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Archive for November, 2007
Scoring by inning: AL vs NL (PART 1)
Reader MikeC asked about scoring by inning in the two leagues, and whether it was different, so I did a quick analysis.
1 Comment | Posted in Innings Summary, Splits
Blowing 9th-inning leads
Yesterday, I wrote about the PI's Team Inning Summary function, and here's another thing you can do with it.
For each year, I looked at run scoring for all teams (in total) and extracted the total number of games that a team had a lead going into the 9th inning and then ended up behind at the end of the 9th inning (i.e. losing the game.) Click through for detailed results.
2 Comments | Posted in Innings Summary
Getting On Base…But, Not Really
Just having some fun with Baseball-Reference.com's Play Index Batting Season Finder...
Do you know how many batters, in all of baseball history, have seasons with 200+ hits and 35+ walks - yet had an OBA of .340 or below? Here's the answer:
Cnt Player Year H BB OBP Age Tm Lg G PA AB R 2B 3B HR RBI IBB SO HBP SH SF GDP SB CS BA SLG OPS Positions +----+-----------------+----+---+---+-----+---+---+--+---+---+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+-----+-----+-----+---------+ 1 Michael Young 2003 204 36 .339 26 TEX AL 160 713 666 106 33 9 14 72 1 103 1 3 7 14 13 2 .306 .446 .785 *4/6 2 Bobby Richardson 1962 209 37 .337 26 NYY AL 161 754 692 99 38 5 8 59 1 24 1 20 4 13 11 9 .302 .406 .743 *4 3 Doc Cramer 1940 200 36 .340 34 BOS AL 150 712 661 94 27 12 1 51 0 29 1 14 0 13 3 5 .303 .384 .724 *897
Just three batters - in the history of baseball. That tells you this is pretty hard to do. All three times, it happened in the A.L. - and it's only happened once in the last 45 years. Way to go Michael Young.
2 Comments | Posted in Season Finders
Scoring by Innings
The PI has a neat feature about team scoring and records by inning. It can be reached from the main PI page.
Here are the runs score for all teams in 2007:
Runs Scored by inning.
Inning # 0 Any 1 2 3 4 ≥5 Most Total Avg Avg/9inn
+------+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+-----+----+
1 4862 3276 1586 845 394 191 100 56 11 2921 0.60 5.41
2 4862 3507 1355 782 337 133 54 49 8 2357 0.48 4.36
3 4862 3445 1417 736 360 174 78 69 8 2670 0.55 4.94
4 4862 3434 1428 757 362 182 63 64 10 2631 0.54 4.87
5 4862 3427 1435 717 379 187 82 70 11 2777 0.57 5.14
6 4858 3363 1495 764 367 205 90 69 11 2869 0.59 5.32
7 4856 3500 1356 723 331 169 71 62 8 2519 0.52 4.67
8 4854 3525 1329 695 334 151 77 72 11 2534 0.52 4.70
9 3754 2819 935 524 237 100 42 32 7 1640 0.44 4.00
10 440 323 117 79 20 12 3 3 8 185 0.46 4.13
11 246 180 66 49 11 3 2 1 5 93 0.41 3.72
12 128 89 39 25 6 2 4 2 6 70 0.58 5.24
13 62 44 18 10 5 3 0 0 3 29 0.51 4.61
14 30 21 9 6 1 2 0 0 3 14 0.50 4.50
15 12 8 4 2 1 0 0 1 5 9 0.75 6.75
16 6 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0.18 1.59
17 4 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 0.75 6.75
+------+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+-----+----+
43560 30968 12592 6716 3146 1514 666 550 11 23322 0.54 4.83
So, for example, let's say you want to know how many times a team scored 1 run in the 7th inning of a game. Well, you go down the list to Inning # 7, then read across to the column for "1" and you see it happened 723 times in 2007.
There are so many interesting things we can glean from the data above:
11 Comments | Posted in Innings Summary
Most Homers Through Age 27
It's a basic sort, but the results sure are fun to look at. My favorite is #13. Betcha didn't expect that one, ay?
Really makes clear how hard it is to keep performing at the highest levels while healthy. #2 was an alcoholic, #6 a drinker, #4 had a series of injuries - as did #9. #8 was known as the hardest player of his day - a real hard sliding wall-runner-into tough guy. #12 is a catcher.
