Posted by Andy on June 4, 2010
This plot shows a few things:
- The rise starting in 1993 is apparent although it's interesting that numbers that year didn't get quite a bit higher until later in the year. 1994 was the first full season with elevated offensive levels.
- The peak of the recent offensive era was in 2000.
- In 2001 (when anonymous drug testing started) the offense dropped dramatically.
- 2010 is the lowest (or tied for lowest) in both OBP and SLG since 1993.
I did some calculations to figure out the impact on a game for the difference in OBP and SLG between 2000 and 2010:
- The SLG difference of 47 points translates to about 1.5 fewer total bases per game per team. Think about it this way: in 2000, a double was replaced by a homer 3 out of every 4 games. Or, every 2 games, 3 singles turn into doubles. Big difference.
- The OBP difference of 19 points translates to about 1.5 fewer walks plus hits. So far in 2010, each game has an average of about 12.2 walks plus hits but it was 13.7 in 2010.