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Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Attendance: 28,575 |
Wednesday, May 11, 2005, 3:07PM Time of Game: 2:53 |
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Twins
4
20-13
Lost 1
2nd, 4½ GB
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
- - - - - - - - - - - -
Twins 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 7 1
Orioles 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 3 X 7 11 3
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Orioles
7
22-11
Won 1
1st
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Minnesota Twins AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details S Stewart DH 3 2 2 0 1 0 .279 .708 13 6 0 0 N Punto 2B 4 1 1 0 0 0 .236 .632 12 8 1 1 GDP J Mauer C 4 1 1 1 0 0 .323 .880 13 8 11 1 J Morneau 1B 3 0 2 1 0 0 .411 1.218 11 6 5 2 2B,SF T Hunter CF 4 0 1 1 0 0 .248 .726 23 13 2 0 J Jones RF 3 0 0 0 1 0 .327 .979 11 4 0 0 L Ford LF 3 0 0 0 1 1 .259 .699 14 8 2 0 T Tiffee 3B 3 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .736 9 6 0 2 GDP M LeCroy PH 1 0 0 0 0 0 .296 .904 1 1 0 0 J Castro SS 3 0 0 0 0 0 .200 .520 5 4 2 0 J Santana P 1 1 M Guerrier P 0 0 J Romero P 0 0 T Mulholland P 0 0 Totals 31 4 7 0 3 1 112 64 24 7
Baltimore Orioles AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS Pit Str PO A Details B Roberts 2B 5 1 2 1 0 0 .370 1.118 15 12 1 9 CS L Bigbie CF 4 0 1 1 1 2 .250 .605 22 13 1 0 M Mora 3B 5 0 0 0 0 3 .289 .839 23 15 0 4 M Tejada SS 3 1 1 0 1 2 .348 1.050 22 12 3 4 2B J Lopez DH 3 1 2 0 1 0 .319 .941 12 8 0 0 2B D Newhan PR 0 0 0 0 0 0 .217 .511 0 0 B Surhoff LF 4 1 1 1 0 1 .241 .593 14 11 4 0 C Gomez 1B 3 2 2 1 1 0 .500 1.153 12 8 15 0 2B R Palmeiro 1B 0 0 0 0 0 0 .221 .610 1 0 J Gibbons RF 4 1 2 1 0 1 .267 .807 14 11 1 0 2·2B K Reed RF 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 G Gil C 4 0 0 0 0 1 .195 .488 19 11 1 1 S Ponson P 0 0 B Ryan P 0 0 Totals 35 7 11 0 4 10 153 101 27 18
Minnesota Twins IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA J Santana 6 9 4 4 1 8 0 3.21 27 95-70 40·18·12 7·11· 4· 0 45 - 1.34 -0.13 M Guerrier, L (0-1) 1 1 2 1 1 2 0 3.29 5 23-13 6· 4· 3 1· 1· 1· 0 0-0 1.46 -0.06 J Romero 0.2 1 1 0 2 0 0 1.26 6 27-14 9· 3· 2 3· 1· 0· 0 2-2 1.36 -0.21 T Mulholland 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.72 1 6-3 2· 0· 1 1· 0· 0· 0 3-0 0.38 0.01 Totals 8 11 7 5 4 10 0 39 151-100 57·25·18 12·13· 5· 0 5-2
Baltimore Orioles IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA BF Pit-Str Ct·Sw·Lk GB·FB·LD· ? GmSc IR-IS LevI WPA S Ponson, W (5-1) 8 6 4 2 2 0 0 4.93 30 93-53 38· 2·13 19· 9· 2· 0 56 - 1.12 0.07 B Ryan, S (9) 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1.83 5 16-9 6· 3· 0 1· 2· 1· 0 0-0 1.40 0.04 Totals 9 7 4 2 3 1 0 35 109-62 44· 5·13 20·11· 3· 0 -
Minnesota Twins Baltimore Orioles 1. Shannon Stewart DH 1. Brian Roberts 2B 2. Nick Punto 2B 2. Larry Bigbie CF 3. Joe Mauer C 3. Melvin Mora 3B 4. Justin Morneau 1B 4. Miguel Tejada SS 5. Torii Hunter CF 5. Javy Lopez DH 6. Jacque Jones RF 6. B.J. Surhoff LF 7. Lew Ford LF 7. Chris Gomez 1B 8. Terry Tiffee 3B 8. Jay Gibbons RF 9. Juan Castro SS 9. Geronimo Gil C Johan Santana P Sidney Ponson P
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| b8 | 0 | 12- | R | 3,(1-1) | 18% | 94% | 4-4 | BAL | B. Surhoff | J. Romero | Single to RF (Ground Ball); Tejada Scores; Lopez to 3B |