I know DiMaggio was a great player, but since he only hit 361 homers in his career, I never would've expected him to end up in the top 20. But there he is at 18. Hell, at age 27, he was already in the top 20 for career homers. Not through age 27, but entire careers. Damn.
4 Comments | Posted in Uncategorized
Durable Old Guys
Today, I found myself wondering how "old guys" (in baseball terms of being old) have played (pretty much) full seasons - and, who did it the most? So, I went to Baseball-Reference.com's Play Index Batting Season Finder and set it for: From 1901 to 2007, From Age 35 to 99, (requiring G>=140). Looking at the results, I noticed that only a dozen players have pulled this off, five times or more:
Player ages are computed as their age on June 30th
From To Ages Seasons Link to Individual Seasons
+-----------------+----+----+-----+-------+------------------------------+
Craig Biggio 2001 2007 35-41 7 Ind. Seasons
Pete Rose 1976 1983 35-42 7 Ind. Seasons
Darrell Evans 1982 1988 35-41 6 Ind. Seasons
Sam Rice 1925 1930 35-40 6 Ind. Seasons
Omar Vizquel 2002 2007 35-40 5 Ind. Seasons
Rafael Palmeiro 2000 2004 35-39 5 Ind. Seasons
Steve Finley 2000 2004 35-39 5 Ind. Seasons
Edgar Martinez 1998 2004 35-41 5 Ind. Seasons
Dave Winfield 1987 1993 35-41 5 Ind. Seasons
Carl Yastrzemski 1975 1979 35-39 5 Ind. Seasons
Doc Cramer 1941 1945 35-39 5 Ind. Seasons
Rabbit Maranville 1929 1933 37-41 5 Ind. Seasons
Biggio and Rose stand out here, at the top, with seven seasons each. And, Omar Vizquel has an outside chance to tie them. I would have expected to see Rose here - and, if I thought hard enough, maybe I would have guessed Biggio. But, Vizquel was an interesting find for me. I would have not thought of him as being so high on this list.
8 Comments | Posted in Season Finders
Worst WHIP for pitcher with at least .750 W-L%
It's 25 years later, and the AL Cy Young voting for 1982 still bothers me. Rob Neyer once told me that he considers that vote to be the worst Cy Young vote ever, i.e. Pete Vukovich to be the least deserving winner.
Just how bad was that season?
Well here are all pitching seasons since 1901 with at least 200 innings pitched and a winning percentage of .750 or better, ranked by highest WHIP:
Cnt Player **WHIP** W-L% IP Year Age Tm Lg G GS CG SHO GF W L SV H R ER BB SO ERA ERA+ HR BF AB 2B 3B IBB HBP SH SF GDP SB CS Pk BK WP BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ Pit Str +----+-----------------+---------+-----+-----+----+---+---+--+---+--+--+---+--+--+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+------+----+--+----+----+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+--+--+--+-----+-----+-----+-----+----+----+----+ 1 Pete Vuckovich 1.502 .750 223.2 1982 29 MIL AL 30 30 9 1 0 18 6 0 234 96 83 102 105 3.34 114 14 971 851 38 7 1 5 9 4 23 32 16 3 0 6 .275 .354 .385 .739 108 2 Juan Guzman 1.452 .824 221 1993 26 TOR AL 33 33 2 1 0 14 3 0 211 107 98 110 194 3.99 109 17 963 836 35 1 2 3 5 9 10 25 17 2 1 26 .252 .338 .358 .696 87 3 Jack Kramer 1.449 .783 205 1948 30 BOS AL 29 29 14 2 0 18 5 0 233 104 99 64 72 4.35 101 12 891 0 0 3 0 4 Whitey Ford 1.435 .750 207 1953 24 NYY AL 32 30 11 3 2 18 6 0 187 77 69 110 110 3.00 124 13 882 4 0 3 0 5 George Earnshaw 1.406 .750 254.2 1929 29 PHA