Comments on: Anibal Sanchez nearly pitches the FIFTH no-hitter in Marlins history http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813 This and that about baseball stats. Tue, 16 Jul 2013 17:01:55 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.6 By: Where’s Tim Hyers When You Need Him? | Ducksnorts http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-108519 Wed, 27 Apr 2011 15:46:02 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-108519 [...] Anibal Sanchez nearly pitches the FIFTH no-hitter in Marlins history (Baseball-Reference). How is it that the Marlins have four no-nos against NL West teams and the Padres, who play in the freaking division, have none? Don’t even get me started on World Championships… [...]

]]>
By: Jimbo http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-108004 Mon, 25 Apr 2011 07:52:42 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-108004 @25

Dwight Gooden is probably the most surprising Met to never throw one, considering how ridiculously dominant he was for his first few years.

]]>
By: NoChanceforPettitte http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-107968 Mon, 25 Apr 2011 02:49:05 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-107968 If my math is correct (of which there are no guarantees):

The odds of the Mets not throwing a no hitter in 7800 games is 158:1

The odds of Mike Warren (.261 career BAA) not throwing a no hitter in 7800 games is only 7.8:1

]]>
By: NoChanceforPettitte http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-107963 Mon, 25 Apr 2011 02:26:09 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-107963 It actually defies expectation. The probability of the Mets NOT throwing a no hitter is less than 1%. That's not even taking into account the quality (or in some years lack of quality) of their pitchers.

The closest similarity for a team I can think of is to the Tampa Bay Bucs inability for years to return a kickoff for a touchdown.

I would guess, without figuring it out due to laziness, that the chances of Mike Warren throwing a no hitter (which he did) is actually greater than the Mets not throwing a no hitter in over 7,800 games.

]]>
By: John Autin http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-107951 Mon, 25 Apr 2011 01:29:11 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-107951 The Mets' lack of a no-hitter is, of course, pretty much randomness.
For example, since 1962:

-- The Mets have 26 CG 1-hitters of at least 9 IP.

-- The Yankees have just 14 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 5 were no-hitters.

-- The Braves have just 14 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 2 no-hitters. (Phil Niekro & Kent Mercker.)

-- The Giants have 18 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 5 no-hitters.

-- The Phillies have 20 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 6 no-hitters. (Though none by Carlton.)

-- The Cardinals have 23 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 6 no-hitters. (2 by Bob Forsch?!? A no-hitter by Jose Jimenez?!?!?)

-- The Pirates have 23 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 3 no-hitters. (Including one by a pitcher on acid.)

-- The Angels have 24 CGs of 1 hit or less, same as the Mets ... but 7 no-hitters. (4 by Ryan, 1 each by Bo Belinsky, Clyde Wright and Mike Witt, a perfect game.)

-- The Red Sox also have 24 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 7 no-hitters. (Yet none by Pedro.)

-- The Reds also have 24 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 5 no-hitters

-- The A's have 25 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 5 no-hitters.

-- The Diamondbacks (1998-present) have 5 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 2 no-hitters. (Randy Johnson, OK ... but Edwin Jackson and his career 9.6 H/9?)

-- The Marlins (1993-present) have 11 CGs of 1 hit or less ... but 4 no-hitters.

And finally....

-- The Rockies (1993-present) have exactly one CG of 1 hit or less ... a no-hitter by Ubaldo Jimenez.

(BTW, the first Mets game I ever attended happened to be a 1-hitter by rookie Dwight Gooden on 9/7/1984. Keith Moreland led off the 5th with a dribbler up the 3rd-base line, and Ray Knight put the ball in his pocket. My buddy Mike P., a long-time season ticket holder, still gets hot when this game comes up. "Moreland can't run! You've got a 7-0 lead! The team's never had a no-hitter! Just throw the damn ball!!!)

]]>
By: NoChanceforPettitte http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-107928 Sun, 24 Apr 2011 22:20:07 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-107928 The Mets no hit futility is actually staggering (though irrelevant really to anything). Assuming there is a no hitter every 1,500 games (1962 to present), the Mets would be expected to have 5 by now.

]]>
By: J.R. Lebert http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-107924 Sun, 24 Apr 2011 21:38:45 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-107924 er... 1965. Sorry.

]]>
By: J.R. Lebert http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-107923 Sun, 24 Apr 2011 21:37:44 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-107923 As a lifelong, diehard Mets fan, I can tell you that it is absolutely true that the Mets have never had a no-hitter, despite having had three of the most dominant pitchers of all time, and, depending on your metrics, a fourth in Johan.

Obviously Nolan did what he did after an AWFUL trade away from the Mets, and Seaver finally got his in between his stints with the Mets. Pedro was never able to throw one (perhaps because he just wasn't Pedro of old anymore...). Johan... well, the jury is still out, but if I were a betting man, which I am... I would bet that season number 50 will come and go without a no-no.

HOWEVER... the Mets have had a no hitter in their history, albeit in Spring Training. Gary Kroll and Gordon "Gordy" Richardson pitched one in Spring Training for the Mets in 1964. True story.

]]>
By: NoChanceforPettitte http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-107921 Sun, 24 Apr 2011 21:29:44 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-107921 Edwin Jackson's no hitter last year was fairly dreadful as no hitters go:

8 BB; 1 HBP; 2 SB against; and of course those 149 pitches (which may or may not have something to do with his 1-4, 7.32, .908 ops numbers in the five starts that followed).

]]>
By: Zack Murphy http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/archives/10813/comment-page-1#comment-107914 Sun, 24 Apr 2011 20:19:10 +0000 http://www.baseball-reference.com/blog/?p=10813#comment-107914 I love the Burnett game. It's so AJ BUrnett. Even his BEST game still has such randomness and unpredictability. Walking nine guys suggests he was unhittable that day because we was so, well, unhittable.

Jim Maloney - 8/19/1965 - 10 walks, 12 Ks
Nolan Ryan - 9/28/2972 - 8 walks, but 15 Ks

There's a bunch > 6 BBs.... messy no-hitters.

]]>