Comments on: Post-season winning percetange for the home team http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2850 This and that about baseball stats. Tue, 16 Jul 2013 17:01:55 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: Andy http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2850/comment-page-1#comment-9422 Fri, 09 Oct 2009 18:33:37 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2850#comment-9422 Hmm that's interesting. Your questions #3 and #4 can be researched, of course. I don't know the answer to #1 though, and #2 would be pure speculation.

I mean--Boston certainly still has a decent shot of beating Angels despite dropping Game 1, whereas I think the Twins have little shot of beating the Yankees after losing Game 1. This has mainly to do with each team's regular-season record. For all their glory, the Twins are still just an 87-win team up against a 103-win team. So we could see 1-1 in the AL among teams who won the first game.

But I don't have any theories as to why there would be such a discrepancy between the leagues. There might be a discrepancy in home field advantage between leagues, but it couldn't possibly be large enough to explain the difference in series outcomes.

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By: cubbies http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2850/comment-page-1#comment-9419 Fri, 09 Oct 2009 18:26:56 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2850#comment-9419 I saw that teams in the alds go 14-14 after winning the 1st game, but in the nlds, they are 25-3.

1. why is there such a diference?
2. do you think these stats could hold true this year?
3. is there the same diference in the LCS?
4. is an AL team more likely to win a world series after losing the 1st game than an NL team who lost the 1st game?

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By: JohnnyTwisto http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2850/comment-page-1#comment-9415 Fri, 09 Oct 2009 17:22:24 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2850#comment-9415 You can get all-time home winning percentages using the Game Log Reports. http://www.baseball-reference.com/games/ Since 1901, the all-time home winning % is 54.2. From 1901-1953 it was 54.5.

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By: Andy http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2850/comment-page-1#comment-9412 Fri, 09 Oct 2009 13:52:55 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2850#comment-9412 I'm not really trying to explain it--I'm just trying to say that today, you can't really judge which playoff team is better based only on record. I don't have the data, but I'm willing to bet if we seeded post-season teams (#1 has best regular season record, #2 has second best, etc) that #1 and #2 seeds used to win a lot more, and nowadays #3, #4 and even lower win more often than they used to.

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By: dgreds http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2850/comment-page-1#comment-9411 Fri, 09 Oct 2009 13:43:56 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2850#comment-9411 Isn't it a recent thing that the better team got home field advantage? I thought the WS and later the LCS just rotated leagues and divisions for who was the home team. So I don't think this is the correct explanation.

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