| t3 | 1 | 12- | R | 3,(1-1) | -16% | 41% | 1-2 | MIN | J. Mauer | S. Ponson | Single to RF (Ground Ball); Stewart Scores; Punto to 3B/Adv on E9 (throw); Mauer to 2B |
| t8 | 0 | 1-- | OO | 4,(1-2) | 15% | 58% | 4-4 | MIN | N. Punto | S. Ponson | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B |
| b5 | 2 | -23 | R | 7,(3-2) | 13% | 57% | 3-4 | BAL | M. Tejada | J. Santana | Walk, Wild Pitch; Roberts Scores/No RBI; Bigbie to 3B |
| b8 | 0 | --- | 3,(1-1) | 13% | 74% | 4-4 | BAL | M. Tejada | M. Guerrier | Double to LF (Line Drive to Deep LF Line) |
| Inn | Out | RoB | R/O | Pit(cnt) | wWPA | wWE | Score | @Bat | Batter | Pitcher | Play Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the 1st, Twins Batting, Tied 0-0, Orioles' Sidney Ponson facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t1 | 0 | --- | 2,(0-1) | -3% | 47% | 0-0 | MIN | S. Stewart | S. Ponson | Single to LF (Ground Ball) | |
| t1 | 0 | 1-- | O | 1,(0-0) | 3% | 50% | 0-0 | MIN | N. Punto | S. Ponson | Flyball: LF (LF Foul) |
| t1 | 1 | 1-- | O | 3,(1-1) | 3% | 53% | 0-0 | MIN | J. Mauer | S. Ponson | Flyball: LF |
| t1 | 2 | 1-- | 2,(1-0) | -3% | 50% | 0-0 | MIN | J. Morneau | S. Ponson | Single to CF (Ground Ball); Stewart to 3B | |
| t1 | 2 | 1-3 | R | 3,(0-2) | -8% | 42% | 0-0 | MIN | T. Hunter | S. Ponson | Wild Pitch; Stewart Scores; Morneau to 3B/Adv on E2 (throw) |
| t1 | 2 | --3 | O | 6,(3-2) | 3% | 45% | 1-0 | MIN | T. Hunter | S. Ponson | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| 1 run, 2 hits, 1 error, 1 LOB. Twins 1, Orioles 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 1st, Orioles Batting, Behind 0-1, Twins' Johan Santana facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b1 | 0 | --- | 1,(0-0) | 4% | 49% | 0-1 | BAL | B. Roberts | J. Santana | Single to LF (Line Drive) | |
| b1 | 0 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | -3% | 45% | 0-1 | BAL | L. Bigbie | J. Santana | Strikeout Swinging |
| b1 | 1 | 1-- | O | 5,(2-2) | -3% | 42% | 0-1 | BAL | M. Mora | J. Santana | Strikeout Swinging |
| b1 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2,(1-0) | -2% | 40% | 0-1 | BAL | M. Tejada | J. Santana | Roberts Caught Stealing 2B (C-2B) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 1, Orioles 0. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 2nd, Twins Batting, Ahead 1-0, Orioles' Sidney Ponson facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| t2 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 2% | 42% | 1-0 | MIN | J. Jones | S. Ponson | Bunt Groundout: C-1B (Front of Home) |
| t2 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 1% | 43% | 1-0 | MIN | L. Ford | S. Ponson | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t2 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 44% | 1-0 | MIN | T. Tiffee | S. Ponson | Groundout: SS-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 1, Orioles 0. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 2nd, Orioles Batting, Behind 0-1, Twins' Johan Santana facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b2 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | -3% | 42% | 0-1 | BAL | M. Tejada | J. Santana | Strikeout Swinging |
| b2 | 1 | --- | 1,(0-0) | 4% | 46% | 0-1 | BAL | J. Lopez | J. Santana | Double to CF (Line Drive) | |
| b2 | 1 | -2- | O | 2,(0-1) | -4% | 43% | 0-1 | BAL | B. Surhoff | J. Santana | Flyball: LF |
