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Carlos Silva, 2006

Posted by Chris J. on September 27, 2007

Random Memory Day:

Once upon a time, in a blogosphere far far away, Aaron Gleeman wrote that Carlos Silva's ERA of 5.94 was the worst by any AL pitcher with at least 180 IP since 1969. (No, I don't remember quite when Gleeman wrote it; and I sure as heck ain't gonna check his site looking for it, either).

For no good reason, this quote stuck with me - was it true?  Why make 180 IP his benchmark (aside from the fact that Silva tossed 180.3 IP that is).  More strangely, why use 1969 as a benchmark?  I mean, 1963-8 was the new deadball era, so the worst score from 1969-onward should also be the worst score for an even longer time back.

Five minutes ago I realized the PI could solve the riddles for me.  Turns out, it is true.  (I'd love to do this as save'n'share it, but for some reason that function won't work for me at the moment):

1 Jose Lima         6.65 

2 Darryl Kile           6.61  

 3 Eric Milton           6.47  
 4 Pedro Astacio         6.23  
 5 Brian Bohanon         6.20 
 6 Jason Marquis         6.02  
 7 Carlos Silva          5.94 

A couple guys had worse years, but they were all in the NL.   

If you drop it down just 5 innings, he wasn't as bad as fellow Twin LaTroy Hawkins in 1999 (6.62 ERA) or Chris Carpenter (6.26 ERA) in 2000.

But who was the last AL pitcher to have an ERA higher than 5.94 in 180 or more innings?

Silva's the worst since expansion by those standards.

He's the worst since integration by those standards.

But, if you go back to 1939, you'll see Nels Potter of the Philadelphia A's under Connie Mack scoring a 6.60 ERA in 196.3 IP.  That's nothing.  In 1936 Jack Knott had a 7.29 with the Browns. 

Silva's is the seventh highest ERA in AL history by those standards, also trailing Sloppy Thurston's 1925, Pat Caraway's 1931, Jim Walkup's 1935, and Earl Caldwell's 1936.  Caldwell was Knott's teammate.  Some rotation, eh?

2 Responses to “Carlos Silva, 2006”

  1. kingturtle Says:

    Silva's ERA+ that year was 75. How does that rank? It is too bad that baseball-reference doesn't include WORST averages in the leaders area - like worst ERA+ with 162 IP, or worst BA with 3000 BA.

  2. Johnny Twisto Says:

    Why would all the worst be NL guys? Well, 3 of them pitched in Colorado. The funny thing is, in Astacio's two seasons after his 6.23, he put up ERAs over 5.00, but his ERA+ was over 100.