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Forecasting Jason Giambi

Posted by Steve Lombardi on January 1, 2008

I was just playing around with Baseball-Reference.com's Play Index Batting Season Finder - looking for LH-hitters, since the DH, who had a season like Jason Giambi's 2007 - at the same age Giambi was last year.  This is what I found:

  Cnt Player             **PA** OPS+  G  HR Year Age Tm  Lg  AB  R   H  2B 3B RBI  BB IBB  SO HBP  SH  SF GDP  SB CS   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS  Positions

+----+-----------------+-------+----+---+--+----+---+---+--+---+---+---+--+--+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+---+--+-----+-----+-----+-----+---------+

    1 Darryl Strawberry   345    132 101 24 1998  36 NYY AL 295  44  73 11  2  57  46   4  90   3   0   1   1   8  7  .247  .354  .542  .896 *D7

    2 Jay Johnstone       332    107 119 10 1982  36 TOT NL 282  40  68 14  1  45  45   9  43   0   1   4   3   0  2  .241  .341  .404  .745 97

    3 Jason Giambi        303    108  83 14 2007  36 NYY AL 254  31  60  8  0  39  40   2  66   8   0   1   1   1  0  .236  .356  .433  .789 *D3

    4 Rick Monday         254    140 104 11 1982  36 LAD NL 210  37  54  6  4  42  39   6  51   1   1   3   3   2  1  .257  .372  .481  .853 97/3
Seasons/Careers found: 4.

Strawberry played a little in 1999 - but, basically, 1998 was it for him in terms of a career.  Johnstone hung on for 3 more seasons past 1982 - but, for the most part, he was just a pinch-hitter and back-up OF during those seasons.  Monday went on to play 2 more seasons past 1982 - but, like Johnstone, he was just a small spare part in those years.

If you look at Giambi's last 124 PA of 2007, you'll see that he had an OPS of .752 - which is not very impressive.  Seeing all this, how do you think Jason Giambi will do for the New York Yankees in 2008?

I think the odds are against him - in terms of having any value.  For sure, he's not going to provide any decent ROI on his $20+ million dollar salary this season.

This entry was posted on Tuesday, January 1st, 2008 at 1:05 pm and is filed under Season Finders. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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