% | 2-4 | BOS | J. Varitek | T. Lilly | Home Run (Fly Ball) |
| b4 | 2 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 2% | 41% | 3-4 | BOS | B. Mueller | T. Lilly | Walk | |
| b4 | 2 | 1-- | 6,(1-2) | 3% | 44% | 3-4 | BOS | G. Kapler | T. Lilly | Single to CF (Fly Ball); Mueller to 3B | |
| b4 | 2 | 1-3 | R | 1,(0-0) | 11% | 55% | 3-4 | BOS | R. Gutierrez | T. Lilly | Single to RF (Fly Ball to CF-RF); Mueller Scores; Kapler to 2B |
| b4 | 2 | 12- | O | 4,(1-2) | -5% | 50% | 4-4 | BOS | J. Damon | T. Lilly | Popfly: 2B |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 1 error, 2 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Blue Jays Batting, Tied 4-4, Red Sox' Pedro Martinez facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 53% | 4-4 | TOR | R. Johnson | P. Martinez | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t5 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 2% | 56% | 4-4 | TOR | O. Hudson | P. Martinez | Flyball: CF |
| t5 | 2 | --- | O | 7,(2-2) | 2% | 57% | 4-4 | TOR | V. Wells | P. Martinez | Flyball: CF (Deep CF) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Red Sox Batting, Tied 4-4, Blue Jays' Ted Lilly facing 2-3-4 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | -3% | 54% | 4-4 | BOS | O. Cabrera | T. Lilly | Flyball: LF |
| b5 | 1 | --- | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 57% | 4-4 | BOS | M. Ramirez | T. Lilly | Hit By Pitch | |
| b5 | 1 | 1-- | O | 5,(2-2) | -4% | 53% | 4-4 | BOS | D. Ortiz | T. Lilly | Strikeout Swinging |
| b5 | 2 | 1-- | 4,(3-0) | 3% | 56% | 4-4 | BOS | K. Millar | T. Lilly | Walk; Ramirez to 2B | |
| b5 | 2 | 12- | O | 4,(2-1) | -6% | 50% | 4-4 | BOS | J. Varitek | T. Lilly | Groundout: 2B unassisted/Forceout at 2B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Blue Jays Batting, Tied 4-4, Red Sox' Pedro Martinez facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 4% | 54% | 4-4 | TOR | C. Delgado | P. Martinez | Flyball: CF (Deep CF) |
| t6 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 56% | 4-4 | TOR | F. Catalanotto | P. Martinez | Flyball: LF (LF-CF) |
| t6 | 2 | --- | 3,(1-1) | -2% | 54% | 4-4 | TOR | E. Hinske | P. Martinez | Single to CF (Ground Ball) | |
| t6 | 2 | 1-- | 2,(1-0) | -3% | 51% | 4-4 | TOR | G. Zaun | P. Martinez | Single to LF (Ground Ball); Hinske to 2B | |
| t6 | 2 | 12- | O | 3,(0-2) | 7% | 58% | 4-4 | TOR | G. Gross | P. Martinez | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Red Sox Batting, Tied 4-4, Blue Jays' Ted Lilly facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -4% | 55% | 4-4 | BOS | B. Mueller | T. Lilly | Flyball: RF |
| b6 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | -3% | 52% | 4-4 | BOS | G. Kapler | T. Lilly | Foul Popfly: 1B (1B Foul) |
| b6 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -2% | 50% | 4-4 | BOS | R. Gutierrez | T. Lilly | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Blue Jays Batting, Tied 4-4, Red Sox' Pedro Martinez facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 4% | 54% | 4-4 | TOR | C. Woodward | P. Martinez | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t7 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 3% | 57% | 4-4 | TOR | R. Johnson | P. Martinez | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t7 | 2 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | 2% | 60% | 4-4 | TOR | O. Hudson | P. Martinez | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Red Sox Batting, Tied 4-4, Blue Jays' Ted Lilly facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | -4% | 55% | 4-4 | BOS | J. Damon | T. Lilly | Popfly: SS (Short LF) |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -3% | 52% | 4-4 | BOS | O. Cabrera | T. Lilly | Flyball: CF |
| b7 | 2 | --- | 5,(3-1) | 2% | 54% | 4-4 | BOS | M. Ramirez | T. Lilly | Walk | |
| b7 | 2 | 1-- | 6,(2-2) | 3% | 58% | 4-4 | BOS | D. Ortiz | T. Lilly | Hit By Pitch; Ramirez to 2B | |
| b7 | 2 | 12- | O | 7,(3-2) | -8% | 50% | 4-4 | BOS | K. Millar | T. Lilly | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Blue Jays Batting, Tied 4-4, Red Sox' Mike Timlin facing 3-4-5 | |||||||||||
| Mike Timlin replaces Pedro Martinez pitching | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 5% | 55% | 4-4 | TOR | V. Wells | M. Timlin | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t8 | 1 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 4% | 59% | 4-4 | TOR | C. Delgado | M. Timlin | Foul Popfly: 1B (1B Foul) |
| Mike Myers replaces Mike Timlin pitching; Chris Gomez pinch hits for Frank Catalanotto (DH) batting 5th | |||||||||||
| t8 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(2-0) | 3% | 62% | 4-4 | TOR | C. Gomez | M. Myers | Groundout: SS-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Red Sox Batting, Tied 4-4, Blue Jays' Kevin Frederick facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Kevin Frederick replaces Ted Lilly pitching; Kevin Cash replaces Gregg Zaun playing C batting 7th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | -5% | 57% | 4-4 | BOS | J. Varitek | K. Frederick | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| b8 | 1 | --- | O | 5,(3-1) | -4% | 53% | 4-4 | BOS | B. Mueller | K. Frederick | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| b8 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -3% | 50% | 4-4 | BOS | G. Kapler | K. Frederick | Popfly: 2B (Short CF-RF) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Blue Jays Batting, Tied 4-4, Red Sox' Keith Foulke facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| Keith Foulke replaces Mike Myers pitching | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 6% | 56% | 4-4 | TOR | E. Hinske | K. Foulke | Flyball: CF (Deep CF) |
| t9 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | 5% | 62% | 4-4 | TOR | K. Cash | K. Foulke | Flyball: RF |
| t9 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | 4% | 66% | 4-4 | TOR | G. Gross | K. Foulke | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 9th, Red Sox Batting, Tied 4-4, Blue Jays' Kevin Frederick facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| Dave Roberts pinch hits for Ricky Gutierrez (2B) batting 9th | |||||||||||
| b9 | 0 | --- | 8,(3-2) | 7% | 73% | 4-4 | BOS | D. Roberts | K. Frederick | Walk | |
| b9 | 0 | 1-- | O | 5,(2-2) | -8% | 65% | 4-4 | BOS | J. Damon | K. Frederick | Groundout: 2B-SS/Forceout at 2B |
| Justin Speier replaces Kevin Frederick pitching | |||||||||||
| b9 | 1 | 1-- | R | 2,(0-1) | 35% | 100% | 4-4 | BOS | O. Cabrera | J. Speier | Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep CF); Damon Scores |
| 1 run, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 5. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:BOS200408170
Play-by-Play Explanation
Please report any issues or strangeness you see with the description of plays given above. We have tested several hundred different types of plays, but, in all likelihood, there are still some errors or misinterpretations of the play-by-play data.
In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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