| b2 | 2 | -2- | R | 1,(0-0) | 11% | 53% | 0-1 | BAL | C. Gomez | J. Santana | Double to LF (Line Drive to LF Line); Lopez Scores |
| b2 | 2 | -2- | R | 2,(1-0) | 11% | 64% | 1-1 | BAL | J. Gibbons | J. Santana | Double to RF (Fly Ball); Gomez Scores |
| b2 | 2 | -2- | O | 7,(3-2) | -3% | 61% | 2-1 | BAL | G. Gil | J. Santana | Strikeout Swinging |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 1, Orioles 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 3rd, Twins Batting, Behind 1-2, Orioles' Sidney Ponson facing 9-1-2 | |||||||||||
| t3 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 3% | 64% | 1-2 | MIN | J. Castro | S. Ponson | Groundout: SS-1B |
| t3 | 1 | --- | 4,(2-1) | -3% | 61% | 1-2 | MIN | S. Stewart | S. Ponson | Single to CF (Fly Ball) | |
| t3 | 1 | 1-- | 1,(0-0) | -4% | 57% | 1-2 | MIN | N. Punto | S. Ponson | Single to CF (Line Drive); Stewart to 2B | |
| t3 | 1 | 12- | R | 3,(1-1) | -16% | 41% | 1-2 | MIN | J. Mauer | S. Ponson | Single to RF (Ground Ball); Stewart Scores; Punto to 3B/Adv on E9 (throw); Mauer to 2B |
| t3 | 1 | -23 | RO | 3,(1-1) | -0% | 40% | 2-2 | MIN | J. Morneau | S. Ponson | Flyball: RF/Sacrifice Fly (Deep RF); Punto Scores/unER; Mauer to 3B |
| t3 | 2 | --3 | R | 3,(2-0) | -10% | 30% | 3-2 | MIN | T. Hunter | S. Ponson | Single to P (Ground Ball); Mauer Scores/unER; Hunter to 2B/Adv on E1 (throw) |
| t3 | 2 | -2- | O | 4,(3-0) | 3% | 33% | 4-2 | MIN | J. Jones | S. Ponson | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 3 runs, 4 hits, 2 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 3rd, Orioles Batting, Behind 2-4, Twins' Johan Santana facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| b3 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | -3% | 30% | 2-4 | BAL | B. Roberts | J. Santana | Flyball: LF |
| b3 | 1 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | -2% | 28% | 2-4 | BAL | L. Bigbie | J. Santana | Flyball: CF |
| b3 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(1-2) | -1% | 27% | 2-4 | BAL | M. Mora | J. Santana | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 4th, Twins Batting, Ahead 4-2, Orioles' Sidney Ponson facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t4 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(0-1) | 2% | 29% | 4-2 | MIN | L. Ford | S. Ponson | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| t4 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 1% | 30% | 4-2 | MIN | T. Tiffee | S. Ponson | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t4 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 1% | 31% | 4-2 | MIN | J. Castro | S. Ponson | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 4th, Orioles Batting, Behind 2-4, Twins' Johan Santana facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b4 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(2-2) | -3% | 28% | 2-4 | BAL | M. Tejada | J. Santana | Strikeout Swinging |
| b4 | 1 | --- | 3,(0-2) | 3% | 32% | 2-4 | BAL | J. Lopez | J. Santana | Single to CF (Line Drive) | |
| b4 | 1 | 1-- | O | 4,(1-2) | -4% | 28% | 2-4 | BAL | B. Surhoff | J. Santana | Strikeout Swinging |
| b4 | 2 | 1-- | O | 2,(0-1) | -3% | 25% | 2-4 | BAL | C. Gomez | J. Santana | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 2. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 5th, Twins Batting, Ahead 4-2, Orioles' Sidney Ponson facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t5 | 0 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 2% | 27% | 4-2 | MIN | S. Stewart | S. Ponson | Flyball: CF (Deep CF) |
