Comments on: Opening Day complete games http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930 This and that about baseball stats. Tue, 16 Jul 2013 17:01:55 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: BSK http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-94197 Wed, 16 Feb 2011 00:27:15 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-94197 Malcolm-
Absolutely. There are a lot of intuitive reasons to assume the rate would be higher, lower, or the same. I'm curious what the data suggests, both about Opening Day and whether there are any other observable trends.

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By: Malcolm http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-94019 Tue, 15 Feb 2011 02:44:28 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-94019 The rate of CGs on opening days could also be lower, however, because managers don't want to make their starters throw 9 innings all of a sudden after only having thrown a few per start in Spring Training. I would think this would mainly apply to recent years, when the idea of saving a pitcher's arm became a real concern.

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By: Mac http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-94018 Tue, 15 Feb 2011 02:36:43 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-94018 Steve Woodard?

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By: BSK http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-94016 Tue, 15 Feb 2011 02:30:48 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-94016 I didn't think about the Ace factor, but that definitely would come into play. I considered the bullpen factor, but assumed most managers would go for the big play. Then again, when I used to play video games (meaning, 5 minutes ago), I would usually keep my starters on short leashes, especially early in the year. Get out to a big lead, especially on opening day when your whole pen is ready and you know your next 3 or 4 starters are fully fresh, why not put the SP? Of course, this was in games where the internal algorithms were inherently biased towards protecting pitchers.

Have I talked enough about video games yet???

Generally, it'd be interesting to see the frequency of CGs at different points in the year. Since CGs are in large part tactical (as opposed to being purely a function of results on the field, like a SO), it'd be interesting to see if there were any trends. Do they happen more so earlier in the year when guys are fresher? Do they happen later in the year with September call-ups in the opposing line-up and/or managers chasing pennants? How do the dog days of summer impact the frequency? Maybe a month by month look? Again, we'd ideally control for the era, though I don't know where the cutoff would be. Anyone able to run this in a simple manner?

We could even (possibly?) look at individual managers.

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By: Andy http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-93991 Tue, 15 Feb 2011 01:31:53 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-93991 BSK It could certainly be calculated. My guess is it's higher than average simply because all aces are pitching. There are lots of possible arguments, though, including the idea that CGs could be lower since all bullpen arms are fresh and available.

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By: BSK http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-93990 Tue, 15 Feb 2011 01:24:23 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-93990 How does the frequency of CGs on opening day compare to the frequency of CGs on any other day? My hunch is that they would occur more frequently, especially if we look at whatever "modern era" gets us away from the days when guys through 500 CGs a year. My thinking is that guys are pitching on 100 days rest, are amped up, and managers and players alike probably like the idea of something cool happening on opening day. Any way to figure out the CGs per G or something?

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By: Doug http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-93986 Tue, 15 Feb 2011 01:18:20 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-93986 Take a look at Jack Morris in '92. 144 pitches. Followed it up 5 days later with 118 pitches in 7 innings of 2-run ball.

Did it catch up to him? Not by hist won-lost record (10-3 at mid-season, 21-6 at the end). But, he did rack up 5 CG by June 11, and only one more the rest of the way (although, he did have two 9-inning non-complete games in September).

What a horse!

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By: Doug http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-93983 Tue, 15 Feb 2011 01:01:59 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-93983 @7. Randy Johnson actually threw more strikes in 2002 than (for example) Dave Dravecky's total pitch count in 1988. And Johnson faced only 3 more batters.

Hard to imagine a pitcher getting an easier time of it than Draveky. 24 of 30 Dodger batters had ABs of 3 pitches or less, and 10 of them hit the first offering (including Steve Sax who led off the home 1st with a HR for the Dodger's only run).

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By: supermario http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-93967 Mon, 14 Feb 2011 22:21:27 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-93967 nice work.
thanks for the information.
I will surely follow all of them.

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By: Opening Day complete games » Baseball-Reference Blog » Blog Archive http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/9930/comment-page-1#comment-93965 Mon, 14 Feb 2011 21:52:52 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=9930#comment-93965 Opening Day complete games » Baseball-Reference Blog » Blog Archive...

[...]I had totally forgotten that in 2000, the Reds and Brewers played a rain-shortened tie on Opening Day. That was also Ken Griffey Jr's first game with the Reds. Pete Harnisch started for the Reds but was relieved after the 4th inning. ...[...]...

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