Comments on: Game Three Thoughts http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930 This and that about baseball stats. Tue, 16 Jul 2013 17:01:55 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: DoubleDiamond http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65475 Tue, 02 Nov 2010 01:21:05 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65475 @7 Why am I not surprised to see Ryan Howard's name on this list? To be fair, that was a 16-inning game. Then again, Howard did not play the whole game because he got ejected for slamming something after the 5th one. I believe it was a situation in which the home plate umpire appealed to the 3rd base ump on a checked swing twice in the same at-bat, and both times, it was ruled that he swung. The second of those two times was strike three.

]]>
By: Michael E Sullivan http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65395 Mon, 01 Nov 2010 13:11:52 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65395 I've never understood why it would matter what where the series stands in deciding to use a pitcher on three days rest or not. The question is what gives you to the opportunity to win four of the next five games? Does that mean Lewis, Hunter, Lee, Wilson and Lewis or Lee, Wilson, Lewis and Lee?

This.

I found the punditry around this maddeningly ridiculous. It's not about whether he starts better for game four than the alternative, it's about which rotation gives you the best chance to win the next *four* games. How much does Lee add over your other options on three days rest *twice* in a row versus on four or five days rest *once*. If you don't think he's going to be good enough to throw both game 4 *and* game 7 on short rest, then using him on three days rest would simply be stupid, because you need to win all four games, not just this next one!

]]>
By: John Autin http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65306 Mon, 01 Nov 2010 02:22:38 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65306 "I need to get a split finder done so we can quickly tell who plays better in losses than in wins."

Even though you probably meant that facetiously, finding such a player it would be very interesting. Given 2 players with identical stats, would you rather have one whose stats are better when your team wins, or when it loses? I can't think it out in the abstract.

In any case, I'm looking forward to that split finder!

]]>
By: John Autin http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65305 Mon, 01 Nov 2010 02:08:00 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65305 "Colby Lewis was not the first Colby in the major leagues."

What if this were a bar bet, and I said Colby Ward doesn't count because his full name is Robert Colby Ward? How would we settle it?

Also ... isn't it unusual for a guy with a common first name and an unusual middle name to choose to be known by his middle name? Discuss.

For the record, Colby Lewis's middle name is Preston.

P.S. If Colby Ward hadn't reached the majors, and we had the same bar bet, would you count "Colby Jack" Coombs, who won 59 regular-season games and went 4-0 in the WS for the 1910-11 world champion A's?

]]>
By: John Autin http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65303 Mon, 01 Nov 2010 01:56:00 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65303 "wouldn't be shocked to see Ross hit 30+ homers some year"

I like Cody Ross, but even though he's hit as many as 24 HRs in a season, I would be surprised if he ever hit 30 -- unless he were to play in Colorado, or time-travel to a period when there were a lot more LHPs than there are now.

Ross has massive power against lefties -- .595 SLG and an average of 41 HRs per 600 PAs. Against righties, though, he's a popgun -- .413 SLG, 16 HRs per 600 PAs.

Even in his biggest HR seasons (2008-09), Ross averaged less than 19 HRs per 600 AB vs. righty pitchers.

I can't cite evidence of this, but it seems to me that guys who have huge platoon splits for several years in the majors rarely change that pattern.

Combining that with other factors -- Ross turns 30 in December; HR rates are trending downward throughout MLB -- I just have a hard time seeing him as a 30-HR man.

But I still like him.

]]>
By: Mike Gaber http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65299 Mon, 01 Nov 2010 00:00:20 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65299 Golden Sombrero 4 K's in 4 AB's:

I had not heard of that term either but after seeing it used on the Blog I thought of Mark Reynolds and his short 4 year career with high strikeout totals.

So decided to check his BB-Ref.com Game Logs from 2007 through 2010.

2007 1 time:
2008 2 times: 2 other games with 4 K's but more than 4 PA's
2009 2 times: 3 other games with 4 K's but more than 4 PA's
2010 3 times: 1 other game with 4 K's but more than 4 PA's

At least he never had a 5 K's game as @ 7 has pointed out.

]]>
By: Chuck http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65277 Sun, 31 Oct 2010 16:55:54 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65277 Sean @ #2

Absolutely.

Uribe was alot closer to the bag, when watching the play live I initially thought he would try and tag Cruz going back in.

The ten foot margin Kelly refers to in comment #10 is conservative.

]]>
By: BSK http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65267 Sun, 31 Oct 2010 15:33:03 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65267 To elaborate, the number of people drinking each may have been closer to equal, but the amount they each drank is likely very different.

]]>
By: BSK http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65266 Sun, 31 Oct 2010 15:32:34 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65266 The beer/soda numbers make some sense. Most people who drink will have 4 or 5 or more beers. Who drinks that many sodas?

]]>
By: joe baseball http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8930/comment-page-1#comment-65263 Sun, 31 Oct 2010 15:07:11 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8930#comment-65263 Cruz did the right thing, and it was a headsup play getting back to third so quickly, McCarver sometimes misinforms people. Cruz would've gone if it had been hit to short or second, but third or pitcher he was holding.

]]>