Comments on: OMG, He Walked Him? http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2844 This and that about baseball stats. Fri, 11 Nov 2011 16:57:02 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 By: GCA10 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2844/comment-page-1#comment-9410 GCA10 Fri, 09 Oct 2009 04:42:27 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2844#comment-9410 Stop the presses! After you lay out the theme and stats comes this gigantic disclaimer: Granted, Rivera is high on this list partly because he's thrown in so many post-season games. Let's take a moment to chew that over. I've got Rivera with 34 post-season saves in his career. Let's take that as a rough proxy for how many times he's pitched in the 9th with a lead. (If anything that understates the total slightly; we haven't accounted for blown saves yet.) So he's walking a guy with 2 outs in at most 3/34th of the situations where that might occur. That's less than 9% of the time. By contrast, Jason Isringhausen has 4 such walks -- which we will now call Deplorable Walks -- and 11 post-season saves. So he's at 36% of the time. Henke has a mere 5 saves and 3 DWs. So he's at 60%. I'm going to postulate than anyone whose Deplorable Walk number is over 20% isn't doing a good enough job of putting them away. But Rivera could walk the bases loaded in his next outing and still not be at that threshold. For now, he's getting the job done just fine. Stop the presses! After you lay out the theme and stats comes this gigantic disclaimer:

Granted, Rivera is high on this list partly because he's thrown in so many post-season games.

Let's take a moment to chew that over. I've got Rivera with 34 post-season saves in his career. Let's take that as a rough proxy for how many times he's pitched in the 9th with a lead. (If anything that understates the total slightly; we haven't accounted for blown saves yet.) So he's walking a guy with 2 outs in at most 3/34th of the situations where that might occur. That's less than 9% of the time.

By contrast, Jason Isringhausen has 4 such walks -- which we will now call Deplorable Walks -- and 11 post-season saves. So he's at 36% of the time.

Henke has a mere 5 saves and 3 DWs. So he's at 60%.

I'm going to postulate than anyone whose Deplorable Walk number is over 20% isn't doing a good enough job of putting them away. But Rivera could walk the bases loaded in his next outing and still not be at that threshold. For now, he's getting the job done just fine.

]]> By: kingturtle http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2844/comment-page-1#comment-9408 kingturtle Fri, 09 Oct 2009 00:13:35 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2844#comment-9408 Joe Tinker and Don Buford each succeeded twice in WS play to walk in this situation. Joe Tinker and Don Buford each succeeded twice in WS play to walk in this situation.

]]> By: Steve Lombardi http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2844/comment-page-1#comment-9407 Steve Lombardi Thu, 08 Oct 2009 23:26:27 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2844#comment-9407 damthesehigheels - Actually, it's this game that put Valenzuela on the leader board - http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/MON/MON198110190.shtml damthesehigheels -

Actually, it's this game that put Valenzuela on the leader board -

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/MON/MON198110190.shtml

]]> By: damthesehigheels http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2844/comment-page-1#comment-9403 damthesehigheels Thu, 08 Oct 2009 20:29:46 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2844#comment-9403 Valenzuela shouldn't be on this list as he only pitched one playoff game in relief, (he walked two batters, which is why he's on the list with a 2) and he worked the first two outs of the 8th inning. http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SDN/SDN199610050.shtml Valenzuela shouldn't be on this list as he only pitched one playoff game in relief, (he walked two batters, which is why he's on the list with a 2) and he worked the first two outs of the 8th inning.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SDN/SDN199610050.shtml

]]> By: Nick Punto & Mo Rivera http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/2844/comment-page-1#comment-9399 Nick Punto & Mo Rivera Thu, 08 Oct 2009 19:00:27 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=2844#comment-9399 [...] Dig it. [...] [...] Dig it. [...]

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