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Shutouts and near-shutouts in the World Series

Posted by John Autin on October 24, 2011

Derek Holland was removed from Game 4 after getting an out in the 9th, and wound up with no runs charged to him. How rare is that?

  • It was the 3rd out of 2,656 postseason starts to last at least 8.1 IP but less than 9 IP, with no runs allowed:
Rk Player Date Series Gm# Tm Opp Rslt App,Dec IP H R ER BB SO HR Pit Str GSc IR IS BF AB 2B 3B IBB HBP SH SF GDP SB CS PO BK WP ERA WPA RE24 aLI
1 Derek Holland 2011-10-23 WS 4 TEX STL W 4-0 GS-9 ,W 8.1 2 0 0 2 7 0 116 76 84     28 26 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.444 4.441 .829
2 Andy Pettitte 1996-10-24 WS 5 NYY ATL W 1-0 GS-9 ,W 8.1 5 0 0 3 4 0 96 59 74     31 28 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 1 0 0 0.00 0.452 4.010 1.608
3 Steve Avery 1991-10-10 NLCS 2 ATL PIT W 1-0 GS-9 ,W 8.1 6 0 0 2 9 0 118 78 78     32 30 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.507 3.437 1.591
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 10/24/2011.

 

(By the way, no postseason SP has ever begun the 9th with a shutout and then been lifted before getting an out, while still winding up with no runs on his record.)

Holland's gem was the 100th WS start consisting of at least 8 scoreless innings; every one of those SPs got the win. The first 79 of those were CG shutouts; Jack Billingham (1972, Game 3) was the first to be lifted after 8 IP and wind up with a scoreless start, as Clay Carroll closed out the 1-0 win.

Breakdown of scoreless WS starts of at least 8 IP:

  • By decade:

1903-1910 -- 14 out of 82 starts (17.1%)
1911-1920 -- 12 out of 120 (10%)
1921-1930 -- 8 out of 118 (6.8%)
1931-1940 -- 8 out of 110 (7.3%)
1941-1950 -- 12 out of 114 (10.5%)
1951-1960 -- 11 out of 128 (8.6%)
1961-1970 -- 13 out of 116 (11.1%)
1971-1980 -- 3 out of 124 (2.4%) (shutouts by Luis Tiant and Nelson Briles, and Billingham's 8-IP game)
1981-1990 -- 7 out of 114 (6.1%)
1991-2000 -- 6 out of 102 (5.8%)
2001-2011 -- 6 out of 114 (5.3%)

  • By score:

1-0 -- 22 games (last by Andy Pettitte, 1996)
2-0 -- 18 (last by Josh Beckett, 2003)
3-0 -- 20 (last by John Tudor, 1985)
3-1 -- 1 (Kenny Rogers, 2006)
4-0 -- 13 (last by Derek Holland, 2011)
5-0 -- 9 (last by Chris Carpenter, 2006)
6-0 -- 4 (last by Orel Hershiser, 1988)
6-5 -- 1 (Roger Clemens, 2000)
7-0 -- 2 (last by Sandy Koufax, 1965)
8-0 -- 2 (last by Bobo Newsom, 1940)
9-0 -- 3 (Johnny Kucks, 1956)
10-0 -- 2 (last by Mike Caldwell, 1982)
11-0 -- 2 (last by Bret Saberhagen, 1985)
12-0 -- 1 (Whitey Ford, 1960)

Finally ... There have now been 112 shutouts in World Series play.
Sunday's game was the 22nd combined shutout:

Date Series Gm# Team Opp Result Notes
10/6/1930 WS 5 PHA STL W 2-0 Only WS shutout in which L.Grove (GF) was involved
10/4/1958 WS 3 NYY MLN W 4-0  
10/1/1959 WS 1 CHW LAD W 11-0  
10/6/1959 WS 5 CHW LAD W 1-0 1st WS shutout using 3 pitchers
10/8/1961 WS 4 NYY CIN W 7-0 J.Coates (4 IP) longest relief outing in a WS shutout (W.Ford left in 6th)
10/14/1969 WS 3 NYM BAL W 5-0  
10/18/1972 WS 3 CIN OAK W 1-0  
10/18/1973 WS 5 NYM OAK W 2-0  
10/16/1979 WS 6 PIT BAL W 4-0 K.Tekulve 2nd & last RP with 3+ IP in a WS shutout
10/21/1981 WS 2 NYY LAD W 3-0  
10/18/1986 WS 1 BOS NYM W 1-0  
10/16/1990 WS 1 CIN OAK W 7-0 J.Rijo, R.Dibble, R.Myers
10/28/1995 WS 6 ATL CLE W 1-0 1-hitter by T.Glavine & M.Wohlers
10/21/1996 WS 2 ATL NYY W 4-0  
10/24/1996 WS 5 NYY ATL W 1-0 J.Wetteland strands tying run on 3rd with 1 out
10/21/1998 WS 4 NYY SDP W 3-0 3 pitchers
10/27/2004 WS 4 BOS STL W 3-0 1st WS shutout using 4 pitchers
10/26/2005 WS 4 CHW HOU W 1-0 4 pitchers
10/24/2006 WS 3 STL DET W 5-0  
10/28/2010 WS 2 SFG TEX W 9-0 3 pitchers
10/31/2010 WS 4 SFG TEX W 4-0  
10/23/2011 WS 4 TEX STL W 4-0  

This entry was posted on Monday, October 24th, 2011 at 12:31 pm and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

17 Responses to “Shutouts and near-shutouts in the World Series”

  1. How does the frequency of shutouts (combined or otherwise) in the World Series compare to the rest of the playoffs? The regular season?

