You Are Here > Baseball-Reference.com > Blog >

SITE NEWS: We are moving all of our site and company news into a single blog for Sports-Reference.com. We'll tag all B-R content, so you can quickly and easily find the content you want.

Also, our existing B-R blog rss feed will be redirected to the new site's feed.

Baseball-Reference.com » Sports Reference

For more from Andy and the gang, check out their new site High Heat Stats.

Inherited Runners Scoring %

Posted by Andy on May 10, 2010

Or: Why You Shouldn't Get Too Excited About Tyler Clippard

Here are the 30 pitchers so far this season to inherit at least 5 runners and allow at least half of them to score:

Rk Player IS% IR Tm G GF W L W-L% IP H R ER BB SO ERA ERA+ HR
1 Jeremy Accardo 100.00% 6 TOR 5 2 0 1 .000 6.2 12 6 6 3 3 8.10 53 0
2 Juan Cruz 100.00% 6 KCR 5 1 0 0 5.1 9 2 2 4 7 3.38 131 0
3 Tyler Walker 80.00% 5 WSN 9 2 0 0 16.1 17 10 10 2 17 5.51 78 4
4 Leo Rosales 80.00% 5 ARI 9 2 2 0 1.000 10.0 15 9 9 6 9 8.10 58 1
5 Randy Williams 79.00% 14 CHW 13 0 0 1 .000 11.1 14 7 6 16 12 4.76 94 0
6 Micah Owings 78.00% 9 CIN 9 3 3 0 1.000 16.1 16 8 8 7 20 4.41 99 1
7 Raul Valdes 75.00% 8 NYM 11 2 0 0 16.1 16 6 5 6 18 2.76 153 1
8 Casey Janssen 75.00% 8 TOR 12 3 3 0 1.000 12.1 14 8 8 7 9 5.84 71 0
9 Mark Hendrickson 71.00% 7 BAL 11 1 0 0 13.0 17 9 9 4 14 6.23 70 2
10 Brad Thomas 71.00% 7 DET 7 1 1 0 1.000 16.2 22 10 10 9 6 5.40 81 0
11 Brian Stokes 70.00% 10 LAA 15 6 0 0 16.0 24 16 13 16 15 7.31 59 3
12 Matt Palmer 67.00% 9 LAA 9 0 0 1 .000 23.0 31 18 16 16 11 6.26 68 1
13 James Russell 63.00% 8 CHC 12 2 0 1 .000 11.0 10 7 3 2 10 2.45 188 2
14 Brandon League 60.00% 5 SEA 15 2 3 2 .600 17.2 16 6 4 4 12 2.04 203 1
15 Daniel Bard 60.00% 10 BOS 16 1 0 1 .000 17.0 12 6 6 5 22 3.18 141 3
16 Jonathan Broxton 60.00% 5 LAD 12 10 2 0 1.000 11.2 11 2 2 1 19 1.54 264 0
17 Jeff Fulchino 57.00% 7 HOU 12 4 0 0 11.1 9 5 5 1 15 3.97 109 2
18 Tyler Clippard 56.00% 18 WSN 16 2 6 0 1.000 23.2 12 2 2 12 29 0.76 560 1
19 Jason Bulger 54.00% 13 LAA 13 2 0 0 12.1 15 7 7 9 12 5.11 85 2
20 George Sherrill 54.00% 13 LAD 17 3 0 1 .000 11.1 14 11 10 12 8 7.94 51 1
21 Jim Johnson 50.00% 8 BAL 10 3 1 1 .500 9.2 15 7 7 4 9 6.52 67 1
22 Miguel Batista 50.00% 8 WSN 11 5 0 2 .000 19.0 14 12 12 12 8 5.68 75 3
23 Grant Balfour 50.00% 6 TBR 12 2 0 0 13.2 10 4 3 2 13 1.98 219 1
24 Scott Atchison 50.00% 8 BOS 7 2 0 1 .000 10.1 10 8 7 4 9 6.10 74 3
25 Carlos Zambrano 50.00% 6 CHC 9 0 1 2 .333 25.1 35 20 19 11 31 6.75 67 4
26 Renyel Pinto 50.00% 10 FLA 13 4 0 0 9.0 10 3 3 5 8 3.00 147 0
27 Craig Breslow 50.00% 6 OAK 13 3 0 1 .000 11.1 11 5 5 6 13 3.97 106 2
28 Brandon Medders 50.00% 8 SFG 10 5 0 0 11.1 18 6 6 4 7 4.76 94 1
29 David Robertson 50.00% 6 NYY 11 1 0 2 .000 7.2 16 11 11 4 11 12.91 33 3
30 Peter Moylan 50.00% 6 ATL 15 1 1 0 1.000 12.2 11 3 3 10 12 2.13 198 0
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/10/2010.

