Comments on: 2010 Marcel Projected Standings: American League East http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/4998 This and that about baseball stats. Tue, 16 Jul 2013 17:01:55 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: The Monkey Says: Yankees By Three Games | WasWatching.com http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/4998/comment-page-1#comment-12121 Thu, 18 Mar 2010 17:23:31 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=4998#comment-12121 [...] Neil Paine ran the numbers. [...]

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By: DoubleDiamond http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/4998/comment-page-1#comment-12109 Wed, 17 Mar 2010 22:54:48 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=4998#comment-12109 More likely Rigoberta MenchĂș Tum and a shared prize between Nelson Mandela and Frederik Willem de Klerk. (OK, I know I'm being too serious right now. Jimmy Carter winning it in Joe Carter's year or as a consolation prize in a year that included a Braves World Series loss would have been more poetic.)

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By: Neil Paine http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/4998/comment-page-1#comment-12099 Wed, 17 Mar 2010 17:55:07 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=4998#comment-12099 In 10,000 seasons it never happened, but there were 11 seasons where they all finished with 80-82 wins. Here's the average of those simulations:

Team Div W L Team Div W L Team Div W L
MIN AL-C 85 77 NYA AL-E 95 67 ANA AL-W 81 81
DET AL-C 81 81 BOS AL-E 94 68 SEA AL-W 81 81
CHA AL-C 77 85 TBA AL-E 84 78 OAK AL-W 81 81
CLE AL-C 76 86 BAL AL-E 76 86 TEX AL-W 81 81
KCA AL-C 71 91 TOR AL-E 73 89
Team Div W L Team Div W L Team Div W L
SLN NL-C 92 70 PHI NL-E 88 74 LAN NL-W 87 75
CHN NL-C 86 76 ATL NL-E 86 76 COL NL-W 86 76
MIL NL-C 80 82 NYN NL-E 82 80 SFN NL-W 84 78
CIN NL-C 77 85 FLO NL-E 78 84 ARI NL-W 81 81
HOU NL-C 72 90 WAS NL-E 74 88 SDN NL-W 73 89
PIT NL-C 67 95

Texas made the playoffs 4 times in those seasons, even winning 1 World Series; Seattle got in once; Oakland got in once; Los Angaheim made the playoffs 5 times and lost a World Series to the Rockies.

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By: Murphy O'Furphy O'Fluffy O'Flynn http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/4998/comment-page-1#comment-12096 Wed, 17 Mar 2010 17:29:59 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=4998#comment-12096 Interestingly, in a season when the Blue Jays win the World Series, Marcel also projects that the Earth's magnetic poles will reverse and that Robert Mugabe will win the Nobel Peace Prize.

I'm dying to know what percentage of the projected seasons show all four AL West teams finishing 81-81.

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By: Djibouti http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/4998/comment-page-1#comment-12093 Wed, 17 Mar 2010 14:24:40 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=4998#comment-12093 The general theme so far has been that the Pirates, Nats, and Padres stink. In every table except the one they win, and for some reason the one the Pirates win, the Padres are dead last. Up until now, in every table except the ones they win, the Nats and Pirates were dead last. Oddly enough, if the Blue Jays win it all, the odds say the Nats will take 4th place by 3.5 games and the Pirates will take 5th place by 11.5(!) games.
Other weird features of the Blue Jays table:
The AL Central is all mixed up compared to the other tables (the Indians 3 games out of first?)
The A's win the AL West instead of finishing last like they do in almost every other table
The Giants win the NL West instead of finishing third
The Blue Jays win the World Series, but not their own division

So apparently the Blue Jays winning the WS would make for a very, very odd year.

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