AL 44 33 13 3 5 24 8 1 233 110 93 125 149 3.29 129 8 1115 5 0 8 0 6 Lefty Gomez 1.398 .774 265.1 1932 23 NYY AL 37 31 21 1 3 24 7 1 266 140 124 105 176 4.21 97 23 1149 2 0 0 0 7 Ellis Kinder 1.389 .793 252 1949 34 BOS AL 43 30 19 6 10 23 6 4 251 103 94 99 138 3.36 130 21 1085 2 0 1 0 8 Tom Glavine 1.362 .786 239.1 1993 27 ATL NL 36 36 4 2 0 22 6 0 236 91 85 90 120 3.20 127 16 1014 910 50 4 7 2 10 2 25 9 5 1 0 4 .259 .327 .376 .703 92 9 Larry Christenson 1.359 .760 219.1 1977 23 PHI NL 34 34 5 1 0 19 6 0 229 113 99 69 118 4.06 99 21 945 856 52 7 1 7 5 8 18 14 8 1 6 7 .268 .324 .418 .742 100 10 Charley Root 1.357 .760 272 1929 30 CHC NL 43 31 19 4 9 19 6 5 286 120 105 83 124 3.47 133 12 1158 3 0 1 0 11 Alvin Crowder 1.348 .808 244 1928 29 SLB AL 41 31 19 1 6 21 5 2 238 113 100 91 99 3.69 114 11 1069 1 0 1 0 12 Mel Parnell 1.327 .781 295.1 1949 27 BOS AL 39 33 27 4 5 25 7 2 258 102 91 134 122 2.77 157 8 1240 5 0 9 0 13 Red Ruffing 1.326 .750 247.1 1938 33 NYY AL 31 31 22 3 0 21 7 0 246 104 91 82 127 3.31 137 16 1043 0 1 1 0 14 Bruce Hurst 1.325 .750 216.2 1988 30 BOS AL 33 32 7 1 0 18 6 0 222 98 88 65 166 3.66 113 21 922 842 40 1 1 2 8 5 15 14 4 4 3 5 .264 .316 .388 .704 92 15 Lefty Grove 1.318 .750 275.1 1933 33 PHA AL 45 28 21 2 16 24 8 6 280 113 98 83 114 3.20 134 12 1173 4 0 1 0 16 Russ Ortiz 1.314 .750 212.1 2003 29 ATL NL 34 34 1 1 0 21 7 0 177 101 90 102 149 3.81 112 17 912 793 41 3 7 4 6 7 9 22 5 2 0 5 .223 .312 .347 .659 76 3569 2104 17 Richard Dotson 1.313 .759 240 1983 24 CHW AL 35 35 8 1 0 22 7 0 209 92 86 106 137 3.23 130 19 997 872 34 3 1 8 4 7 33 29 5 2 0 7 .240 .325 .351 .676 83 18 Red Munger 1.311 .762 224.1 1947 28 STL NL 40 31 13 6 6 16 5 3 218 94 84 76 123 3.37 123 12 936 2 0 4 0 19 Brad Penny 1.308 .800 208 2007 29 LAD NL 33 33 0 0 0 16 4 0 199 75 70 73 135 3.03 151 9 865 765 47 1 2 5 13 9 29 14 5 0 0 6 .260 .325 .359 .684 78 3232 2084 20 Chien-Ming Wang 1.307 .760 218 2006 26 NYY AL 34 33 2 1 1 19 6 1 233 92 88 52 76 3.63 124 12 900 841 44 1 4 2 3 2 33 9 11 1 1 6 .277 .320 .375 .695 79 3055 1920
Yeah, so Vukovich's 1982 ranks as the worst of all time (well, since 1901) in this regard. We see a lot of old seasons on here, but for the most part I think we also see over-rated pitchers on this list. Juan Guzman (#2) is a prime example of a guy who was fairly lucky in having such a winning season, and parlayed it into a big contract, and never had anywhere close to the same success. Russ Ortiz in 2003 (#16) is another example. He had a good career up to that point, but played way over his head that year, then fell off a cliff. (Later he became the highest-paid player ever to be released outright.)
Mind you, we see other names here like Whitey Ford, Left Gomez, and Red Ruffing who are not over-rated.
#20 is interesting, huh? When Wang won 19 in his first full season last year, the rest of his stats didn't seem to back it up very well. His low strikeout rate, even for a ground-ball pitcher, was alarming. I predicted a much poorer 2007, but in fact he had a very similar season. I'm not sure his numbers bode well for a long & productive career, though. That trade we've heard about of packaging Wang with a few others for Santana might not be such a bad deal for the Yankees.
14 Comments | Posted in Season Finders
