Comments on: Site Features: More On Postseason Boxscores http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524 This and that about baseball stats. Tue, 16 Jul 2013 17:01:55 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: Sean Forman http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56820 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 13:20:26 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56820 Yes, it does. I'll look into that.

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By: Matt http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56818 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 13:16:53 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56818 Sorry, meant to bold just the 1 LOB

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By: Matt http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56817 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 13:15:45 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56817 I dutifully went back to the Ruth game...and noticed that, at the end of the Yankee 9th, the play by play read "0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 1 LOB. Cardinals 3, Yankees 2.

Doe the site do this whenever a caught stealing ends an inning?

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By: Sean Forman http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56810 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 13:05:49 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56810 The model is not empirical. It is based on simulations given the run scoring environment. I'm not sure the manner in which the runs score will affect the team's win probability all that much.

As for the relievers, that cuts both ways. The team ahead now brings in relievers and the team behind will do so as well, so a lot of those effects cancel out.

I guess here is the question. Construct two teams, one that walks a lot and only hits home runs and the other that only hits singles. The tricky part will be creating the event rates such that their overall run scoring overall is the same. The question is then do the two teams have different probabilities of scoring different numbers of runs. It's possible they do, but you'd need to show me a model that demonstrates that before I'm going to spend a lot of time building different event rates into the system. I'm not convinced that the probabilities of one run, two runs, etc will change all that much.

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By: ‘Test Article’ For “Unique Article Wizard” | For A Better Website http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56707 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 05:30:50 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56707 [...] Site Features: More On Postseason Boxscores » Baseball-Reference ... [...]

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By: Gerry http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56696 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 04:48:49 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56696 Sean, what which Neil said? There are two of them in this discussion.

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By: pm http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56617 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 00:36:54 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56617 Isn't that approach a little flawed. They might have scored the same amount of runs in 1930 as they did today, but they did it in a different way. The batting average, OBP, and doubles were higher while today there are more HR, more K's, more BB, plus better pitchers as relievers at the end of the game changing the run distribution of late innings. Are the numbers in 1920's taking that into account? Is the model you are basing it on empirical?

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By: Sean Forman http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56608 Wed, 06 Oct 2010 00:00:51 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56608 What Neil said.

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By: Neil L http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56607 Tue, 05 Oct 2010 23:58:24 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56607 Neil, gotta try it to appreciate it, I guess.

Am I understanding your post correctly to mean that are more complete data available for 107-year-old, post-season, games than there are for comparable regular-season games?

I am aware of a lot of gaps in the minor offensive stats around that time for regular-season games.

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By: Neil Paine http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/8524/comment-page-1#comment-56601 Tue, 05 Oct 2010 23:39:21 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=8524#comment-56601 Right, I can't really speak for how Sean does it, but I believe you can tweak the base-out matrix for the environment, much like Tango did here:

http://www.tangotiger.net/customlwts.html

The various offensive events are worth more or less based on the RPG environment in which they occurred.

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