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Archive for the 'WAR' Category

All-Dominican Team

Posted by Neil Paine on April 30, 2011

The Dominican Republic has given us many great ballplayers over the years, far more than you might expect from a nation of its size. In fact, the tiny coastal town of San Pedro de Macorís alone has produced more MLB players per capita than any other municipality in the world. Baseball is so deeply ingrained in the culture of the D.R. that Pedro Gonzalez once said, "Every boy grows up with a bat and a ball—it’s the first present a male baby gets in his crib."

So, as a tribute to the fine baseball being played by its natives, here is the all-time Dominican all-star team according to Wins Above Replacement:

54 Comments | Posted in History, Play Index, WAR

2011 WAR Now Updated

Posted by Neil Paine on April 19, 2011

2011 Wins Above Replacement data is now live on the site and will be updated daily throughout the season. This includes the league pages, player pages, team pages, and Play Index, among other locations.

In the very early going, here are your 2011 WAR leaders:

Position Players

Rk Player WAR/pos Year Tm Lg G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS Pos
1 Matt Kemp 1.5 2011 LAD NL 17 61 13 28 5 0 3 13 9 9 8 2 .459 .529 .689 1.217 *8
2 Joey Votto 1.4 2011 CIN NL 16 56 16 24 4 1 2 8 14 7 3 1 .429 .535 .643 1.178 *3
3 Troy Tulowitzki 1.4 2011 COL NL 16 58 12 20 3 1 7 14 14 7 0 0 .345 .466 .793 1.259 *6
4 Adrian Beltre 1.0 2011 TEX AL 16 64 11 17 4 0 5 16 1 8 0 0 .266 .288 .563 .850 *5
5 Howie Kendrick 1.0 2011 LAA AL 16 66 11 21 3 1 5 8 7 14 0 0 .318 .392 .621 1.013 *4/3
6 Jose Bautista 1.0 2011 TOR AL 13 49 9 15 1 0 3 6 12 12 2 0 .306 .443 .510 .953 *9
7 Pablo Sandoval 1.0 2011 SFG NL 16 54 8 18 1 0 4 10 7 10 0 1 .333 .410 .574 .984 *5
8 Maicer Izturis 1.0 2011 LAA AL 14 64 7 25 7 0 1 7 2 10 2 2 .391 .409 .547 .956 *6/D45
9 Jose Tabata 1.0 2011 PIT NL 16 63 14 20 4 0 3 4 11 13 8 1 .317 .427 .524 .950 *7/8
10 Asdrubal Cabrera 1.0 2011 CLE AL 16 66 9 19 2 1 4 14 5 13 1 0 .288 .342 .530 .873 *6
11 Jeff Francoeur 1.0 2011 KCR AL 15 61 11 20 4 1 2 11 4 8 2 0 .328 .358 .525 .883 *9
12 Colby Rasmus 1.0 2011 STL NL 16 66 15 24 5 2 2 5 9 14 1 0 .364 .440 .591 1.031 *8
13 Dustin Pedroia 1.0 2011 BOS AL 15 57 10 18 4 0 2 6 8 10 0 0 .316 .409 .491 .900 *4
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/19/2011.

Pitchers

Rk Player WAR Year Tm Lg G W L SV IP ERA ERA+ BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+
1 Dan Haren 1.4 2011 LAA AL 5 4 0 0 31.0 1.16 339 .164 .179 .245 .424 19
2 Roy Halladay 1.3 2011 PHI NL 3 2 0 0 22.0 1.23 329 .210 .247 .235 .482 34
3 Gio Gonzalez 1.2 2011 OAK AL 3 2 0 0 19.0 0.47 855 .182 .308 .258 .565 62
4 Jered Weaver 1.1 2011 LAA AL 4 4 0 0 27.2 1.30 303 .137 .219 .221 .440 27
5 Brett Myers 1.1 2011 HOU NL 4 1 0 0 26.1 2.39 162 .253 .306 .444 .750 111
6 CC Sabathia 1.0 2011 NYY AL 4 0 1 0 25.0 2.52 165 .263 .327 .326 .653 82
7 Tim Lincecum 1.0 2011 SFG NL 4 2 1 0 27.0 1.67 244 .175 .245 .258 .503 40
8 Derek Lowe 1.0 2011 ATL NL 4 2 2 0 24.2 1.82 215 .225 .281 .270 .551 55
9 Jaime Garcia 0.9 2011 STL NL 3 2 0 0 20.0 1.35 291 .225 .286 .254 .539 53
10 Josh Beckett 0.9 2011 BOS AL 3 2 1 0 20.0 1.80 236 .147 .234 .206 .440 23
11 Matt Cain 0.9 2011 SFG NL 3 2 0 0 19.0 1.42 288 .206 .260 .294 .554 52
12 Jhoulys Chacin 0.9 2011 COL NL 3 3 0 0 22.0 1.64 284 .231 .291 .269 .560 48
13 Matt Harrison 0.9 2011 TEX AL 3 3 0 0 22.0 1.23 342 .187 .247 .267 .514 43
14 Trevor Cahill 0.9 2011 OAK AL 4 2 0 0 25.1 2.49 162 .177 .233 .250 .483 37
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/19/2011.