| t5 | 1 | --- | O | 6,(3-2) | 1% | 28% | 4-2 | MIN | N. Punto | S. Ponson | Lineout: SS |
| t5 | 2 | --- | O | 3,(1-1) | 1% | 29% | 4-2 | MIN | J. Mauer | S. Ponson | Flyball: LF |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 2. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 5th, Orioles Batting, Behind 2-4, Twins' Johan Santana facing 8-9-1 | |||||||||||
| b5 | 0 | --- | 3,(1-1) | 8% | 37% | 2-4 | BAL | J. Gibbons | J. Santana | Double to CF (Fly Ball to Deep CF) | |
| b5 | 0 | -2- | O | 6,(3-2) | -3% | 35% | 2-4 | BAL | G. Gil | J. Santana | Groundout: 1B unassisted; Gibbons to 3B |
| b5 | 1 | --3 | R | 5,(1-2) | 8% | 42% | 2-4 | BAL | B. Roberts | J. Santana | Single to CF (Ground Ball); Gibbons Scores |
| b5 | 1 | 1-- | 2,(0-1) | 5% | 47% | 3-4 | BAL | L. Bigbie | J. Santana | Single to LF (Ground Ball); Roberts to 2B | |
| b5 | 1 | 12- | O | 2,(0-1) | -4% | 43% | 3-4 | BAL | M. Mora | J. Santana | Groundout: 1B-P; Roberts to 3B; Bigbie to 2B |
| b5 | 2 | -23 | R | 7,(3-2) | 13% | 57% | 3-4 | BAL | M. Tejada | J. Santana | Walk, Wild Pitch; Roberts Scores/No RBI; Bigbie to 3B |
| b5 | 2 | 1-3 | O | 2,(0-1) | -7% | 50% | 4-4 | BAL | J. Lopez | J. Santana | Popfly: SS (Short LF Foul) |
| 2 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 6th, Twins Batting, Tied 4-4, Orioles' Sidney Ponson facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| t6 | 0 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | 3% | 53% | 4-4 | MIN | J. Morneau | S. Ponson | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| t6 | 1 | --- | O | 7,(3-2) | 3% | 56% | 4-4 | MIN | T. Hunter | S. Ponson | Flyball: LF |
| t6 | 2 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | 2% | 58% | 4-4 | MIN | J. Jones | S. Ponson | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 6th, Orioles Batting, Tied 4-4, Twins' Johan Santana facing 6-7-8 | |||||||||||
| b6 | 0 | --- | O | 5,(1-2) | -3% | 54% | 4-4 | BAL | B. Surhoff | J. Santana | Groundout: P-1B |
| b6 | 1 | --- | 3,(0-2) | 4% | 58% | 4-4 | BAL | C. Gomez | J. Santana | Single to 2B (Ground Ball) | |
| b6 | 1 | 1-- | O | 7,(1-2) | -4% | 54% | 4-4 | BAL | J. Gibbons | J. Santana | Strikeout Swinging |
| b6 | 2 | 1-- | O | 3,(0-2) | -4% | 50% | 4-4 | BAL | G. Gil | J. Santana | Popfly: SS (Short LF) |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 7th, Twins Batting, Tied 4-4, Orioles' Sidney Ponson facing 7-8-9 | |||||||||||
| t7 | 0 | --- | 6,(3-2) | -6% | 44% | 4-4 | MIN | L. Ford | S. Ponson | Walk | |
| t7 | 0 | 1-- | OO | 2,(0-1) | 13% | 57% | 4-4 | MIN | T. Tiffee | S. Ponson | Ground Ball Double Play: SS-2B-1B |
| t7 | 2 | --- | O | 2,(1-0) | 2% | 59% | 4-4 | MIN | J. Castro | S. Ponson | Groundout: 3B-1B (Short 3B Line) |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 7th, Orioles Batting, Tied 4-4, Twins' Matt Guerrier facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| Matt Guerrier replaces Johan Santana pitching | |||||||||||
| b7 | 0 | --- | O | 1,(0-0) | -4% | 55% | 4-4 | BAL | B. Roberts | M. Guerrier | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| b7 | 1 | --- | O | 7,(3-2) | -3% | 52% | 4-4 | BAL | L. Bigbie | M. Guerrier | Strikeout Swinging |
| b7 | 2 | --- | O | 6,(2-2) | -2% | 50% | 4-4 | BAL | M. Mora | M. Guerrier | Strikeout Swinging |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 4. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 8th, Twins Batting, Tied 4-4, Orioles' Sidney Ponson facing 1-2-3 | |||||||||||