    I can't figure out what makes intuitive sense. On the one hand, it seems like it might be more common as better teams are generally going to have better pitchers. At the same time, that would also mean better hitters on the opposing teams. On the other, other hand, a coach might have a quick hook at the first sign of trouble or be more likely to PH for a pitcher. Of course, it is also possible that coaches would rather leave the ball in the hand of their ace pitcher than bring in a reliever in a tight contest.

    My head hurts... someone just run the numbers...

  2. shaqfearsyao Says:

    I don't think Holland would have gotten the last couple outs but Feliz sure did make it interesting because he couldn't find the strike zone at all. Ron Washington would've been ripped if he didn't pull out Holland and they somehow lost the game like Grady Little and Pedro.

  3. I did a bit of crunching...

    If I used the PI right, there have been 19,570 regular season games where a team allowed 0 runs. I did not control for rain shortened games, though I suppose I pretty easily could have. I don't know how many total games have been played, but I do know we crossed the 200,000 plateau late in the season, so let's use that as a rough estimate. 19,570/200,000 is approximately 1 SHO every 10 games. That seems high, but the PI results had over 300 for 2011 alone, so I suppose it is more common than I realized.

    Looking at the numbers here, we see that there were 112 SHOs in World Series play, which thus far has involved 1242 games. 112/1242 isn't very far off from the approximately 1 SHO every 10 regular season games.

    The actual numbers: 112/1242 = .0901 and 19570/200000 = .09785, though that second number is obviously a bit high since I am underestimating the total games played in MLB history. I am not savy enough to know if that is statistically signifigant.

    What I am most shocked by is the frequency of shutouts. Obviously, 2011 was a bit of a down year for offense, but there were still 323 games in which a team scored zero runs, meaning an average of almost 2 per day. Sure doesn't seem that way! I guess we are less likely to notice a SHO if it isn't a CGSHO by the starting pitching?

  4. Richard Chester Says:

    @3

    I ran the PI and found what you did, 19570 shutouts. I ran PI a second time with IP => 9 and found 19303 shut-outs.

    Doesn't that number of >200,000 games also count games played before 1901?

  5. Holland's game score was also the 3rd highest in the World Series among pitchers pitching less than 9 innings.

    Only Clemens (2000, game 2) and Glavine (1995, game 6) had a higher mark.

  6. In the first combined shutout (10/6/1930), Lefty Grove went 2 innings for the game 6 win. Not bad for a guy who had pitched a game 5 complete game the day before. George Earnshaw who started the game and went 7 innings followed that up two days later with a complete game victory in game 7.

  7. Richard Chester-

    It very well might. I don't know exactly how that was calculated and I don't know a better way to count all games, unless we simply do a PI search for all games that lasted .1 IP or longer or something.

  8. RC-

    I did a search using the exact same time frame (1919-present) as I did for the SHO list but with the only criteria to be IP >=1. I got a total of 314,694. However, this double-counts each game, since technically both teams pitched one inning. That means we are looking at 157,347 games. That is quite diferent than the original calculation.

  9. Richard Chester Says:

    @8

    BSK:

    A slightly high approximation for the number of games from 1901 to 1918 would be 16 x 77 x 18 = 22,176.That calculation is for a 154 game season. In 1901, 1902, 1903, 1918 and 1919 the season was for fewer than 154 games. Then there were also lots of tie games. So since 1901 there have been approximately 179,000 ML games.

  10. meaningless stat note: all three starts at the top are by lefties.

  11. If I am not mistaken the last shutout of the American League -not combined-. was Jack Morris 1-0 in the 7th game of the 1991 World Series, and as everybody knows, he went 10 innings. Please correct me if I am wrong.

  12. Kahuna Tuna Says:

    Exact number of MLB regular-season games, 1901 to 2011: 180,329.

  13. By the way, no postseason SP has ever begun the 9th with a shutout and then been lifted before getting an out, while still winding up with no runs on his record.

    I'm surprised that no pitcher ever walked the lead-off guy, was lifted (presumably a 1-0 or 2-0 game) and the replacement gave up a homerun or a run-scoring hit to achieve the above result. There have been 100+ WS right? I wonder what the odds of that are.

  14. ** Oh I guess I cannot read. Amend my post to say that the replacement didn't give up a homerun or run-scoring hit.

  15. I was watching ESPN baseball pregame from Texas and it must be warm and humid in Arlington because there was perspiration coming from the Karl Ravich wig, and the wig looked kind of frizzy. If the wig is any indicator, the ball may be flying out of the park tonight. Enjoy!

  16. Actually Grove WON that 1930 shutout in relief of Earnshaw

  17. @16, Nick C. -- Thanks for the correction on Grove. I've amended the post.