9 Comments | Posted in Administration, Announcements, Sabermetrics, Site Features, Stats, WAR

Bloops: The Hall of (Peak-Weighted) WAR

Posted by Neil Paine on March 18, 2011

Here's a cool link from Adam Darowski:

Hall of wWAR: The Hall of Fame Re-Populated by Peak-Weighted WAR

It is exactly what it sounds like -- he took our Wins Above Replacement stat, peak-adjusted it by combining regular WAR with "Wins Above Excellence" & "Wins Above MVP", and then repopulated the Hall of Fame using that weighted metric. Here were the members of his Hall:

Aaron, Hank Dawson, Andre Kelly, King Robinson, Jackie
Alexander, Pete Delahanty, Ed Killebrew, Harmon Rose, Pete
Allen, Dick Dickey, Bill King, Silver Rusie, Amos
Alomar, Roberto DiMaggio, Joe Koosman, Jerry Ruth, Babe
Anson, Cap Drysdale, Don Koufax, Sandy Ryan, Nolan
Appier, Kevin Eckersley, Dennis Lajoie, Nap Saberhagen, Bret
Appling, Luke Evans, Darrell Larkin, Barry Sandberg, Ryne
Ashburn, Richie Evans, Dwight Lyons, Ted Santo, Ron
Bagwell, Jeff Ewing, Buck Magee, Sherry Schmidt, Mike
Baker, Home Run Faber, Red Mantle, Mickey Seaver, Tom
Bando, Sal Feller, Bob Marichal, Juan Simmons, Al
Banks, Ernie Finley, Chuck Martinez, Edgar Simmons, Ted
Bell, Buddy Fisk, Carlton Mathews, Eddie Sisler, George
Bench, Johnny Flick, Elmer Mathewson, Christy Smith, Ozzie
Berra, Yogi Ford, Whitey Mays, Willie Smith, Reggie
Blyleven, Bert Foxx, Jimmie McCormick, Jim Snider, Duke
Boggs, Wade Freehan, Bill McCovey, Willie Spahn, Warren
Bonds, Bobby Frisch, Frankie McGinnity, Joe Speaker, Tris
Boudreau, Lou Galvin, Pud McGraw, John Stargell, Willie
Boyer, Ken Gehrig, Lou McGwire, Mark Stieb, Dave
Bresnahan, Roger Gehringer, Charlie McPhee, Bid Stovey, Harry
Brett, George Gibson, Bob Medwick, Joe Sutton, Don
Brouthers, Dan Glasscock, Jack Minoso, Minnie Tanana, Frank
Brown, Kevin Gordon, Joe Mize, Johnny Tenace, Gene
Brown, Mordecai Gore, George Molitor, Paul Terry, Bill
Buffinton, Charlie Goslin, Goose Morgan, Joe Tiant, Luis
Bunning, Jim Gossage, Rich Munson, Thurman Torre, Joe
Burkett, Jesse Greenberg, Hank Murphy, Dale Trammell, Alan
Campanella, Roy Grich, Bobby Murray, Eddie Vance, Dazzy
Carew, Rod Grove, Lefty Musial, Stan Vaughan, Arky
Carlton, Steve Gwynn, Tony Nettles, Graig Ventura, Robin
Carter, Gary Hack, Stan Newhouser, Hal Waddell, Rube
Cedeno, Cesar Hamilton, Billy Nichols, Kid Wagner, Honus
Cey, Ron Hartnett, Gabby Niekro, Phil Walker, Larry
Childs, Cupid Heilmann, Harry Olerud, John Wallace, Bobby
Cicotte, Eddie Henderson, Rickey O'Rourke, Jim Walsh, Ed
Clark, Will Herman, Billy Ott, Mel Waner, Paul
Clarke, Fred Hernandez, Keith Palmeiro, Rafael Ward, Monte
Clarkson, John Hershiser, Orel Palmer, Jim Whitaker, Lou
Clemente, Roberto Hornsby, Rogers Perry, Gaylord White, Deacon
Cobb, Ty Hubbell, Carl Pierce, Billy Wilhelm, Hoyt
Cochrane, Mickey Jackson, Joe Plank, Eddie Williams, Ted
Collins, Eddie Jackson, Larry Porter, Darrell Willis, Vic
Collins, Jimmy Jackson, Reggie Radbourn, Charles Winfield, Dave
Cone, David Jenkins, Fergie Raines, Tim Wood, Wilbur
Connor, Roger Jennings, Hughie Randolph, Willie Wynn, Early
Coveleski, Stan John, Tommy Reese, Pee Wee Wynn, Jim
Crawford, Sam Johnson, Walter Reuschel, Rick Yastrzemski, Carl
Cronin, Joe Kaline, Al Ripken, Cal Young, Cy
Dahlen, Bill Keefe, Tim Roberts, Robin Yount, Robin
Davis, George Keeler, Willie Robinson, Brooks
Davis, Willie Kelley, Joe Robinson, Frank

