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More on coolstandings.com

Posted by Andy on April 20, 2010

I mentioned this site last week. Here are some of the interesting things you can learn from there, all based on their own simulations:

  • When the season started, they gave the Red Sox a 42.2 chance of making the playoffs. Before the beginning of the 4-game series vs. the Rays that just ended, they were at 31.8%. After the 4-game sweep they are all the way down to 14.7%
  • Tampa Bay has the opposite story. At the start of the season they were at 20.8%. Before the 4-game Red Sox series, they had risen to 25.1%. Now they are at 44.4%. Basically the teams flip-flopped plus a little more.
  • The Yankees, meanwhile, started at 56.9% and now stand at 72.2%.
  • The Orioles started at a lowly 6.2% and have now sunk to 0.8%, meaning we'd have to play this season out 125 times for the Orioles to make the playoffs once, on average.
  • The Astros have had a similar fall from 5.9% down to 1.5%
  • The Pirates, despite getting off to a 7-5 start, still have only a 4% chance, not changed too much from their starting figure of 3%
  • The Padres have seen a better increase from just 8.6% up to 14.2% thanks to their 7-6 start.
  • Seven teams are projected for 90+ wins: Yankees, Cardinals, Phillies, Twins, Giants, Braves, and Rays. There's a good chance that there are at least 6 playoffs teams among that group of 7.

This entry was posted on Tuesday, April 20th, 2010 at 1:28 pm and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

One Response to “More on coolstandings.com”

  1. [...] B-ref’s Andy K, on Cool Standings: When the season started, they gave the Red Sox a 42.2 chance of making the playoffs. Before the beginning of the 4-game series vs. the Rays that just ended, they were at 31.8%. After the 4-game sweep they are all the way down to 14.7%. [...]