| t8 | 0 | --- | 5,(3-1) | -7% | 43% | 4-4 | MIN | S. Stewart | S. Ponson | Walk | |
| t8 | 0 | 1-- | OO | 4,(1-2) | 15% | 58% | 4-4 | MIN | N. Punto | S. Ponson | Ground Ball Double Play: 2B-SS-1B |
| t8 | 2 | --- | O | 4,(2-1) | 3% | 61% | 4-4 | MIN | J. Mauer | S. Ponson | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 4. | |||||||||||
| Bottom of the 8th, Orioles Batting, Tied 4-4, Twins' Matt Guerrier facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | --- | 3,(1-1) | 13% | 74% | 4-4 | BAL | M. Tejada | M. Guerrier | Double to LF (Line Drive to Deep LF Line) | |
| b8 | 0 | -2- | 6,(3-2) | 2% | 76% | 4-4 | BAL | J. Lopez | M. Guerrier | Walk | |
| J.C. Romero replaces Matt Guerrier pitching | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | 12- | R | 3,(1-1) | 18% | 94% | 4-4 | BAL | B. Surhoff | J. Romero | Single to RF (Ground Ball); Tejada Scores; Lopez to 3B |
| David Newhan pinch runs for Javy Lopez (DH) batting 5th | |||||||||||
| b8 | 0 | 1-3 | 6,(3-2) | 1% | 95% | 5-4 | BAL | C. Gomez | J. Romero | Walk; Surhoff to 2B | |
| b8 | 0 | 123 | O | 2,(0-1) | -3% | 92% | 5-4 | BAL | J. Gibbons | J. Romero | Flyball: CF |
| b8 | 1 | 123 | O | 3,(2-0) | -4% | 88% | 5-4 | BAL | G. Gil | J. Romero | Groundout: 1B-C/Forceout at Hm (1B Foul); Surhoff to 3B; Gomez to 2B |
| b8 | 2 | 123 | R | 6,(2-2) | 7% | 94% | 5-4 | BAL | B. Roberts | J. Romero | Reached on E5 (throw) (Ground Ball); Surhoff Scores/unER/No RBI; Gomez to 3B; Gil to 2B |
| b8 | 2 | 123 | R | 7,(3-2) | 3% | 97% | 6-4 | BAL | L. Bigbie | J. Romero | Walk; Gomez Scores/unER; Gil to 3B; Roberts to 2B |
| Terry Mulholland replaces J.C. Romero pitching | |||||||||||
| b8 | 2 | 123 | O | 6,(3-2) | -1% | 96% | 7-4 | BAL | M. Mora | T. Mulholland | Groundout: 3B-1B |
| 3 runs, 2 hits, 1 error, 3 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 7. | |||||||||||
| Top of the 9th, Twins Batting, Behind 4-7, Orioles' B.J. Ryan facing 4-5-6 | |||||||||||
| B.J. Ryan replaces Sidney Ponson pitching; Rafael Palmeiro replaces Chris Gomez playing 1B batting 7th; Keith Reed replaces Jay Gibbons playing RF batting 8th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 0 | --- | 2,(1-0) | -4% | 92% | 4-7 | MIN | J. Morneau | B. Ryan | Double to RF (Line Drive to Deep RF Line) | |
| t9 | 0 | -2- | O | 4,(1-2) | 4% | 96% | 4-7 | MIN | T. Hunter | B. Ryan | Popfly: SS (Short LF) |
| t9 | 1 | -2- | 5,(3-1) | -4% | 92% | 4-7 | MIN | J. Jones | B. Ryan | Walk | |
| t9 | 1 | 12- | O | 4,(1-2) | 5% | 97% | 4-7 | MIN | L. Ford | B. Ryan | Strikeout Swinging |
| Matt LeCroy pinch hits for Terry Tiffee (3B) batting 8th | |||||||||||
| t9 | 2 | 12- | O | 1,(0-0) | 3% | 100% | 4-7 | MIN | M. LeCroy | B. Ryan | Groundout: 2B-1B |
| 0 runs, 1 hit, 0 errors, 2 LOB. Twins 4, Orioles 7. | |||||||||||
Retrosheet.org Boxscore:BAL200505110
Play-by-Play Explanation
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In some cases, the results from play-by-play data will contradict results in the official record. The official record has many, many errors, but we have not undertaken to reconcile those errors. Pitch-by-pitch data should not be taken as completely accurate, though we believe it to be as accurate as is currently possible.
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