108 Comments | Posted in Bloops, Hall of Fame, WAR

B-R Blog: About oWAR and dWAR and responding in a timely manner

Posted by Sean Forman on January 25, 2011

Reader mail of the day: fielding WAR for DH?  THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

I'm a busy guy, so I don't always read all of the blogs out there that you might think I do.  

42 Comments | Posted in Fielding Stats, Uncategorized, WAR, Whining

WAR Leader and Cy Young Winner in the Same Season

Posted by Neil Paine on November 19, 2010

As Andy noted yesterday, King Felix won the AL Cy Young after also leading the AL in Wins Above Replacement. I was wondering how often pitchers have pulled off this double feat of winning the CYA and the WAR crown in the same season, so I called up our year-by-year WAR leaders and cross-referenced that list with the Cy Young winners file at Baseball-Databank.org. Here were the results:

79 Comments | Posted in Awards, History, WAR

Which Staff Had the Most Wins in Their Future?

Posted by Neil Paine on October 18, 2010

Here's an interesting question sent to us by B-R reader Phil:

"I've been a Mets fan since 1967, when, as the youngest kid in my neighborhood, I needed something to differentiate myself from the older kids who grew up Yankees fans at the tail end of the dynasty. In 1969, God performed his last certified Miracle. As I've learned more about baseball over the last 40 years, I've come to wonder: did the Mets 1969 pitching staff have the best 'potential' of any staff? By that I mean, did they have the most wins left in them?"

25 Comments | Posted in History, Mailbag, Sabermetrics, WAR

Great 1-2-3 Rotation Combos In a Best-of-7 Series

Posted by Neil Paine on October 13, 2010

Last week I posted about how often the team with the best Game 1 starter by WAR wins the Division Series (only 55%, as it turns out), and with the League Championship Series coming up on us quickly, I wanted to do a variation of that study for best-of-seven series.

In the wake of the Phillies' sweep of Cincinnati, many are saying their top 3 pitchers (Roy Halladay, Roy Oswalt, Cole Hamels) are all they really need to overwhelm an opponent, even in a 7-game series. How does that triumvirate stack up to other Top 3s since the strike? Combined, Halladay (6.9 WAR), Oswalt (5.1), & Hamels (4.7) posted 16.7 Wins Above Replacement during the 2010 season, a total that ranks 6th among LCS participants since 1995:

25 Comments | Posted in Postseason, Sabermetrics, WAR

More Random Division Series Notes

Posted by Neil Paine on October 6, 2010

Tacking on to Andy's playoff thoughts from earlier today...

Familiarity Breeds Contempt

The 2010 Yankees-Twins ALDS represents just the 8th time in the WS era (1903-2010) that the same two teams faced each other in a postseason series 4 times in 8 seasons... The Dodgers & Yankees played each other in 4 world series from 1946-53, 48-55, and five times (!!!) from 1949-56. The Yankees and Royals faced off in 4 series from 1973-80, and the Braves & Astros had two different 8-year stretches with 4 playoff showdowns in the late nineties/early 2000s (1997-04 and 1998-05). The Red Sox and Angels capped off a 4-series-in-8-years stretch last season, and now the Yankees and Twins have joined that group with ALDS faceoffs in 2003, 2004, 2009, and 2010.

21 Comments | Posted in History, Postseason, Sabermetrics, WAR

Did the Giants’ Front Office Make the NL West Race Closer Than it Needed to Be?

Posted by Neil Paine on September 17, 2010

It's a move you see all too often in today's cost-conscious baseball world: in order to delay his arbitration timetable and keep him under team control longer, the Giants held star prospect Buster Posey down in the minors at the beginning of the season. Normally this wouldn't be a big deal, and in fact many teams would have done the same thing if given the chance. But in the case of Posey, the Giants' choice has probably made the NL West closer than it should have been, and could ultimately cost them the playoffs if San Diego is able to overcome San Francisco's slim half-game lead in the division.

52 Comments | Posted in Sabermetrics, WAR

WAR without the defense (oWAR) & WAR with just the defense (dWAR)

Posted by Sean Forman on September 14, 2010

Joe Posnanski's great post on Wins Above Replacement brought to the forefront for me an idea I've been kicking around now for a few months.

48 Comments | Posted in Announcements, Stats, WAR