This shows how deceptive relievers' stats can be. Sure a lot of these guys have ugly numbers.  Take Matt Palmer for example. (I can hear Angels fans now: "Take him PLEASE!!" He's got a 6.26 ERA over 23 innings and has also allowed 6 our of 9 inherit runners to score.

But then take a look at Tyler Clippard. Raphy pointed out earlier that Clip has 6 wins already. He has an ERA of 0.76. But he's also allowed 10 out of 18 inherit runners to score. In his game logs you can see that 4 of his wins came along with blown saves. In each of those 4 games he inherited runners and allowed at least 1 to score. In another game, he came in with the Nationals down 3-1 and walked in a run to make it 4-1. He got the win because the offense rallied an inning later. In fact, it was Ryan Zimmerman pinch-hitting for Clippard who hit the go-ahead homer. Cheap win.

In yet another game on April 15th, Clippard came in with the bases loaded and allowed all 3 runners to score.

Bottom line? This guy has had more than his share of luck so far to get the stats he has and it is unlikely to continue.

Another guy with deceptive numbers is Daniel Bard. He has a nice ERA but has allowed 6 out of 10 inherited runners to score and has been instrumental in a few of the Red Sox's losses even though he was pegged with only one of them on his own stat sheet.

Bard had a 3-for-3 game over the weekend, meaning an occasion in which he allowed all 3 inherited runners to score. Such games should be easy to find but for some reason the IR and IS stats are not yet included in the Pitching Game Finder in the PI.

When I think about vultured wins, I always think about Mitch Williams in 1991. Looking at those logs, however, he had only 3 blown-save-wins that year although they all came in a 15-day stretch in August. The truth is that Williams had a good year that year, including an incredible string of 4 consecutive appearances August 2nd to August 7th where he pitched into extra innings each time and got the win each time. I suppose that season is memorable because he got 12 wins total, good enough for 3rd on a sub-.500 Phillies team.

This entry was posted on Monday, May 10th, 2010 at 12:49 pm and is filed under Season Finders. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

4 Responses to “Inherited Runners Scoring %”

  1. Kahuna Tuna Says:

    Randy Williams' stat line intrigued me — with 16 BB allowed in 11.1 innings, I figured he must have been walking in runs all over the place. So far, though, only one of his inherited runners has been walked in. What's amazing about Williams is that, of the 14 hits he has given up, 10 have been doubles. He has allowed 11 inherited runners to score; nine have scored on doubles.

    Another fun Randy Williams stat: He has walked or struck out 28 of the 64 batters he has faced. That's 43.8%, obviously a very high percentage. Career-high rates for three other pitchers known for doing the same thing: Mitch Williams, 1987, 47.5%; Bobby Witt, 1987, 44.6%; and Nolan Ryan, 1977, 42.8%. So call Randy Williams Wild Thing II.

  2. Kahuna Tuna Says:

    And then there's the deceptiveness of inherited-runner stats. The best bullpen in the majors so far in 2010 at not allowing inherited runners to score belongs to the Cleveland Indians. Their pen has allowed five of 61 runners (8.2%) to score. (Contrast that with the rates of the Angels and Diamondbacks, who are both at just over 50%.) However, the Indians' bullpen has allowed more than a hit per inning, has a combined ERA of 3.90, has walked 51 batters in 83 innings and has struck out only 54. Ace Chris Perez has lost two games that he entered with two-run ninth-inning leads and has walked more batters than he has struck out. Laffey, Sipp, Smith and Wright have all done good jobs at stranding runners that they've inherited, but realistically, this is one of the weaker bullpens in the American League.

  3. [...] Baseball-Reference Blog » Blog Archive » Inherited Runners Scoring % [...]

  4. well, it caught up to him...

    IP H R ER BB K
    T. Clippard (L, 6-1; BS, 5) 0.1 4 3 3 0 1

    plus another inherited runner scored.